Locator: 50051LNG.
Weather: wow, in the background, CNBC this a.m. -- it's still snowing hard in NYC!
LNG: link here.
Locator: 50051LNG.
Weather: wow, in the background, CNBC this a.m. -- it's still snowing hard in NYC!
LNG: link here.
Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.
Data I'm most interested in today: CDC Covid-19 vaccine data.
Biggest story yesterday: Biden's cash-to-kids program, monthly check starting July 15, 2021, through the end of the year:
Story of the day: Walmart
The market:
ATT:
They're reading the blog:
EVs: "While you were distracted by Elon vs Bitcoin the last few days, Nikola quietly manufactured another 0 vehicles." -- Chadford Whitmore VI. Link here.
Other:
LNG:
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Back to the Bakken
Active rigs:
| $66.58 | 5/18/2021 | 05/18/2020 | 05/18/2019 | 05/18/2018 | 05/18/2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Active Rigs | 19 | 14 | 66 | 61 | 52 |
Three wells coming off the confidential list -- Tuesday, May 18, 2021:
RBN Energy: the impact of decarbonization efforts on the LNG industry.
On the surface, it may seem that the LNG market has normalized after the past year’s tumult, and it’s true that many of the day-to-day disruptions that plagued LNG offtakers and operators have subsided. Mass cargo cancellations are a distant memory, and U.S. LNG exports have been flowing at record levels. Global demand has recovered, and buyers are back to worrying more about what they normally worry about: storage refill and securing enough supply for the next winter. However, in other ways, the pandemic and the more decisive shift toward decarbonization measures in many ways have fundamentally changed how deals for future LNG development will get done. Today, we look at what the global initiative to reduce greenhouse gas emissions will mean for LNG project financing.
The LNG industry has been impacted by three major events in the last 18 months, all of which have implications for the future of the industry in the short-, medium-, and long-term. Firstly, the initial wave of U.S. LNG projects, centered on the U.S. Gulf Coast, has now reached full production capacity, running at rates equivalent to about 10.5 Bcf/d (80 Mtpa), or approximately 20% of global LNG demand in 2020, with the first of the early second-wave projects due to begin exporting later this year. The second major event was brought on by the pandemic and the resulting demand destruction. U.S. LNG suffered from cargo cancellations as a result of COVID-19, which limited exports from the Lower 48 last year to an annual average of 6.5 Bcf/d (49 Mtpa). So far in 2021, there is no sign that there will be a repeat of last year’s cargo cancellations as LNG prices in global markets have been robust, notwithstanding the boost in supply. However, 2020’s global LNG market was essentially unchanged from 2019, growing by less than 1%, versus original market expectations of 4-5%. As such, the demand curve for LNG has shifted to the right by at least one and, more likely, two years, before the anticipated growth trajectory resumes. During this period, sponsors of renewable energy projects havemaintained much of their momentum, and that growth in renewable energy will serve to reduce the plateau or peak demand for LNG as the world pursues decarbonization strategies — which is the third factor that will impact LNG, and the focus of our discussion today. In particular, the current market environment and push for decarbonization are upending traditional approaches to funding and capacity commitments for new developments.
December 10, 2019: from Rigzone --
Enbridge Inc. and Enterprise Products Partners L.P. have agreed to jointly develop and market a deepwater offshore crude oil export terminal capable of fully loading very large crude carrier (VLCC) vessels, Enbridge reported Monday, December 9, 2019.The companies have signed a letter of intent under which they will finalize an equity participation agreement granting Enbridge an option to purchase an ownership interest in Enterprise’s Sea Port Oil Terminal (SPOT) if SPOT receives a deepwater port license.
That last paragraph is why this gets a stand-alone post: this is an important development for the Bakken.Enterprise also noted the SPOT project would comprise onshore and offshore facilities including a fixed platform approximately 30 nautical miles off the Brazoria County, Texas, coast in approximately 115 feet of water. The company added that SPOT would be designed to load VLCCs at rates of approximately 85,000 barrels per hour – equating to approximately 2 million barrels per day.Enbridge’s involvement in SPOT will help the company provide its North American light and heavy crude customers with access to the Houston-area refining market and growing global demand.
Enbridge Inc. and Enterprise Products Partners L.P. have agreed to jointly develop and market a deepwater offshore crude oil export terminal capable of fully loading very large crude carrier (VLCC) vessels, Enbridge reported Monday, December 9, 2019.
The companies have signed a letter of intent under which they will finalize an equity participation agreement granting Enbridge an option to purchase an ownership interest in Enterprise’s Sea Port Oil Terminal (SPOT) if SPOT receives a deepwater port license.
Enterprise also noted the SPOT project would comprise onshore and offshore facilities including a fixed platform approximately 30 nautical miles off the Brazoria County, Texas, coast in approximately 115 feet of water. The company added that SPOT would be designed to load VLCCs at rates of approximately 85,000 barrels per hour – equating to approximately 2 million barrels per day.
