Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Thursday Morning -- August 6, 2026

Locator: 51340B. 

At the end of the day, the "thing" that the current president hates most ... is to be ignored. Iran negotiating with Oman (and not with the United States) may, indeed, be the worst thing Iran could be doing right now. LOL.  

His base: either finish it or get out.  

Hell must have frozen over. RFK, Jr.,'s agency, the FDA, has approved the first mRNA flu vaccine. From TNYT:

The Food and Drug Administration on Wednesday approved the first mRNA flu vaccine, enabling use of a technology that will make it easier to rapidly target a widely prevalent or particularly virulent strain of the virus. 

Irony:

  • eating salad could lead to explosive diarrhea, and for some, death;
  • eating steak? Well, at least you won't be getting cyclosporiasis. 
  • me? I have chorizo for breakfast.  

*******************************
Back to the Bakken

WTI: $74.8.

New wells reporting:

  • Friday, August 7, 2026: 19 for the month, 60 for the quarter, 413 for the year, 
    • 42090, conf, Phoenix Operating, Big Stone 32-29-20 3H, 
    • 41434, conf, Whiting, Jefferson Federal 5003 42-14 4B, 
  • Thursday, August 6, 2026: 17 for the month, 58 for the quarter, 411 for the year,  
    • 42091, conf, Phoenix Operating, Big Stone 32-29-20 5H-LL, 
    • 41983, conf, Murfin Drilling, LC Rambousek 1-9H,
    • 41277, conf, Oasis, Stepanek 5201 13-18 4B,
    • 41276, conf, Oasis, Stepanek 5201 13-18 3B,

RBN Energy: world-class assets headline BP's return to upstream growth. Link hereArchived.

BP has undergone a series of significant strategic transformations since the Deepwater Horizon oil spill in 2010 tarnished its reputation and nearly crippled its balance sheet. Over the past 16 years, the company has undergone multiple restructurings of its upstream portfolio, interrupted by a shift to — and then away from — one of the sector’s most ambitious energy transition strategies. In today’s RBN blog, we chronicle the upstream evolution of one of the oil and gas industry’s most significant integrated companies.

The Deepwater Horizon oil spill, the most consequential disaster in the history of the oil and gas industry, imposed enormous financial, legal, operational and reputational consequences that lasted more than a decade. The April 2010 blowout killed 11 workers and triggered the largest offshore oil spill in U.S. history, releasing an estimated 134 million gallons of crude into the U.S. Gulf. BP’s financial position and strategic direction were severely challenged as it ultimately faced a combined cost of $61.6 billion in cleanup, settlements, fines and compensation — one of the most expensive corporate disasters ever. The company paid a $20.8 billion civil settlement, a $4 billion criminal penalty, and billions more through private claims programs and restoration funding. Equally important, the company faced a loss of confidence by investors, regulators and other industry participants. 

Survival required significant strategic restructuring that continued over the next decade and a half. We should begin by noting that BP announced in July 2010 — three months after the Deepwater Horizon spill — that CEO Tony Hayward would be replaced by Bob Dudley, a Mississippi native who had already been put in charge of handling the spill as president of the newly created Gulf Coast Restoration Organization. Dudley, the first American to lead BP, focused on stabilization: restoring trust, managing the legal fallout, and rebuilding the company’s reputation. BP concentrated capital in a smaller number of high‑quality developments capable of generating durable returns. By the end of the decade, BP had strengthened positions in the offshore Gulf, Azerbaijan, Oman, Egypt, Trinidad & Tobago, and the Lower 48 — assets that now anchor its upstream portfolio.

BP’s evolution can be summarized in three phases, as shown in Figure 1 below.

How The Average Mom-And-Pop Retail Investor Can Afford Some Of These High-Priced Stocks -- August 5, 2026

Locator: 51339INVESTING. 

This is not an investment site. This is not for general readership; this is for me, and for my extended family members to know how I'm thinking.  

Take a look at this blog

On a dollar/share basis (not a p/e per share basis), many of these stocks are priced way to high for the average mom-and-pop retail investor. Here's a solution. Park your "new" money (sales, capital gain, dividends, royalty money, RMDs, inheritances, etc) into ETFs (SCHD, SCHB, SCHG, and IHE, for example) and then when those ETFs accumulate a huge amount of cash and on a "down day" for the market, cash in some of those (or part of those) ETFs and buy these very expensive tech companies. 

