Sunday, April 6, 2025

Activity Inside Williston City Limits -- Northwest Side Of City -- April 6, 2025

Locator: 48435B.

The wells:

  • 39042, drl/A, Grayson Mill, Dave Arnson 5-8 4H, Todd (city of Williston),
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-202512497451331033680927979113
BAKKEN1-2025311837518319266152612825115996
BAKKEN12-20243122885229203514223216203552800
BAKKEN11-20243031224311664818227783253142388
BAKKEN10-20242221338220924830518149110936998
BAKKEN9-2024713417125272516412349012224

  • 39041, drl/A, Grayson Mill, Dave Arnson 5-8 5H, Todd (city of Williston),
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-2025281427714339259512004019484556
BAKKEN1-2025311967419641366192153220697821
BAKKEN12-20243127041270645267226903235883244
BAKKEN11-20243033642337186661132457295742789
BAKKEN10-202429450764504894056385102353814849
BAKKEN9-20242390836496603346303428

  • 39040, drl/A, Grayson Mill, Orville 4-9 XW 1H, Todd (city of Williston),
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-2025271362713691265371700716511496
BAKKEN1-2025311908419054359152086220053795
BAKKEN12-20243126536265615112526727234343223
BAKKEN11-20243033755338476357530331276362607
BAKKEN10-202428471614685996136428152617016509
BAKKEN9-20240000000
  • 39039, conf, Grayson Mill, Orville 4-9 3H, Todd (city of Williston),
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20251423222104
1-20252227824498
12-20242969126220
11-20243523730173
10-20243635220284
  • 39038, conf, Grayson Mill, Orville 4-9 4H,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20251043211448
1-20252250227025
12-20243001427977
11-20243387228723
10-20243366116786
  • 39037, conf, Grayson Mill, Orville 4-9 5H,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20251563428572
1-20252491733219
12-20242965226628
11-20242995421501
10-20243075316926
  • 39761, conf, Grayson Mill, Orville 4-9 6H,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20251213016006
1-20252127725302
12-20242786725057
11-20243052825434
10-202497464201


  • 41051, drl/conf,Wagenman 32-29 3H, Todd,
  • 41450,
  • 41451,
  • 41452,
  • 41453, drl/conf/ros, Grayson Mill, Wagenman33-28XE 1H, 

The maps:




NCAA Championship -- Monday Night -- April 6, 2025

Locator: 48434SPORTS.

Tomorrow evening -- around 7:00 p.m. CT.

Random Snapshot Of All The Work Just North Of The Killdeer Mountains -- April 6, 2025

Locator: 48433B.

I might get back to these later this week. Depends.

But it is still amazing all the work yet to be done in the Bakken, and all the work currently being done.

This is just a few miles north of the Killdeer Mountains.



Random Update Of The Costanza Wells And The Hartel Wells East Of Watford City -- April 6, 2025

Locator: 48539COSTANZA.

Updates

April 6, 2025: production data updated. Current map:

Original Post

For folks like me, used to single wells on single-well pads, it's quite stunning to see these mega pads. Yes, this has been going on for quite some time, but it is still stunning, still exciting. Exhibit A: the Grayson Mill Costanza pad in Siverston oil field.

A particular well of interest:

  • 21706, IA/2,002, Grayson Mill, Lundin 11-13SEH, Siverston, t4/12; cum 381K 9/24;

The wells:

  • 40961, drl/conf, Grayson Mill, Costanza 23-14 XW 1H, Siverston;
  • 40962, loc/conf, Grayson Mill, Costanza 24-13 1TFH, Siverston;
  • 40963, loc/conf, Grayson Mill, Costanza 24-13 2H, Siverston;
  • 40964, loc/conf, Grayson Mill, Costanza 24-13 3TFH, Siverston;
  • 40968, loc/conf, Grayson Mill, Costanza 24-13 4H, Siverston;
  • 40723, loc/conf, Grayson Mill, Costanza 24-13 5TFH, Siverston;
  • 40969, loc/conf, Grayson Mill, Costanza 24-13 6H, Siverston;
  • 40970, loc/conf, Grayson Mill, Costanza 24-13 7TFH, Siverston;
  • 40971, loc/conf, Grayson Mill, Costanza 24-13 8H, Siverston;

The maps:

Wells of interest:

  • 24654, 881, Oasis, Hartel 1-26HA, Siverston, t8/13; cum 357K 8/24; cum 360K 2/25;
  • 24655, 838, Oasis, Hartel 1X-26H, Siverston, t8/13; cum 357K 8/24; cum 333K 2/25;
  • 24656, 882, Oasis, Hartel 1-26HB, Siverston, t8/13; cum 502K 8/24; cum 507K 2/25;
  • 32369, conf, XTO, Hartel 14X-23EXH, Siverston, t--; cum --;
  • 32370, conf, XTO, Hartel 14X-23A, Siverston, t--; cum --;
  • 32371, conf, XTO, Hartel 14X-23E, Siverston, t--; cum --;
  • 32372, conf, XTO, Hartel 14X-23B, Siverston, t--; cum --;
  • 32373, conf, XTO, Hartel 14X-23F, Siverston, t--; cum --;
  • 32416, conf, XTO, Hartel 14X-23BXC, Siverston, t--; cum --;

TFLOPS Per Watt -- AI -- April 6, 2025

Locator: 48432TECH.

Beth is recycling some of her stuff but it's still valuable. 

Link here.

From what little I know, there's nothing "new" in this article, but it says what "we all" already know. But just a lot "more of it."

Link here.

Big Tech is spending tens of billions quarterly on AI accelerators, which has led to an exponential increase in power consumption. The rise of generative AI and surging GPU shipments is causing data centers to scale from tens of thousands to 100,000-plus accelerators, shifting the emphasis to power as a mission-critical problem to solve.

As Nvidia, AMD, and soon Intel begin to roll out their next generation of AI accelerators, the focus is now shifting towards power consumption per chip, whereas the focus has been primarily on compute and memory. As each new generation boosts computing performance, it also consumes more power than its predecessor, meaning that as shipment volumes rise, so does total power demand.
Nvidia’s A100 max power consumption is 250W with PCIe and 400W with SXM (Server PCIe Express Module), and the H100’s power consumption is up to 75% higher versus the A100. With PCIe, the H100 consumes 300-350W, and with SXM, up to 700W. The 75% increase in GPU power consumption happened rapidly, within two brief years, across one generation of GPUs.

When we look at other GPUs on the market today, AMD’s MI250 accelerators draw 500W of power, up to 560W at peak, while the MI300x consumes 750W at peak, up to a 50% increase. Intel’s Gaudi 2 accelerator consumes 600W, and its successor, the Gaudi 3, consumes 900W, again another 50% increase over the previous generation. Intel’s upcoming hybrid AI processor, codenamed Falcon Shores, is expected to consume a whopping 1,500W of power per chip, the highest on the market.

Nvidia’s upcoming Blackwell generation boosts power consumption even further, with the B200 consuming up to 1,200W, and the GB200 (which combines two B200 GPUs and one Grace CPU) expected to consume 2,700W. This represents up to a 300% increase in power consumption across one generation of GPUs with AI systems increasing power consumption at a higher rate. SXM allows the GPUs to operate beyond the PCIe bus restrictions, offer higher memory bandwidth, high data throughput and higher speeds for maximal HPC and AI performance, thus drawing more power.
It’s important to note that each subsequent generation is likely to be more power-efficient than the last generation, such as the H100 reportedly boasting 3x better performance-per-watt than the A100, meaning it can deliver more TFLOPS per watt and complete more work for the same power consumption. However, GPUs are becoming more powerful in order to support trillion-plus large language models
From Big Tech’s perspective, we’re still in the early stages of this AI capex cycle. Most recently, we covered how Big Tech is boosting capex by more than 35% YoY in 2024, likely upwards of $200 billion to $210 billion, predominantly for AI infrastructure. The majority is flowing to GPU purchases and custom silicon, to power AI training, model development, and to meet elevated demand in the cloud.

2023 was a breakout year for Nvidia’s data center GPUs, with reports placing annual shipments at 3.76 million, for an increase of more than 1.1 million units YoY. A report stated that at peak of 700W and ~61% annual utilization, each GPU would draw 3.74 MWh; this means that Nvidia’s 3.76 million GPU shipments could consume as much 14,384 GWh (14.38 TWh). A separate report estimated that with 3.5 million H100 shipments through 2023 and 2024, that H100 alone could see total power consumption of 13.1 TWh annually.

The 14.4 TWh is equivalent to the annual power needs of more than 1.3 million households in the US. This also does not include AMD, Intel, or any of Big Tech’s custom silicon, nor does it take into account existing GPUs deployed or upcoming Blackwell shipments in 2024 and 2025. As such, the total energy consumption is likely to be far higher by the end of the year as Nvidia’s Blackwell generation comes online in larger quantities.

Also from Forbes. But much more recent, March 26, 2025. Link here.


Unfortunately the article doesn't say much / doesn't add much.

TFLOPs per watt? Link here.


Most complicated human endeavor on earth? The global passenger airline sector.

AI says otherwise. Link here.

Change this to most complicated free market endeavor and AI gives us something else.

