Friday, April 27, 2018

Traveling -- Minimal Blogging Through The Weekend -- April 27, 2018

Active rigs:

Active Rigs62482785182

Two new permits:
  • Operators: BR; Lime Rock Resources
  • Fields: Pershing (McKenzie); Murphy Creek (Dunn)
  • Comments: 
Twelve permits renewed:
  • XTO (9): six Bud permits in Williams County; and three Johnsrud permits in McKenzie County
  • Rimrock Oil & Gas (3): three Two Shields Butte permits in Dunn County

Paddlefish Season To Open Next Week -- April 27, 2018

The Market, Energy, And Political Page, T+58 -- April 27, 2018; Hey, Jeff, You Didn't Build That -- Barack

XOM: I've said several time ExxonMobil completely missed the shale revolution. This is pretty much complete validation. Others are setting records. Exxon? Exxon misses despite higher oil prices; shares down 1.7%.
  • EPS: $1.09 vs almost as much a year ago (95 cents)
  • boe production down 6% -- wow
  • what can I say? 

GDP: not sure what to make of the reporting; even less sure of what to make of the data -- first reading for 1Q18 GDP -- up 2.3% vs 2.0% but this is CNBC's take:
  • the U.S. economy slowed in the first quarter as consumer spending grew at its weakest pace in nearly five years.
  • the setback is likely temporary against the backdrop of a tightening labor market and large fiscal stimulus.
  • gross domestic product increased at a 2.3 percent annual rate, the Commerce Department said.
Amazon; wow, what can I say? Absolutely incredible.
  • this is how one defines addiction -- Amazon Prime subscription rises 20% overnight -- from $99 to $119, and Wall Street knows it won't hurt Amazon's numbers
  • Amazon hits all-time highs
  • as someone pointed out: it took Jeff Bezos ten years -- behind the scenes, off the radar scope -- to put together the logistics infrastructure to pull this off -- and all that time, Sears, JC Penney, Target, Wal-Mart, and a gazillion other retailers had the opportunity to do what Jeff Bezos did -- and they didn't -- it's really, really hard for me to believe that Target teaming up with Microsoft could not have done this -- in hindsight, what were they thinking?
  • Barack Obama to Jeff Bezos: you didn't build that
  • I canceled my Prime subscription last year (but Amazon doesn't refund; one simply has the membership until it runs out); LOL - I renewed -- no lapse -- my wife, it turns out -- loves the free movies that stream over Prime
  • I canceled because two-hour delivery was a problem when one lives in a gated community; but I worked around that, and in the meantime, Amazon improved the system
  • and, unfortunately for B&N, the prices at Amazon are unbeatable -- I pay $25/year for a B&N membership; for that I get 10% off purchases. I'm looking at a $40-book over at bricks and mortar B&N with the 10% discount, $36 plus tax; over at Amazon, $27 plus tax (and tax on $27 is less than tax on $36); free shipping; and delivery to wherever I want to send the book (it it's a gift for our daughter in Portland, I saw another $8 in postage; this is not rocket science; the Amazon Prime credit card, 5% cash back for purchases at Amazon; less cash-back other locations
  • return policy: unbeatable 
  • I still think Amazon should enter the "Travelocity" business -- simply buy one of the travel sites; it seems to be a no-brainer
  • of all the FANG CEOs, Jeff Bezos seems the least controversial -- think Zuckerberg, Tim Cook, Schmidt (until 2017; Larry Page is still a blank page) 
PSX: beats
  • 1Q18 earinngs better than expected
  • EPS: surged 63% to 91 cents;
  • revenue: jumping 23% to $29.23 billion (COP was only about $9 billion)
CVX: falls short; "blows through" all profit forecasts -- Bloomberg
  • wow, huge beat on EPS, $1.90 vs estimates of $1.45
  • global boe production rose 6% (Exxon production fell 6%)
  • US boe production rose 9%
  • statement: "oil and gas production is increasing, most notably in our Gorgon and Wheatstone LNG Projects in Australia, and our shale developments in the Permian Basin where production grew 65% from a year ago."
Pemex: struggling.
Interest in tie ups with Pemex has been lackluster, with presidential elections looming on 1 July, and expectations high that Andrés Manuel López Obrador, head of the newly created National Regeneration Movement (MORENA), will win the poll, after incumbent Enrique Peña Nieto barred from running.
Obrador—a key figure who has emerged as a defender of the rights of Mexico’s indigenous peoples—threatened to review more than 90 contracts signed since Mexico opened its oil market up to foreign investment. If elected, he has vowed to cancel the remaining auction plans.
TransMountain: BC digging in its heels.

The Fashion Page

A huge "thank you" to  a reader for sending the photos --

As the reader said, "Wow, did we dodge a silver bullet!"

And a bad fashion choice.

The Salem Witch Trials: From Start To Finish, 9 Months -- And, Oh, Yes, The Bakken -- April 27, 2018

Quick takes:
  • President Trump's staff, has again, lost a great opportunity to do the right thing with regard to the "Honduran caravan"
  • perhaps the most historic meeting since 1945 took place this week and the mainstream media pretty much ignored it; the best way to kill a story? Ignore it. Ask Brenda James
  • whether Rosalind Franklin should have shared the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine will be debated forever, but it was convenient for the committee that she did not meet the criteria: no more than three living individuals can share a Nobel prize
  • for all the fracking in North Dakota, there certainly aren't many earthquakes. Knock on wood. 
  • I think the Salem witch hunts took less time. Yes, from Stacy Schiff's The Witches: Salem, 1692, c. 2015: 1692: Massachusetts Bay Colony, executed fourteen women, five men, and two dogs for witchcraft; start to finish — 9 months

Back to the Bakken Where Fracking Is Always In Fashion

Active rigs:

Active Rigs62482785182

RBN Energy: the growing and possibly enduring role of LNG imports in Mexico's gas market.