Wednesday, February 25, 2026

First Solar -- Trump's Tariffs On India's Solar Panels -- Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Locator: 50054SOLAR.

First Solar: up 37% for full one year -- but pre-market is down almost 20% -- 

I asked a chatbot why First Solar (the ticker) is plunging. The reply: because more people are selling than buying.  

President Trump has just slapped a 126% tariff on India's solar panels exported to the US. Link here

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Lego

Pre-order. Wow! This thing must be huge. Premium pricing. 1,675 pieces, and selling for $229.

Wow! I have $200 in loyalty points. This would cost me $29.99.

Surface Area -- February 25, 2026

Locator: 50053SAND.

Weather: DFW, north Texas today -- will have a high of 84°F; breezy which will make biking difficult, especially on the hills on my 10-mile ride.  

Rounded

  • Saudi Arabia: 830,000 square miles, mostly sand.
  • Mostly not sand:  
    • Permian Basin: 80,000 square miles.
    • Texas: 270,000 square miles.
    • North Slope, Alaska: 100,000 square miles. 
    • Louisiana: 50,000 square miles.
    • Bakken, North Dakota: 10,000 square miles.

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LNG

This graphic simply blows me away -- see below. 

Link here

If you have time to read only one article today on LNG, this is the article. It will only be available to non-subscribers for a few days. I've archived the article but often the graphics are not preserved, unfortunately. 

LNG facilities

  • operational:
    • Cameron LNG
    • Calcaseieu Pass
    • Sabine Pass LNG
  • planned:
    • Port Arthur LNG
    • Golden Pass LNG
    • CP2 LNG
    • Louisiana LNG


 

CP2 LNG
:

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The Book Page

Some folks were curious about the earlier photo so I rearranged the books so folks could see the titles.

These are some of the books I'm reading now. Not pictured, includes a bio on Warren Buffett and a book on infectious diseases (plagues). 

TikTok Update -- Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Locator: 50052TIKTOK.

LoserCNBC this a.m. Among the top five losers in the market yesterday, OKE was one of the five. Down 5%. On a dip like this, I would normally buy more OKE but .... see this throwaway post.

TikTok: much ado about nothing. Link here

US LNG - This Is Truly Amazing -- February 25, 2026

Locator: 50051LNG.

Weather: wow, in the background, CNBC this a.m. -- it's still snowing hard in NYC!

LNG: link here

Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Locator: 50050B.

Never forget: Hunter Hess. 

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Back to the Bakken

WTI: $65.86.

New wells reporting:

  • Friday, February 27, 2026: 57 for the month, 110 for the quarter, 110 for the year,
    • None.
  • Thursday, February 26, 2026: 57 for the month, 110 for the quarter, 110 for the year, 
    • None.
  • Wednesday, February 25, 2026: 57 for the month, 110 for the quarter, 110 for the year,
    • 41672, conf, Phoenix Operating, Gopher 33-34-35 5H
    • 41671, conf, Phoenix Operating, Gopher 33-34-35 4H, 
    • 41670, conf, Phoenix Operating, Gopher 33-34-35 2H, 
    • 41669, conf, Phoenix Operating, Gopher 33-34-35 1H, 
    • 41571, conf, Phoenix Operating, Gopher 33-34-35 3H, 
    • 41419, conf, Hess, BL-Odegaard-156-95-1621H-10, 
    • 41418, conf, Hess, BL-Odegaard-LW-156-95-1621H-1, 
    • 41417, conf, Hess, BL-Kvam-156-95-1720H-3, 
    • 40966, conf, XTO, HBU Sakakawea Federal 13X-35A, 
    • 40965, conf, XTO, HBU Sakakawea Federal 13X-35G, 

RBN Energy: how Canada became the world's #4 oil producer. Link here. Archived.

