Saturday, November 22, 2025

Merck, Cidara, Flu, CD388 -- November 2, 2025

Locator: 49780MERCK.

MOJO, FOMO.

From memory. Much of this may be wrong. Can be easily fact-checked.

Merck to acquire Cidara Therapeutics for $9 billion in cash. Cidara Therapeutics with one asset. 

Prior to announcement, Merck had $18 billion in cash; double what it had a year ago.  

MRK: 

  • p/e = 13
  • raised its dividend this most recent quarter 

CD388: single-dose; last one full season; favorable results in phase 2b clinical studies; now undergoing phase 3 clinical studies

BARDA.

Ticker

Six months:


Five years


BARDA:

BARDA was developed using the DARPA model as a source of inspiration for its structure and mission, but with a focus on medical countermeasures instead of defense technology . 
Both agencies are government entities that fund high-risk, high-reward research and development projects to create new capabilities, though BARDA is housed within the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) and DARPA is within the Department of Defense.

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Movie Night

Film locations for Chinatown: link here

Specifically interesting in San Pedro. Fermin Park. Walker's Cafe. Gaffey Street.  

Google Gemini:

The movie Chinatown has held up remarkably well as a classic, with its status reaffirmed over 50 years after its release. Its brilliant script, masterful direction, and enduringly relevant themes of corruption and power continue to make it a compelling and effective thriller, though some elements have naturally dated.

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Disclaimer
Brief Reminder

Briefly:
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. 
  • All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Many posts are not proofread for several days after they've been posted.  
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution.
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom.
  • And Oracle. 
  • Longer version here.

GDPNow -- GDP Estimate -- 3Q25 -- From Yesterday -- November 21, 2025 -- Posted November 22, 2025

Locator: 49779ECONOMY.

Link here

GDP estimate, from yesterday, November 21, 2025:

Beautiful Example Of The Halo Effect In The Bakken -- November 22, 2025

Locator: 49778HALO.

The well:

  • 18826, 516, CLR, Twilight 1-24H, East Fork, t3/11; cum 257K 9/25;

Recent production:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN9-20253065726537168391000077312269
BAKKEN8-20253182348228216681123567414494
BAKKEN7-202531799879002453894228987435
BAKKEN6-202530759875982331680777585492
BAKKEN5-202526335933321426831222462660
BAKKEN4-202530101121044645683992983791550
BAKKEN3-20251018861378967118041621183
BAKKEN2-20250000000
BAKKEN1-20250000000
BAKKEN12-20240000000
BAKKEN11-20242700000
BAKKEN10-202425438491472594157437
BAKKEN9-20242554671466065070580
BAKKEN8-202430556463673836117719

As good as or better than the initial production when first drilled:

BAKKEN9-20112748305259279510087010087
BAKKEN8-20113074096906397211664011664
BAKKEN7-201122563157541852878308783
BAKKEN6-2011532863161940559505595
BAKKEN5-20117247830261071394103941
BAKKEN4-2011301084810400449416782016782
BAKKEN3-20112399549637191414178014178

Beautiful Example Of The Halo Effect In The Bakken -- November 22, 2025

Locator: 49777HALO.

The well:

  • 20885, 359, CLR, Christopherson 156-99-2-11-1H, East Fork, t6/12; cum 310K 9/25; recent production:
oolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN9-20253025802632927521341859275
BAKKEN8-202531297631131068617701520250
BAKKEN7-20253125282697110531924186460
BAKKEN6-202530195418351055912501120130
BAKKEN5-20252455124758452602600
BAKKEN4-20254003548000
BAKKEN3-20250000000
BAKKEN2-20250000000
BAKKEN1-202535014160100
BAKKEN12-20240000000
BAKKEN11-2024223692100
BAKKEN10-2024307216497539205550
BAKKEN9-20243085189388012658600
BAKKEN8-20243191360493212848650
BAKKEN7-2024314805136631012335285
BAKKEN6-2024306436766931017422190

X-Files -- November 22, 2025

Locator: 49776ARCHIVES.

EVs: observation -- we have three EV chargers in our 400-unit apartment complex. A year ago or so or maybe even longer I usually saw one of the EV chargers with an electric vehicle charging every so often, at least twice a week. Now, this past summer I "never" saw an electric vehicle charging at any of these EV chargers. 

Politics: The opposite of a lame duck: when you withdraw your endorsement of someone and that someone ends her career within days.

Sports: Vanderbilt Ladies Soccer defeats Clemson 3 - 2 in double overtime in the second round to advance in the NCAA championship. Vanderbilt advances to the Sweet 16, where they will play LSU.

Nvidia: CNBC talking heads suggest Trump's possible proposal to allow Nvidia to sell H200 chips to China is lame. CNBC must have missed Lisa Su's memo.

COP: Who cares and I have no idea where it stands now, but seven hours ago, at the conclusion of COP30, the summit is deadlocked as EU rejects draft deal. Three hours ago, still no agreement and "many" delegates are already leaving. On CO2-spewing jets. Sticking point: smaller countries want more cash. 

More: COP30 did agree on one thing. Turkey will host COP31 but its rival, Australia, will play a role in running the negotiations. COPs are getting as financially rewarding for the host country as the Olympics. LOL. 

Hydrogen: XOM freezes plans for major hydrogen plant amid weak customer demand. Mercedes-Benz recently announced plans to develop hydrogen-powered trucks with the GenH2 fuel-cell truck currently undergoing real-world customer trials. Probably a European thing.

NYC: Trump and Mamdani say NY utility Con Edison needs to cut rates. Environmentalists sue to stop Transco Northeast natural gas pipeline -- New Jersey under-the-water to New York City. Yup, that's how to get it done.

Pipeline: BP's Olympic Pipeline remains shut down due to a leak near Everett, Washington. Key pipeline delivering fuel, including aviation fuel, to Seattle,  Sea-Tac International Airport, Tacoma, and Portland. Initially, only a small portion of the pipeline was shutdown, now the entire Olympic Pipeline system. No interruptions yet noted at airports just ahead of the busiest travel season of the year.

LNG: Huge partnership between US and Saudi Arabia for LNG.  

Amazon


Sports

Apple has the rights to broadcast all F1 races in the United States, including the Las Vegas Grand Prix, through a five-year deal that starts in 2026 . This deal makes Apple TV+ the exclusive U.S. broadcaster for all F1 content, including practice sessions, qualifying, sprint races, and Grands Prix, starting with the 2026 season

Oil: the Permian remains a monster. While there are only 29 rigs in the Bakken, there are 254 rigs in the Permian this weekend.

Apple -- AAPL -- IBD's Stock Of The Day -- November 22, 2025

Locator: 49775AAPL.

Link here