Wednesday, April 15, 2026

AI Is A Bubble! Long Live The Bubble -- April 15, 2026

Locator: 50534TULIPS.

Allbirds annouces stunning pivot from shoes to AI, stock explodes 175%. This has been breaking news for CNBC for the last fifteen minutes. Wow, I'm glad I no longer watch CNBC on television / streaming.

Put this in perspective:

Tulip mania in the Dutch Golden Age peaked rapidly between 1634 and February 1637. While tulip prices had been rising for years, the most intense speculative frenzy occurred during the winter of 1636–1637, with prices collapsing almost overnight in early February 1637.

EVs: How Bad Is It -- Tesla's US Sales Tanked in 1Q26 And Tesla Still Gained Market Share -- April 15, 2026

Locator: 50533EVS.

Tesla: link here

BYD: they never mention the price, and it's subsidized by the Chinese government. Link here. It costs more than the Porsche Taycan. The BYD starts at $135,000. Starts at.

Mercedes: link here. How are they marketing this deluxe Mercedes? It has heated seat belts. I can't make this stuff up. Price is not mentioned in this article. Con razón. At local dealer: $247,850. 

The tiny Cupra Raval: link here. And look at this, tiny of the tiniest is now 10 mm wider. I can't make this up. You have to scroll through a gazillion photos to the very last paragraph to get that tidbit. It also sits 15 mm lower to the ground. Are you kidding me. Fifteen mm lower to the ground! It almost makes me want to go out and buy one. Not!

Ford CEO Farley famously drives a Chinese EV. He desperately doesn't want ohter Americans buying Chinese EVs. He and his son drove a Ford Lightning out to California: reports that it was hell trying to find charging stations. I can't make this up.

Trump Opens The Strait To China -- April 15, 2026

Locator: 50532STRAIT.

It's a little unclear. But we'll sort it out later. He always does. 

I assume Trump's opponents in Congress will now complain that he's opening the strait and will never let the strait be closed again.  

I'm going biking. 

Tesla's New Chip Ready To Go Into Production -- 2,500 Trillion Operations Per Second -- April 15, 2026

Locator: 50531TESLA.

TSLA announced that it has just taped out its A15.

Taped out: the final, crucial stage of the design process for an integrated circuit (chip) before it is sent to a manufacturing facility (foundry) to be produced. It is the official moment the design is completed, verified, and handed over to be manufacture.  

The small print:

  • manufactured in the US:
  • Texas: Samsung
  • Arizona: TSMC

How fast? 2,500 TOPS -- 2,500 trillions of operations per second. That's 2,500 trillions of operations per second.

The 144 GB of memory is likely provided by Samsung. This 144 GB is 9 times more than the 16 GB found in previous Hardware 4 (HW4) systems.

Just saying.

Microsoft: 3,200 Acres -- Large Data Center -- Wyoming -- April 15, 2026

Locator: 50530MSFT.

Link here

Black Hills Energy. Wyoming. 


Ticker: BKH, MDU, SRE. BKH up 23% in last six months. Okay. 

Axios: 1) What War! 2) We Were Wrong, It Turns Out AI Is Not A Bubble -- April 15, 2026

Locator: 50529AXIOS.

Barron's: AI boom is back despite Iran fears; tech stocks can keep rallying. 

Wow, talk about a 180-degree in reporting this morning.

Link here

Blue skies is all I see. Link here

Again, Broadcom In The News -- April 15, 2026

Locator: 50528AVGO.

Link here


Ticker comparisons: AVGO, AMZN, NVDA, and MU. 

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Locator: 50527B.

We've had enough: one hour ago (posted 7:11 a.m. CT) -- US and Iran agree in principle to extend the truce.  

Bloom energy on a tear: how do they do it? "We produce onsite power by converting natural gas to electricity. Okay.  

Ford: CEO Farley -- "do not let Chinese EVs into our country." Okay. 

Earnings:

  • Morgan Stanley: beats; EPS of $3.43 vs $3; revenue of $20.6 billion vs $19.8 billion. Shares up 2% pre-market. 
  • B of A: beats; EPS of $1.11 vs $1.01; revenue of $30.43billion vs $29.93 billion. Shares up 2% pre-market. 
  • SNAP: down 91% in past five years. I remember almost getting sucked into this stock by Josh Brown. SNAP is laying off 16% of its staff as it leans into AI.
  •  

Operation EPIC Fury: it's being reported that President Trump has said there will be no need for a cease-fire extension and that exciting things may happen within the next two days. 

No matter what happens, journalists for the mainstream media have already written their analyses, critical of whatever transpires, and have these articles already to go as soon as the announcements are made. They only have to tweak their analyses once the announcements are made. 

Naval blockade: 100% effective -- every ship that the US Navy radioed to turn around, turned around. Within 36 hours, US forces have completely halted economic trade going into and out of Iran by sea -- Admiral Brad Cooper, CENTCOM Commander. US flag officers are generally (no pun intended) not into hyperbole. 

Mideast: being re-engineered. Saudi's NEOM, the crown jewel of Prince MBS, is now pushing a Europe-Egypt-GCC corridor via trucking and RoPax ferries. Truly amazing.  

Local: six new hotels, museums, under construction in our local area. Updates. Link here

Fastest growing counties in the US: of the top four, two are in Texas -- Kaufman County, Texas; and, Liberty County, Texas. 

The other two, Jasper County, SC; and, Long County, GA. Kaufman County is within the DFW metropolitan area, to the east of Tarrant County and Dallas County, on the northeast side of the metroplex. Liberty County is part of the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land metropolitan statistical area. 

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Back to the Bakken 

WTI: $92.64. Up $1.36; up 1.49% since previous update. It appears we are in a trading range, $95 to $105 for the near term. 

New wells reporting:

  • Thursday, April 16, 2026: 48 for the month, 48 for the quarter, 205 for the year,
    • 42182, conf, BR, Omlid 4--7 MBH, 
    • 42180, conf, BR, Abercrombie 112MBH, 
    • 41804, conf, XTO, GBU Athena 31X-3H,
    • 41803, conf, XTO, GBU Athena 31X-3D, 
    • 40954, conf, Hunt Oil, Shell 153-89-8-17H 1,
  • Wednesday, April 15, 2026: 43 for the month, 43 for the quarter, 200 for the year,
    • 41802, conf, XTO, GBU Athena 31X-3G, 
    • 40867, conf, Hess, RS-Piepkorn-155-92-1208H-2, 

RBN Energy: US feedgas holds strong and Commonwealth LNG nears final investment decision (FID). Link here. Archived

U.S. LNG feedgas is still operating at peak levels, averaging about 19.4 Bcf/d, down 0.08 Bcf/d from the previous week. The only minor disruptions have been tied to pipeline maintenance and several key pipelines have upcoming work scheduled, which may disrupt feedgas availability later this month and into May.

Commonwealth LNG has largely completed commercialization of its 9.5 MMtpa export terminal (1.3 Bcf/d) and is approaching a final investment decision (FID). It is under development by Caturus (formerly Kimmeridge Energy) near Cameron, LA (see picture below). The project has obtained all required regulatory approvals. 

Caturus has indicated FID could come in a matter of weeks (see our blog on how an LNG project reaches FID in Greenlight). As part of recent agreements, existing offtakers EQT and Glencore each agreed to increase their commitment by an additional 1 MMtpa (0.13 Bcf/d) from Commonwealth LNG. Caturus has said it has secured sufficient commercial commitments to move forward and, on April 7, issued a notice to its engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) contractor, Technip Energies, to advance work ahead of FID.