Friday, July 18, 2025

Six New Permits -- Friday, July 18, 2025

Locator: 48785B.

 ******************************
Back to the Bakken

WTI: $67.34.

Active rigs: 28.

Six new permits, #42137 - #42142, inclusive:

  • Operators: XTO (3); Slawson (3)
  • Fields: Grinnell; Big Bend

  • Comments:

  • XTO has permits for three GBU Sophia Federal wells in Grinnell oil field:
    • 42137, conf, XTO, GBU Sopia Federal 44X-10A-S; Grinnell, SESE 10-154-96, 
      • to be sited 912 FSL 560 FEL;
    • 42138, conf, XTO, GBU Sophia Federal 44X-10E-S, Grinnell, SESE 10-154-96, 
      • to be sited 912 FSL 530 FEL;
    • 42139, conf, XTO, GBU Sophia Federal 44X-10B-S, Grinnell, SESE 10-154-96, 
      • to be sited 912 FSL 500 FEL;

  • Slawson has permits for three Shad Rap Federal wells, Big Bend oil field:
    • 42140, loc, Slawson, Shad Rap Federal 2-2-3H, Big Bend, lot 1, section 2-151-91, 
      • to be sited 335 FNL 459 FEL;
    • 42141, loc, Slawson, Shad Rap Federal 5-2-3H, Big Bend, lot 1, section 2-151-91, 
      • to be sited 335 FNL 409 FEL;
    • 42142, loc, Slawson, Shad Rap Federal 6-2-3H, Big Bend, lot 1, section 2-151-91, 
      • to be sited 335 FNL 359 FEL;


North Dakota's Top Energy Stories -- Quick Connects -- Alison Ritter -- July 18, 2025

Locator: 48784B.

Tag: Geoff Simon Geoff Simon's Quick Connects Alison Ritter

From ndenergy.org:

Local petroleum engineer weighs in on oil and gas legislation -- McKenzie County Farmer
Wyoming's first new coal mine in decades set to extract rare earth metals -- KX News
Trump's spending bill expected to increase household energy costs in ND -- Argus Leader
North Dakota MDU customers to cover data center-related legal cost -- Bismarck Tribune
Legislature drafting new veto procedures following Armstrong housing money mishap -- Dickinson Press
Husband of North Dakota Lt. Gov. Strinden dies after 17 month battle with cancer -- North Dakota Monitor
PSC to hold hearing July 30 on proposal to construct NGL pipeline in Williams County -- Williston Herald
Air travel saw a 10% increase in North Dakota for the first six months of 2025 -- Minot Daily News
North Dakota Ethics Commission chooses new chair, discusses governor's qualms -- Bismarck Tribune
North Dakota voting districts won't change as tribes seek US Supreme Court ruling -- Dickinson Press
Michael Frye sworn in as new Minot Police Chief after being selected by city leaders -- KFYR - TV
Southwest North Dakota weighs data center boom's burden on local ratepayers -- Dickinson Press
New $6 million fire hall opens in Killdeer, enhancing rural emergency response -- Dickinson Press
Williams County officials impose 6-ton axle weight limit on all gravel and chip seal roads -- KX News
Divide closer to finalizing 2026 budget; commissioners feel good about levy, road repair -- The Journal
A "grand beginning" at Williston Water World, city's newest attraction is now open -- Williston Herald
Four North Dakota educators named as finalists for Teacher of the Year Award -- Bismarck Tribune
Department of Public Instruction changes way it distributes federal Title I dollars -- Dickinson Press
Nick Archuleta: North Dakota public schools and students need federal funds now -- Bismarck Tribune
120 educators set to attend 11th annual North Dakota Indian Education Summit -- Bismarck Tribune
After-school programs for pair of Minot middle schools to close down starting August 23 -- KFYR - TV
Contractor will provide school buses for Divide; board OKs municipal lease for HVAC work -- The Journal
As local school enrollment grows, so does dependence on outdated portable classrooms -- KX News
Williston Basin School Board meets to discuss status of several frozen federal grants -- KFYR - TV
Tioga Public School students gearing up for year ahead; classes resume August 18 -- Williston Herald
Chevron Closes Megadeal for Hess After Winning Exxon Arbitration -- Wall Street Journal
Will Gen Z realize its future runs on fossil fuels before they limit its potential? -- The Daily Economy
BLM continues geothermal energy support with large lease sales planned in next 2 months -- E&E News
In this new era, American grid reliability and digital competitiveness are converging -- RealClearEnergy
Proposed US rare earth higher pricing system is poised to challenge China's dominance -- Reuters
Chris Wright: Climate change is a by-product of progress, not an existential crisis -- The Economist
800 mile Grain Belt Express renewable power transmission project under fire from farmers -- Reuters
Trump touts $92B in private data center, energy investments in push to boost power supply -- The Hill
Trump nominates new energy regulator LaCerte to replace Democrat he asked to step down -- The Hill
Will the OBBB finally put an end to heavily subsidized wind and solar projects? -- Manhattan Contrarian
U.S. without coal? Good luck with that, generating plants remain essential for reliability -- Coal Zoom
Trillions spent on the climate agenda, while billions are sweltering without AC -- Issues and Insights

