Saturday, May 2, 2020

Another BR Shenandoah Well Goes Over 500K -- May 2, 2020

The well:
  • 28414, 2,204, BR, Shenandoah 44-36MBH ULW, Keene, 4 sections, t3/15; cum 517K 3/20;
The BR Shenandoah wells are tracked here.

Word For The Day


Kraken's Bigfoot Wells Have Been Updated -- May 2, 2020

These are "monster" wells.

Tracked here.

Week 18: April 26, 2020 -- May 2, 2020

Top energy story of the week:
Favorite video:

Bonus video:
Best news all week:
Biggest non-story of the entire week:
Top international non-energy story:
Top international energy story:
Top national non-energy story:
Top national energy story:
Top North Dakota non-energy story:

Top North Dakota energy story:
Geoff Simon's top ND stories (does not included stories posted elsewhere on this page): pending
  • ND crude oil production likely to fall below 1.0 million bopd
  • Gas flaring to fall with oil price drop/ regulators look to tighten flaring rules
  • State to re-open with distancing rules; schools to remain closed through rest of school year
  • New Long X Bridge taking shape
  • ONEOK will keep its dividend despite spending cuts
  • DOE: Bakken crude oil no more volatile than conventional or Permian Basin oil
  • Regulators okay expansion of Mountrail County oil conditioning facility
  • Fines rack up for wind farms failing to meet deadline for new lighting
  • Williston waives permit fees for new home construction as housing incentive
  • Trenton becomes fourth ND school district approved for four-day week
  • In 2019, US energy production exceeded consumption for the first time in 62 years

Advantaged oil:
Natural gas:
Bakken economy:


Looks Pretty Sparse Right Now, Ten Years After -- May 2, 2020

Link here.

History of active rigs in North Dakota at this post.

Graphics here.

Cornucopians: Maugheri was correct -- back in 2012 -- wow, incredibly prescient.
In 2005 investment banker Mathew Simmons predicted that Saudi Arabia could not increase its oil production. Since then its output has risen from nine million barrels a day to 10 million. Meanwhile, a recent report by oil executive Leonardo Maugheri, which was published by Harvard University, provides compelling evidence that a new oil boom has begun. If, like me, you are confused I am not surprised. One thing seems clear: we are not likely to run short of oil any time soon and one piece of good news is that at least some of the soothsayers now appear willing to own up to their faults.  
In a significant statement, leading environmentalist George Monbiot admits: “The facts have changed, now we must change too.” Much to his credit he admits that he and his colleagues made either vague or specific predictions and in all cases were wrong. In a rather rueful admission he ends by saying: “The problem we face is not that there is too little oil but that there is too much.”
Most interesting: back in 2005 and 2012, Permian shale was not on anyone's radar scope (at least publicly).

Ten years after:

I'd Love to Change the World, Ten Years Later, Alvin Lee

From The New York Times, March 6, 2013:
Alvin Lee, whose fire-fingered guitar playing drove the British blues-rock band Ten Years After to stardom in the 1960s and early ’70s, died on Wednesday in Spain. He was 68.

He died “after unforeseen complications following a routine surgical procedure,” according to a brief post by family members on his Web site. His manager, Ron Rainey, said that Mr. Lee had been living in southern Spain for some time.

Mr. Lee was not as well known as other emerging British guitar stars of the era, including Eric Clapton, Jimmy Page, Jeff Beck and perhaps even Albert Lee, with whom he was occasionally confused (and with whom he once recorded alongside Jerry Lee Lewis). But he was among the nimblest when it came to musicianship.

On his Gibson ES-335 Mr. Lee could shift instantly from speedy single-string leads to rhythmic riffs while doing his best to sing like his American blues heroes. He grew up listening to his father’s Big Bill Broonzy and Lonnie Johnson records in Nottingham, England.

Random Update Of A Lousy XTO Well In Squaw Creek Oil Field -- Fettig -- May 2, 2020

This is an example of another well with a jump in production due to the Bakken halo effect. Unlike most other such wells, this well has been a lousy well from very beginning. Drilled back in 2010, it has produced less than 90,000 bbls of crude oil.

It has been off line for eight months, but now, it is reporting better production than ever. The 3,952 bbls in 21 days extrapolates to 5,646 bbls, which is the best month this well has ever had, except for its first full month of production back in December, 2010, when it produced 6,876 bbls over 31 days. It has never reached 4,000 bbls/month since and has barely produced all these years. Until this last month.

The well was not re-fracked. It was positively impacted by neighboring fracks. Hard to say how long this will last but the mom-and-pop mineral owners were probably pleasantly surprised.

