Sunday, June 2, 2019

Focus On Fracking -- June 2, 2019

Just a reminder. Weekly updates come out on Sundays.

Random Note On Meteorite Impact Structures -- June 2, 2019

Remember that post on the Jurassic on May 27, 2019? Link here.

I had forgotten this but stumbled across it looking for something else.

PDF: http://www.searchanddiscovery.com/pdfz/documents/2015/10719maione/ndx_maione.pdf.html.

Link here.
Because of poor understanding of impact structures by petroleum geoscientists and engineers the petroleum potential of meteorite impact structures has been overlooked.
Meteorite impacts can create large reservoirs through fracturing and brecciation. Shock deformation can even produce reservoirs in crystalline rocks that are normally not considered a target for petroleum exploration. Hydrocarbons have been found at a number of impact structures and provide good guidelines for expecting oil production from the probable Bouscaren impact structure.
Discovered in 1972, Red Wing Creek field in North Dakota is an Early Jurassic meteorite impact crater that has produced more than 18 million barrels of oil and more that 25 Bcf gas from 26 wells. One well drilled in 1974 has produced about 3.5 million barrels of oil. Some wells could produce thousands of barrels of oil per day but are restricted because of mechanical constraints.
The Red Wing Creek area is south of the US Highway 85 between Alexander and Watford City, ND. 

The well to which RMOJ was referring:
  • 5286, 741, True Oil LLC, Red Wing Creek Unit 13-27, Red Wing Creek, Madison formation, t2/74, cum 3.011583 million bbls 4/19;
Sundry forms:
  • August 18, 2017: name changed from Burlington Northern 13-27 to Red Wing Creek Unit 13-27
Recent production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
MADISON4-20193075510340151715060
MADISON3-20192633552974904492648640
MADISON2-20190000000
MADISON1-20190000000
MADISON12-20180000000
MADISON11-20180000000
MADISON10-20180000000
MADISON9-20180000000
MADISON8-20180000000
MADISON7-20180000000
MADISON6-20180000000
MADISON5-20180000000
MADISON4-2018001010000
MADISON3-20180000000
MADISON2-2018001240000
MADISON1-20180000000
MADISON12-20170000000
MADISON11-201722250535940586
MADISON10-20170000000
MADISON9-20170000000
MADISON8-20170000000
MADISON7-20170000000
MADISON6-2017002150000
MADISON5-2017621021876517447243980
MADISON4-20170000000
MADISON3-20170000000
MADISON2-20170000000
MADISON1-20170000000
MADISON12-20160000000
MADISON11-20162368368689649610
MADISON10-20160000000
MADISON9-20160000000
MADISON8-20160000000
MADISON7-20160000000
MADISON6-20160000000
MADISON5-20160000000
MADISON4-20160000000
MADISON3-20160000000
MADISON2-20160000000
MADISON1-20160000000
MADISON12-20150000000
MADISON11-20155334319779018970
MADISON10-20150000000
MADISON9-20150000000
MADISON8-20150090000
MADISON7-20150080000
MADISON6-201500330000
MADISON5-20150000000
MADISON4-201500260000
MADISON3-201500410000
MADISON2-201500410000
MADISON1-201500140000
MADISON12-20148552383323110711070
MADISON11-20140020000
MADISON10-201400120000
MADISON9-201400240000
MADISON8-2014001000000
MADISON7-201400730000
MADISON6-201497435233602132130
MADISON5-201400220000
MADISON4-201462892862426026020
MADISON3-2014525027317492985772
MADISON2-2014955651335617631499264
MADISON1-20149353216980880100
MADISON12-20130020000
MADISON11-20132171531257
MADISON10-20130000000
MADISON9-20130000000
MADISON8-20130000000
MADISON7-20130000000
MADISON6-20130000000
MADISON5-20130000000
MADISON4-20130000000
MADISON3-20130020000
MADISON2-20130080000
MADISON1-201300420000
MADISON12-201273142662875590559
MADISON11-201200180000
MADISON10-201200990000
MADISON9-201245195440119701197
MADISON8-201211924853451382403824
MADISON7-201200330000
MADISON6-2012301076992630437643760
MADISON5-20126359382216120312030
MADISON4-201225785860700395039500
MADISON3-201231155414871085785478540
MADISON2-201227945958729484648460
MADISON1-20123116161620465901490140

Possible Deeper Pay Discovery Noted South Of Alexander, ND, Behm Energy -- RMOJ -- December, 2018

Link here.

Screenshot of the PDF that will download:


The well:
  • 35395, 360, Behm Energy, Inc., Nygaard 29-8V, Pronghorn, Red River formation, a vertical well, TD = 13,970 feet, t1/19; cum 4K 4/19;
Production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
RED RIVER4-20192016459841719179601796
RED RIVER3-201931133742051170117
RED RIVER2-201911104012398969900990
RED RIVER1-20191068023974578078
RED RIVER12-2018135526562000

******************** 
Behm Energy

Link here.