Roaring 20s -- July 18, 2025

Locator: 48783ROARINGTWENTIES.

Tag: roaring 20s roaring twenties

Three concurrent thoughts:

  • in an interview this morning on CNBC, a talking head mentioned, in passing, the roaring 20s;
  • look at the recent articles on $300,000 EVs; not out of the ordinary;
  • median house price in Silicon Valley is now above $1.5 million.

Okay, a fourth:

  • "Cary Grant's" house overlooking Los Angeles is on the market for $77.5 million.

Now, go back to this post, December 27, 2024, Donald Trump had just won the election:

Note: The Great Gatsy was published April 10, 1925. 

This might be as good a time as any to re-read a Reader's Digest version of the US economic boom, 1922 to 1929; and, then re-read The Great Gatsby (or watch the movie).

For me, one rendition of the Reader's Digest version of the US economic boom in the 20s: 

The postwar recession that had rocked [William Randolph] Hearst's business empire and made life so difficult for [his accountant] Jim Moore, who had to pay the bills -- was as short-lived as it had been severe.

By 1922, the American economy had embarked upon an extraordinary seven-year growth cycle. 

The business boom was stimulated by the beneficent tax policy that President Warren Harding's secretary of the treasury, the Pittsburgh industrialist Andrew Mellon, shepherded through a Republican-dominated Congress

Maximum tax rates for individuals were reduced from a wartime high of 77 percent to 24 percent, excess profits taxes were abolished, and lower rates were set for capital gains. Hearst benefited additionally when Secretary Mellon's appointees at the Income Tax Bureau reduced his tax liabilities for the war by by $1,737,097. 

Taking full advantage of the economic boom and Republican tax policies, Hearst went on a buying spree... two evening papers and a morning paper ... another evening paper in 1922 ... and then started three new dailies ...

Hearst, who never paid cash for anything, borrowed recklessly to make each of these purchases. by the end of 1922, he had exhausted his working capital to pay off existing debt obligations and was still a half million dollars short of meeting them all.

If you had not guessed, that was from The Chief: The Life of William Randolph Hearst, David Nasaw, c. 2000, p. 315. 

Are you still with me? 

I don't know if one can find some comparison with World War I from which most western countries were still recoving and a) the 12-day Israeli-Iran war; and, b) the Ukraine-Putin war? 

That comment about the expensive EV above. From June 28, 2025, just last month:

First, this morning we had the story of GM Cadillac Celestiq:

Link here.

Earlier, we had this: the starting price for a new Range Rover is around $107,400.  Range 300 miles.

Prices can increase significantly depending on the trim level, wheelbase, and options chosen. For example, the Range Rover SV can start at $209,000 for a standard wheelbase and go up to $234,000 for a long wheelbase. 

And now this: link here.

I'm not looking for these stories. They pop up on my various feeds and seem to be associated with the sixth industrial revolution, and stories about making America great again.