I did that and all of a sudden I went from not being able to afford some of these expensive tech companies to being able to buy a share or two. Yes, I know, "slices" are available. "Slices" not for me.  

AAPL: I wasn't paying attention to the market today. So, I just checked. Huge surprise. AAPL closed higher today and it looks like it could go higher tomorrow, albeit not be much. 

*********************************
Disclaimer

Briefly

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution. 
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom. Now, I've added Amazon. And QCOM.
  • Longer version here 
  • A Short Review Of The Hyperscalers -- August 5, 2026

    Locator: 51338HYPERSCALERS. 
    Pageviews: 77,042,097. 10:30 p.m. August 5, 2026.

    See also: Nvidia's GPUs vs Broadcom's TPUs

    This is how it started this evening


    Not only does Amazon need the memory but it also needs the LDCs. So that leads to this question: does Amazon have adequate data center capacity to meet its requirements? The short answer is no.

    Google and Microsoft are facing similar problems. A chatbot query will explain how GOOG and MSFT are addressing this issue. It's a long reply so I won't place it here. I'm interested in something else.  

    Notice in the lower right-hand corner: $MU $AVGO $NVDA.

    One can go down that rabbit hole and be reminded how closely aligned AWS/AMZN and AVGO are.


    This has been discussed on the blog previously.

    And this leads quickly to this query: 

    Musk said recently that Nvidia's GPUs are the best. How do they stack up with AVGO's TPUs? 

    The reply: 


    That led to this query: 
    I know that you would not have any inside information on this, but with the close relationship between Broadcom and Amazon, and the size of Amazon, would it made sense for Amazon to acquire Broadcom, or does the current business model for both make better sense? 
    The reply:


    This is one of the nice things about chatbots. There is no dumb question. No matter how far-fetched, the chatbot will provide so much more information.
     
    On another note, earlier in the blog today, it was noted in an excellent CNBC interview today that a talking head felt that MSFT, GOOG, and AMZN were the premier hyperscalers. Two other hyperscalers: Oracle and SpaceX.
     
    Specialize "AI-native" hyperscalers include CoreWeave, Crusoe Energy, and Nebius Group and Lambda Labs.
     
    And finally, in a league of its own, a consumer-scale  ecosystem: AAPL (Apple, Inc.).
     
    This all helps me sort out where to invest for the grandchildren. 
     
    Ticker, AVGO


     
    For investors, I highly recommend 5-year comparisons for NVDA, AAPL, and AVGO. 

    *********************************
    Disclaimer

    Briefly

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out Nofront of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution. 
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom. Now, I've added Amazon. And QCOM.
  • Longer version here 
  • Copper At All-Time Highs; Geo-Political; Huge Trump Effect; Neither SCCO Nor GLW Benefited; No New Permits But Active Rigs In The Bakken Have Jumped To 30 -- August 5, 2026

    Locator: 51337B.

    BRKB sold all AMZN shares earlier this year. Link here

    Walmart: "back-to-school" sales are ... simply ... amazing. 

    Mideast: if this is where it ends, it's a Pyrrhic victory for Iran. Inviting Oman to join in was simply a "ploy." Trump, of course, definitely knows what is going along, but for a number of reasons he is willing to play along. Fees to transit the strait, apparently, will be "voluntary," about 3% to 10% of value of the cargo. To be determined.   

    Copper: high prices due to geo-political events (i.e. Trump) but there are also supply disruptions in Chile, which supplies 20% of global demand. The disruptions are due to weather, not labor, as far as I know. 

    Jamie DimonCNBC interview -- sounded more bullish than I've generally heard him. Link here.

    Chartists: bullish.  

    MSFT, GOOG, AMZN: in a good CNBC note this morning, the talking head suggested there are the three "clouds" that have the biggest moat (moat = lots and lots of money). It doesn't seem out-of-line to suggest these three companies are the places to park money for your grandchildren.  Cramer says to buy SpaceX for your grandchildren. I prefer MSFT, GOOG, AMZN and many others before I would purchase SPCX.

    For the record: Nvidia makes the best GPUs. Link here

    Tech memory: something is not making sense. Sandisk in correctio. I have no interest in it but it is very, very interesting. One wonders if state moratoria on LDCs having an effect.  

    Human memory

    ***************************************
    Back to the Bakken

    WTI: $75.07.

    Active rigs: 30. Significant jump.