Link here.

Change this to most complicated free market industrial sector and AI gives us something else.


The weather is but a small piece of global passenger airline sector.

Back to TFLOPs per watt.

Wiki: 
In computing, performance per watt is a measure of the energy efficiency of a particular computer architecture or computer hardware. Literally, it measures the rate of computation that can be delivered by a computer for every watt of power consumed.
Performance per watt has been suggested to be a more sustainable measure of computing than Moore's Law.

System designers building parallel computers, such as Google's hardware, pick CPUs based on their performance per watt of power, because the cost of powering the CPU outweighs the cost of the CPU itself.

Spaceflight computers have hard limits on the maximum power available and also have hard requirements on minimum real-time performance. A ratio of processing speed to required electrical power is more useful than raw processing speed.

********************************
Word For The Day: Deictic

Pronunciation: dike-tik, emphasis on the first syllable

Can be used as an adjective and a noun:

relating to or denoting a word or expression whose meaning is dependent on the context in which it is used (such as here, you, me, that one there, or next Tuesday).

For example, "you" could refer to the one person to whom you are speaking or to the "entire audience" of a thousand. 

A "deictic shift" is when one shifts from "you" in the singular to "you" as a group in the same piece of writing.

It's one of those words you will never see or never use but when you do you will wonder why it's taken so long.

A Closer Look At A Grayson Mill Well Inside Watford City Limits -- Some Great Wells -- April 6, 2025

Locator: 48431B.

The well:

  • 40666, conf, Grayson Mill, Scott 13-24 XW 1HR, Siverston, 
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-202510122504
1-2025470
12-202462099213
11-20243975966141
10-20242720023613

This well is currently on the confidential list. The "R" does not stand for "re-entry." The "R" relates to a revised or re-submitted permit request.

From a letter dated April 2, 2024, followed by a request for a waiver from Grayson Mill, and NDIC approval, May 2, 2024, the beginning of the letter:

From the permit request:

The maps:



************************
The Wells On That Pad

The wells / sites / permits:

  • 40421, dry, Grayson Mill, Scott 13-24 XW 1H, Siverston,
  • 40666, conf, Grayson Mill, Scott 13-24 XW 1HR, Siverston,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-202510122504
1-2025470
12-202462099213
11-20243975966141
10-20242720023613
  • 40422, dry, Grayson Mill, Scott 13-24 6H, Siverston,
  • 40667, conf, Grayson Mill, Scott 13-24 6HR, Siverston,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20251470524775
1-20252687939600
12-20242947545131
11-20244360175911
10-20241809513527
  • 40668, conf, Grayson Mill, Scott 13-24 7HR, Siverston,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20252022534613
1-20252824040113
12-20242210338105
11-2024970
10-202478497797
  • 40431, dry, Grayson Mill, Scott 13-24 7H, Siverston,
  • 40362, conf, Grayson Mill, Scott 13-24 10H, Siverston,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20252820
1-20254135876411
12-20244645098482
11-20242924853683
10-2024109718126
  • 40423, dry, Grayson Mill, Scott 13-24 8H, Siverston,
  • 40669, conf, Grayson Mill, Scott 13-24 9HR, Siverston,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20254233281936
1-20253299150797
12-2024740
11-2024770315750
10-202438223996
  • 40424, dry, Grayson Mill, Scott 13-24F 9H, Siverston,
  • 40678, conf, Grayson Mill, Scott 13-24F XE 1HR, Siverston,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20252327314926
1-202530
12-20241810
11-202419050
10-202443900
  • 40425, dry, Grayson Mill, Scott 13-24F XE 1H, Siverston,

Initial Production For Wells Coming Off Confidential List This Next Week -- April 6, 2025

Locator: 48430WELLS.

The wells:

  • 41170, conf, CLR, Helen 2-8HSL, West Capa, npd,
  • 40977, conf, CLR, Entzel 5-14H, Cabernet, npd,
  • 40740, conf, Kraken Triangle South LE 11-1 11H, Antelope Creek, npd,
  • 40735, conf, Kraken, Steen 13-24 5H, Antelope Creek, npd,
  • 40700, conf, Hess, EN-Keisel-155-94-1918-10, Manitou,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20251185741581
1-20251637643914
12-20241662232024
11-20242828845248
10-20241547959208
  • 40666, conf, Grayson Mill, Scott 13-24 XW 1HR, Siverston,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-202510122504
1-2025470
12-202462099213
11-20243975966141
10-20242720023613
  • 41169, conf, CLR, Arley 7-18HSL, Grinnell, npd,
  • 40760, conf, Hunt Oil, Kandiyohi 159-90-6-18H-4, Thompson Lake,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20252096813402
1-20252821017969
12-20243000517502
11-20242296313711
10-202474744745
  • 40753, conf, CLR, Rutledge 4-11H, Cabernet, npd,
  • 40734, conf, Kraken Operating, Steen 13-246H, Antelope Creek, npd,
  • 29268, conf, Grayson Mill, Helsingborg Federal 153-96-21-18-13HLW, Sand Creek,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20251315517914
1-2025245531594
12-2024172835
  • 29115, conf, Grayson Mill, Helsingborg Federal 153-96-22-27-3H, Sand Creek,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20251506232087
1-20252445540073
12-20243178139697
  • 29114, conf, Grayson Mill, Helsingborg Federal 153-96-22-27-10H, Sand Creek,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20251531626512
1-20252261637093
12-20242432627043
  • 29113, conf, Grayson Mill, Helsingborg Federal 153-96-22-27-2H, Sand Creek,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20252258842637
1-20253097750691
12-20241752021845
  • 41168, conf, CLR, Christiana 8-6H, West Capa, npd,
  • 40976, conf, CLR, Entzel 4-14H, Cabernet, npd,
  • 40733, conf, Kraken Operating, Steen LE 13-24 12H, Antelope Creek, npd,
  • 30294, conf, Hunt Oil, Palermo McNic 156-90-22-23H-2, Ross, npd,
  • 41167, conf, CLR, Arley 6-18H1, Grinnell, npd,
  • 41137, conf, CLR, Shadowcat 1-31H, Wildcat, npd, SESE 31-162-95,
  • 39038, conf, Grayson Mill, Orville 4-9 4H, Todd (city of Williston),
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20251043211448
1-20252250227025
12-20243001427977
11-20243387228723
10-20243366116786
  • 30295, conf, Hunt Oil, Palermo McNic 156-90-22-23H-3, Ross, npd,
  • 41099, conf, CLR, Christiana 7-6H, West Capa, npd,
  • 41028, conf, Wesco Operating, Federal 43-20, Bicentennial,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-202518770
1-202523810
12-20244720
  • 41166, conf, CLR, Arley 5-18H, Grinnel, npd,
  • 40699, conf, Hess, EN-Kiesel-155-94-1918H-9, Manitou,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20251520639688
1-20251817735750
12-20241598427977
11-20242104833725
10-20243807744663
  • 40761, conf, Hunt Oil, Kandiyohi 159-90-6-18H-3, Thompson Lake,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20252302112711
1-20252488716817
12-20242321117750
11-20241444312212
10-2024120207321
  • 40698, conf, Hess, EN-Kiesel-153-94-918H-8, Manitou,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20251301546369
1-20251880253011
12-20241950950763
11-20242420241648
10-20243703837457
  • 40902, conf, CLR, Entzel 3-14H, Cabernet, npd,
  • 40153, conf, Hess, EN-Engebretson-157-94-1003H-3, White Earth,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20251478621636
1-20251846727063
12-20242024424638
11-20241347013571
10-20242047911696
  • 40152, conf, Hess, EN-Engebretson-157-94-1003H-2, White Earth,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20251414513734
1-202515111955
12-20241251915968
11-20242374731056
10-20242039923672
  • 39039, conf, Grayson, Orville 4-9 3H, Todd (city of Williston),
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-20251423222104
1-20252227824498
12-20242969126220
11-20243523730173
10-20243635220284
  • 40924, conf, CLR, Entzel 2-14HSL, Cabernet, npd,
  • 40913, conf, BR, Cleetwood 7A, Elidah, npd,
  • 40923, conf, CLR, Rutledge 3-11H, Cabernet, npd,
  • 40357, conf, Hunt Oil, Trulson 156-90-11-14H-5, Ross,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
2-202577252849
1-202574672675
12-2024181217191
11-2024190516299
10-2024178195856
  • 39808, conf, Kraken, Turbodiesel 19-3-31 1H, Big Stone, npd,
  • 41013, conf, CLR, Alfsvaag FIU 6-31H, Crazy Man Creek, npd,
  • 40922, conf, CLR, Rutledge 2-11HSL, Cabernet, npd,
  • 40373, conf, Slawson, Kahuna 2-6-7H, Pleasant Hill, npd,
  • 39809, conf, Kraken, Turbodiesel 19-30-31 1H, Big Stone, npd,
  • 40372, conf, Slawson, Kahuna 3-6-7H, Pleasant Hill, npd,
  • 41034, conf, BR, Cleetwood 7B, Elidah, npd,
  • 39810, conf, Krakken, Turbodiesel 19-30-31-3H, Big Stone, npd,