Sunday, May 22, 2016

North Dakota's State Mill And Elevator Doing Just Fine, Thank You -- May 22, 2016; This Really Is Amazing: CFA's Average Sales/Restaurant Is Best In The Business is reporting:
With the North Dakota budget in rough shape, officials are glad for any boost to state coffers. That includes the modest bump from the North Dakota Mill and Elevator that towers over north Grand Forks.
The mill, the only such state-owned operation in the country, contributes millions every year to the North Dakota budget. The mill is financially self-sufficient.
The facility, located just north of Gateway Drive on Mill Road, is on the verge of completing a major expansion project that will make it the largest single milling operation the country. Taylor said demand for flour is largely driving the addition, which will increase its daily production capacity from 38,000 hundredweight of flour to 49,500 hundredweight.
The expansion, first approved by the North Dakota Industrial Commission in 2014, will add an eighth milling unit to the facility. It also includes enough room for another expansion in the future.
The mill is also planning a project that will include a new track and wheat unloading pit that may be completed this fall.
The mill posted a nearly $16.7 million profit in the fiscal year that ended June 30, 2015, marking a record.

Business Insider has an interesting article: KFC vs Chick-Fil-A. This is the one line that caught my eye:
"They can make sure that procedures get followed. I think that's a competitive advantage for them. I don't know if it's an advantage I would want, but it's certainly working for them from a business standpoint."
They can make sure that procedures get followed. And the KFC CMO is not sure that's a business practice he would want to emulate. In a franchise! OMG! That's what a franchise is all about: consistency and predictability. No wonder KFC is having its problems.

The last time I visited a KFC was up in Williston, while visiting the Bakken. My dad wanted to go. Later he said he was disappointed in KFC; would not go back. He was 93 at the time. Later he said he was disappointed in the food; I was disappointed in the attitude of the employees.

I think that was the only time I have visited a KFC in the last ten years. Before that, my father-in-law enjoyed them and he would bring home KFC, but he passed away some years ago.

I was quite shocked to see how badly the KFC was in Williston with regard to appearance and cleanliness. That particular KFC was there well before the boom; located near the high school. But it was unkempt; it was no longer busy in the Bakken but no one was cleaning the tables and the floor looked atrocious. It had the feel of a KFC in downtown NYC -- not something I would expect in rural North Dakota.

On the other hand, the Chick-Fil-A here in Grapevine is incredibly busy when it is open (it is closed on Sundays) and it is as clean as any fast food restaurant that I've seen. And the customer service is incredible. 

From the linked article:
In 2014, Chick-fil-A's average sales per restaurant were $3.1 million, the greatest of any fast-food chain in the US. In comparison, KFC sold $960,000 per restaurant that year.
The reason for Chick-fil-A's dominance is a mix of excellent food and superior customer service, according to many analysts.
Most noticeable: the writer failed to note that CFA is closed on Sunday and yet CFA still "cleans FKC's clock," as they say. 
Idle Musings ... and Nothing About The Bakken

One of the things I enjoy most during a move is to see how smoothly our mailing address changes work out.

This time, as usual, very, very well. We've had lot so of practice, moving on average every 2.6 years while serving with the USAF. In retirement, it has been much less often, maybe four times since 2007. Let's see 8 years divided by 4 = 2 years; well, maybe not. Whatever.

The only problem we've had this time, it appears, is with one monthly periodical, The Atlantic [Monthly]. I'll call them again tomorrow. It really doesn't bother me. I'm not sure whether I will continue with the periodical. I used to enjoy it to some degree, but it has changed a lot, and I'm not sure if I enjoy it all that much. It's become indistinguishable from a number of other periodicals over the past few years it appears.

Having said that, some nice bit of trivia that popped up in this month's issue (June).  I'm not going to go into it now (except to say it was Brenda James who introduced me to the origin of the word "ghetto") but it seems there have been a lot of articles talking about ghettos lately.

In "The Eviction Curse," Patrick Sharkey, writes about the origin of the ghetto:
For Duneier, two historical iterations s of the Jewish ghetto in Europe serve as structural extremes to frame the story he traces of a disadvantaged group -- African Americans -- cordoned off in the US.

At one end lies the enclave that gave us the term ghetto: an island in Venice (named for the copper foundry, or geto, once located on it) where Jews were assigned to live in 1516. Gates opened in the morning and closed at night allowing the Jews to circulate among the general population and take part in economic life by day. Venetian authorities mostly kept out, which meant Jewish community and culture could thrive.
William Shakespeare had never seen the Venetian ghetto but he describes it in exceedingly good detail. He was truly a genius. He kind of reminds me of John "I've served in Vietnam" Kerry or Hillary Clinton.

Wow, there are so many other story lines there, but time to move.

Meanwhile some additional trivia that might be useful at this week's cocktail party. Or not. 

I've grown tired of the Brontës; it's hard to believe I actually wrote that. Whatever.

