Getting off renewable energy since 1800 (the big slide in renewable energy notwithstanding all you might have heard, LOL):
We have spent the last two centuries getting off renewables because they were mostly weak, costly and unreliable.
Half a century ago, in 1966, the world got 15.6% of its energy from renewables. Today (2016) we still get less of our energy at 13.8%.
With our concern for global warming, we are ramping up the use of renewables. The mainstream reporting lets you believe that renewables are just about to power the entire world. But this is flatly wrong.
The new World Energy Outlook report from the International Energy Agency shows how much renewables will increase over the next quarter century, to 2040. In its New Policies Scenario, which rather optimistically expects all nations to live up to their Paris climate promise, it sees the percentage increase less than 6 percentage points from 13.8% to 19.4%. More realistically, the increase will be 2 percentage points to 15.8%.
Most of the renewables are not solar PV and wind. Today, almost 10 percentage points come from the world’s oldest fuel: wood. Hydropower provides another 2.5 percentage points and all other renewables provide just 1.6 percentage points, of which solar PV and wind provide 0.8 percentage points.
Neither will most renewables in 2040 come from solar PV and wind, as breathless reporting tends to make you believe. 10 percentage points will come from wood. Hydropower provides another 3 percentage points and all other renewables provide 6 percentage points, of which solar PV and wind will (very optimistically) provide 3.7 percentage points.CO2 emission? It was -- and is -- all about economic growth, pure and simple.
Last one for the day, then signing off for awhile. Good luck to all:
NFL hell. Later: I got home in time to see the opening of the Sunday NFL game: they did not televise the national anthem. Smart move. And then I turned to TCM, Two For The Road, with Audrey Hepburn and Albert Finney.