Tuesday, February 11, 2025

Saudi Arabia's Motiva Update -- The Book Page -- "In Defense Of Partnership" -- Julian E. Zelizer -- February 11, 2025

l

Refining: link here.


From the linked article (I'm kind of surprised Charles Kennedy didn't write this article):

While some U.S. refiners are scaling back, Saudi Arabia’s Motiva Enterprises just made a power move. The Saudi Aramco-owned refinery in Port Arthur, Texas, has quietly expanded its capacity, now processing a record 654,000 barrels per day—officially making it the largest refinery in the United States above Exxon’s Beaumont and Marathon’s Galveston Bay.

Motiva pulled this off without a flashy billion-dollar project—just good old-fashioned optimization, removing bottlenecks in the system to squeeze out more production. And they did it at a time when smaller, less efficient refineries are dropping like flies. LyondellBasell’s Houston plant is closing. Phillips 66’s Los Angeles refinery is shutting down.

Unlike its smaller refining peers, Port Arthur is doubling down, proving that size absolutely matters in refining.

Motiva’s expansion fits into a bigger industry shift, where mega-refineries are getting even bigger while smaller plants either shut down or pivot to biofuels. The rationale? If you can’t be nimble, be massive. And while U.S. refiners whine about demand uncertainties and ESG pressures, Aramco isn’t here to play defense—it’s here to dominate.

The real question now is whether Motiva will finally pull the trigger on its long-rumored petrochemical expansion.
Back in 2021, Aramco was considering pouring $6.6 billion into turning Port Arthur into a full-fledged petrochem hub—a move that would’ve put the plant even further ahead of its competition. That plan seemed to fizzle out, but given this latest expansion, it might just be back on the table.

*******************************
The Book Page

Rivian: despite all the spin by talking heads about how great Rivian is doing especially now that Rivian has been given the go-ahead to sell its vehicles to all comers, the ticker is not reflecting that great news --


*******************************
The Book Page

Link here

From Amazon:

Partisanship is a dirty word in American politics.
If there is one issue on which almost everyone in our divided country seems to agree, it’s the belief that the intense loyalty within the electorate toward Democrats and Republicans is the source of our democratic ills—division, dysfunction, distrust, and disinformation.
The possibilities that responsible partisanship can offer were at the heart of an important intellectual tradition that flourished in the 1950s and 1960s, one which was institutionalized through a sweeping set of congressional reforms in the 1970s and 1980s.
In Defense of Partisanship reimagines what partisanship might look like going forward from today. A new era of party-oriented reforms has the potential to pay respect to the deep differences that divide us—simultaneously creating a more functional path on which two responsible political parties compete to shape policy while still being able to govern.

The author

Julian E. Zelizer is the Malcolm Stevenson Forbes, Class of 1941 Professor of History and Public Affairs at Princeton University, a CNN political analyst and a contributor to NPR’s "Here & Now." He is the author and editor of numerous books, most recently Myth America and Burning Down the House. He lives in New York City.

*****************************
SpaceX Launches

February 11, 2025

SpaceX Falcon 9 from Cape Canaveral: successful.


 



Vati-can't -- Can't Give Up Its Walls, Either -- February 11, 2025

Locator: 48539POCAHONTAS.

Link here.

*************************************
Elizabeth Warren's Net Worth

Link here.

Net worth somewhere between $10 million and $12 million. 

Most interesting factoid from the linked article:

This article was updated January 5, 2025.

Note the most recent tax filing upon which this story was based. Yeah, 2022. Actually, that's only two filings ago -- 2023 was just due a few months ago. And 2024 isn't due for another eight months or so. 

If her net worth is between $10 million and $12 million and her two properties (a house in Cambridge, MA -- near Harvard -- and a town house in DC) less than a million dollars -- where is the other $5 to $7 million? On which she reports savings interest of about $1,500 and dividends of $1,000.

The savings rate at our local federal credit unit is a paltry 0.25% -- x  time 0.25% = $1,500. X = $600,000 in savings? Okay.

********************************
Speaking of X

Time to google Harry Bôlz if you already haven't. 

******************************
What Goes Around, Comes Around

Wasn't it one of the others -- one of these groups -- that ended references to American Indians in college and professional sports?

Everything Suggests "Renewable Energy" Is (Almost) Dead -- If "Renewable Energy" Is On Life Suppport -- Trump Has Four Years In Which To Finish The Job -- February 11, 2025

Locator: 48538RENEWABLES.

BP: may be the poster child for this turn of events. Most recently, link here

BP: back to petroleum. 