But this in Judith Shulevitz's "The Brontës' Secret":
I see no reason not to consider the Brontë cult a religion. What are Peoples of the Book, after all, if not irrepressible embroiderers of fetishized texts?
The Jews have a word for the feverish imaginings that run like bright threads through their Torah commentaries: midrash, the spinning of gloriously weird backstories or fairy tales prompted by gaps or contradictions in the narratives.
Midrash isn't just a Jewish hermeneutic, by the way. You could call the Gospels a midrash on the Hebrew Bible, the lives of the saints a midrash on the Christ story, the Koran a midrash on all of the above.
So, there you have it; a bit more on the origin of the words ghetto and midrash. That and $2.00 will get you a cup of coffee in Starbucks.

HRC Takes A Big Well Off-Line -- May 22, 2016

This well taken off-line:
  • 21963, 4,447, HRC, Fort Berthold 148-95-26A-35-2H, Eagle Nest, Three Forks, originally 1280-acre spacing; changed to 4 sections, original post here; t3/15; cum 259K 3/16. Update 5/15: 49 stages, 5.1 million lbs; now as of 3/16, taken off-line.

Random Update Of Four Neighboring Newfield Wells In Sand Creek -- May 22, 2016


Later, 7:01 p.m. Central Time: shortly after posting the note below, a reader, thank you very much, took the time to send photographs of the Newfield wells mentioned below. Specifically, these are photographs of what I referred to as Pad C in this particular posting.

The cattle guards are a story in themselves (posted many years ago). Isn't the scenery beautiful? A huge thanks to the reader for sending me these photos.
Original Post
An update of four neighboring Newfield multi-well pads in Sand Creek oil field. Three of the pads are 3-wells pads; one well is a 4-well pad.

See this post for background.
Pad A remains on line; only a few days off-line for any of the wells: SW 16-153-96, all horizontals run north; wells #27526, #27527, and #27528. 
  • 27527, 1,243, Newfield, Sand Creek State 153-96-16-4H, Sand Creek, t1/15; cum 95K 3/16;
Pad B remains on line: SE 16-153-96, all horizontals run north; wells #25074, #25073, and #25072. The production from #25072 is perhaps the best:
  • 25072, 1,449, Newfield, Sand Creek State 153-96-16-2H, Sand Creek, t1/15; cum 110K 3/16;
Pad C, this was perhaps the most "sporadic" of the four pads: NE 21-153-96, all horizontals run south; wells #28765, #28766, and #28767. Production from #28765 is typical of the three wells on this pad:
  • 28765, 2,190, Newfield, Sand Creek Federal 153-96-21-28-3H, Sand Creek, t1/15; cum 120K 3/16;
Pad D, three of the four wells were off-line April/May, 2015, but since then all have been on-line. This pad is perhaps the best of the four: NW 22-153-96, all horizontals run south; wells #29268, #29113, #29114, and #29115. The one well of these four that has never been off-line is #29115; in April/May, 2015, when the sister wells off off-line, this well produced slightly less than 3,000 bbls in April and slightly more than 7,000 bbls the following month. All four wells took a huge jump in production in July, 2015. Production from #29115 might be among the best from this pad:
  • 29115, 1,513, Newfield, Sand Creek Federal 153-96-22-27-3H, Sand Creek, t12/14; cum 126K 3/16;
Note the production jump for #29115 in July, 2015:


 We saw the same things with #29114:


It was also true of the other two wells on this pad, a huge jump in production in July, 2015.

It should be noted that these four Newfield pads will soon have a new neighbor. One section to the east, in section 15-153-96, XTO has another 4-well pad:
  • 31223, conf, XTO, Harley Federal 24X-15F,
  • 31224, conf, XTO, Harley Federal 24X-15B,
  • 31225, conf, XTO, Harley Federal 24X-15E,
  • 31226, conf, XTO, Harley Federal 24X-15A,

Reminder: Trump To Talk At Bismarck Conference This Week -- May 22, 2016

USA Today headline: Trump's take on oil, OPEC? N.D. speech may offer details.
As is the case with most of his policy stands, Donald Trump has spoken only generally about how he thinks Washington should treat energy production in the U.S., expressing strong support for the oil, natural gas and coal industries, and promising to cut funding for what he sees as excessive regulation.
But this week in North Dakota, the presumptive Republican nominee for president may reveal more about his views on promoting domestic energy, and perhaps take another shot at Saudi Arabia, the leader of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries.
Trump is scheduled to deliver a keynote address Thursday at the Williston Basin Petroleum Conference in Bismarck to an audience of oil and gas operators whose drilling in the Bakken shale formation has made North Dakota the second-leading oil-producing state in the U.S.