Enbridge’s involvement in SPOT will help the company provide its North American light and heavy crude customers with access to the Houston-area refining market and growing global demand.
While expansion projects at onshore terminals allow their developers to build off of existing infrastructure, what they cannot do — at least so far — is enable their docks to fully load deep-draft, 2-MMbbl VLCCs, which are the most cost-efficient waterborne means for transporting crude long distances (like from the Gulf Coast to Asia).
To fill a VLCC to the gills, you need more than 72 feet of draft, and to get that along most of the Texas and Louisiana coast, you typically have to go out at least several miles. Hence, the growing importance of deepwater offshore terminals like the Louisiana Offshore Oil Port (LOOP), which since the early 1980s has been receiving VLCCs fully laden with foreign crude — and since early 2018 has been sending out a small but growing number of VLCCs filled to the brim with U.S.-sourced oil.
LOOP is still the only Gulf Coast facility capable of fully loading VLCCs.
Otherwise, VLCCs exporting crude are generally reverse lightered in specified deepwater lightering areas in the Gulf — a couple of onshore terminals (Moda Midstream’s Ingleside facility near Corpus Christi, and Seaway’s Texas City terminal) can load VLCCs about halfway at their docks, then top them off via reverse lightering.The initial round:
Cameron: to expand; update; Sempra, April 4, 2022.
Driftwood: near FID.
How close is Cheniere to FID on further expansion, March 8, 2022.
Cheniere has sold out all LNG through 2040, March 7, 2022.
Sabine Pass train 6 commissioned, November 1, 2021.
US LNG: FERC authorizes / okays feedgas flows to Sabine Pass train 6. Link here.
September 19, 2021: Cheniere Energy, Inc: asked for FERC approval for a sixth train
at Sabine Pass LNG in Louisiana. Approval was requested by Tuesday,
September 21, 2021 (good luck with a Dem-dominated FERC). Train 6 is
expected to be complete in 1Q22. Link here.
September 2, 2021: Golden Pass, Sabine; first liquefaction train; joint venture, Qatar and XOM; in-service, 2024. Link here.
August 26, 2021: US LNG exports smashing records.
May 18, 2021: update of export terminals.
March 19, 2021: US LNG feedgas demand sets another all-time record. Venture Global LNG's Calcasieu Pass terminal, Louisiana, slated to ship first cargo later this year. Cal-cashew.
March 16, 2021: floating liquefaction natural gas export terminals. At same link, Gibbstown, NJ.
November 12, 2020: Calcasieu Pass update. Huge story.
August 31, 2020: contractor to resume construction at Sabine Pass' Train 6 and the Third Berth project following Hurricane Laura one week ago.
August 13, 2020: update on Tellurian's Driftwood facility here.
May 22, 2020: Sempra Energy delays decision on Part Arthur, TX, project. Saudi Arabia delays decision on securing five huge LNG tankers scheduled for loading in 2025. Link here.
May 20, 2020: Cameron's train 3 starts producing LNG; Hackberry, LA.
September 9, 2019: behind schedule? In the graphic above, EIA shows Cameron to have "T3" by 3Q19. A couple of weeks ago, SRE announced that the first train of the Cameron LNG liquefaction-export project had initiated service, located in Hackberry, LA. The article does confirm that the Cameron facility will have three trains. It's hard to say from the story, but it sounds like the capacity of all three trains combined is 12 million tonnes per annum of LNG, or nearly 1.7 billion cubic feet per day. Conversion at this site.
September 4, 2019: Cheniere declares 2nd train at CC completed; this marks Cheniere's 7th train at CC and Sabine Pass; a 3rd train at CC under construction; estimated completion, 2H21; at Sabine Pass, Cheniere has announced it will build a sixth train. Total now projected: 9. Note: in the graphic above only five trains were projected as of 3Q19.
June 3, 2019: Cheniere to add 6th train at Sabine Pass, Louisiana. Note: in the graphic above only five trains were projected as of 3Q19.
May 30, 2019: of all the proposals in the original list, the most prominent one likely not to proceed any time soon is the G2 LNG proposal for a liquefaction/LNG export facility; up to 14 MTPA; Cameron Parish; according to a 2019 - 2010 Louisiana Economic Outlook white paper.
May 30, 2019: update on the Rio Grande LNG project at this post; this project was on the original list (scroll down).
May 29, 2019: three new LNG export facilities near New Orleans, LA; Venture Global; two of the three were in the original list below;
May 23, 2019: update -- Sempra Energy begins operations at its Cameron export terminal.
May 6, 2019: update -- Sempra's Port Arthur LNG wins federal "okay" to start exports. SeekingAlpha -- can export to countries that don't have a free trade agreement with the US; SRE can export almost 2 billion cfpd; two liquefaction trains. SRE to make FID later this year.
April 19, 2019: update -- a Florida project hits a milestone; Tellurian and Sempra updated.
February 11, 2019: update -- link here --