Sunday, January 19, 2025

The Winter Storm From Houston Through Southern Louisiana Is Now Forecast To Be "Generational" -- Multiple Sources -- January 19, 2025

Locator: 44721STORM.

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The First Fifty Executive Orders -- January 19, 2025

Locator: 44720TRUMP.

Some maintain that a gap of four years between Trump 1.0 and Trump 2.0 .... allowed for a lot of things ... mostly planning ... strategizing ... watching and learning ... 

Energy: we'll start here. Doug Burgum is going to be at the center of this one. Link here.

  • high on the list:
    • that pause on LNG export permits ...
    • that tanker car LNG issue ...
    • the Keystone XL ...
    • offshore drilling ...
    • methane emissions ...
    • EV mandates  ... CAFE standards
  • remember, this is a national energy emergency ...

Immigration:

Taxes:

Culture:

  • will save TikTok

Bluesky vs X:

  • search "Trump" on both sites
    • one site: profanity, f-bombs, and cup half-empty
    • other site: high energy, optimistic and cup half-full
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A Well That Won't Die -- The Whiting Maki Well Is Trending Toward One Million BBLs Crude Oil -- January 19, 2025

Locator: 44719B.

Note that just a couple of years ago this well was on "AB" status.

The well:

  • 17612, A/AB/4,345, Whiting, Maki 11-27H, Sanish, t10/09; cum 882K 11/19; off line 11/19; cum 906K 11/24;
BAKKEN6-2023301139111869824281904464
BAKKEN5-2023317908051596110597172
BAKKEN4-202330979101219732204211432
BAKKEN3-2023311595158660932883122104
BAKKEN2-20232715351497312208420300
BAKKEN1-20232611231116377166416066
BAKKEN12-202229100199013335183301161
BAKKEN11-20222555352422390
BAKKEN10-20220000000
BAKKEN9-20220000000
BAKKEN8-20220000000
BAKKEN7-20220000000
BAKKEN6-20220000000
BAKKEN5-20220000000
BAKKEN4-20220000000
BAKKEN3-20220000000
BAKKEN2-20220000000
BAKKEN1-20220000000
BAKKEN12-20210000000
BAKKEN11-20210000000
BAKKEN10-20210000000
BAKKEN9-20210000000
BAKKEN8-20210000000
BAKKEN7-20210000000
BAKKEN6-20210000000
BAKKEN5-20210000000
BAKKEN4-20210000000
BAKKEN3-20210000000
BAKKEN2-20210000000
BAKKEN1-20210000000
BAKKEN12-20200000000
BAKKEN11-20200000000
BAKKEN10-20200000000
BAKKEN9-20200000000
BAKKEN8-20200000000
BAKKEN7-20200000000
BAKKEN6-20200000000
BAKKEN5-20200000000
BAKKEN4-20200000000
BAKKEN3-20200000000
BAKKEN2-20200000000
BAKKEN1-20200000000
BAKKEN12-201900670000
BAKKEN11-20192710291008325456545130
BAKKEN10-20193110931057379441343510
BAKKEN9-20193012521283424452744670
BAKKEN8-201931115611447663512340644
BAKKEN7-2019311456144244950984677359
BAKKEN6-2019301474146446962595365834
BAKKEN5-20193152353431126892350277
BAKKEN4-20193049650519035513177317 
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What The Bakken Is All About -- Incredible EOG Wells In The Parshall Oil Field -- January 19, 2025

Locator: 44718B.

Four wells in two sections, with total production to date; spacing: some are single-section; others are two-section:

  • 25374: cum 1.201732 million bbls
  • 17122; cum 732K
  • 17111, cum 950K
  • 40645, N/A, new;

The map:

The wells:

  • 25374, 1,414, EOG, Austin 39-3204H, Parshall, ICO, F, t9/13; cum 1.091696 million bbls; still producing 4,000 bbls/month; 3/20; link here; cum 1.201732 million bbls 11/24; note early production:
BAKKEN12-201431316123161217543552416381410
BAKKEN11-201430334713349120440255303319438
BAKKEN10-2014313738237255358459122596519446
BAKKEN9-2014304089140938575397592406315212
BAKKEN8-201415191621924826981233311853406
BAKKEN7-2014293947239797107732919271335653
BAKKEN6-2014294025740197590725064186706250
BAKKEN5-2014138103501521490
BAKKEN4-201429278292865512921775204071227
BAKKEN3-201431310873130961222601822092
BAKKEN2-20142830924306175819692019554
BAKKEN1-20142225395249886913664013565
BAKKEN12-201325273932811510114349014242
BAKKEN11-201330371883719443518371018231
BAKKEN10-2013294376042959131424640024505
BAKKEN9-2013121444113778124310696010640
BAKKEN4-20130000000
  • 17122, 581, EOG, Austin 24-33H, Parshall, t8/09; cum 732K 11/24; note recent jump:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN11-2024301414124218395766353
BAKKEN10-20240000000
BAKKEN9-20240000000
BAKKEN8-20241000200
BAKKEN7-20242830736217594975563
BAKKEN6-202430575573531707139073
BAKKEN5-202431607571661908158775
  • and, a jump earlier:
BAKKEN3-201931221922722393242295931
BAKKEN2-20191713911311364171415810
BAKKEN1-201926706718585253125
BAKKEN12-2018319991034901090703135
BAKKEN11-20183085784732823428154
BAKKEN10-20183015001420651176715253
BAKKEN9-2018100124000
BAKKEN8-2018174074083428717420
BAKKEN7-201810263335137136370
BAKKEN6-2018309549771232120770

  • 40645, AL/A, EOG, Apricot 0328-02H, Parshall, t11/24; cum 15K over first 25 days:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN11-2024251505714794445792039019184
  • 17111, 1,341, EOG, Austin 24-33H, Parshall, t6/08; cum 950K 11/24; period of note:
BAKKEN8-202331227922641103348303462
BAKKEN7-202331212221372073088277660
BAKKEN6-202330198019842202673237754
BAKKEN5-202331202620261222639233358
BAKKEN4-202330187718681122152185751
BAKKEN3-202331170116961231858155848
BAKKEN2-2023176526222068467140
BAKKEN1-20233110414224171694
BAKKEN12-20222015215404042457
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Updating An Old MSFT Note -- January 19, 2025

Locator: 44717MSFT.

The old note, 2020:

$2.3 trillion market cap:

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Eggs -- This Is An Interesting One -- January 19, 2025

Locator: 44716EGGS.

Breaking: watching the pre-inauguration celebrations, it's almost as if the past four years never happened; Biden is already completely forgotten. The two big changes: elegance is back and, the new president has a normal gait.

Moving inside: dampened no one's spirits; crowds are surging:

Tag: inflation Trump

Eggs:

The price of eggs has nothing to do with underlying inflation / government spending. 

Everyone's blaming it on avian flu -- which is the underlying cause, of course -- but there are two other things contributing to the high cost of eggs, both derivatives of hoarding:

  • due to all the talk about an egg shortage, I now maintain a "risk-supply" of three one-dozen cartons at all times; up from my historical two one-dozen cartons (that's a 50% increase); and,
  • I'm seeing more and more 18-egg cartons which suggests to me that 18-egg cartons are the new "normal" when it comes to eggs.

For myself, I'm thinking of moving to 18-egg cartons.

I'm starting to save empty 12-egg cartons to transfer eggs from the 1 1/2 dozen carts to 1-dozen cartons.

January 20, 2025: it turns out hoarding is a problem. After mentioning this to my adult daughter, she said that this past week -- for the first time ever (except perhaps the Covid-19 lockdown) -- a local grocer was limiting the purchase of eggs to two cartons. Which, of course, makes the 18-egg cartons more "valuable."

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Updating An Old Post -- Updating Production Numbers -- January 19, 2025

Locator: 44715B.

Updating an old post:

XTO FBIR Blackmedicine:

  • Unless I'm missing something, these wells -- the XTO FBIR Blackmedicine wells -- look like incredibly poor wells -- except for the very first one. I noted that two of the wells have just come off line.
BR Rising Sun:
  • these are good wells in Clear Creek oil field. It appears that they are all coming off line; some have been offline for a few months now. Nothing on the map to explain why, although I might have missed something. 
  • production updates will be posted here.
Slawson Jeriyote:
  • 24919, 660, Slawson, Jeriyote 7-5-32TFH, Big Bend, t7/14; cum 219K 9/19; sporadic production but seems to be a great well now, 3/19; off line as of 9/19; remains off line, 1/20; back on line; cum 302K 1/22; cum 360K 11/24; still a great well;
WPX Martin Fox:
  • 23678, 1,438, WPX. Martin Fox 20-17HD, Mandaree, t2/14; cum 366K 10/19; off line 11/19; remains off line 1/20; back on line; cum 418k 1/22; cum 480K 11/24;
  • 23679, 1,249, WPX, Martin Fox 20-17HZ, Mandaree, t2/14; cum 310K 10/19; off line 10/19; remains off line 1/20; cum 316K 1/22; cum 379K 11/24;
  • 23680, 1,569, WPX, Martin Fox 20-17HC, Mandaree, t3/14; cum 377K 1/20; off line as of 11/19, but then one day of production 1/20; cum 426K 1/22; cum 473K 11/24;
Hess GN-Dalseng:
  • 26331, 493, Hess, GN-Dalseng-158-97-1102H-1, New Home, t9/14; cum 84K 1/20; off line 1/20; back on line; cum 97K 1/22; cum 110K 11/24;
Sinclair Porcupine:
  • 19269, 410, SOGC (Sinclair), Porcupine 1-19H, middle Bakken, Little Knife;  t9/11; cum 212K 12/19; off line 1/20; back on line; subtle but definite jump in production; cum 240K 1/22; cum 313K 11/24;
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Locator: 10010HAWKEYE.

Updates

January 19, 2025: IPs and production numbers updated. The map:

Original Post

Back in October, 2011, I posted this case from the NDIC hearing dockets:

Case No. 16110: Application of Hess Corp. for an order amending the applicable orders for the Hawkeye-Bakken Pool to allow up to six horizontal wells and up to eight vertical wells to be drilled in a 1280-acre spacing unit described as Sections 18 and 19, T.152N., R.95W., McKenzie County, ND, and such other relief as is appropriate.
It looks like Hess is drilling these wells in section 18. Here is the status of the older wells and the newer wells in section 18:
  • 1256, 368/PNA/PA, Hess, Hawkeye-Madison Unit E-611, Hawkeye, Madison well; t10/56; cum 335K; 
  • 1295, PA/288, Hess, Hawkeye-Madison Unit E-613 HR, Hawkeye, Madison well; t1/57; cum 240K 3/13; (went on IA status during latter half of 2012; now active again; inactive, 10/14)
  • 1562, 177/PA, Hess, Hawkeye-Madison Unit D-614, Hawkeye, Madison well; t12/57; cum 76K
  • 17070, A/IA/783, Hess, HA-Swenson-152-95-1819H-1, Hawkeye, Bakken; t11/08; F; cum272K 1/17; taken off-line 1/17; back on line 6/17; cum 348K 11/21; cum 372K 11/24;
  • 22415, SI/PA, Hess, HA-Swenson Observation-18-1, Hawkeye,
  • 22417, SI/PA, Hess, HA-Swenson Observation-18-3, Hawkeye,
  • 22367, PNC/PNC, Hess, HA-Swenson 152-95-1819H-2, Hawkeye,
  • 22416, SI/PA, Hess, HA-Swenson Observation-18-2, Hawkeye, a Birdbear well;
  • 22420, PNC, Hess, HA-Swenson Observation-18-4, Hawkeye,
  • 22635, 1,114, Hess, HA-Swenson-152-95-1819H-5, Hawkeye, t5/13; cum 214K 1/17; cum 304K 11/21; cum 337K 11/24;
Three older Madison wells are in section 19.
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Updating A CLR Whitman Well In Oakdale Oil Field -- January 19, 2025

Locator: 10010JACK.

