Thursday, November 22, 2018

Bakken 2.5 -- Re-Fracks -- November 22, 2018

November 22, 2018: a reminder that in 2017 QEP was starting to re-frack wells in Heart Butte.

Activity On The Slawson Stallion Pad In Big Bend? -- November 2018


November 21, 2021: update here; possible halo effect.

August 24, 2021: a nice update here.  

Original Post 

Back in May, 2018, I posted this note:

20203, not yet fracked; should be? Slawson, Stallion, cum 429K 5/18;

Tonight I see there are five wells on that pad; two of them have been producing for quite some time; three are confidential, but the producing wells have been taken off line and one of the wells on the confidential list has a rig on site, according to the NDIC map, suggesting that "something is going on." 

The wells:

  • 20204, 743, Slawson, Zephyr 2-36H, Big Bend, t1/12; cum 227K 9/18; cum 272K 9/21; has just come back on line, 9/21;
  • 35204, conf, Slawson, Stallion 8-1-12TF2H, Big Bend, no production data,
  • 20203, 833, Slawson, Stallion 2-1-12H, Big Bend, t1/12; cum 439K 9/18; cum 559K 9/21; has just come back on line, 9/21;
  • 35205, 818, Slawson, Stallion Federal 5FLTFH, t7/19; cum 255K 9/21;
  • 35206, 1,627, Slawson, Stallion Federal 1 SLH, t7/19; cum 354K 9/21;

Pad to the east:

  • 36126, drl/NC, Slawson, Stallion 4-1-12TFH, Big Bend, just completed, 9/21; no production reported;
  • 37218, drl/NC, Slawson, Zephyr Federal 4-36H, Big Bend, first production 9/21; two  days;
  • 36125, drl/NC, Slawson, Stallion 3-1-12H, Big Bend, first production 9/21; one day;
  • 36124, drl/NC, Slawson, Stallion 8-1-12TFH, Big Bend, first production 9/21; one day;
  • 361231, drl/NC, Slawson, Stallion 7-1-12H, Big Bend, first production 9/21; two  days;
  • 361221, drl/NC, Slawson, Stallion 5-1-12TFH, Big Bend, first production 9/21; three days;
  • 36121, drl/NC, Slawson, Zephyr Federal 3-36H, Big Bend, first production 9/21; one day;

Pad to the east:

  • 18364, IA/1,526, Slawson, Zephyr 1-36H, Big Bend, t2/10; cum 445K 3/21; cum 452K 7/21;
  • 18180, IA/2,561, Slawson, Stallion 1-1-12H, Big Bend, t2/10; cum 546K 3/21; cum 548K 7/21;
  • 28220, IA/497, Slawson, Stallion 6-1-12TFH, Big Bend, t12/14; cum 223K 7/21;
  • 28219, IA/1,747, Slawson, Sniper Federal 1 SLH, Big Bend, t12/14; cum 375K 7/21;
  • 29151, IA/215, Slawson, Rainmaker Federal 10-36-25TFH, Big Bend, t5/15; cum 189K 7/21;

One section to the east:

  • 37358, Slawson, Big Bend 3-6 SWD,

To the east of that well:

  • 37917, conf, Slawson, Whirlcat Federal 4-31-19TFH, Big Bend,
  • 21426, IA/891, Slawson, Whirlwind 2-31H, Big Bend, t10/12; cum 236K 12/20; off line 1/21;
  • 23255, IA, Slawson, Sniper Federal, off line since 9/20;
  • 21427, IA, Slawson, Sniper Federal, off line since 1/21;
  • 37918, conf, Slawson, Sniper Federal
  • 37919, conf, Slawson, Sniper Federal
  • 37920, conf, Slawson, Whirlcat

Thanksgiving, 2018 -- Random Update Of A CLR Well With Jump In Production

There are several wells in this area that all show nice jumps in production. This is a typical example:

The well:
  • 19934, 877, CLR, Bailey 3-24H, Pershing, t12/11; cum 229K 9/18;
Recent production:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
Thanksgiving Dinner
Lamb dinner.

Preparation at this post.

Nothing New Under The Sun -- November 22, 2018

The article at the link below was from November 30, 2014. 

We've seen this movie before: The [London] Telegraph (link here).
Saudis risk playing with fire in shale-price showdown as crude crashes A deep slump in prices might heighten geostrategic turmoil across the Middle East
Saudi Arabia and the core Opec states are taking an immense political gamble by letting crude oil prices crash to $66 a barrel, if their aim is to shake out the weakest shale producers in the US. A deep slump in prices might equally heighten geostrategic turmoil across the broader Middle East and boomerang against the Gulf’s petro-sheikhdoms before it inflicts a knock-out blow on US rivals.
Caliphate leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi has already opened a “second front” in North Africa, targeting Algeria and Libya – two states that live off energy exports – as well as Egypt and the Sahel as far as northern Nigeria.
“The resilience of US shale may prove greater than the resilience of Opec,” said Alistair Newton, head of political risk at Nomura.
Chris Skrebowski, former editor of Petroleum Review, said the Saudis want to cut the annual growth rate of US shale output from 1m barrels per day (bpd) to 500,000 bpd to bring the market closer to balance.
“They want to unnerve the shale oil model and undermine financial confidence, but they won’t stop the growth altogether,” he said.
There is no question that the US has entirely changed the global energy landscape and poses an existential threat to Opec. America has cut its net oil imports by 8.7m bpd since 2006, equal to the combined oil exports of Saudi Arabia and Nigeria.
The country had a trade deficit of $354bn in oil and gas as recently as 2011. Citigroup said this will return to balance by 2018, one of the most extraordinary turnarounds in modern economic history.
“When it comes to crude and other hydrocarbons, the US is bursting at the seams,” said Edward Morse, Citigroup’s commodities chief. “This situation is unlikely to stop, even if prevailing prices for oil fall significantly. The US should become a net exporter of crude oil and petroleum products combined by 2019, if not 2018.”
From the EIA, an explanation.

US crude oil production and imports.

Net oil and gas exporter in five years. Article written February 11, 2018. Same thing, from CNBC/Department of Energy.

Texas Gulf coast exports more oil than it imports for the first time, August 23, 2018.

The US to be the world's biggest exporter of oil, May 6, 2018.

The Movie Page

If you are into this kind of movie, The Girl in the Spider's Web, is incredibly good. Quick notes.

It took me about "half the movie" before I was able to "warm up" to the new Blomqvist and Lisbeth.

This is a sequel, but a completely different story line.

The first in the series, The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo, had a much, much better story line, but the sequel is much, much better with the gadgetry and giving more depth/time to Lisbeth and her one-man tech support team.

Some very, very clever devices in the sequel; much better than the first movie.

In the first movie, both Lisbeth and Blomqvist were 3-dimensional; I had empathy for both. In the sequel, no chemistry between the characters and me. Nor did I see any chemistry between Lisbeth and Blomqvist in the second movie.

I was never on the "edge of my seat" watching the sequel; one knew who would be standing at the end of the movie; we simply watched to see "how" it would end. 

The Girl in the Spider's Web makes Tom Cruise/Mission Impossible series look like kid's play. Lisbeth and her one-man tech support team easily, easily out-cruises Tom Cruise and his "army" of support.

No disguises of note in the sequel; disguises in the first Girl were superb.

Gadgetry in the sequel made the gadgetry in a James Bond look like a high school science project.

No humor in either Tattoo or Spider's Web.

Much more eroticism in the first movie; no eroticism in the second movie that I can recall.

You can watch the sequel without seeing the first, but I would not recommend it.

One huge fault: why did Lisbeth not kill her nemesis/her most violent adversary when she had the chance? Yes, I know "the movie" needed him, but Lisbeth did not.

Overall, I think both the original Lisbeth and the original Blomqvist were much, much better; one might argue about Blomqvist, but no argument about Lisbeth. The original actress set the bar. It was not raised in this movie. 

Sloop John B, The Fendertones
Scott Totten, musical director of The Beach Boys is one of the vocalists. The video was posted back in 2014.

Random Update Of Some Great EOG Wells In Clarks Creek -- November 22, 2018

See this post for background.

32800, conf, EOG, Clarks Creek 155-0706H, Clarks Creek, fracked 4/25/2018 - 6/9/2018; 7.8 million gallons water; 83% water by mass; -- first production data (107,069 MCF = 17,841 + 88122 = 105,963 boe in one month):producing:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold

32800, conf, EOG, Clarks Creek 24-0706H, Clarks Creek, producing:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold

32797, conf, EOG, Clarks Creek 72-0706H, Clarks Creek, producing:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold

32797, conf, EOG, Clarks Creek 107-0706H, Clarks Creek, producing:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold

32797, conf, EOG, Clarks Creek 108-0706H, Clarks Creek, producing:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold

The graphics:

Random Update Of Two EOG Clarks Creek Wells -- November 22, 2018

#20886 runs south.

#20887 runs north. 

Well, isn't this interesting! Look at this unexpected jump in production for this well (see this post for explanation):
  • 20887, 1,455, EOG, Clarks Creek 13-1806H, Clarks Creek, t3/12; cum 316K 9/18:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare

I track the Clarks Creek wells here.

Its sister well had a jump in production last year:
  • 20886, 317, EOG, Clarks Creek 101-1819H, Clarks Creek, t4/12; cum 396K 9/18;

The graphic:

Unexpected Surge On A Holiday -- ISO New England -- November 22, 2018


November 23, 2018, 10:23 p.m. Central Time: coal percentage up to 8%.

Later, 8:40 p.m. Central Time: as natural gas starts to decline, coal up to 7%.

Later, 6:00 p.m. Central Time: it looks like ISO New England maxed out on available natural gas today. Note the surge in hydroelectric demand -- this will be spot price for energy from Canada. Also, this is the greatest percent of electricity from coal I've seen this autumn: 6%. Generally coal runs about 2%; the max has been 4% for the most part, so 6% catches my eye.  

Original Post
Link here. There must be an Arctic blast moving through.

The Book Page

The book for the day: The Greater Journey: Americans in Paris, David McCullough, c. 2011.


Thomas Jefferson, John Adams had both died in 1826. Lafayette -- yes, that Lafayette -- was taking his swan song tour of America, returning as a hero. Meanwhile, American writers and painters were streaming to Paris.

No regular passenger vessels at the beginning. Folks booked passage on a packet -- a cargo ship that took passengers.

Most were brigs: two-masted square riggers.

Alexis de Tocqueville: traveled in the opposite direction; coming to America in 1831; he had never spoken to an American in his life; he had never seen the sea -- until this voyage.

Crossing took about 30 days.

Number of passengers on a packet ship ranged from one to thirty.

Main port, arrival in France: Le Havre.

Le Havre to Paris: 110 miles.

Most memorable on the way to Paris: a stop at Rouen, halfway between Le Havre and Paris. Nice description of the cathedral, page 22.

Chapter Two: Paris.

And the notes will continue elsewhere.