Oil Sands Companies Feeling The Burn -- May 22, 2016

Reuters/Rigzone is reporting:
Out-of-control wildfires that have consumed over a million acres of land in Canada's Alberta are costing oil companies as much as $50 million a day in lost production.
Alberta's oil producers curtailed production by May 5 as fires prompted the evacuation of Fort McMurray, a central production hub. By May 9, more than 1 million barrels of daily oil output had been halted.
Meanwhile, Norwegian production increases a bit more than expected. Rigzone is reporting. Data points:
  • April, 2016, production: 2.029 million bopd (oil, NGL, and condensate)
  • 1.625 million bopd; 374,000 bopd NGL; 30,000 bopd condensate
  • month-over-month: about a 20,000 bopd increase 
  • oil production was 4% above levels one year ago; 3% higher than predicted

Ivanpah Feels The Burn -- May 22, 2016: Question: If Your Power Plant Is One-Third Solar, Two-Thirds Natural Gas, Are You Still A Solar Plant? Sort Of Like Starbucks Milk Drinks With A Bit Of Coffee Added


August 24, 2016: commentary, by Outrun Change

Later, 1:19 p.m. Central Time: this could be the tipping point requiring the Ivanpah file for "cap and trade" status -- performing at only 1/3rd capacity and back up required by natural gas, certainly we're at that stay now. Like forbearance agreements, however, "cap and trade" may be confidential issues for the solar plant. See first comment. The Ivanpah "cap and trade" issue was mentioned at this post back in November, 2015.

Original Post
I've blogged often about the solar science project at Ivanpah in California. This link was sent to me by a reader, thank you: world's largest solar power plant catches fire due to own mirrors less than a year After torching hudreds of birds. Inquisitr is reporting:
On Thursday, the Ivanpah Solar Electric Generating System, which is the world’s largest solar thermal power station, reported that a small fire had broken out at the facility. The fire caused the plant to shut down one of its electricity-generating water towers and left the high-tech facility crippled, only operating at one-third capacity.
Officials from the plant are now saying that the blame for the fire can be placed on misaligned mirrors.
The $2.2 billion station is operated by a consortium, which includes BrightSource Energy, NRG Energy, and Google, and has taxpayer-guaranteed loans valued at over $1.6 billion. The three 459-foot water towers are the focus of over 350,000 computer controlled mirrors – as “big as garage doors” – reflecting sunlight onto them.
This concentrated solar exposure creates a tremendous amount of heat, which in turn creates the steam which is necessary to turns the turbines in order to produce electricity. The plant in California, which is the largest of its kind in the world, features a gross capacity of 392 megawatts, enough power to give energy to about 140,000 homes.
It's not a parody or a joke, although I wondered at first. Popular Science also has the story, calling it a "small inferno."

I read the LA Times headlines everyday online but I never saw the headline until googling it now, but the LA Times did report it saying that only one of three towers is currently operating, with the fire shutting down one and another undergoing maintenance.

I track the Ivanpah links here.

Random Update Of An EOG Short Lateral In Parshall Oil Field, #16532 -- May 22, 2016

The other day we were talking about EOG, Packers Plus Energy Services, open hole fracks, etc.

This well has come up occasionally on the blog, and from an earlier post:
December 21, 2014: noted this great EOG well went inactive in late 2014; back on status 12/14;
  • 16532, 1,285, EOG, N&D 1-05H, Parshall, open hole/perforated frack with 2 million lbs sand, t7/07; cum 465K 2/16;
As noted it was shut down back in late 2015; now the sundry forms are available -- there was a "stuffing box leak." Looks like it was repaired, and everything back to normal.

The area under discussion and location of the index well, #16532:

The other wells transiting section 5-152-90:

1: 27859, 823, EOG, Parshall 57-0806H, ICO spacing, t12/14; cum 309K 3/16;
2: 27858, 236, EOG, Parshall 152-0806H, ICO spacing, t12/14; cum 221K 3/16; only 10 days 2/16;
3: 27857, 435, EOG, Parshall 56-0806H, ICO spacing, t12/14; cum 144K 3/16; only 8 days 3/16; only 4 bbls 2/16; only two days 1/16; only 11 days 12/15

4: 27852, 1,544, EOG, Parshall 36-0806H, ICO spacing, t12/14; cum 188K 3/16;
5: 27853, 392, EOG, Parshall 146-0806H, ICO spacing, middle Bakken, 54 stages, 14.4 million lbs, t12/14; cum 207K 3/16;
6: 27854, 1,433, EOG, Parshall 37-0806H, ICO spacing, 50 stages, 12 million lbs, t12/14; cum 276K 3/16;

7: 25253, 1,908, EOG, Parshall 35-0509H, ICO spacing, Three Forks, 59 stages, 18 million lbs, t10/13; cum 361K 3/16;
8: 25254, 1,047, EOG, Parshall 34-0509H, ICO spacing, middle Bakken, 48 stages, 14.7 million lbs, t11/13; cum 365K 3/16;

Halo effect:
  • there may have been a bit of a halo effect on #16532 (the index well) when #25253 and #25254 were fracked in late 2013
  • no evidence of any halo effect when the other six wells were fracked in late 2014