Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Time To Take A Look At Silver -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 50001AG.

AI prompt: Besides the volatility in the price of silver there seems to be something else going on with silver. To what degree is AI infrastructure affecting demand for silver? 

Google Gemini


Quick! Does the US have / maintain a strategic silver reserve?

Why hasn't President Trump announced a US strategic silver reserve? I'll give you three guesses and the first two don't count.

If you're going to San Francisco .... we were so lucky to have "lived in" San Francisco when we did .... 

Link here.

Tracking Location Of LDCs In The US -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 50000LDCS.

Disclaimers: so many I can't list them all. See the blog's disclaimer. 

Meta plans to add ten LDCs each year on average for the next three years. 

META plans to add an additional 10 LDCs per year for the next three years. Sounds like a lot. Do the math 30 / 4010 = 0.7% -- that's less than 1% of existing LDCs in the US right now. 

In the past year:

    • Texas added: 60
    • Ohio added: 16
    • Louisiana added 9
  • Total added in those three states in past year = 85.
  • Why would California lose 22 LDCs in the past year?
  • I can't verify those numbers, but if accurate --
    • did some centers simply "age out"?
    • did these California LDCs simply get too expensive (electricity costs)? 
      • if so, did they simply re-position a lot of those chips to Texas? 

Various ways of looking at the addition:

  • 10/85 = 12%
  • 10/529 = 1.9%. 
  • 10/614 = 1.6%

Texas (397),  Ohio (195), Louisiana (22) = 614 in those three states.

  • an additional 10 LDCs per year / 614 now = 1.6%

Change in less than a year

State, April, 2025 --> February, 2026:

  • Virginia (the DC area): 574 --> 570
  • Texas337 --> 397
  • California: 310 --> 288
  • Illinois: 222 --> 210
  • Ohio: 179 --> 195 
  • New York State: 139 --> 134
  • Georgia: 139 --> 207
  • Oregon: 131 --> 123
  • Florida: 121 --> 107 
  • Washington State: 113 --> 108
  • Louisiana: 13 --> 22

LDCs:

  • Data Center Map, link here, April 16, 2025: the map is interactive and one of the most accessible sources of information regarding LDCs. One year ago, April 16, 2025:


February 17, 2026
: currently the US has 4,010 large data centers.

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A Musical Interlude 

Link here

"We Will Rock You" -- Nvidia / META -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49999LDCS.

Link here, December 2, 2023 -- Nvidia's Grace Hopper 200 chips. 

Now, take a look at the announcement today. Link here. Link here

META / Nvidia partnership: link here. By 2028 -- only three years from now --

  • $600 billion;
  • 30 large data centers;
  • Nvidia chips but more to it than that; 
  • Ohio, Texas, and Louisiana.

**************************
We Will Rock You -- We Are The Champions

Link here

Will "We" Run Out Of Oil Before We Quit Listening To Cher? LOL -- Believe -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49998CHER.

The numbers haven't changed for years. Analysts still estimate that Saudi Arabia's oil will last another 60 - 70 years. 

Cher's Believe hit #1, Top of the Pops, October 25, 1998, and stayed at the top sport for seven weeks in the UK.  

1998: almost thirty years ago.

Link here

Large Data Centers, Superconductors And AI Factories -- A Random Observation -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49997TECH.

Jargon

  • AI factory = AI data center: link here
    • AI factory: the term was coined by Jensen Huang
    • AI factories often associated with Nvidia's GPUs 
  • large data centers, link here.
  • supercomputer, link here.

AI prompt

At one time we talked about AI factories, large data centers, and supercomputers. At one time, their differences seemed fairly clear cut, but more and more it seems that boundaries are blurring, especially between large data centers and supercomputers. They may each have separate functions but at the end of the day, aren't they really the same thing, just serving different purposes? Or is this too simplified?

Google Gemini:

META -- To Build 30 Large Data Centers By End Of 2028; $600 Billion -- February 17, 2028

Locator: 49996META.

META / Nvidia partnership: link here. By 2028 -- only three years from now --

  • $600 billion;
  • 30 large data centers;
  • Nvidia chips but more to it than that; 
  • Ohio, Texas, and Louisiana.


 

No New Permits -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49995B.

META / Nvidia partnership: link here. By 2028 -- only three years from now --

  • $600 billion;
  • 30 large data centers;
  • Ohio, Texas, and Louisiana.

 ****************************
Back to the Bakken

WTI: $62.33. 

Active rigs: 29.

No new permits.

Three permits canceled:

  • XTO (2): #36881 and #36882, Ernest Federal, Dunn County;
  • Petroshale: #41655, Helen, Dunn County;

LDCs' Infrastructure -- SCCO, GLW, BHP -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49994COPPER.

