Thursday, August 28, 2025

American Manufacturing Program -- Apple -- August 28, 2025

Locator: 48988APPLE.

In all the clutter of news the past two weeks, it's easy to forget this, the American Manufacturing Program, or better framed, Apple's American Manufacturing Program:

From August 6, 2025, Trump announces Apple investing another $100 billion in US manufacturing.

Apple CEO Tim Cook joined President Donald Trump at the White House on Wednesday to announce a commitment by the tech company to increase its investment in U.S. manufacturing by an additional $100 billion over the next four years.

“This is a significant step toward the ultimate goal of ensuring that iPhones sold in the United States of America also are made in America,” Trump said at the press conference. “Today’s announcement is one of the largest commitments in what has become among the greatest investment booms in our nation’s history.”

As part of the Apple announcement, the investments will be about bringing more of its supply chain and advanced manufacturing to the United States as part of an initiative called the American Manufacturing Program, but it is not a full commitment to build its popular iPhone device domestically.

This is a big deal.

Look with whom Apple has partnered. This is truly unprecedented. Think of the "force-multiplication" that is going on. 

Apple with a dozen primary partners -- entry fee: $250 billion market cap

Each of the dozen primary partners, another dozen secondary partners for each of the primary -- entry fee: $500 million market cap

12 x 12 = 144.

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Apple's American Manufacturing Program

Apple's American Manufacturing Program (AMP) includes initial partners such as Corning for cover glass, Coherent for VCSEL lasers, MP Materials for rare earth magnets, and semiconductor companies Texas Instruments, Samsung, GlobalFoundries, Amkor, and GlobalWafers America, with plans to manufacture an end-to-end silicon supply chain in the U.S. by bringing new technology to the U.S. first.

Here are some of the specific partners and their roles in Apple's American Manufacturing Program:

For Physical Components

Corning:
A partner in manufacturing cover glass for all iPhone and Apple Watch devices in Kentucky, and will also establish a new Apple-Corning Innovation Center in the state.
Coherent:
  • A long-standing partner that produces VCSEL lasers for features like Face ID and other components, with operations in Sherman, Texas.
MP Materials (this draws Apple to the table shared with DOD and Palantir):
  • Apple has committed to buying American-made rare earth magnets from MP Materials, and the two companies will expand the Independence facility in Fort Worth, Texas, and establish a rare earth recycling line in Mountain Pass, California.
For Silicon Manufacturing

Texas Instruments:
  • Expanding its partnership to support additional tool installations at its Utah facility and a new facility in Sherman, Texas.
Samsung:
  • Collaborating to launch an innovative new chip-making technology in Austin, Texas, to optimize chip performance for Apple products.
GlobalFoundries:
  • Partnering to bring new semiconductor manufacturing capabilities and technology to its facility in Malta, New York.
Amkor:
  • Apple is the first and largest customer for Amkor's new advanced chip packaging and test facility in Arizona.
GlobalWafers America:
  • Plans to manufacture advanced bare wafers in the U.S. for the first time, using silicon from Corning. See link here. See also the Apple-Corning (GLW) relationship.
These partnerships aim to bring a complete silicon supply chain to America, from design to packaging.

It goes without saying, a primary partner is also: TSMC

Also:

  • Broadcom.

These are the initial partners.

Additional partners that will be needed (not solely manufacturing):

  • 5G
  • satellite
  • AI

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A Musical Interlude

Link here.

Petro-Hunt With Four New Permits -- August 28, 2025

Locator: 48987B. 

WTI: $64.07.

Active rigs: 30.

Four new permits, #42259 - #42262, inclusive:

  • Operator: Petro-Hunt
  • Field: Little Knife (Dunn County): Crooked Creek (Dunn County);
  • Comments:
    • Petro-Hunt has permits for four wells, Charles Tompkins (2), Charles Rand, and John Williams9, all SWSW 32-144-97, 
      • to be sited 365 FSL and 325 / 465 FWL.

One producing well reported as completed:

  • 35233, 2,498, CLR, Michael State Federal 5-16H, Williams County.

This Needs A Stand-Alone If You're Wondering About Amazon -- August 28, 2025

Locator: 48986AMAZON. 

As a side note, this is why I continue to add, as an investor, to my position in Amazon. 

I just happened to see this interview near the end of the day over at CNBC

Amazon and Comcast NBCUniversal recently announced that Peacock Premium Plus can now be added as an add-on subscription through Amazon Prime Video Channels. For $16.99 per month or $169.99 per year, Prime Video customers can access Peacock's ad-free content, including live sports like Sunday Night Football and Olympic coverage, directly within the Prime Video app.

Link here. Same link.