The well:
  • 20517, 1,392, XTO, Fettig 24-22H, Squaw Creek, t11/10; cum 89K 2/29;
Recent production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare

Random Update Of A Nice WPX Well In Mandaree Oil Field -- Joseph Eagle -- May 2, 2020

This is an example of another nice well with jump in production. First drilled back in 2011, this well is now almost ten years old. One would not expect a jump in production but here we go. Back in 2011, wells were drilled with EURs of 350,000 bbls. This was a very short lateral, positively impacted by neighboring daughter wells.

The well:
  • 20517, 658, WPX, Joseph Eagle 2-19H, Mandree, t10/11; cum 305K 2/29;
Recent production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare

Hope Springs Eternal -- May 2, 2020

Million-Bbl Well Back On Line After Being Shut In For Eight Months -- May 2, 2020

The well:
  • 17092, 3,027, Whiting, Behr 11-34H, Sanish; s4/08; produced 500,725 bbls in 591 days; inactive Jan/Feb 2015; now back on status 3/15; cum 1.104684 million bbls 3/20; off line as of 7/19; remains off line 1/20; back on line 3/20;
After being off line for eight months, this well is back on line:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare

Petro-Hunt Decade-Old Well Shows 10-Fold Jump In Production -- May 2, 2020

Full production profile at this post.
  • 16963, 423, Petro-Hunt, USA 35D-1-1H, Charlson, t12/08; cum 782K 2/20;
Production period of interest, 6,000 bbls over 22 days extrapolates to 8,187 bbls in a 30-day month; 8,187 / 766 = 10.7:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare

An EOG Austin Short-Lateral Goes Over One Million Bbls -- May 2, 2020

The well:
  • 17222, 1,769, EOG, Austin 18-21H, Parshall, t9/08; cum 998K 3/20; producing over 2,000 bbls/month, this well would have hit the million-bbl mark in April, 2020! TD = 14,895 feet; open hole frack with about 2 million lbs sand;

Hess Well With Erratic Production Seems To Be Coming Back -- May 2, 2020

The well:
  • 18218, 615, Hess, BB-Federal-151-95-0817H-1, Blue Buttes, t4/10, cum 393K 3/20;
From a previous note:
March 28, 2017: #18218; check up on production in next few months; neighboring wells recently fracked; noted that 2/17 extrapolates to 8,000 bbls/month, much more than the 2,000 to 3,000 bbls/month prior to neighboring wells being fracked. After 6/17, not much of a well; struggling; 12/17; hmmm...2/18 -- coming back? cum 393K 3/20; jump in production / halo; off-line as of 10/18 with intermittent production; off-line 1/19; remains off-line 4/19; in 5/19, 3 days of production for 76 bbls; remains off line 9/19; back on line 10/19 for 10 days; only 12 days in 11/19; off line, 12/19; six days production, 1/20; only five days, 2/20; 4,000 bbls over 27 days, 3/20;
Finally, it looks like this well is back on track. See full production profile here

XTO To Use Wells As Injection Wells As Part Of An Enhanced Oil Recovery Pilot Operation -- May 2, 2020

This page will not be updated. I track these wells elsewhere. The post below was first posted November 6, 2019. The wells have been updated.


From the NDIC dockets for November,  2019.

Thursday, November 25, 2019 (these are cases, not permits):
  • Case 28131, XTO, Cedar Coulee-Bakken, to use wells located in section 33-148-96 and section 4-147-96  as injection wells for an enhanced oil recovery pilot operation; Dunn County
  • Case 28132, XTO, Bear Creek-Bakken; to use wells located in sections 27/34-148-96 as injection wells for an enhanced oil recovery pilot operation;
Wells in Bear Creek, sections 27/34-148-96:
  • eleven horizontal wells:
    • 32479, IA/2,701, XTO, Werre Trust Federal 14X-34AXB, middle Bakken, t7/18; cum 350K 10/19; went inactive 10/19; remains inactive 3/20;
    • 32480, a nice well; went inactive 10/18; remains inactive 3/20;
    • 32481, a very nice well; went inactive 11/19; remains inactive 3/20;
    • 32499, currently inactive, 3/20; intermittent production since 11/18;
    • 32500, a huge well; went inactive 11/19; remains inactive 3/20;
  • 32367, a mediocre well; went inactive 11/19; remains inactive 3/20;
  • 32366, a very good well; went inactive 11/19; remains inactive 3/20;
  • 29673, a very good well, 500K; remains on line;
  • 29672, a very good well, cum 421K, as of 3/20; remains on line;
  • 18294, 341, XTO, Werre Trust 44-34H, Bear Creek, t3/10; cum 577K 3/20; remains on line;
  • 29871, 1,529, XTO, Werre Trust Federal 44X-34D, Bear Creek, t7/15; cum 389K 3/20; remains on line;
Wells in Cedar Coulee, section 33-148-96 and section 4-147-96:
  • five horizontal wells:
  • 16914, 570, XTO, Martin Federal 31X-33H, middle Bakken, t5/08; cum 345K 3/20;
  • 25335, 2,616, XTO, Martin Federal 21X-33B, middle Bakken, t5/14; cum 415K 3/20;
  • 25334, 2,212, XTO, Martin Federal 21X-33F, Cedar Coulee, t4/14; cum 508K 3/20;
  • 25333, 2,791, XTO, Martin Federal 21X-33A, Cedar Coulee, t4/14; cum 380K 3/20;
  • 25332, 1,994, XTO, Martin Federal 21X-33E, Cedar Coulee, t6/14; cum 300K 3/20;