Link here

Tag: BHP SCCO FCX 

Tickers:

BHP

SCCO: dropped $10 today! But for the year:


Same with GLW: dropped today, but up 150% over the past year:

Berkshire's 13F Has Been Released -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49993BUFFETT.

Sold:

  • AAPL
  • AMZN
  • BofA -- need to confirm

Initiated:

  • a small position in The New York Times; pays 1.3%. 

Bought:

  • CVX -- need to confirm
  • Chubb 
  • Alphabet (GOOG)
  • Domino's Pizza

Top five holdings:

  • AAPL -- even with continued selling, still its #1 holding;
  • AMEX
  • BAC (Bank of America)
  • CVX 
  • KO

Cash on hand: a record $381.7 billion.

Compare Apple's cash on hand: $66.9 billion; 24.4% increase y/y. 

National Research Labs -- Some Thoughts -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49993NRL.

Tag "National Research Labs"  

A first post with this subject matter although I've "danced around it" for quite some time. 

Now, reading Code Breaker time to to have a specific post on National Research Labs. 

An overview

Vannevar Bush, wiki

  • government: Manhattan Project, WWII;
  • business: founded Raytheon;
  • academia: dean of engineering, MIT.

MentionedCode Breaker, Walter Isaccson. Link here

See Genesis Mission post, link here

Since Bush, the three-legged stool has become a four-legged chair with the addition of:

  • philanthropic foundations.

Caribou/Doudna: received funding in 2020 from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation to use CRISPR to detect coronaviruses. Link here, p. 118.

A Broadening Market -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49992INVESTING.

The equal-weight S&P 500 is outperforming the cap-weighted benchmark on a year-to-date basis by the widest margin since 1976.


 

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Cap-Weighted vs Equal-Weighted

Mag 7 -- Expected Revenue Over Next Three Years -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49991APPLE.

Tag Mag 7 META GOOGLE AMZN Amazon

Disclaimer: I often make simple arithmetic errors. None of this has been fact-checked. 

For background, link here, Apple's annual revenue: 

  • 2025: $416.161 billion, a 6.43% from 2024;
  • 2024: $391.035 billion, a 2.02% increase from 2023;
  • 2023: $383.285 billion, a 2.8% decline from 2022
  • total, past three years, 2023 - 2025: $1.190 trillion
  • forecast, for next three years: 2026 - 2029: $1.5 trillion: a 26% increase over the three prior years.

Link here

Apple Hype Or About To See Something Special? February 17, 2026

Locator: 49990APPLE.

Link here.

Link here

Is Apple pivoting toward adding lower cost, playful color and mass appeal to its growing stable?

Is it unusual for Apple to hold events in March?

According to Google:

  • not unusual, but
  • the March 4, 2026, "Special Apple Experience" is notable:
    • hands-on,
    • multi-city (New York, London, Shanghai
    • rather than a traditional, streamed, boring, keynote from Cupertino
  • spring (March/April) is a regular part of Apple's annual event cycle
    • often focuses on education, iPads or new accessories

Expect a lot:

  • well-known journalist Joanna Stern was specifically invited to attend 

Disclaimer: definitely go to the links to fact-check. It is very easy for me to get confused with all the Apple products and specs.

Expectations:

  • three biggies:
    • one: new entry-level iPad; important details at MacRumors, link here
      • iPad 12
      • A18 chip: a full two-generation leap in Apple silicon
        • Apple Intelligence capability
        • Apple AI -- varies with hardware (different than Google Gemini and OpenAI's ChatGPT
      • on the company's most affordable tablet for the first time ever
    • second biggie: will likely introduce a new lower-cost colorful MacBook Air with iPhone chip
      • four possible colors: yellow, green, blue and pink 
    • a third biggie: an iPhone 17e
      • successor to the iPhone 16e with four key upgrades
        • MagSafe
        • an A19 chip
        • a C1X modem for faster 5G
        • an N1 chip for Wi-Fi 7.

Summary:

  • an A18 M4 iPad: completes AI hardware rollout
  • an M4 iPad Air;
  • low-cost, colorful MacBook? 
  • an M5 MacBook Air

These two would be significant upgrades for me:

  • the M4 iPad Air, although my very old iPad Pro continues to meet my needs;
  • the M5 MacBook Air -- the only reason I need a new MacBook Air -- my keyboard has some poorly functioning keys

For Sophia

  • the entry level, colorful MacBook Air is interesting but I'm afraid she wouldn't use it much; 
    • she has a school-provided laptop; and,
    • prefers her mini-iPad at home 

For Arianna

  • would Arianna have fun with a colorful MacBook?

Bubble -- Micron To Spend $200 Billion On Memory -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49989MEMORY.