Flashback: EIA Forecast -- From 2008 -- The 2009 Outlook -- June 2, 2019

Link here: EIA: Long term projections -- 2010 presentation and outlook (a PDF will download) -- source:
  • The Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, December 14, 2009, US EIA

But we know to the tenth of a degree what the earth's temperature will be in a hundred years. And we have only eleven years to save the year (Beto). The science is settled.

By the way, that drought in the southwestern United States? Check out Lake Mead.

Lake Mead Water Level -- Three Year High -- And Not By A Trivial Amount -- June 2, 2019

Updates

June 7, 2019: and it's not just in the southwest. It's across the entire US. What happened to all those droughts we were supposed to have due to global warming? And apparently scientists don't think this is a one-time anomaly: "Climate experts say a combination of factors may lead to more flooding in future years." No one saw this coming. Certainly not Occasional-Cortex.


Original Post 

Link here.

Saudi Arabia Foreign Exchange Reserves -- June 2, 2019

From twitter today:


Previously posted on the blog. Apparently some folks just now getting the memo. Whatever.

EIA's Smoke And Mirrors -- June 2, 2019

Wow, wow, wow. Talk about "smoke and mirrors."

Another Rick Perry decision? Nope. The "smoke and mirrors" apparently began during the Obama administration.

Linefill: that amount of oil in pipelines. Linefill is required to keep the pipeline oil flowing. Some suggest that "linefill" will never be available to refiners.

Linefill: RBN Energy talked about line fill back in December, 2013.

It seems any reasonable person would not include line fill as part of US crude oil inventories. And for quite some time linefill (line fill) was not included as part of US crude oil inventories. But that has changed.

From twitter today:






Keeping The Bakken Great; Another $7 MIllion Grant For The Williston Airport --- June 2, 2019

The US House might not be getting much done but Federal money keeps flowing to North Dakota.

From The Williston Herald:
The new Williston Basin International Airport has been awarded another grant from the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Federal Aviation Administration.
The grant is for $7 million for construction of the taxiway and other general aviation needs at the airport being constructed north of town.
Sen. John Hoeven announced the grant Friday afternoon.

Challenges Affecting US Refiners -- June 2, 2019

This is a nice discussion regarding the current challenges affecting US refiners. But again, no mention of the 800-pound gorilla in the room: President Obama killing the Keystone XL.

Global Warming -- June 2, 2019

One of the biggest "spin-offs" from the blog for me has been understanding the impact of the solar cycles. Prior to blogging I never followed solar cycles and had never even heard of "solar maxima" or "solar minima" (as far as I can recall).

I started adding "global warming" posts to the blog to help put the Bakken in perspective. It is amazing how the two issues became quite intertwined over the years. I certainly did not expect that.

That was my reply to a reader who wrote:
A year or so back, I became somewhat acquainted with Dr. Valentina Zharkova's theories concerning the multiple, asynchronous dynamo components internal to the sun.

Big consequence of her findings is that the sun is entering a Grand Solar Minimum, which will rapidly, significantly impact the earth's climate to the downside temperwture-wise.
With a historical accuracy rate at the 93% range going back 400 years, Dr Zharkova is now being taken very seriously by a growing cohort of scientists. 

Should her research and models prove to be correct, the ramifications upon our political, social and economic spheres will simply be beyond description.
Imagine that: the sun affecting the earth's climate.

***************************
Germany And Wind

Three data points:
  • Germany has huge investment in renewable energy
  • Germany will boast both wind and solar energy, but clearly wind is the more dominant of the two in Germany (that will be true in most parts of the world)
  • where renewable energy makes the most sense for Germany (wind), Germany is actually taking some steps back
This link is from a renewable energy site -- a site that promotes renewable energy and, if anything, "exaggerates" the impact of renewable energy.

The link.

So, it was surprising to see this headline:

When Joshua says "significantly" it catches one's attention, considering what a global warming zealot the writer is.

Brooklyn Oil Field -- Update

The Brooklyn oil field is tracked here

The graphic:


Compare this graphic with the graphic of the Brooklyn oil field from October, 2018.