This is really, really amazing.

According to Google AI:

  • Amazon Prime alone, with no others partnerns, $14.99 / month or $139 / year;
  • Amazon Prime with Peacock Premium Plus, $16.99 / month or $169 / year.

So, if that's correct, if that's accurate, I can pay an addition $2.00 / month and get the entire Peacock Premium Plus Network. 

I find that incredible.

So, what does Peacock Prime Plus Network add to my current Amazon Prime experience, in terms of content?

Peacock Premium Plus on Prime Video provides an ad-free streaming experience with live sports like "Sunday Night Football" and the Olympics, thousands of on-demand movies and series from NBCUniversal networks (like Bravo), Peacock Originals, and the ability to download content offline.
Users can access this content seamlessly within the Prime Video app through a separate subscription, adding to their existing content library without needing a second app. 

As a comparison, look what it would cost to add Paramount: 

Paramount+ costs either $7.99 per month for the ad-supported Essential plan or $12.99 per month for the premium Paramount+ with Showtime plan. You can also pay annually for savings, which works out to about $5.00 per month for the Essential plan or about $10.00 per month for the premium plan.

What sports does Paramount offer that the others don't:

Paramount+ provides exclusive coverage of several top-tier sports that differentiate it from other streaming services, particularly in soccer and MMA
. Its specific focus on these leagues makes it a must-have for fans who want to follow them extensively.

MMA and soccer interest me not. 

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Where I Stand

With the Amazon Prime Fire Stick, I subscribe to two "things":

  • Hulu (my most important go-to streaming "network") -- which includes ESPN, and maybe some Disney (I honestly don't know what Disney I get with Hulu but with Hulu / ESPN I honestly get all the sports I need); and,
  • Amazon Prime.

Through Hulu I get all the legacy networks (ABC, NBC, and CBS, for example, and all the local networks) and with Amazon Prime I get "all" the NFL I want, including "Monday Night Football." I can still get "Sunday Night Football" on Hulu / legacy NBC, and so for "Sunday Night Football" I don't need Peacock.

Amazon Prime gets me "Thursday Night Football." 

I think it's just a matter of time before "Sunday Night Football" is available only on Peacock.

And I think it's only a matter of time before the legacy networks lose any access to the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, and the PGA. 

It could also happen with regard to the Olympics but that may catch the eye(s) of the FCC.

But for an extra $2.00 / month, the Amazon Prime / Peacock merger looks very tempting.

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Amazon Prime

I can't say it enough times. Amazom Prime more than pays for itself. With the "cash-back" Amazon Prime credit card, I get Amazon Prime (streaming and the retail store) completely "free."

Amazon Prime streaming and YouTube streaming are in direct competition, and my hunch is that both are equally good. But with Amazon Prime retail, it's a no-brainer. 

The next big thing:

  • a direct competitor to YouTube video channel (not YouTube streaming) but the YouTube video app;
    • Josh Brown on CNBC thinks Netflix will develop a YouTube-like video channel;
    • it would be a hoot if Amazon Prime also developed a YouTube-like video channel.

Background:

Mike Hopkins is currently the head of Amazon MGM Studios and Prime Video, following Jennifer Salke's departure for a production deal in March 2025. In this role, Hopkins oversees all aspects of Amazon's video entertainment businesses, with Courtenay Valenti (film) and Vernon Sanders (TV) reporting directly to him.

Amazon first announced its intent to purchase Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM) on May 26, 2021, for $8.45 billion, a deal that was finalized and closed on March 17, 2022. The acquisition added MGM's extensive library of films and TV shows, including the James Bond and Rocky franchises, to Amazon's Prime Video service, making it a significant expansion of Amazon's entertainment division and a major event in the streaming wars.

Chart Of The Day -- Cisco -- August 28, 2025

Locator: 48985CISCO.

Ticker.

Five days.

One year.

Max.


Dividend:

Personal Finances -- August 28, 2025

Locator: 48984PERSONALFINANCE.

This is really, really cool.

From CNBC today:


There's nothing worse than credit card debt. Don't take that out of context.

Of our five grandchildren, one is now an independent adult. She is very, very frugal and manages her money well, but it must still be very challenging for her.

My wife and I want to ensure that our grandchildren do not get into credit card debt / trouble.

To that end, we will work with our grandchildren to pay off their entire credit card debt every six months. 

We also provide a monthly stipend for gasoline money for the two adult daughters who need dependable, personal transportation.

Interview Of The Day -- August 28, 2025

Locator: 48983AI.

Interview of the day: the 29-minute interview between "the Judge" and the CEO of Altimeter Capital, Brad Gerstner, wiki

  • the meme today: Nvidia is at huge risk. 99% of its revenue comes from two or three hyperscalers.
  • my response: the Willy Sutton question -- why did Willy Sutton rob banks?