Tag: Micro CAPEX

Link here

AI Energy Crunch -- Great Lakes Area -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49988AI.

Great Lakes:

Previously reported:

Link here

Mardi Gras -- Fat Tuesday -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49987B.

Jessie Jackson: dead at 84 years of age. 

Ten minutes with Jim Cramer: Jim Cramer was off again today. No interest in watching. 

Second Take: Shae Cornette sure seems to take a lot of time off. 

She was MIA for one week shortly after getting her new gig at "First Take" -- during the NFL post-season!!! Now, today, Ms Cornette is absent again. Sitting in for her is another female. We're not yet in the NBA post-season but it's getting close, and that's what all the talk was about today on "First Take."

NYC: to increase property taxes in 2026 to fill budget gap.

Nvidia's high end Vera Ruvin chips: timeline has been pulled forward by 3 - 6 months.
China's export bans freed up supplier capacity, opening the door to shipments as early as end-2Q26

The equal-weight S&P 500 is outperforming the cap-weighted benchmark on a year-to-date basis by the widest margin since 1976. We'll do a stand-alone post on this.

Iran: says a/c carriers can be sunk. Also: sinking an American a/c carrier would be the end of Iran as we know it today.  

How folks watch TV in the US, link here, rounding:

  • streaming: 50%
  • broadcast: 20%
  • cable: 20%
  • other: 10%

Goldman, Sachs: will comply with Civil Rights Act of 1964. GS will no longer taken race, sexual orientation, other DEI factors into consideration when considering new board directors. WSJ
 

******************************
Back to the Bakken 

WTI: $62.79. 

New wells reporting:

  • Wednesday, February 18, 2026: 28 for the month, 81 for the quarter, 81 for the year,
    • 41960, conf, Kraken, Charity 3-19-15 1H, 
    • 41500, conf, Enerplus, MHA Memphis 4894 41-34 3BU,
  • Tuesday, February 17, 2026: 26 for the month, 79 for the quarter, 79 for the year,
    • 41962, conf, Kraken, Charity 3-10-15 3H
    • 41961, conf, Kraken, Charity 3-10-15 2H, 
    • 41878, conf, Petro-Hunt, State 159-92-36D-24-3H, 
  • Monday, February 16, 2026: 23 for the month, 76 for the quarter, 76 for the year,
    • 41963, conf, Kraken, Charity 3-10-15 4H, 
  • Sunday, February 15, 2026: 22 for the month, 75 for the quarter, 75 for the year,
    • 41333, conf, Hess, BW-Stoveland-LE-149-100-1003H-1, 
  • Saturday, February 14, 2026: 21 for the month, 74 for the quarter, 74 for the year,
    • 41816, conf, BR, Rolla 6C, 

RBN Energy: refiners could benefit from dramatic shifts across US markets. Link here. Archived.

The U.S. is facing a significant shift in regional refinery prospects and refined product trade flows due to supply, demand and regulatory trends. This is driving the development of significant new pipelines headed west, paired with continued refinery shutdowns along the West Coast and, to a lesser extent, a similar dynamic from the Midcontinent to the East Coast. At the same time, refined product exports are becoming ever more important to Gulf Coast refiners, and a variety of global developments will play a major role in their ability to grow those volumes. All these factors have the U.S. refining industry poised to move into a new era shaped by consolidation, efficiency and market power. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll discuss the major changes reshaping the U.S. refining industry. 

Let’s start by emphasizing that there is an upheaval happening across the U.S. — this isn’t your father’s (or even older brother’s) refining industry anymore. Key elements of refining, from the types of crude to the mix of end products to the distances they are being piped (or shipped) to market are changing, dramatically in some cases. But this is more than just logistics. New projects are redrawing the map and altering how large parts of the country — the West Coast, East Coast, and even the middle parts in between — are supplied.

Our focus in this blog is on midstream developments, but projects within the refineries themselves will also be important and discussed in more detail in a future piece. Here are the major projects taking shape in the months and years ahead, each of them discussed in detail in the newly available edition of the biannual Future of Fuels report by RBN's Refined Fuels Analytics practice.

Just two years to the month since its acquisition of refined-products-pipeline giant Magellan Midstream Partners, ONEOK announced in September that it intends to build the Sun Belt Connector. The 24-inch-diameter greenfield pipeline would run from El Paso, TX, to the Phoenix area (dashed orange line in Figure 1 below) and connect to the company’s existing refined products pipeline system, allowing refined products to flow west to Arizona markets from refineries in Texas and Oklahoma. The line is designed with an initial capacity of 200 Mb/d targeted for a mid-2029 startup. This would deepen Phoenix’s structural links to the Gulf Coast and Midcon supply via ONEOK’s existing refined products pipelines (blue lines).