Saturday Morning Links -- May 2, 2020

First things first: a happy belated birthday wish to Willie Nelson -- 87 years old this past week, April 29, 2020. Here are his 143 albums ranked by Texas Monthly. It's hard to believe that one of my favorite albums, "Highwayman" was only #70. I think my second all-time favorite was "Wanted! The Outlaws." It came in at #49. Wow. What a discography. Then there's "Waylon & Willie," number 11."Stardust," #3, and, it's hard to believe that the incredible "Red-Headed Stranger" came in at #2.

Kentucky Derby: postponed until September 5, 2020. 

From the other blogs, linked at the sidebar at the right:

Meltdown: I blogged about this a couple of days ago; Bloomberg now writes about it and even uses the same graph I used! Saudi outlook cut to negative at Moody's as reserves tumble. Fiscal deficit will widen to more than 12% of GDP in 2020.

Meltdown: VLCC floating storage bookings hit at least 71 -- ArgusMedia. Average cost: $77,000/day but Shell may hold the record -- a six-month charter with a three-month extension option at $120,000/day for the Eliza. This tells me that Shell expects this glut to last well into 2021.

Wuhan flu: the strategies don't seem to matter. The "curve" looks the same in every country, with or without "shelter-in-place" mandates. Amazing graph at realclimatescience.

Wuhan flu: pseudo-science behind the assault on hydroxychloroquine. Now we see why. Nine of the 50 panel members have ties to the company manufacturing Remdesivir which now has approval by the FDA as a front-line drug for Wuhan flu. I always thought the sudden reversal on hydroxychloroquine was strange and suspect. The reversal happened way too quickly. Almost like something out of Hillary's war room. Of all the articles linked on this post, this might be the most interesting, most important. Later: Remdesivir is probably worthless.

Endangered no more? One endangered bumblebee species may be off the list simply by reviving a single UK garden. Over at not a lot of people know that.

Endangered? The UK grid. Same story we've talked about before. Some interesting data points at this update.

UK renewable energy: after all this time, renewable energy in the UK still accounted for only four percent of energy consumption in 2019. My pet peeve: they include hydroelectric with renewable energy. Hydroelectric is not the "renewable" energy that concerns most folks. Take out hydroelectricit and the percentage of renewable energy drops even further. Having said that, the UK has very little hydroelectricity; what little they have is mostly in Scotland.

Meanwhile, over in China: to kick start their economy following the Wuhan flu debacle, China has approved nearly 10 gigawatts of new coal-fired power generation capacity in this year's first quarter, roughly equal to the amount approved for all of last year. How much is 10 GW? To put that in perspective, the entire UK coal-fired capacity at the end of 2018 was 12 GW.

April 2020 was almost as warm at 1865: central England temperature.

NOAA: second largest 2-month temperature drop in history in northern hemisphere record, from February-to-April, 2020. This was a 0.53°C drop. In that universe of global warming, 0.53 degrees is incredibly. Algoreans are only worried anticipating a 2-degree rise in global temperature over the next 100 years. By the way, the largest 2-month drop was also in the modern industrial age: a drop of 0.69 degrees Celsius was recorded from December, 1987, to February, 1988.

Johnny Appleseed: And we close with this .... social distancing south of Fargo, ND, winter:

Mr Vern Whitten sent that to me. What a great photo. He calls it "social distancing." Vern says he took the photo a couple of years back but it must have stuck in his mind all these years. For those interested in a huge catalogue of North Dakota prints visit

Weather: do I hear thunder? There was no rain / thunderstorms in the forecast for today as of last week. What gives. Okay. That's better. It appears to be simply a pop-up storm. Will be out of the area by 10:00 a.m. and then no more rain all day. A high of 89° is forecast but it will be partly cloudy all day.

Beef: there were reports that America's beef and pork supply might be interrupted due to Wuhan flu. If so, we're not seeing it it in Texas yet. The local Albertson's had a special yesterday: huge sale on ribeye steak -- limiting the incredible deals to one per customer. A steak originally priced at $19.94 was priced down to $7.94.