Monday, April 6, 2020

Oasis Osprey Well South Of Williston Trending Toward 500K Bbls Crude Oil Cumulative -- 2.5 Years -- April 6, 2020

As with so many Bakken wells, note the chronological number of this well.

The well:
  • 33499, 593, Oasis, Osprey 5401 44-23H, Todd, 50 stages; 9.9 million lbs; mesh/large/ceramic, a huge well; on the south side of the tracks on the south side of Williston; t10/17; cum 453K 2/20; 
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare

Oasis Peregrine Well South Of Williston Trending Toward 500K Bbls Crude Oil Cumulative -- 2.5 Years -- April 6, 2020

The well:
  • 33130, 1,220, Oasis, Peregrine 5401 42-24H, Todd, 50 stages; 10.1 million lbs; mesh/large/ceramic, a huge well; on the south side of the tracks on the south side of Williston; t10/17; cum 471K 2/20; 
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare

The CLR Tarentaise Wells Have Been Updated -- Huge Wells -- April 6, 2020

Link here.

The Enerplus "Cat" Wells Are Monster Wells -- April 6, 2020

The Enerplus "Cat" wells have been updated; are tracked here. Huge wells.

Another Petro-Hunt Well In The Charlson That Looks To Be A Monster Well -- Still SI/NC -- April 6, 2020

The well:
  • 31492, SI/NC, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-1A-7-5H, 33-053-07045, Charlson, producing nicely; t--; cum 70K in less than three months; fracked 8/11/19 - 8/19/19; a big frack at 12.5 million gallons of water; water 91.8% water by mass;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare

Another Monster Bakken Well -- Will Exceed 500K Bbls Crude Oil Cumulative In Less Than Two Years -- April 6, 2020

Somehow I missed this one. Another great Petro-Hunt well in the Charlson oil field.

The well:
  • 33813, 1,595, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-23D-14-2H, 43 stages; 5.4 million lbs; Charlson, t7/18; cum 489K 2/20; 
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare

Keystone XL Pipeline Work To Begin In Montana -- April 6, 2020

AP link here: work starts in Montana on Keystone XL pipeline. For the archives. Milestones tracked here.

Later: a reader noted that the AP story did not include a map of the proposed route for the Keystone XL. The reader provided a map of that portion of Montana through with the pipeline will run, along with markers for pumping stations and other essential landmarks. I have not fact-checked the accuracy of this map.

So What Really Happened? -- April 6, 2020

Elevator speech for each mass extinction. Ranked in order of severity; in parentheses, chronological order):

Number five, end-Devovian (2, second oldest):
Overall, 19% of all families and 50% of all genera became extinct. A second, distinct mass extinction, the Hangenberg event, closed the Devonian period.
By the Late Devonian, the land had been colonized by plants and insects. In the oceans were massive reefs built by corals and stromatoporoids.
Number four, end-Ordovician (1, oldest):
Generally attributed to two factors: the first wave of extinction may be related to rapid cooling at the end of the Ordovician Period, and the second phase is widely regarded as having been caused by the sea-level fall associated with the glaciation.
All of the major animal groups of the Ordovician oceans survived, includign trilobites, brachiopods, corals, crinoids and graptolites, but each lost important members. Widespread families of trilobites disappeared and graptolites came close to total extinction.
Number three, end-Triassic (4, dare we say penultimate?)
This was a biggie; it resulted in the demise of some 76 percent of all marine and terrestrial species and about 20 percent of all taxonomic families.
On land, all archosaurs other than crocodylomorphs and Avemetatarsalia (pterosaurs and dinosaurs), some remaining therapsids, and many of the large amphibians became extinct.
Statistical analysis of marine losses at this time suggests that the decrease in diversity was caused more by a decrease in speciation than by an increase in extinctions.[5] 
Number two, end-Cretaceous (5, most recent, hopefully the last)
Perhaps the most famous, for many reasons; K–T extinction, abbreviation of Cretaceous–Tertiary extinction, also called K–Pg extinction or Cretaceous–Paleogene extinction, a global extinction event responsible for eliminating approximately 80 percent of all species of animals at or very close to the boundary between the Cretaceous and Paleogene periods, about 66 million years ago.
Most amazing:With the exception of some ectothermic species such as the leatherback sea turtle and crocodiles, no tetrapods weighing more than 25 kilograms (55 pounds) survived. It marked the end of the Cretaceous period, and with it the end of the entire Mesozoic Era, opening the Cenozoic Era that continues today.
The mother of all mass extinctions, number 1, end-Permian, 3, smack-dab in the middle of the five):
It was so bad, it was the only mass extinction of insects. It is the Earth's most severe known extinction event, with up to 96% of all marine species and 70% of terrestrial vertebrate species becoming extinct. Some 57% of all biological families and 83% of all genera became extinct.

ND 2020 Permits -- Where We Stand -- April 6, 2020

Note: in a long note like this there will be content and typographical errors. If this is important to you, go to the source. 

As of April 6, 2020:
  • 201 oil and gas permits for calendar year 2020
  • 97 days in 2020 as of April 6
  • on track for 758 permits for calendar year 2020
Past years, total number of oil and gas permits:
  • 2019, 1,397
  • 2018: 1,466
  • 2017: 1,189
  • 2016: 818
  • 2015: 2,055
  • 2014: 3,012
  • 2013: 2,671
  • 2012: 2,522
  • 2011:1,916 
Fields, number of permits so far this year:
  • Alger: 3
  • Alkali Creek: 2
  • Antelope: 2
  • Bailey: 1
  • Bar Butte :1
  • Beaver Lodge: 10
  • Big Bend: 8
  • Big Gulch: 2
  • Bully: 2
  • Cedar Coulee: 21
  • Dollar Joe: 5
  • Eagle Nest: 6
  • East Fork: 6
  • East Tioga: 18
  • Elidah: 5
  • Enget Lake: 2
  • Hofflund: 1
  • Jim Creek: 4
  • Killdeer: 3
  • Little Knife: 7
  • Lone Butte: 4
  • Lone Tree Lake: 2
  • Long Creek: 2
  • Mandaree: 6
  • Manitou: 4
  • Moccasin Creek: 1
  • Murphy Creek: 5
  • North Branch: 1
  • North Folk: 5
  • Northwest McGregor: 1
  • Oliver: 9
  • Phelps Bay: 7
  • Pronghorn: 2
  • Reunion Bay: 3
  • Sand Creek: 5
  • Sanish: 12
  • Siverston: 2
  • Spotted Horn: 5
  • Squaw Creek: 3
  • Stockyard Creek: 5
  • Stoneview: 3
  • Strandahl: 1
  • Tioga: 2
  • Wildcat: 1
Operator, number of permits so far this year:
  • BR: 5
  • Bruin: 1
  • CLR: 38
  • Enerplus: 2
  • EOG: 1
  • Hess: 19
  • KODA: 2
  • Kraken: 18
  • Liberty Resources: 3
  • MinnKota Power Coop:1
  • MRO: 12
  • Oasis: 5
  • Petro-Hunt: 30
  • Sinclair: 7
  • Slawson: 8
  • True Oil: 1
  • Whiting: 14
  • WPX: 20
  • XTO: 8
  • Zavanna: 6
Link here for the following two graphics:

Producing wells:
  • total number of producing wells in North Dakota at end of 1/20: 15,602 producing wells.
  • total number of producing Bakken wells in North Dakota at end of 1/20: 13,480 producing Bakken wells.
Number of wells off-line for operational reasons, the end of 1/20, link here:
  • DUCs: 1,024 (up 66 from the 958 in December)
  • inactive well count: 2,608 (up 687 from 1,920 in December -- a huge increase)
  • totals, wells off line for operational reasons: 3,631 -- up significantly month-over-month -- an increase of 753 or up an astounding 26% from the previous month;
  • this sets a new record of the the number of wells off line for operational reasons; the previous record was September, 2019, (3,020)

Number Of Active Rigs In ND Drop To 39; Petro-Hunt With Three New Permits -- April 6, 2020

Active rigs:

Active Rigs3962574928

Three new permits, #37496 - #37498, inclusive:
  • Operator: Petro-Hunt
  • Field: East Tioga (Burke County)
  • Comments: 
    • Petro-Hunt has permits for a State 3-well pad in East Tioga, SESE 24-159-94
    • this is "Tier 2" at best, and probably "Tier 3"
    • one producing well in this drilling unit
      • 29385, 387, Petro-Hunt, State 159-94-25B-36-1H, Three Forks, 37 stages, 6.1 million lbs; East Tioga, t4/15; cum 166K 2/20;
        • permit was for middle Bakken;
        • September, 2014, request for change in target to Three Forks;

Notes From All Over -- The Screenshot Edition -- April 6, 2020

Twitter analysts: it's hard for me to believe that the professional "oil analysts" over at twitter have not seen what's going on. See below. 

Saudi surge. Almost all this "new" oil, I assume, simply came out of storage. Saudi had to remove oil from their onshore storage tanks to off-shore VLCC. They simply had to do something with the excess amount of oil coming on the market even without new production.

This is why there is a glut of oil; it has little to do with the Saudi surge.

Americans are lovin' it. If Saudi Arabia wants to give away their lifeblood, Americans will gladly take it.

The Gothic Page

Wow, wow, wow. I read well into the middle of the night. I completely missed the "Gothic female" angle while reading Wuthering Heights. It will be interesting to see if the Annotated Wuthering Heights mentions the phrase "Gothic female." I don't recall seeing that phrase the first time reading the book; I'll look again for it.

I'll provide some links later. Time to go pick up Sophia.


One of the highlights of my long life was seeing Liberace play Tchaikovsky's piano concerto #1 in B-flat minor in Las Vegas, probably about 1978. From wiki:
At the height of his fame, from the 1950s to the 1970s, Liberace was the highest-paid entertainer in the world, with established concert residencies in Las Vegas, and an international touring schedule.
Liberace embraced a lifestyle of flamboyant excess both on and off stage, acquiring the nickname "Mr. Showmanship."

Busy, Busy Monday -- Two Wells Coming Off Confidential List But SOOO Much More -- April 6, 2020

First things first: that NASCAR race last night might have been fake, but the consequences were real. Wow. Amazing. Who would have thought. Stories/links everywhere. Here's one. We'll come back to this later.

Focus on Fracking: blog by "rjs." Correct me if I'm wrong but this seems to be one of the longest blogs ever at "Focus on Fracking." Link here. A lot of good stuff there. Recommend scrolling through very quickly to see the "headline" stories and then going back to those that interest. Two very nice graphics on break-even prices in the various US shale plays. I will come back to "Focus on Fracking" later.

Why Californians are getting reamed at the pump: I'm not sure there is anything new here, but it's nice someone posted this -- "Watts Up With That." Link here.

The next grand minimum: I missed this until last night. Wow. I hope the site doesn't come down. I learned more about solar cycles at that blog than anywhere else. Link here.

Canadian dollar: hanging in there at just above 70 cents US.

Wuhan flu: same ol', same ol." Governor Cuomo appears to be losing it. Literally and figuratively.

Apple: donating over 20 million masks to healthcare professionals

Back to the Bakken

Active rigs:

Active Rigs4462574928

Only wells coming off confidential list this weekend, Monday --  

Monday, April 6, 2020: 5 for the month; 5 for the quarter, 260 for the year:
  • None.
Sunday, April 5, 2020: 5 for the month; 5 for the quarter, 260 for the year:
  • 36263, drl, WPX, Rubia 24-13HD, Mandaree, t--; cum 60K in 27 days; see this post;
Saturday, April 4, 2020: 4 for the month; 4 for the quarter, 259 for the year:
  • 36262, drl, WPX, Rubia 24-13HZ, Mandaree, t--; cum 56K in 27 days; see this post;
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