Canadian crude oil production has once again reached new highs and is expected to continue growing. But, in an area where steep price discounts have been a frequent problem in the past, and in a world that is seemingly awash in crude at the moment, what does that mean for Canadian crude producers, and how will all this growing supply get to market? In today’s RBN blog, the first of a series, we discuss the ongoing growth of Canadian crude supply.

Canadian crude oil and condensate production has nearly doubled since 2010, making Canada the world’s fourth-largest producer, trailing only the U.S., Russia and Saudi Arabia. In fact, the province of Alberta on its own is the world’s #4 producer. Canadian production saw another year of growth in 2025, with November and December setting new highs at 5.6 MMb/d (total across stacked layers at right end of Figure 1 below). All but 4% of this production (gold layer) came from the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin (WCSB), where pipeline capacity constraints and steep price discounts have been a frequent problem for producers over the past couple of decades. 

  

HALO -- Josh Brown -- CNBC -- February 25, 2026

Locator: 50049ARCHIVES.

Note: this is a throwaway post; it is definitely not ready for prime time. Nothing to see here. For the archives. This is for my extended family members interested in investing. It is the fastest way I can get information out to my extended family members.  It is not meant for the general audience. This is not an investment site. Do not make any investment decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. See the blog's disclaimer.  

Investing: the HALO concept, see below, is very, very interesting.  Now that I have my portfolio where I want it, it has just been a matter of tweaking for the past year or so. But now with Josh Brown's HALO concept, I need to look at the portfolio again. 

About three years ago, I made a huge pivot from energy to tech. At the time I was way overweighted in energy and Apple. I could no longer put new money into either energy or Apple. I did make some adjustments in my overall energy portfolio but no new money into energy (oil). I said I would never buy any more AAPL; I had way too much from a diversification point of view. When AAPL recently plunged to $155 I made a exception and added a few more shares. 

There was some excitement in railroads a few years ago and I established a new position in UNP. But it hasn't done much. But I would consider it among the HALO options.  

 But two or three years ago, I forget exactly when, but it must have been sometime in 2023 when the term "Mag 7" was introduced. Prior to that it was FANG. Unfortunately I completely missed that opportunity (FANG), but made sure I didn't miss the next group of stocks that suddenly captivated investors' interest (the "Mag 7" group). But now I'm perfectly weighted, as far as I'm concerned, with regard to the overall portfolio. 

But now, holy mackerel, it's hard to figure out where to go next. I definitely need something in the retail center but that sector has never interested me. But when Walmart self-identified as a tech company (moving to the NASDAQ) that made a big difference. 

Any new money: AMZN, AVGO, and WMT.

I'll "park" money in SCHD, SCHG, and SCHB, when I'm at a loss what to do.  

But HALO gives me something to think about. The only ticker with which I am perplexed: ORCL. Had I done a bit more research, it might have been the one company I might not have initiated a position in the past three years. But, I probably would have. We'll see.

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HALO -- Previously Posted 

Investing: I was just lucky to catch this segment today, link here

Jargon: HALO. Link here

Josh Brown's HALO stocks. This list is dynamic and subject to change at any time. Jim Cramer opened his evening program with HALO -- but didn't / hasn't credited Josh Brown with the acronym ("heavy assets, low obsolescence"). 

Interestingly, Cramer is taking issue with HALO stocks. Cramer couldn't have been more explicit: he doesn't want folks buying into HALO. He wants folks to buy into companies selling things in high demand. 

Cramer sees the chip shortage as the worst shortage of anything ever. Cramer says Anthropic is living rent-free in his brain which means he can't think of any other HALO stocks (with which he has not bought into). I can think of at least one HALO company: CAT. 

I think Josh Brown is talking to investors with a multi-year horizon.

Cramer is talking to traders.  

Josh Brown's initial HALO list:  

  • BRK, SLB, DE
  • HSY(Hershey), 
  • SCCO, GLW, 
  • TPLIRMFDX, CPCL,
  • AAPL 

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Disclaimer 
Briefly

Briefly

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom.
  • Longer version here.