Then, "combine" these stories with the $50-million Bezos wedding and one starts to get another feeling.... the gilded age, the roaring 20's. Not the 1920s -- the great Jay Gatsby -- but the gay (and literally, in some cases, really "gay") 20s, but this time, the 2020s.

And million-dollar bonuses for software engineers.

Back to today: CNBC talking heads tell us this is a bad economy. Say what? GDP likely to come in above 2.5%; headline inflation having dropped from 9.5% to 2.5%; full employment; a president who wants to cut taxes; and pressure for the Fed to cut rates.

Sara Eisen reminded us that just a few months ago (early April?) there was talk of a recession. Now, no such talk, she says. No talk of a recession.

Headlines We May Get To Someday -- July 18, 2025

Locator: 48782HEADLINES.

I have these articles in the queue -- these are going to be a lot of fun to read. 

But first, some business:  

Barron's is reporting a risk of a short squeeze with Intel. For traders, this could be an incredible opportunity. Link here. Intel is the most shorted stock among the well-known tech names. 

The second article with regard to business: taxes on unrealized capital gains is coming to a country near you. Link here. As long as Trump is in office, this isn't going to happen. We talked about this before. There is an exception in this country, the US, where unrealized capital gains are taxed with no exceptions. 

Okay, now for the fun articles:

  • how Sam Altman outfoxed Elon Musk to become Trump's AI buddy; link here.
  • the push to make tiny homes in backyards easier to finance; link here.
    • new acronym: ADU -- accessory dwelling unit. We've talked about this before, also.
  • by far the best, and this kind of article is so much better digitally than in the hard copy: 
    • Cary Grant's house on the market; actually, it's his widow's house on the market, his fifth wife. Link here
    • I don't think Cary Grant ever lived in this house, based on a quick reading of the article. 
    • if I were a multi-billionaire with a billion dollars in cash, I would be willing to overpay for this house, currently on the market for about $75 million -- the view alone is worth a million dollars per exterior window.
    • from AI: 
      • Barbara Harris, not Jaynes, was the name of Cary Grant's fifth and final wife. She was 30 years old when they married in 1981, while Grant was 77. They remained married until his death in 1986. After Grant's passing, Barbara Harris inherited his estate and split the fortune with his daughter, Jennifer. She later remarried in 2001 to David Jaynes. [Barbara Harris was born the same year I was born.]
      • Jennifer was born to Dyan Cannon, Cary and Dyan were married in 1965; Jennifer was born in 1966. Jennifer would be 59 years old today.

I loved looking at the photos, and then thinking of that sad sap, Yuval Noah Harari. Yes, the latter lives rent-free in my mind.

Apple: mesmerizing cat ... link here:

Using ChatGPT -- Amazing Way To Save Time -- July 18, 2025

Locator: 48781AI.

Readers know that I am incredibly excited about chatbots, and currently use ChatGPT as my chatbot-go-to.

Today, my newsfeed sent me a link to an intriguing study on the body's method of "handling" glucose, something that has interested since my first year of physiology back in 1973 or thereabouts. The study was accomplished by Vanderbilt University (really, really involved in medical research) and University of California San Diego.

The press release is here. The full paper is published here. See how much of it you read before you eyes glaze over. I got through the abstract and the introduction and then skipped well down into the discussion. I got the gist of the article, but that was about it.

My prompt to ChatGPT: "Could you please summarize this article in plain English: "https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-60994-w."

Less than two seconds later, I had a complete summary in plain English. Amazing. Saved me hours of sorting through the article.

Immediately after that, I asked ChatGPT where the PGA/Chinese golfer Haotong Li lives. Shanghai and then get a nice summary how that story evolved. 

Much could be said. But it's pretty obvious. Your job won't be taken over by AI but you will lose your job to someone who uses AI if you don't. Did Jensen Huang say that?

ChatGPT is particularly useful when reading college / post-graduate textbooks. Just saying. Again, much could be said.

Headlines -- Friday, July 18, 2025

Locator: 48780HEADLINES.

One and done: Congress agrees to claw back foreign aid and public broadcast funds. $9 billion. NPR says it doesn't need the funding.

Caitlin: won't be playing in the WNBA all-star weekend event. Injuries.

S&P 500: tech could drive S&P 500 to 7,000. Mary Ann Bartels, Sanctuary Wealth. A global secular bull market. AI, Web 3.0, crypto, blockchain. Already in a "summer melt-up." Market not yet ready.

Web 3.0, also known as Web3, is the next generation of the internet, aiming to be more decentralized, transparent, and user-centric than the current Web 2.0. 

It's characterized by technologies like blockchain, decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs), and cryptocurrencies. Essentially, Web3 envisions a web where users have more control over their data and interactions, with less reliance on large corporations

Oil: could spike in price.

Airports: 15 busiest around the world. DFW #3. Atlanta's Hartfield, #1. Link here. Absolutely unimportant but fascinating all the same.

CVX: premarket. Up almost 3%; up over $4 / share. [At open: up less than $2.]

Christmas in July:

Russia: EU slaps Russia with huge sanctions -- perhaps worst sanctions since this all began.  

Nord Stream axed.

EU could ban all natural gas imports from Russia starting in 2028 [wont happen]. The price cap on Russian oil, currently at $60 / bbl, will be set dynamically at $15 below market rates effective immediately. First time ever, EU will sanction Rosneft oil refinery in India. Shadow fleet oil tankers: another 105 put on EU sanctions list.

US consumer: holding strong. Bank earnings are sending a message -- the economy isn't that bad. Who thought the economy was bad? Consumer confidence highest in five months. Sara Eisen is positive on all this; Carl Q. sounds very disappointed. He strongly dislikes Trump based on comments over at Bluesky. NASDAQ and S&P at record highs. Earnings coming in better than expected. The roaring 2020s story is back.

Trade talks: EU talks after Brazil hit.

Monazite: link here. Apparently China is importing rare earth metals from Brazil. Several story lines here.

Rail merger: Norfolk Southern surges.

Canada: gloating! Congratulations, Canada, on its first LNG delivery! To South Korea; is now headed back. LOL. Could have gone by pipeline to US for a whole lot less money and time. Link here

Renewable energy: wind and solar projects constructed on federal land will be required to undergo a new review process. Another nail in that coffin. New York halts offshore wind transmission plan amid federal uncertainty. Real story: the developer needed an excuse to stop this unprofitable and unneeded eyesore.

Sand: the US is offering Canadian oil and gas drillers counter-tariff reprieve on the vast amounts of sand they import from the United States. Fracking sand.Iranian nuclear facilities: it looks like major facility was severely damaged if not totally destroyed; other two of lesser importance may not have been damaged as much.

STOP THE PRESSES! CVX Wins Arbitration! A $53-Billion Decision -- July 18, 2025

Locator: 48779CVX.

Also, former Hess CEO allowed to join the CVX board. Best news since CBS announced it will axe Stephen Colbert.

Link here.

Link here.

The decision was reached at the beginning of the month (of July). Why did it take so long for the decision to be released? Whatever. Here's the decision. 

I never expected this decision. 

Link here to WSJ:  top story, front page; just posted!

An arbitration panel has cleared the way for Chevronto close its $53 billion purchase of Hess dismissing Exxon Mobil’s claim that it had a contractual right to bid for Hess’s crown-jewel assets in Guyana.

The ruling handed down Friday from the International Chamber of Commerce in Paris resolves an often tense and long-running dispute between the two largest descendants of John D. Rockefeller’s Standard Oil monopoly over one of the world’s most coveted oil projects. Chevron plans to move swiftly to close the deal, which it had originally struck in October 2023.

Exxon threw a wrench in Chevron’s plans last year when it asserted a right to pre-empt its rival’s bid for Hess’s 30% stake in Guyana’s prolific Stabroek offshore block. Chevron had argued a right-of-first-refusal on the Guyana project wouldn’t apply to the corporate takeover of Hess.

Exxon’s move to block the deal stunned the oil industry, which hadn’t seen titanic oil companies battle to these extremes since a court fight with Pennzoil forced Texaco into bankruptcy in the 1980s.

Exxon said in a statement that it disagreed with the ICC panel’s interpretation but respects the arbitration and dispute resolution process.