Brooklyn oil field, as of June 2, 2019:
  • 142 permits
    • 141: CLR permits
    • 1: Kraken permit
  • status of wells/permits
    • active wells: 94 wells (all but one CLR wells)
    • on confidential list: 15 wells
    • on drl status: 8 wells
    • dry wells: 2
    • permits only (LOC): 8 
    • DUCs: 12
    • PA: one
    • PNC: 2
Prospects:
  • 36 sections
  • 18 1280-acre drilling units
  • perhaps as many as 9 2560-acre drilling units

  • 18 1280-acre spaced wells
    • two formations (8 MB + 8TF1): 18 x 16 = 288 wells
    • three formations (8MB + 8TF1 + 4TF2):   18 x 20 = 360 wells
    • four formations (8MB + 8TF1 + 4TF2 + 6TF3): 18 x 26 = 468 wells

  • 9 2560-acre spaced wells
  • two formations (2 MB + 2TF1): 2 x 4 = 8 wells 
  • three formations (2MB + 2TF1 + 1TF2):  2 x 5 = 10 wells
  • four formations (2MB + 2TF1 + 1TF2 + 2TF3): 2 x 7 = 14 wells

Bottom line:
  • 36 sections
  • 6 sections with very little activity to date (but that will change quickly)
  • 30 sections averaging no more than 8 wells/section
  • currently about 137 wells (active, conf, drl, permits (LOC), DUCs)
  • projected minimum: 300 wells in the Brooklyn oil field (about twice where we are today)
  • projected possible: nearly 500 wells in the Brooklyn oil field
Production
  • average EUR of 500,000 bbls of oil/well (30 years of primary production)
  • 150 wells x 500,000 bbls = 75,000,000 bbls of oil from the Brooklyn oil field
Disclaimer: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken. The estimated prospects are at the "high" end of what I think is possible or likely.

Random Look At CLR Wells In Brooklyn Field That Have Been Recently Fracked -- June 2, 2019

The wells (as they come off the confidential list):
  • 34698, 1,872, CLR, Rolf 3-17H1, 58 stages; 8.1 million lbs; Brooklyn, t4/19; cum 25K after 16 days;
Original Post
Look at these posts for background:
  • 20183, 282, CLR, Rolf 1-20H, API: 33-105-02100, s6/11; t6/11; cum 347K 4/19; FracFocus, no re-frack; NDIC, no sundry re-frack form; 
  • 21086, 667, CLR, Springfield 1-8H;  t1/12; cum 277K 4/19; FracFocus: no re-frack data; no NDIC data showing re-frack;
The graphic:



The wells, FracFocus data: gallons of water used; percent of total stim that was water:
  • 34768, Helena - HSL1, API: 33-105-04751, 9.436 million gallons; 90.2% water;
  • 34694, Springfield - HSL, API: 33-105-04731, 10.566 million gallons; 89.0% water;
  • 34693, Springfield - H1, API: 33-105-04730,  9.610 million gallons; 90.2% water;
  • 34692, Springfield- H, API: 33-105-04729, 10.582 million gallons; 88.9% water;
  • 34691, Springfield - H1, API: 33-105-04728,  9.274 million gallons; 89.8% water;
  • 34690, Springfield - H1, API: 33-105-04727,8.596 million gallons; 90.3% water;


  • 34698, Rolf - H1, API: 33-105-04735, 9.383 million gallons; 89.4% water;
  • 34697, Rolf - H, API: 33-105-04734, 9.518 million gallons; 87.9% water;
  • 34696, Rolf - H1, API: 33-105-04733, 9.215 million gallons; 87.7% water;
  • 34695, Rolf - H1, API: 33-105-04732, 9.704 million gallons; 88.3% water;

The wells fracked above "essentially" refracked these two wells.
  • 20183, Rolf, see above;
  • 21086, Springfield, see above;

Brooklyn Oil Field Well, A Rolf Well With Huge Jump In Production -- June 2, 2019

The well:
  • 20183, 282, CLR, Rolf 1-20H, API: 33-105-02100, s6/11; t6/11; cum 347K 4/19; FracFocus, no re-frack; NDIC, no sundry re-frack form; 
Recent production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN4-201930251112526640169504383507414972
BAKKEN3-201931289352899952607466053238913797
BAKKEN2-20192823561234334998531156307910
BAKKEN1-2019301963619251588552552224915220
BAKKEN12-20185462435229230882
BAKKEN11-20180000000
BAKKEN10-20180000000
BAKKEN9-201841452658733526720
BAKKEN8-20183114891614885344130250

Perhaps the graphic explains it:

Brooklyn Field Well With Huge Jump In Production; No Re-Frack? -- June 2, 2019

The well:
  • 21086, 667, CLR, Springfield 1-8H;  t1/12; cum 277K 4/19; FracFocus: no re-frack data; no NDIC data showing re-frack;
Recent production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN4-20192481378511179371095037596916
BAKKEN3-20193116055160954327521599185762605
BAKKEN2-2019281505815095436351992919276296
BAKKEN1-2019311702316908605912205120759874
BAKKEN12-2018255537514927524810946033198
BAKKEN11-20180000000
BAKKEN10-20180000000
BAKKEN9-2018252039100
BAKKEN8-2018278941124990222318720
BAKKEN7-201831114612181131278123750
BAKKEN6-201830117711591080280924040
BAKKEN5-201831114510701069227222720
BAKKEN4-20183010961136104922501973277

The graphic: