17049 -- Another Look At Bakken's Dreaded Decline -- March 16, 2024

Locator: 46778B.

Another interesting observation in the Bakken. The dreaded Bakken decline. Once the dreaded decline comes to an end, production seems to plateau for years. Exhibit A.

The well:

• 17049 -- MRO, a nice well; recently re-fracked (5/17); t10/08; cum 352K 1/20; 513, MRO, Larry Repp 31-16H, Lake Ilo, t10/08; cum 456K 1/24; after the jump in production back in 2017, look how long this well is maintaining a nice monthly production: from my perspective, this is absolutely amazing:
  

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2024	29	2110	2223	4767	1109	112	816
BAKKEN	12-2023	31	2193	2086	4884	1180	592	393
BAKKEN	11-2023	30	2208	2202	4974	1253	860	203
BAKKEN	10-2023	31	2381	2370	5105	1361	933	231
BAKKEN	9-2023	30	2406	2362	4994	1388	1010	200
BAKKEN	8-2023	30	2501	2486	4855	1407	660	579
BAKKEN	7-2023	31	2732	2801	5109	1570	981	406
BAKKEN	6-2023	25	2214	2167	4026	905	679	86
BAKKEN	5-2023	31	2491	2771	5439	2052	849	1024
BAKKEN	4-2023	12	609	239	2213	547	215	264
BAKKEN	3-2023	1	1	180	0	16	16	0
BAKKEN	2-2023	8	727	729	1582	586	81	460
BAKKEN	1-2023	31	3176	3319	6668	2539	200	2156
BAKKEN	12-2022	31	3106	3058	6106	2460	76	1971
BAKKEN	11-2022	30	2906	2800	6966	2329	572	1352
BAKKEN	10-2022	14	864	932	3500	707	158	402
BAKKEN	9-2022	29	2050	1932	6122	1625	684	602
BAKKEN	8-2022	31	758	760	6742	676	257	203
BAKKEN	7-2022	18	58	64	3722	125	7	20
BAKKEN	6-2022	18	1122	1160	1928	1063	836	32
BAKKEN	5-2022	31	2375	2303	3627	2075	1687	13
BAKKEN	4-2022	28	1962	1953	3053	1698	1340	46
BAKKEN	3-2022	31	2471	2594	3521	2159	1774	0
BAKKEN	2-2022	28	2291	2278	3444	1930	1574	7
BAKKEN	1-2022	31	2775	2789	4024	2142	1030	706
BAKKEN	12-2021	29	2285	2219	3626	1707	1245	122
BAKKEN	11-2021	30	2567	2606	4017	1946	1561	6
BAKKEN	10-2021	31	2829	2789	4422	1916	1512	12
BAKKEN	9-2021	30	2528	2464	4046	1654	1225	65
BAKKEN	8-2021	31	2677	2694	4397	1732	965	412
BAKKEN	7-2021	31	2705	2762	4299	1680	47	1279
BAKKEN	6-2021	24	2033	2038	3586	1281	0	1019
BAKKEN	5-2021	31	2786	2741	4640	1742	24	1356
BAKKEN	4-2021	30	2727	2760	5043	1708	392	967
BAKKEN	3-2021	6	33	0	902	77	30	13
BAKKEN	2-2021	10	240	245	512	160	0	117
BAKKEN	1-2021	31	2469	2412	3995	1561	297	923
BAKKEN	12-2020	31	2555	2589	3898	1603	411	848
BAKKEN	11-2020	30	2080	2054	3806	1338	95	932
BAKKEN	10-2020	28	1827	1769	3691	1178	579	321
BAKKEN	9-2020	30	2519	2487	3950	1418	223	858
BAKKEN	8-2020	31	2664	2702	4365	1556	1029	173
BAKKEN	7-2020	31	2888	3001	4882	1671	987	315
BAKKEN	6-2020	30	2887	2961	4270	1604	229	1013
BAKKEN	5-2020	31	2851	2835	4505	1591	1	1224
BAKKEN	4-2020	30	2670	2764	4065	1515	177	990
BAKKEN	3-2020	31	3476	3472	4669	2535	616	1512
BAKKEN	2-2020	29	2501	2442	4069	1879	0	1564
BAKKEN	1-2020	31	2473	2386	4147	1875	82	1462
BAKKEN	12-2019	31	2550	2555	3837	1924	120	1470
BAKKEN	11-2019	30	2536	2515	4117	1925	0	1588
BAKKEN	10-2019	31	2634	2534	4146	1999	50	1596
BAKKEN	9-2019	30	2531	2543	4770	1602	340	926
BAKKEN	8-2019	31	2591	2570	4690	1636	593	711
BAKKEN	7-2019	31	3565	3592	5409	2202	1099	695
BAKKEN	6-2019	30	3666	3676	5509	2288	1303	572
BAKKEN	5-2019	25	2416	2406	4836	1487	415	772
BAKKEN	4-2019	18	2566	2547	3918	1622	1261	123
BAKKEN	3-2019	28	4768	5025	7776	3594	1396	1774
BAKKEN	2-2019	26	5310	5044	7453	3715	0	3262
BAKKEN	1-2019	14	13	0	2061	36	0	11
BAKKEN	12-2018	23	3152	3174	4800	2332	1987	38
BAKKEN	11-2018	30	5334	5349	7573	4258	3685	62
BAKKEN	10-2018	31	5597	5694	8242	4024	3033	464
BAKKEN	9-2018	30	5802	5835	8350	4219	3171	499
BAKKEN	8-2018	31	6516	6530	9227	5082	4305	186
BAKKEN	7-2018	31	6588	6738	9229	4861	2638	1623
BAKKEN	6-2018	30	7339	7208	10138	4906	4037	230
BAKKEN	5-2018	31	8091	8204	11771	4956	1189	3071
BAKKEN	4-2018	30	8946	8910	12901	5535	0	4402
BAKKEN	3-2018	31	10157	10086	15634	6421	68	5090
BAKKEN	2-2018	10	2732	2687	5331	1657	52	1264
BAKKEN	1-2018	31	7855	8044	12521	5013	0	4004
BAKKEN	12-2017	31	9137	9043	14205	5778	74	4549
BAKKEN	11-2017	30	11093	10972	17247	6963	0	5604
BAKKEN	10-2017	21	6371	6372	10884	3870	830	2239
BAKKEN	9-2017	30	10783	10942	22070	6319	0	4988
BAKKEN	8-2017	25	9877	9776	20773	5585	234	4157
BAKKEN	7-2017	31	9948	9832	20384	5858	2339	2280
BAKKEN	6-2017	29	10630	10614	25448	6056	1147	3601
BAKKEN	5-2017	18	5806	5871	8606	3287	1672	897
BAKKEN	4-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2017	9	202	201	141	146	29	44
BAKKEN	1-2017	31	656	660	305	503	214	33
BAKKEN	12-2016	31	801	721	292	538	266	0
BAKKEN	11-2016	30	704	705	282	505	238	12
BAKKEN	10-2016	31	756	750	316	534	266	1
BAKKEN	9-2016	30	739	770	299	469	130	80
BAKKEN	8-2016	31	737	700	310	476	202	9
BAKKEN	7-2016	31	768	805	306	484	206	10
BAKKEN	6-2016	30	726	672	290	431	149	24
BAKKEN	5-2016	31	712	722	288	439	165	27
BAKKEN	4-2016	30	717	782	296	461	196	10
BAKKEN	3-2016	31	804	728	306	514	227	15
BAKKEN	2-2016	29	733	751	309	442	147	43
BAKKEN	1-2016	31	662	862	346	474	135	85
BAKKEN	12-2015	30	888	687	441	593	231	101
BAKKEN	11-2015	22	512	472	321	309	130	7
BAKKEN	10-2015	31	805	858	333	492	181	44
BAKKEN	9-2015	30	810	1141	399	426	39	120
BAKKEN	8-2015	31	841	462	339	499	205	18
BAKKEN	7-2015	31	848	921	363	445	87	82
BAKKEN	6-2015	30	840	916	339	427	0	157
BAKKEN	5-2015	31	943	915	333	473	0	186