REX Could Connect With The Permian -- Necessary For Permian Natural Gas Takeaway -- July 18, 2025

Locator: 48778B.

Peacock: huge monthly fee increase. What will drive streaming going forward? Live sports. Netflix needs to catch up.

For 50 cents / serving, best refreshment ever, no-alcohol:

Data centers: Trump's AI action plan set to expand energy sources for data centers -- oilprice.

Freeport LNG: granted 40-month extension for delayed train 4 -- oilprice.  

Chevron: prioritizes cash flow over growth in Permian -- oilprice.

Solar imports from China: surge 400%. That's with two zeroes. Oilprice. American suppliers not happy.

STOP THE PRESSES! CVX wins arbitration!

WTI: 468.22.

New wells:

  • Monday, July 21, 2025: 30 for the month, 30 for the quarter, 460 for the year,
    • None.
  • Sunday, July 20, 2025: 30 for the month, 30 for the quarter, 460 for the year,
    • None.
  • Saturday, July 19, 2025: 30 for the month, 30 for the quarter, 460 for the year,
    • 41042, conf, Oasis, Sedge 5202 24-17 3B,
    • 40809, conf, Oasis, Wolfman 5602 43-15 3B,
    • 40808, conf, Oasis, Wolfman 5602 43-15 2B, 
  • Friday, July 18, 2025: 27 for the month, 27 for the quarter, 457 for the year,
    • None.

RBN Energy: REX Pipeline's evolution continues with possible new Permian link. Archived.

The Rockies Express Pipeline (REX) has been transformative. Originally built as a west-to-east pipeline, its main job was to give Rockies natural gas a way to reach premium markets in the Midwest and the Northeast. But by the time it was constructed, surging production in the Marcellus and Utica shales had overwhelmed the need for Rockies gas in the East, and REX evolved to become a major outlet for Appalachian gas to the Midcontinent.

Now, REX has moved beyond its first two incarnations, and its owner, Tallgrass Energy, has announced plans to build a greenfield pipeline that would connect REX and the markets it serves with the prolific Permian Basin, 900 miles south of the existing mainline. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll discuss REX’s history, where it stands today, and how a new pipeline connection with the Permian might fit into its evolving strategy. 

REX has been a frequent topic in the RBN blogosphere over the years. REX was built in phases from 2006-09 and was a critical outlet that allowed Rockies gas to access markets in the Midwest and Northeast — which at the time had little local supply and high demand. The Rockies had the gas, and production was ramping up quickly, but there was not enough pipeline capacity out of the region. Enter REX, which in the late 2000s was the largest pipeline project developed in 20 years. As shown in Figure 1 below, REX (red line) stretches nearly 1,700 miles from the Rocky Mountains in Colorado to eastern Ohio, crossing Wyoming, Nebraska, Kansas, Missouri, Illinois and Indiana along the way. REX also connects with Tallgrass’s Ruby Pipeline (brown line) in Wyoming via its lease on the Overthrust Pipeline (dashed gold line), giving it the ability to move volumes to the West Coast (more on that in a bit).

The Rockies Express and Ruby Pipelines

Figure 1. The Rockies Express and Ruby Pipelines. Source: RBN

As our series from more than a decade ago (The Marcellus Changes Everything) detailed, REX was an ideal solution at the time of its completion in 2009 because it filled a gas-supply void created by declining Gulf Coast production and falling gas imports from Canada. By 2010, REX was running near its eastbound capacity of 1.8 Bcf/d. Unfortunately, REX’s operational in-service coincided with the Shale Revolution in the Appalachian Basin. The Marcellus and Utica regions in Pennsylvania, Ohio and West Virginia experienced massive growth in natural gas production just as REX was coming into service, quickly replacing much of the gas that had been flowing into the Northeast and shifting pipeline economics. As we noted in One Step Closer, by 2015 the Northeast produced more gas on an annualized basis than it consumed, flipping the region into a net exporter. As this historic transformation was occurring, midstream companies scrambled to provide pipeline takeaway capacity out of the Appalachian Basin.