In the big scheme of things, the Venn diagram(s):

I'm not sure which is a better representation, A or B.

DEI and Renewable Energy were both "political solutions" to problems that may or may not have existed. 

From the linked article at oilprice:

*********************
Cost Of Renewables

Exhibit A. 

Link here.

MAGA-Fied Vision Of Silicon Valley -- February 11, 2025

Locator: 48537YCOMB.

Tag: Anduril

Tag: silicon valley defense tech movement

Copy and paste from today's Forbes newsletter.

This should be an interesting rabbit hole to explore.  

Going down this rabbit hole will quickly take you -- it took me two clicks and one google query: link here. This blog today -- what follows -- is worth the price of the subscription to themilliondollarway. This blog is so incredibly important (rewarding?) I may quit blogging for the day. LOL.

Before we get started. Forbes newsletter's essay today -- "Elon Musk's Perception Problem." I have trouble with that meme / supposition. 

There are only four words in that meme but I question the use of the word "problem." With those four words I think one could substitute almost any "celebrity" for "Elon Musk," except perhaps Audrey Hepburn. LOL.

Now, back to the "Topline" Forbes article.

This is why this article caught my attention:

Y-Combinator:

Read Article
TOPLINE
A new generation of startups in El Segundo, California, which has become the center of Silicon Valley’s defense tech movement, are leaning into a MAGA-fied, pro-Christian, mostly male-led vision of Silicon Valley.

El Segundo’s founders, or self-identified ‘Gundo bros,’ are commanding the attention of some of the biggest venture capital outfits around. Lux Capital, Andreessen Horowitz and Point72 Ventures are among those who have backed more than half a dozen founders from Discipulus Ventures’ first cohort alone. They’re pouring money into seed-stage companies Durin, which is developing autonomous drilling equipment for the mining industry; Rune Technologies, which is building software for military units to manage supply chains; and Vanguard Defense, which is building a data product for electronic warfare.

Now, Discipulus has launched its own fund to back the second cohort of entrepreneurs that it plans to host for a weeklong event in coming months, raising $6 million from investors. It’s a small fund, but one with big Y Combinator-style ambitions that align with the Trump Administration’s priorities. 

For Augustus Doricko, one of several very online Gundo bros, this second Discipulus cohort is further evidence of a shift away from an era of investment in consumer apps and B2B solutions toward a new one that favors America’s national security interests and military prowess.

WHY IT MATTERS
It’s a so-called “vibe shift” that has inspired a MAGA-fied, pro-Christian vision of Silicon Valley tightly aligned with Elon Musk and the Trump Administration’s goals. The billionaire venture capitalist Marc Andreessen, for example, has backed a venture firm called New Founding, which is building a Christian real estate enclave, and hopes to be part of an effort to “forge new models and institutions that can shape the direction of Western civilization.”
MORE
The Tech Bros Powering Silicon Valley’s Military Fever Dream With Energy Drinks, God And Nicotine

PSX -- RBN Energy -- February 11, 2025

Locator: 48536B.

Lore. Link to Forbes.  

Breaking:

302's: FBI form. Link here.

Marc Fogel, detained in Russia, since 2021, has been released. Breaking: 12:41 p.m. CT, February 11, 2025.

********************************
Back to the Bakken

WTI: $73.54.

New wells:

  • Wednesday, February 12, 2025: 19 for the month, 65 for the quarter, 65 for the year, 
    • 40852, conf, CLR, Taney 3-23H,
    • 39956, conf, Hess, EN-Heinle-LE-156-94-2536H-1,
    • 39952, conf, Hess, EN-Heinle-156-94-2536H-5,
    • 39843, conf, CLR, Harms West Federal 8-32H,
  • Tuesday, February 11, 2025: 15 for the month, 61 for the quarter, 61 for the year,
    • 40842, conf, CLR, Catron 2-26H,

RBN Energy: a new drill down report on consolidation in the midstream sector

The U.S. energy industry’s midstream sector has experienced an extraordinary consolidation over the past few years. This undeniable trend has been driven by the widely held (and sensible) view that the winners in the industry’s next era will be the midstreamers with massive scale and the right assets in the best places. As evidenced by the extension of this buying spree into 2025, there’s still a lot more reshuffling to do. In today’s RBN blog, we discuss a few of the latest midstream deals in the Permian, the Eagle Ford and the Bakken, as well as highlights from our new Drill Down Report on midstream M&A. 

