Monday, October 27, 2025

Anticipation -- October 27, 2025

Locator: 49259INVESTING. 


 Link here. Posted last week. 

Ticker today. 

 

Later, earnings release, October 28, 2025; shares down 7% in pre-market trading:

Beats. Link here (pay wall). Link here.

  • core sales grew 14% y/y
  • EPS grew 24%
  • operating. margin expands 130 basis points
  • Optical Communications' Enterprise (AI) sales grew 58% y/y
  • Springboard: strong guidance

Beats: yes, but nothing to write home about. 

On A Huge Day For The Market -- BRK-B Down Again -- Monday, October 27, 2025

Locator: 49534B. 

The Atlantic: The magazine staff is living rent-free in President Trump's brain. LOL. I've never seen such a once-great periodical go downhill so fast. Now the editor and/or its writers are upset the troops are getting paid. I wonder if the Atlantic will report that the nation's largest union wants the Democrats in the US Senate to stop voting "no" on opening the government. LOL. Link here.

AMZN:

  • Amazon getting ready to cut 30,000 jobs? Links / stories everywhere. Right before Christmas.
  • Amazon AWS, retail getting ready to invest $1.6 billion in the Netherlands? Link here. 

BRK-B: On another great day for the market -- BRK-B is down again -- and not by just a little bit -- this is all about some investors getting tired of watching tech, and moving money from BRK-B to tech ... and Cramer saying he can't "defend" BRK-B any more (paraphrasing what Cramer said this morning):

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Back to the Bakken

WTI: $61.15.

Active rigs: 35. 

No new permits.

Thirteen permits renewed:

  • Enerplus (7) -- #37868 - #37874, inclusive -- Flatiron, Shoal, Fjord, Hogbak, Arroyo, and Barchan, Antelope oil field;
  • Oasis (5): five MHA permits, Heart Butte, Dunn County;
  • Whiting: Klose Federal, Glass Bluff, McKenzie.

Personal Utility Bill -- Electricity -- For Month Of September -- October 27, 2025

Locator: 49533ELECTRICITY. 

Tag: personal utility 

Our only utility bill is electricity, for a small one-bedroom-one-bath-one-den/office apartment in north Texas. We have no natural gas. This is our total energy bill for the apartment.

Monthly bill was significantly LESS this month compared to last month, and less than the same month a year ago. With all fees, taxes, etc., we're averaging about 19 cents / kWh.

News Of The Day -- And -- Chart Of The Day -- October 27, 2025

Locator: 49532COTD. 

News of the day

  • Qualcomm, Saudi Arabia.
  • Qualcomm. New chip.
    • the big part of this story -- Intel -- has not been mentioned yet
      • except for Apple, the "edge" is out; the cloud is in
      • Qualcomm pivoted; Intel did not and won't 
  • US DOE: $1 billion; supercomputer; multiple tech companies; lead — AMD;
  • Trump's incredibly successful tour to Asia. Lightning speed; huge deals.
    • his predecessor would have had trouble crossing the stage; the photo-ops would have been embarrassing 
  • Qatar-Israeli-US Mideast Peace Initiative 
  • BRK-B downgraded to sell.
    • analyst was late on this call
    • this call should have been made a year ago 
    • now, it's a classic "buy high, sell low" strategy. 
  • another story not being addressed: the Jamie Dimon "cockroach" call
    • couldn't have been more wrong
      • regional banks doing just fine, thank you 
    • see today's top banking story: a $7 billion acquision 

Chart of the day

Cramer's First Hour And The Eisen Hour -- October 27, 2025

Locator: 49531CRAMER. 

First, first up: Trump, Bessent, China, rare earths, and soybeans -- wait until we hear the details on this one! 

For those folks who think we're in a bubble right now, stay tuned. Bar the door, Katie. Xi really, really appreciates the personal attention he gets from Trump. Trump's predecessor would be lucky to be able to walk across the stage. This is getting so much attention, the new tariffs on Canadian goods has been completely forgotten. Except by Canadians, LOL. 

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Dallas Cowboys

First up: eager to hear Stephen A Smith talk about the Dallas Cowboys over the weekend -- lost to the Broncos yesterday -- 44 - 24, and the score doesn't reflect how bad it really was. Dak benched in the 4th quarter with more than five minutes left in the game.

AI prompt: how did the two receivers do in the Dallas Cowboys game yesterday agains the Broncos.

Comment: these are two of the best receivers in the NFL and they each tracked for 75 years, combined, 150 yards! Holy mackerel. That was it. But I guess that's about average. Having said that, neither of these two made the top five in receiver stats for the NFL yesterday. #2 was Troy Franklin, Denver Broncos. The Cowboys have no defense, and it appears that their offense came up short yesterday. 

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More

World series: third game tonight; in Los Angeles; series tied at 1 - 1. This is going to go down as one of the best series ever. On so many levels.

Natural gas, Europe:

Segment on Warren Buffett, BRK-B: notes that one analyst has down rated BRK-B to a "sell" and as much as CNBC, Jim Cramer, et al, love BRK and Warren Buffett ...  

Jim Cramer said he can't disregard the new "sell" rating. In pre-market trading, BRK-B is down again, on a day that futures suggest the overall market is going to surge. Again. Even AAPL is up in futures. Others to look at this a.m.: AVGO, ORCL MU, and AMD. 

At the market open:

  • DJI: up 325 points;
  • S&P 500: up 64 points;
  • NASDAQ: up 340 points.

AVGO: major segment by David Farber. Big tie-in with AI -- furnishing chips to AI. Previously reported on the blog. Hard to keep up. 

Renters: mentioned the "renters" article in The Wall Street Journal over the weekend. That's in the queue; will eventually get around to posting it. I haven't read the article. I'll be curious if they mention what is driving the thesis. If they don't, I'll mention it. Later. Perhaps a stand-alone blog. Perhaps in bold red.  

Bubble: over the weekend I posted that if the news holds, the first story we'll see on Monday (today) is "are we in a bubble?" LOL. First story in my news feed this morning? From The New York Times, "are we in a bubble?" LOL. I'll talk about that shortly. 

Oracle's bond offering last week. Another big segment on Cramer's first hour. Brought up by David Farber. Tell me again it's a bubble: note the "arrangers," including that bear, Jamie Dimon. LOL.

Quantum computing: again Jim Cramer gets it. IBM.  

Mary Barra, GM, CarPlay, Apple: I absolutely did not want to talk about this on the blog, but I may be forced to do just that. Too many readers caught it and sent me the story (I had already seen the story; didn't feel it was newsworthy but apparently a lot did). For me, this story started in 1984. Yeah, that long ago. I was in Europe at the time.  

TPUs: holy mackerel! Long segment on TPUs at the top of the hour, the Eisen Hour. Sara is off today. Reminder: TheMillionDollarWay was the first non-tech blog that requires no subscription and has no ads that mentioned TPUs. Link here

QCOM: why this story is important. Link here



 

India: a reader alerted me to this story. Link here.

My reply:

But seriously, look how small that "investment" is. $700 billion over several / may projects. In fact, I had to double-check that: was the headline $500 million?

One -- again, one AI project in Texas -- is the $500 billion Stargate project in west Texas. $500 billion -- that's half a trillion from on-government publicly traded companies 

Meanwhile, India ... half a billion and it gets a headline. I'll have to read the story.

Maybe I'm missing something or misreading something.

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Disclaimer
Brief Reminder 

Briefly:

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. 
  • All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Many posts are not proofread for several days after they've been posted.  
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution.
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom.
  • And Oracle. 
  • Longer version here.  

Rocky Horror Picture Show -- 50th Anniversary -- October 27, 2025

Locator: 49530MOVIE. 

Link here to wiki

News:

Phison Electronics -- October 27, 2025

Locator: 49529MEMORY. 

I can't recall if I've posted this chart before.

I also can't be sure if this is "today's" data or if it's a day behind due to time differences. But I believe this is "today's" data.

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Micron

From Motley Foot last week, link here



Micron vs Intel, six months. I chose six months because that's the metric many folks are talking about now.

Comparing Micron and Intel is like comparing apples and oranges. Micron and Intel are in two completely different tech sectors. But it helps me put the investing excitement in perspective.


 

US Natural Gas Pipelines -- The AI Connection -- The Large Data Center Build Out Will Depend On Natural Gas -- October 27, 2025

Locator: 49528NATGAS. 

The other day I mentioned with all the interest in natural gas and the large data center build-out, I needed to get re-acquainted with some of the jargon, particularly the US natural gas pipeline system.

Today/tomorrow, RBN Energy has an in-depth review / update regarding the Henry Hub.

Early in the blog:

Established in the 1980s near the now-defunct Texaco Henry gas processing plant, Henry Hub has been used as the basis for domestic gas deals for decades. Since 1990, it’s also served as the delivery mechanism for the third-largest commodity futures trading instrument in the world — the CME/NYMEX Henry Hub natural gas futures contract (behind only WTI and Brent crude). 

When we talk about Henry Hub, we’re really talking about Sabine Pipe Line (SPL) — a small, 150-mile, 235-MMcf/d interstate system in Southern Louisiana — and the 11 pipelines that connect to it in Vermillion Parish, LA. These include: Acadian, Columbia Gulf (CGT), Gulf South, Jefferson Island, Natural Gas Pipeline of America (NGPL), Sea Robin, Southern Natural (SONAT), Texas Gas, Transcontinental Gas Pipeline (Transco), Trunkline, and Bridgeline, an intrastate sister pipeline to Sabine. Most of these interconnects are bidirectional, and all but four (Acadian, Bridgeline, Jefferson Island and Sea Robin) are large-diameter, long-haul interstate pipelines. Depending on the combination of receipt and delivery points, these interconnects total as much as 3 Bcf/d of receipt capacity inside the hub and as much as 2.6 Bcf/d of delivery capacity. (For more on pipeline flows, see RBN’s Arrow Model, which breaks Louisiana and Texas into 11 regions and creates predictions for flows based on internal supply-and-demand fundamentals and the available pipeline capacity from one region to another.)

RBN Energy's "arrow model": link here

Over at x: link here.

An early article on this very subject, April 1, 2025: link here

Fortunately that April 1, 2025, article has been archived

An April 8, 2025, article on the Arrow Model: archived

Manic Monday -- Last Monday In October -- Halloween In View -- October 27, 2025

Locator: 49528B.

Saudi Arabia: poised to become AI data center hub.

Rare earth metals: good news coming out of Asia whirlwind tour?

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Back to the Bakken

WTI: $61.48. Link here.

New wells reporting: link here.

RBN Energy: link here.