Wow, wow, wow -- Brad Gerstner explained why Apple shouldn't buy Perplexity. Wow, wow, wow. It all has to do with the edge, which I just discussed earlier this week. And, again, it's all about the battery?

Again, it appears like Tim Cook is threading the needle.

Apple? Up almost $2.00 today.

Cramer's Best Hour -- Thursday, August 28, 2025

Locator: 48982CRAMER.

Intel: received $5.7 billion in cash from the US government last night for 10% stake in the company. 

Trump says it was purely coincidental that the company also recorded $2 billion from SoftBank in the same week. If $5.7 billion represents 10% stake, then the company was valued at $57 billion? In fact, today, market cap of Intel is $106.19 billion What's going on? ChatGPT's reply here. ChatGPT's reply makes sense.

NVDA: market cap greater than 17 other semiconductor companies combined (doesn't include many of  the other "Mag 7" of course). 

NVDA: new analysis by Deutsche Bank indicated that as of late August 2025, Nvidia's market capitalization had surpassed the combined market value of the UK, France, and Germany's entire stock markets.

NVDA: market cap -- $4.35 trillion. P/E? Less than 60.

AVGO: oh, my goodness. AVGO up $8.75

AMD: up 0.62.

MU: up $4.53

ORCL: up $5.01.

IBM: up $0.17.

NVDA: does anyone really care?

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Disclaimer
Brief Reminder 

Briefly:

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution.
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom.
  • Longer version here.   

Say What? August 28, 2025

Locator: 48981CRIME.

Link here.


Jobless Claims And GDP Data -- August 28, 2025

Locator: 48980ECONOMY.

Boom: U.S. economy expanded 3.3% in Q2, with growth even stronger than initially thought. Estimate was 3.1.

Imports were pulled forward in 2Q25. Impact of imports on GDP. Link here. Yellow legal pad: consumer was very strong in second quarter.

Link here

Jobless claims:

  • right in line, 229K vs 230K
  • hard to get worried about the labor sector

GDP data, 2d estimate:

  • 3% last week; now 3.3%, vs 3.1% expected. Best quarter since 3Q23.
  • consumption looks good
  • pricing index: 2%; no change;

Steve Liesman:

  • very, very low jobless claims numbers; why the urgency for a rate cut?

Market; responds positively.

Nvidia 2Q25 Earnings -- August 28, 2025

Locator: 48979NVDA.

Updates

September 14, 2025: link here.

Original Post 

Earnings call

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said he anticipates the largest AI companies will spend $3 trillion to $4 trillion over the next five years. He noted that for every $50 billion to $60 billion that companies spend on AI data centers, Nvidia can capture around $35 billion of that spending.

Tokens

 In the context of AI, a token is the basic unit of text or data that an AI model processes. For text-based AI, tokens can be words, parts of words, or punctuation, which are then converted into numerical representations. The AI model breaks down input into these tokens, processes them to identify patterns and context, and then generates output also in the form of tokens. Different models use different tokenization strategies, and the concept of "tokens" is also used in crypto to refer to digital assets.

Google search tokens:

  • one year ago: 9 trillion tokens
  • currently: 980 trillion tokens

Market value:

Compute power; Jensen Huang has said that going from “simple search” to “generative AI” will require 100x compute power. The numbers jibe.

Link here.

Link here.


Free cash flow, link here.

Nvidia sale, link here. You might want to check out this link and the thread.

Stock buybacks, link here.

Thursday - August 28, 2025

Locator: 48978B.

Boom: U.S. economy expanded 3.3% in Q2, with growth even stronger than initially thought. Estimate was 3.1.

Another Ford recall: link here.

A ruptured hose in the brake system could cause fluid to leak, lengthening stopping distances and increasing the risk of a crash. 

Separately, Ford is also recalling over 213,000 vehicles over faulty tail lights and 100,900 vehicles due to the risk of a tear in the airbag when deployed. 

Ford has issued the most recalls of any automaker on record in 2025, setting a new annual record for a single car manufacturer within the first half of the year.

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Back to the Bakken

WTI: $64.03.

New wells:

  • Friday, August 29, 2025: 55 for the month, 93 for the quarter, 533 for the year,
    • None.
  • Thursday, August 28, 2025: 55 for the month, 93 for the quarter, 533 for the year,
    • 41175, conf, KODA Resources, Amber 1435-4BH,
    • 41010, conf, Oasis, Rystedt 5892 31-28 2B, 

RBN Energy: US E&P earings resume slide in 2Q25 after promising start to year.