Friday, January 30, 2026

Is Satya Nadella's Job On The Line? January 30, 2026

Locator: 49885MSFT.

Link here

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So Many Story Lines

First question: is this a "Microsoft specific" issue? 

Second question: what did Gates know and when did he know it? 

First comment: this fits the "big story" mentioned yesterday. See this link. For brevity, I will refer to it as the "two tech investing stove-pipes."

Third question: immediately -- is there another company in the shadows next to "fail"? 

Fourth question: where is a safe haven for those investing in tech? 

Second comment: as bad as it looks, MSFT's share price over the past several months suggest someone knew something.  

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Tickers

MSFT:

AAPL

Disclaimer
Briefly

Briefly

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom.
  • Longer version here.   
  • Added Shares Of Apple To Existing Position -- January 30, 2026

    Locator: 49884AAPL.

    For the extended family members. Not for general readership. See blog's disclaimer: this is not an investment site. This notice is simply for the extended family members.

    I added a significant number of new shares in Apple to my existing position. Because I am so over-weighted in Apple even this new addition won't move the needle right now, but I just can't imagine bargains will come along like this very often.

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    Disclaimer
    Briefly

    Briefly

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom.
  • Longer version here.   
  • Good Morning, America -- January 30, 2026

    Locator: 49883LEMON.

    Focus On Dividends -- CVX -- January 30, 2026

    Locator: 49882CVX.

    First note: when discussing dividends, safety of that dividend is paramount; can the dividend be sustained? 

    Chevron (CVX) reported strong 2025 results with 4Q25 showing a 35% increase in adjusted free cash flow, supported by record production levels despite lower oil prices. The companies returned $27.1 billion to shareholders in 2025 and reported $15.42 billion in levered free cash flor for trailing twelve months.

    And so

    • Chevron (CVX) increased its dividend -- whoo-hoo!
    • a 4.1% increase in its quarterly dividend
    • raised to $1.78 per share, up from $1.71
      • payable: March 10, 2026
      • record date: February 17, 2026
        • ex-dividend: also, February 17, 2026
      • annualized payout: $7.12 per share 

    Influenza -- "Seasonal Flu" -- Sudden Plunge In Cases -- Vaccine Doesn't Work This Year -- January 30, 2026

    Locator: 49881FLU.

    Link here


    Cramer's First Ten Minutes -- January 30, 2026

    Locator: 49880MARKET.

    Market caps this morning:

    • Apple: $3.80 trillion
    • MSFT: $3.22 trillion

    Apple

    • posts quarterly record results
    • talked about this yesterday; won't re-hash, except to say:
      • Microsoft is competing for capital;
      • Apple is competing for chips (or more specifically, competing for fabs where chips are made).

    MSFT: for the archives.

    TGIF -- January 30, 2026

    Locator: 49879B.

    WTI: $65.

    New wells reporting

    • Sunday, February 1, 2026: 2 for the month, 55 for the quarter, 55 for the year,
      • 42133, conf, WGO Resources, Trester 1-21,
      • 42032, conf, Slawson, Rebel Federal 4-32-17TFH
    • Saturday, January 31, 2026: 53 for the month, 53 for the quarter, 53 for the year,
      • 41997, conf, Slawson, Rebel Federal 2-32-17H, 
      • 39806, conf, BR, Mazama 1B, 
    • Friday, January 30, 2026: 51 for the month, 51 for the quarter, 51 for the year,
      • 42033, conf, Slawson, Rebel Federal 5-32-17TFH
      • 41007, conf, Hunt, Nichols-Trulson 156-90-10-14H-1,
      • 41006, conf, Hunt, Palermo 156-90-3-31H 3,

    RBN Energy: Venezuela's heavy oil production needs diluent, opening market for US suppliers. Link here. Archived.