    No new permits per se, however one permitted for recompletion:

    • 41137, CLR, Shadowcat 1-31H, SESE 31-162-95, Divide County, wildcat; the well was drilled to establish oil production from the Winnipeg formation. Initial production: dry. Winnipeg is an exploratory play; tends to be natural gas than oil.

    *********************************
    Disclaimer

    Briefly

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out Nofront of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution. 
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom. Now, I've added Amazon. And QCOM.
  • Longer version here 
  • Testing. … 1 … 2 …. 3 ….August 5, 2026

    Locator: 51336CRASH.

    AI Overview 

    A “spent” SpaceX Falcon 9 upper-stage rocket drifted in an uncontrolled orbit for over 18 months following a deep-space lunar lander mission in January 2025. A mix of Earth's gravity, solar activity, and a lack of remaining fuel eventually pushed the 4-metric-ton piece of space debris onto a collision course with the Moon. 

    The Mission and the Drift
    • The Launch: The Falcon 9 lifted off in January 2025 to carry commercial lunar payloads toward deep space. 
    • The Upper Stage: While the first-stage booster separated and returned, the second-stage upper body remained in space after delivering the required heavy-thrust energy.
    • Uncontrolled Orbit: Because deep-space missions require high energy, the spent segment missed standard atmospheric reentry paths and was left floating without fuel or active steering. 
    The Impact
    • The Collision: Astronomers tracked the object as gravitational forces and solar radiation pressure slowly altered its path, leading to an impact near the Moon's Einstein Crater at roughly 5,400 mph (8,700 km/h). 
    • Safety: Space agencies confirmed the crash posed zero threat to Earth, providing scientists a unique chance to study high-velocity impact dynamics and crater formation on the lunar surface. 

    Remember The Disclaimer -- Time To Take A Breath; Consolidate -- August 5, 2026

    Locator: 51335AMGN.

    Tag: Amgen 

    This is not an investing site. We've discussed this before. See disclaimer.

    AMGN: chart of the day -- completely unexpected -- 

    This particular blog is meant for my extended family. It's not for the general reader. 

    With regard to investing: much of the following has been posted before. 

    Thoughts:

    • after a very volatile, manic two weeks, it's time to slow down, take a breath
      • a new month; lots of dividends to digest 
    • the word for the day: consolidate -- time to add to your favorite positions
    • watch the price of WTI very closely for the next six days
      • if everything goes well, WTI will trend toward $60;
      • if things go badly, WTI will trend toward $80, if not $90 but I'm not betting on $90 any more 
      • it's time for companies like CVX to reward stockholders with a higher dividend or a special dividend -- but I doubt it will happen 
    • new money? If you are unsure what to do, park your money in an ETF -- SCHD, SCHG, SCHB, IHE 

    *********************************
    Disclaimer

    Briefly

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution. 
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom. Now, I've added Amazon. And QCOM.
  • Longer version here 
  • SpaceX Rocket Believed To Have Crashed Into Moon -- August 5, 2026

    Locator: 51334SPACEX.

    Rivian Update -- Cash Burn -- August 5, 2026

    Locator: 51333RIVIAN.

    Tag: EVs Rivian RIVN 


     In a sense, same ol', same ol'.

    Tuesday, August 4, 2026

    Wednesday -- August 5, 2026

    Locator: 51332B.
    Pageviews: 76,123,719 pageviews. 7:30 a.m. August 5, 2026.

    Hormuz Strait: everyone's waiting.  

    Market: seems subdued this morning after yesterday's action.  

    Rivian: cash burn continues to be an issue. 

    Shortly after the open

    ************************************
    Back to the Bakken

    WTI: $74.54 and dropping.

    New wells reporting

    • Thursday, August 6, 2026: 17 for the month, 58 for the quarter, 411 for the year,  
      • 42091, conf, Phoenix Operating, Big Stone 32-29-20 5H-LL, 
      • 41983, conf, Murfin Drilling, LC Rambousek 1-9H,
      • 41277, conf, Oasis, Stepanek 5201 13-18 4B,
      • 41276, conf, Oasis, Stepanek 5201 13-18 3B,
    • Wednesday, August 5, 2026: 13 for the month, 54 for the quarter, 407 for the year, 
      • 42089, conf, Phoenix Operating, Big Stone 32-29-20 3H, 
      • 42088, conf, Phoenix Operating, Big Stone 32-29 2H,
      • 42087, conf, Phoenix Operating, Big Stone 32-29-20 1H, 
      • 42078, conf, Silver Hill Energy Operating, K&L Hegstad South W 158-92-10-22-1MBHX,
      • 41275, conf, Oasis, Stepanek 5201 13-18 2B,

    RBN Energy:  what Williams gains from its acquisition of Momentum Midstream. Link here. Archived.

    The Haynesville Shale is the nation’s third-largest natural gas producer, and the onshore play closest to most of the U.S.’s existing and planned LNG export capacity. Those facts make the gas pipelines between the Haynesville and the Gulf Coast critically important — and valuable — assets, a reality Williams Cos. just affirmed with its newly announced agreement to acquire Momentum Midstream for $5.5 billion. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll examine the transaction, two simultaneously unveiled pipeline expansion projects, and what it all means for Williams, Haynesville gas producers and LNG exporters. We’ll also discuss the unusual history of Momentum, a private equity-backed entity now in its sixth iteration in 22 years.

    As we said earlier this year in Southbound, the Haynesville Shale in North Louisiana and East Texas is one of the most consequential gas basins in the U.S., especially as LNG exports along the Gulf Coast continue to grow. While the Appalachian Basin is the largest gas producer, and the Permian the fastest-growing, the Haynesville stands out for three significant reasons:

    • Its location puts it in a sweet spot, nestled close to Gulf Coast LNG export facilities and well positioned to serve rising power demand across the Southeast.
    • Unlike the Permian and Appalachian basins, the Haynesville isn’t boxed in by infrastructure and pipeline constraints. It has spare pipeline capacity (though that does not mean that all the gas can get to the most ideal markets), which means producers can ramp up output in the near term without waiting for new infrastructure.
    • The basin is extremely responsive to Henry Hub prices, perhaps more so than any other basin in the U.S. When prices are high, production climbs; when prices are low, it pulls back. That makes the Haynesville one of the country’s most effective swing producers.

    Williams already was a leading midstream player in the region before the August 3 announcement that it is acquiring Momentum Midstream (aka M6 Midstream LLC — more on that below) from primary private-equity backer EnCap Flatrock Midstream, Momentum’s management team and other investors for about $3.5 billion of cash and debt considerations and $2 billion of Williams equity. The deal is expected to close later this year.

    As shown in Figure 1 below, Williams owns and operates the 174-mile, 1.8-Bcf/d Louisiana Energy Gateway (LEG; yellow line), which runs from northwestern Louisiana to the gas hub in Gillis, LA. LEG finally came online in Q3 2025 after an extended legal battle with Energy Transfer — a scuffle worth a blog in itself. Williams also owns the 10,000-mile Transco system (red lines), which moves vast amounts of gas through coastal Texas and Louisiana, home to a long list of existing, under-construction and planned LNG export terminals (solid, striped and checked blue diamonds, respectively).

    Most Interesting Thing I've Read All Day -- August 4, 2026.

    Locator: 51331MEMORY.

    This may be the most interesting thing I've read all day. On so many levels. 


    Would Steve Jobs have seen this coming? I really don't know. It's obvious now. It wasn't obvious one year ago.

    Five New Permits; Five Permits Renewed; Three DUCs Reported As Completed -- August 4, 2026

    Locator: 51330ARCHIVES.
    Pageviews: 75,529,180. 4:15 p.m. CT, August 4, 2026.
     

    Tech: if you want to know how the AI build-out is going look at these three tickers today -- GLW, SCCO, and CAT.  Note GLW and SCCO, and now this -- just posted over at x --

    **************************************
    Back to the Bakken 

    WTI: $75.77. 

    Right now, this is the word out of the mideast: Iran and Oman will control the strait. Iran controls who gets in; Oman controls who gets out. Iran will have oversight of the entire strait. And each country will charge a fee for safe passage. 
    If this is how it ends, one can say, Iran will win with a Pyrrhic victory. If that's how it ends, let's see if the US maintains the blockade on Iran. 
    Iran, bringing Oman into the solution, to some extent "legitimizes" the outcome, making it more difficult for Trump to respond militarily. 
    By negotiating with Oman (with Pakistan's blessing; with Saudi Arabia's blessing), Iran can delay negotiations for a long, long time. If absolutely no ships are attacked by the IRGC during this period, it suggests the official government of Iran and IRGC are least working together at some level. 
    [Later, 9:40 p.m. P.M. -- there are reports that Yemeni Houthis have made a major strike on a Dubai, UAE, industrial area. Trump needs to take note. LOL.This may be his break before the Iran-Oman talks get too far along.]

    Active rigs: 28.

    Five new permits, #43184 - #43188, inclusive:

    • Operator: Formentera Operations
    • Field: Larson oil field, Burke County:
    • Comments: 
      • Formentera has permits for five Pettigrew wells, SESW 9-162-94, 
        • to be sited 530 FSL and 1784 / 1924 FWL.

    Five permits renewed:

    • BR: #32791, Patton 1A TFH, Bailey, Dunn County;
    • Stephens DBA SEG Williston (2): two Prattsville Federal permits, Stanley oil field, Mountrail County;
    • KODA Resources (2): two Bock permits, Daneville oil field, Divide County.

    Three producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed:

    • 41955, 1,700, Kraken, Dwyer East 26-35 8H 7H, McKenzie. 
    • 41956, 1,551, Kraken, Dwyer East 26-35 8H 8H, McKenzie. 
    • 42419, 768, Kraken, Emerson 33-28-21 2H, Williams. 

    Off The Net -- I'm Simply Overwhelmed -- I Need To Take A Break -- 1:08 P.M. CT -- August 4, 2026

    Locator: 51330ARCHIVES.
    Pageviews: 75,382,987. 4:15 p.m. CT, August 4, 2026.
     

    Mileage, my little 2012 Honda Civic bought in 2011:


    Apple Options: Incredible. Don't Let The Headlines Scare You -- August 4, 2026

    Locator: 51329APPLE. 

    • So many ways to get the best laptop in the world "for a song," as they say.  Apple is pulling out all stops. 
    • The current best Apple laptop chip: the M5.
    • That replaces the M4.
    • Very, very few will notice the difference between the M4 and the M5.
    • Apple is no longer offering the M4; only the M5.
    • The M5 MacBook Air starts at $1,299.
    • Amazon is already discounting the M5 MacBook Air to $1,149. 
    • But, Amazon is discounting the M4 MacBook Air down as low as $849.
    • On top of that, one can get the M5 MacBook Air, as a lease, for as little as $25 / month for 36 months. Outrageous -- $25 / month. And then trade it in for an upgrade, and continue the lease. Rinse and repeat.  
    • My hunch: we will soon see refurbished MacBook Airs over at Amazon for even less. 
    • There is no excuse not to have the M4 MacBook Air and almost no excuse not to have the M5.  

    More on this later, perhaps, but let's check the markets:

    Sell in May, go away!   

    SpaceX First Earnings Report -- Hits It Out Of The Ballpark -- Stock Market Surges -- August 4, 2026

    Locator: 51328SPACEX.

    Spider-Man: Brand New Day

    Before we check in on SpaceX, let's look at Spider-Man: Brand New Day
    Headline: record Monday at US box office with $47 million. Second-fastest pic to hit $1 billion global. As it stands now, the top three: Spider-Man: Brand New DayBlack Panther's 2018 Presidents Day which did $40.15 million; and, third Star Wars: Fore Awakens at $40.1 million on December 21, 2015. 
    This puts the four-day total at $407 for Spider-Man, behind Toy Story 5 ($463.3 million) and Super Mario Galaxy Movie ($429.8 million). Also as of Monday, Univeral's The Odyssey cracked the four-century mark with $405 milion, the fourth biggest movie at the domestic box office year-to-date. More numbers at this link.

    Now back to SpaceX.  

    I have no position in SpaceX and never will, at least not directly. But SpaceX will impact the market.  

    Apple Revenues In India Top $10 Billion -- First Time Ever To His This Number -- August 4, 2026

    Locator: 51327MARKET.

    Updates

    At open: 

    Original Post 

    Hunch: if US government puts inappropriate pressure on CVX over its earnings, CVX will probably close some refineries for much-needed maintenance. CVX could easily halt sales to re-fill the SPR. 

    Apple: revenues in India top $10 billion; first time ever to hit this number.  

    McDonald's: beat earnings estimate.  

    Meanwhile

    BRK-B: still red, futures:

    **********************************
    Disclaimer
    Briefly

    Briefly

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution. 
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom. Now, I've added Amazon.
  • Longer version here
  • Holy Mackerel -- CAT Just Reported Earnings! Huge -- August 4, 2026

    Locator: 51326CAT.
    Pageviews: 74,518, 087. 6:00 a.m. CT, August 4, 2026.