As we said in our last Drill Down Report on the topic (in late 2023), acquisitions in the upstream sector — by E&Ps plus major integrateds like ExxonMobil and Chevron — grab most of the headlines. But there’s also been a lot of M&A activity in the midstream space as the companies that gather, process, transport, store, and export hydrocarbons seek to gain the scale, scope, and synergies they think they will need to succeed in an increasingly competitive industry.

As in our report on midstream M&A in 2022-23, many of the midstream deals announced in 2024 and early 2025 involved the acquisition of companies with extensive holdings in the Permian, which is by far the U.S.’s top crude oil production area and also a major supplier of natural gas and NGLs. Rising Permian production over the past few years spurred a massive buildout of midstream infrastructure — including gathering systems (for crude, associated gas and produced water), gas processing plants, takeaway pipelines (for crude, natural gas and NGLs), storage facilities, fractionators, and export terminals. While a significant portion of that midstream development was undertaken by large publicly held companies or master limited partnerships (MLPs), many other vital projects were developed by privately held midstream companies backed by private equity. In the post-COVID era, with many publicly held companies looking to gain further scale and scope — and many private-equity-backed midstream companies looking to cash in on their well-timed, well-planned developments — it could be argued that conditions for large-scale midstream M&A have never been better.

For proof, consider five noteworthy deals announced so far in the new year — three by Plains All American and one each by Phillips 66 (P66) and Kinder Morgan. We’ll start with P66, which announced January 6 that it had reached an agreement to acquire EPIC NGL — or, more specifically, EPIC Y-Grade GP LLC and EPIC Y-Grade LP, two entities that own a set of significant NGL-related assets between the Permian and Texas’s Gulf Coast — for a total of $2.2 billion. The deal, which is expected to close later this year, will give P66:  to be continued tomorrow.

PSX -- Update -- February 11, 2025

Locator: 48535PSX.

First, this screenshot, then RBN Energy.

The screenshots:

 

Now, RBN Energy:

Wow, this RBN Energy article today could not possibly be more timely.

RBN Energy: a new drill down report on consolidation in the midstream sector. Archived.

The U.S. energy industry’s midstream sector has experienced an extraordinary consolidation over the past few years. This undeniable trend has been driven by the widely held (and sensible) view that the winners in the industry’s next era will be the midstreamers with massive scale and the right assets in the best places. As evidenced by the extension of this buying spree into 2025, there’s still a lot more reshuffling to do. In today’s RBN blog, we discuss a few of the latest midstream deals in the Permian, the Eagle Ford and the Bakken, as well as highlights from our new Drill Down Report on midstream M&A. 

As we said in our last Drill Down Report on the topic (in late 2023), acquisitions in the upstream sector — by E&Ps plus major integrateds like ExxonMobil and Chevron — grab most of the headlines. But there’s also been a lot of M&A activity in the midstream space as the companies that gather, process, transport, store, and export hydrocarbons seek to gain the scale, scope, and synergies they think they will need to succeed in an increasingly competitive industry.

As in our report on midstream M&A in 2022-23, many of the midstream deals announced in 2024 and early 2025 involved the acquisition of companies with extensive holdings in the Permian, which is by far the U.S.’s top crude oil production area and also a major supplier of natural gas and NGLs. Rising Permian production over the past few years spurred a massive buildout of midstream infrastructure — including gathering systems (for crude, associated gas and produced water), gas processing plants, takeaway pipelines (for crude, natural gas and NGLs), storage facilities, fractionators, and export terminals. While a significant portion of that midstream development was undertaken by large publicly held companies or master limited partnerships (MLPs), many other vital projects were developed by privately held midstream companies backed by private equity. In the post-COVID era, with many publicly held companies looking to gain further scale and scope — and many private-equity-backed midstream companies looking to cash in on their well-timed, well-planned developments — it could be argued that conditions for large-scale midstream M&A have never been better.

For proof, consider five noteworthy deals announced so far in the new year — three by Plains All American and one each by Phillips 66 (P66) and Kinder Morgan. We’ll start with P66, which announced January 6 that it had reached an agreement to acquire EPIC NGL — or, more specifically, EPIC Y-Grade GP LLC and EPIC Y-Grade LP, two entities that own a set of significant NGL-related assets between the Permian and Texas’s Gulf Coast — for a total of $2.2 billion. The deal, which is expected to close later this year, will give P66:  to be continued tomorrow.

Toyota RAV4 Vs Ford -- February 11, 2025

Locator: 48534FORD.

Link here to Forbes.  

Link here to Ford Authority.


Fact-checking: this is what AI has to say about that:

But if you ask the question another way, this is the answer you get: