Friday, July 30, 2021

That Petro-Hunt Pad North Of Charlson -- July 30, 2021

Updates

August 13, 2021: cleanup update. Unremarkable.

August 9, 2021: the fires are all out at the pad.

August 3, 2021, 1:06 a.m.: update; it's still burning. 

Original Post  

See this post for background to this story

For full production profile for the four wells mentioned in this post, see this post.

Still on fire at end of week. Started a week ago, Thursday. Goal to have it "under control" by end of this week.

Lynn Helms, director of the Department of Mineral Resources, briefed members of the state Industrial Commission on the fire at a meeting on Tuesday. He said three wells are on fire, and a fourth has been shut down to prevent it from catching fire as well. 

I tried figuring out what pad this was some days ago, but was unable. Now we have another hint: a four-well pad, north of Charlson and "just south" of the lake. 

Going north of Charlson to the lake, there is only one four-well pad.

Okay, I haven't found any article that tells me which pad is involved. So, I will try again. I may be way off again, and if readers convince me I'm wrong, I will remove this post or at least that part of it that is clearly wrong. 

So, here goes. Again, this is just conjecture.

Graphics below:

  • first map: the four wells, zoomed in; one will see only four wells, but five directional/horizontal legs in this graphic;
  • second map: the four wells, but note that one of the directional/horizontal legs was quite short (identified with a question mark), and the "second" horizontal from this well eventually went due south and ran parallel to the other three horizontal wells. In fact this well had two long laterals; after the short lateral abandoned, the long sidetrack #1 almost made it to planned depth, but problems again, for a second sidetrack (so this well has a lateral and two sidetracks).
  • third map: from google maps; the location of Charlson, ND, and the location of the only four-well pad north of Charlson.

First map:

Second map:

Third map:

For full production profile for the four wells mentioned in this post, see this post.

The wells:

  • 34655, 1,748, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-3B-10-1H, Charlson, F, t8/19; cum 555K 5/21; middle Bakken; F, cum 567K 6/21;
  • 34656, 1,131, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-3B-10-2H, Charlson, F, t8/19; cum 266K 5/21; Three Forks; AL, cum 276K 6/21;
  • 34657, 1,328, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-3B-10-3H, Charlson, F, t8/19; cum 587K 5/21; middle Bakken; F, cum 618K 6/21;
  • 34658, 1,050, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-3A-10-4H, Charlson, F, t8/19; cum 279K 5/21; Three Forks; F, cum 288K 6/21;

Liberty Resources -- EOR Project -- East Of Tioga -- Near Powers Lake -- July 30, 2021

Later: a reader asked what formation (Bakken, Madison, other) might be targeted below. My answer: 

I have no idea but that's a great question. Based on the fact that so much focus and experience has been on the Bakken and the fact that they are injecting "rich gas" makes me think it is the middle Bakken. But I don't know. 

Maybe a reader knows.

From Geoff Simon:

Denver-based Liberty Resources plans to take another run at an enhanced oil recovery project east of Tioga near Powers Lake.


The ND Industrial Commission approved the company's application this week to use an injection well for EOR purposes. Liberty previously worked in cooperation with EERC and the Department of Energy on an EOR project in its Stomping Horse Complex in Williams County. The project injected rich gas into an existing oil-bearing formation, but was not able to build adequate pressure to achieve the desired result.


The project approved this week is different, according to Lynn Helms, director of the Department of Mineral Resources. Helms said Liberty's injection mix will include a bio-surfactant intended to improve the lubricity of underground oil.

Week 30: July 25, 2021 -- July 31, 2021

Top story of the week:

  • Joe Biden is still president.

Top international non-energy stories:

Top international energy stories:

Top national energy stories:

Top national non-energy stories:

Top North Dakota non-energy stories:

Top North Dakota energy stories:

Geoff Simon's top North Dakota energy stories:

Operators:

Operations:

Wells: 

Fracking:

Pipelines:

Bakken economy:

Commentaries:

Miscellaneous:

Tell Me Again XOM Will Pivot From Hydrocarbon To Renewable Energy -- July 30, 2021

XOM:

Original twitter post, followed by comments. The margins were so high in 2Q21 I almost missed them. They are truly off the chart. And see the comments; could be higher in 3Q21.


Natural Gas Shortage In Europe Could Intensify In Coming Weeks -- Sources -- July 30, 2021

CLR press release: 

"Continental's dividend update is a $0.04 increase to the Company's $0.11 per share quarterly dividend paid in second quarter 2021 and triple the Company's initial dividend paid in fourth quarter 2019. With an approximately 1.7% annualized dividend yield1, our increased dividend underscores the Board's and management's commitment to returning significant cash to shareholders, demonstrates our confidence in the quality and sustainability of our asset base and competes strongly versus industry peers," said Bill Berry, CEO.

ENI: boosts dividend to pre-Covid level after strong 2Q21 earnings. 

Shell: as discussed numerous times on the blog, Shell appears eager to exit the Permian. Now this over at SeekingAlpha:

  • Devon Energy and ConocoPhillips are among potential suitors studying Royal Dutch Shell's  portfolio of Permian Basin oil fields, which could be worth as much as $10B in a sale. 
  • Chevron also is among companies considering bids for the assets which adds that suitors have been invited to Shell's data room to examine information on the business. 
  • Shell has asserted a desire to accelerate its transition to a net-zero emissions business even as it plans to appeal the recent order by a Dutch court to cut its emissions harder and faster than planned.

Natural gas

Natural gas prices are rising across Europe and Asia due to tighter supply of the commodity, lower production in Europe, and lower exports from Russia, the Financial Times reports, noting the supply crunch may intensify in the coming weeks
In Europe, the report notes, prices for natural gas have hit 40 euros per mWh for the first time ever, with UK gas prices at the highest in 16 years. This is equal to approximately $14 per million British thermal units. In Asia, gas prices have hit $15 per mmBtu.

Did anyone not see this coming? Groningen on the blog. Tracking updates here. Russia played this just right. 

Closing The Week With $74-WTI; No New Permits; Zavanna Renews Eleven Permits -- July 30, 2021

Active rigs:

$73.95
7/30/202107/30/202007/30/201907/30/201807/30/2017
Active Rigs2312586361

No new permits.

Eleven permits renewed:

  • Zavanna: ten King Charles permits, SWNW section 26-155-100; Williams County; one Galloway permit, also in SWNW section 26-155-100;

Notes From All Over -- The Whisper Number Edition -- July 30, 2021

Whisper numbers, link here. Below, 2Q21: ticker, whisper, consensus:

  • ENB: 51 cents; 44 cents;
  • CVX: $1.50, $1.54;
  • XOM: $1.11; $1.02;
  • ROKU: 31 cents; 13 cents;
  • DIS: 91 cents; 56 cents;

Earnings.

Covid - Japan:

Covid - Louisiana:

Covid, USA vaccinations, link here:

  • delivered: 399,090,105
  • administered: 344,928,514
  • at least one dose: 190,509,183
  • fully vaccinated: 164,184,080

No Wells Coming Off Confidential List -- July 30, 2021

To paraphrase Yogi Berra, No one goes to Walmart any more, it's too busy.

I don't go to Walmart any more either, except when I do ... and yesterday, traveling cross-country and needing some particular items, I visited the local Walmart. First sign I saw: "Please be patient. We are understaffed." When one first walked in, the store looked well stocked, but it was amazing how much was sold out. Having said that, the store looked really, really in good shape.

Target, curbside business? Incredibly busy when I last stopped at Target before I started my trip. 

Truck driver shortage. 

Payments to stay home.

I've not yet seen the "real" story connecting all these stories. I might come back to this over the weekend.

But I have much less time to be on the blog due to traveling.

***********************
Miscellaneous

Covid-19: White House using bully pulpit to encourage companies and states to mandate vaccinations. White House staff and White House press corps not required to be vaccinated.

Homeless: Portland, OR, has banned homeless people from camping in forested parks to protect the parks from potential wildfires and prevent them from accidentally sharing blazes during a summer of drought and record-breaking heat.

*************************************
Market

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here

Energy companies reporting great earnings today: ENB, CVX, XOM.

Everybody expected this but it was the whisper numbers that were not being reported. 

Some years ago "whisper numbers" were a big thing, then sort of disappeared. I've always thought "estimates" and "consensus" numbers and results seemed to be "disconnected" for lack of a better word, and never quite understood this "stuff." One wonders: why "whisper numbers"?

But we'll take a look, later. 

Robinhood: IPO -- worst ever, on record, for an IPO of this size. A lot of "retail investors" really, really got burned.  

Economic data points today, most inflation numbers and consumer spending numbers were out today. Inflation growth not as strong as expected. Of the many economic indicators, for me, one of the most useless pieces of data: consumer spending.

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Back to the Bakken

Active rigs:

$73.52
7/30/202107/30/202007/30/201907/30/201807/30/2017
Active Rigs2312586361

Not wells coming off the confidential list.

RBN Energy: Mexico's Salina Cruz LNG project targets Latin American buyers

Just a few years ago, Mexico was focused on importing LNG to help meet its natural gas needs, especially in parts of the country far from Permian and other U.S. supplies. Lately though, most of the talk about LNG in Mexico has been about liquefaction and/or exporting, not importing and regasifying, as evidenced by a final investment decision on the EnergĂ­a Costa Azul liquefaction project in Baja California and progress on Mexico Pacific Ltd.’s liquefaction/export project in Mexico’s Sonora state. Both projects are aimed squarely at Asian markets, but yet another prospective LNG project “south of the border” is targeting bunkering, transportation, and industrial markets for natural gas along the Pacific side of Latin America — from Mexico itself down to Ecuador. In today’s blog, we discuss plans for what could be Mexico’s third major liquefaction project — this one aimed at both domestic and export markets.