    Dow closed at a record high, yesterday. 

    WTI: creeping up. 


    You can howl at the wind, but AI is here to stay. The LDC moratorium will be a huge boost for CAT.


     


     

    LDC Update -- August 4, 2026

    Locator: 51325LDCS. 


    Map -- Known LCDs -- US

    Reminder

     Updates

    August 3, 1626: 4,719 known LDCs in the US.  

    July 13, 2026: 4,447 known LDCs in the US, by state -- 

    April 16, 2025


     Top ten, early 2026
    :

     

    Investing -- For The Extended Family -- Not Meant For General Readership -- August 4, 2026

    Locator: 51324INVESTING. 

    This is not an investing site. We've discussed this before.

    CAT: most anticipated earnings call this week for me -- 

    Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) is scheduled to report its second-quarter 2026 financial results on August 4, 2026, with Wall Street analysts expecting an earnings per share (EPS) of $6.25 on revenues of $19.31 billion.

    Whichever way CAT, it is likely that the Dow / NASDAQ will follow; 

    This particular blog is meant for my extended family. It's not for the general reader. 

    With regard to investing: much of the following has been posted before. 

    My portfolio:

    • the portfolio is overweight in energy (oil and gas) and AAPL -- won't add to positions in either;
    • in 2025 or thereabouts made a conscious decide to participate in the AI revolution; initiating positions in most of the MAG 7 and a few others. I consider CAT as part of the AI revolution;
    • about three months ago, I started looking around for the next best thing: I settled on healthcare, big banks; I have a position in one Big Bank, will continue to add; and I'm tip-toeing into healthcare by having added IHE and will continue to add to that position;
    • I remain fully invested in equities; maybe 1% of my portfolio is in bonds;
    • I park my money in ETFs: SCHD, SCHB, SCHG
    • based on earnings results this most recent quarter, it's hard not to add to my AI revolution positions;
    • most of the AI revolution stocks, based on $ price alone are too expensive for me; yes, I know I need to track p/e's more closely;
    • it appears QCOM and AMZN and PLTR may be the best AI-related positions;
    • about a year ago I recognized AMZN as one of my top three tickers to continue adding to my position;
    • QCOM: severe headwinds but pays a. nice dividend; is affordable ($ basis); and has recently shown some life;
    • AMZN, without question, remains my favorite;
    • PLTR: I hold a small position; everything suggests it should have been one of top AI holdings;
    • NVDA: I hold a nice position in NVDA; won't add more; the shift is toward CPUs and memory; GPUs are less attractive right now; although a $5-trillion market cap company can probably turn this around.  

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    Disclaimer

    Briefly

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution. 
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom. Now, I've added Amazon. And QCOM.
  • Longer version here 
  • Economy Firing On All Cylinders -- Tuesday, August 4, 2026

    Locator: 51323ECONOMY. 

    From my perspective, the single major problem with the US economy is the housing industry and raising interest (mortgage) rates won't help solve that problem. A tax break for new single-unit housing would go a long way to solving this problem. Let's say homeowners of newly-constructed homes from 2026 - 2030 would get a doubling of that tax deduction on all interest payments -- all interest payments, not just housing -- for those tax years. And companies who build houses would get similar tax breaks. 

    The fact that the government is not more helpful with regard to the housing industry speaks volumes.  

    Housing affects many, many other facets of the economy.  

    Let This Sink In -- Amazon+MSFT Market Cap -- August 4, 2026

    Locator: 51322INVESTING. 

    AMZN+MSFT have added $1.8 trillion in market cap in three days

    You can howl at the wind, but AI is here to stay. 

    Tuesday -- August 4, 2026

    Locator: 51321B. 

    WTI: $81.32. Gradually, climging.

    New wells reporting:

    • Wednesday, August 5, 2026: 13 for the month, 54 for the quarter, 407 for the year, 
      • 42089, conf, Phoenix Operating, Big Stone 32-29-20 3H, 
      • 42088, conf, Phoenix Operating, Big Stone 32-29 2H,
      • 42087, conf, Phoenix Operating, Big Stone 32-29-20 1H, 
      • 42078, conf, Silver Hill Energy Operating, K&L Hegstad South W 158-92-10-22-1MBHX,
      • 41275, conf, Oasis, Stepanek 5201 13-18 2B,
    • Tuesday, August 4, 2026: 8 for the month, 49 for the quarter, 402 for the year, 
      • 42108, conf, Formentera Operations, Bull Mountain-31-18-DIV S617HF,
      • 42020, conf, Murfin Drilling, LC Rambousek 1-10H,
    • 41435, conf, Whiting, Jefferson Federal 5003 42-14 5B,

    RBN Energy: the factors keeping refined product prices high, even as crude prices fall. Link here. Archived.

    Refined product prices have remained elevated this summer even as crude oil prices have fallen from their 2026 highs set just a few months ago. While several factors are contributing to the differential trends between crude and product prices, the overwhelming reason is that global supply and demand is much tighter in product markets than crude markets. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll discuss the main drivers behind the seeming disconnect between the two.

    This is the latest blog offering insights from our newly released Future of Fuels report. In Waiting on the World to Change, we discussed our forecasts for lower global crude oil prices and a potential rollback in U.S. production in the next few years. More recently, Go With The Flow took a look at some of the key developments — including the Strait of Hormuz closure, U.S. intervention in Venezuela, and plans for a new wave of refined-product pipelines into the West Coast — that have already shaken up the market in a big way, with more changes likely to come.

    As noted in the introduction, the biggest factor keeping product prices elevated this year has been the emergence of a refined product shortage. The most important drivers have been the disruption of normal vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, damage inflicted on refineries in the Persian Gulf region, and the similar severe degradation of Russian refining operations by accelerated and more effective Ukrainian drone strikes. Contributing to these global product shortages are Chinese policies limiting product exports, a lack of new refining capacity coming online, and the impacts of a number of permanent refinery shutdowns over the past 18 months. Within the U.S. in particular, regulatory policies that have pushed Renewable Identification Number (RIN) prices to record levels have added to the high product prices. We’ll look at each of these drivers in turn, beginning with the Strait of Hormuz, and also provide some takes on longer-term refining prospects.

    The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has had a major impact on markets by removing significant volumes of exportable barrels from an already tight market. As shown in Figure 1 below, refined product exports from Persian Gulf countries (excluding Iran) collapsed from more than 3.3 MMb/d in 2025 to just over 1 MMb/d by April, a loss of more than 2 MMb/d. The decline is concentrated in clean products such as diesel (green bar segments), jet fuel (red bar segments) and gasoline (blue bar segments), which have tightened global supply and kept margins elevated. If operations remain severely limited, the squeeze will continue to be felt most acutely in these products. The disruption is not solely the result of shipping constraints. Iranian strikes have also inflicted significant damage on several of the region’s largest refineries, limiting their ability to produce exportable fuels even as shipping routes gradually reopen.

    A Musical Interlude -- August 4, 2026

    Locator: 51320MUSIC. 

    Link here

    I wonder Pete Hegseth goes to bed listening to this song?


    Or maybe this one? Link here.

    Or? Link here

    Monday, August 3, 2026

    Cost Of Air Flights -- I Guess It Depends -- August 3, 2026


    Locator: 51319ARCHIVES. 

     Insanity

    Some might argue that several countries now have crazy men/women running them. In this case, Russia. Coming to the aid of a few Russians in a regional civil war has resulted in this headline for Russia:

    Ukraine’s Drone Campaign Drives Russian Oil Refining to 24-Year Low 

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    The Cost Of Flying

    My flight to Portland, Oregon, from DFW (north Texas) last week (July/August) was appreciably more expensive than my flight that will be taken in late October/November. Same exact flight. 

    On the other hand, choice of seats are costing significantly more. Two years ago, the seat I preferred, 35D, cost $9. Gradually, it has gone up to $25. And even if I pay for it, it is not guaranteed. On my flight from DFW to PDX last week, I had paid for my seat ($19) and at time of boarding I was re-assigned to 36E -- moving me from an aisle seat to a middle seat. I get claustrophobic in window seats and can't hand window seats. Of course, I would never pay for a middle seat, but apparently all seats now carry a special charge if you select a seat.  

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    Dental 

    It's very difficult to get an appointment with my dentist. Usually a 3-month wait for a routine appointment.

    I'm scheduling a root canal. They asked me when would be a good date. I suggested the day after I died. 

    They said, "no."

    My alternative: schedule the root canal for three months from now. If the tooth is doing well, re-schedule for three months down the road. Do that until ...  

    Seriously, I had a root canal by this same dentist, maybe a year ago, and it was no big deal. It took awhile. 

    For the archives. 

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    Word for the Day: Qualia