Updates

The well:

  • 20212, 482, CLR, Whitman 3-34H, Oakdale, fracked?; t9/11; cum 103K 1/17; API: 33-035-01261; no evidence this was fracked; cum 1.014994 million 11/21; production since 2014; note huge jump in production 2018. tell me about the dreaded Bakken decline again; and, Hubbert's peak oil theory? Cum 1.115260 million bbls 10/24; cum 1.154427 million bbls 11/24;

January 19, 2025: recent production --

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN11-202430182617981344281724410
BAKKEN10-202427183419661349267423220
BAKKEN9-202430212320051677329428900
BAKKEN8-202431225422401764347430560
BAKKEN7-20243122592311187634742911152
BAKKEN6-202430231323781974342930260
BAKKEN5-202431247925912153357731590

December 13, 2024: production updated. Recent production:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-202427183419661349267423220
BAKKEN9-202430212320051677329428900
BAKKEN8-202431225422401764347430560
BAKKEN7-20243122592311187634742911152
BAKKEN6-202430231323781974342930260
BAKKEN5-202431247925912153357731590
BAKKEN4-202430241322402089344730450
BAKKEN3-202431261226952392339329750

Later, 7:19 p.m. CT: see first comment. The file report shows this Three Forks well was fracked / stimulated 9/22/2017; 61 stages with 14.54 million lbs of proppant. FracFocus does not have any data regarding this well.

Original Post 

We last checked in on this well back in 2017. It was drilled six years earlier, in 2011, and I was never able to determine if it had been fracked. 

At best, as of 2017, it was a mediocre well, reporting cumulative production of around 100,000 bbls. But, wow, holy mackerel, checking tonight, this well has reported more than one million bbls crude oil cumulative. Full production here.

The well:

  • 20212, 482, Whitman 3-34H, Oakdale, fracked?; t9/11; cum 103K 1/17; API: 33-035-01261; no evidence this was fracked; cum 1.014994 million 11/21; production since 2014; note huge jump in production 2018. tell me about the dreaded Bakken decline again; and, Hubbert's peak oil theory? Cum 1.115260 million bbls 10/24;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN11-2021301182011842237325132247580
BAKKEN10-2021311326613173234128058276530
BAKKEN9-2021301288912902212026793264100
BAKKEN8-2021311399413972219329004286010
BAKKEN7-202131147541482925403027029296555
BAKKEN6-2021301480814797252829386289850
BAKKEN5-202131160031596429023153630817300
BAKKEN4-2021301624616830301130859304740
BAKKEN3-202131179391725727723280832189200
BAKKEN2-2021281762617813346727458270810
BAKKEN1-2021221234912302243519343190810
BAKKEN12-2020311728917182289427423270150
BAKKEN11-202030183531852833223155230835312
BAKKEN10-2020312050320420391334521341130
BAKKEN9-20203020612205653945324733202958
BAKKEN8-2020312341523393454834091337030
BAKKEN7-202030254972525040642902728102520
BAKKEN6-20200000000
BAKKEN5-2020312506925630538438095376840
BAKKEN4-202024182831813136652361923099253
BAKKEN3-2020312610525993566835857354380
BAKKEN2-202028232832328652253058729735493
BAKKEN1-2020312671026794633333634332150
BAKKEN12-2019312759727551651334966345490
BAKKEN11-201930275972760376773039129150843
BAKKEN10-201925196151931767822010519254574
BAKKEN9-201927194581975859322095620086592
BAKKEN8-201931279222778010332296982921665
BAKKEN7-2019312575226021127962886328109349
BAKKEN6-20193027902279081290329790293890
BAKKEN5-20193027570276701120328086255222193
BAKKEN4-2019302842728258124863008629312382
BAKKEN3-201931286282868614764312543081923
BAKKEN2-20192825683253191420226821264500
BAKKEN1-20191613734136011012813831136280
BAKKEN12-2018221621616649926018218165941334
BAKKEN11-2018293205032060798233651307742503
BAKKEN10-20183137074369921081339302356113272
BAKKEN9-20183036826366251433138670340104265
BAKKEN8-2018447314441237846213785786
BAKKEN7-20181676784403
BAKKEN6-2018111380000
BAKKEN5-2018004030000
BAKKEN4-20181632393127473246523760
BAKKEN3-201819548656317564317413950
BAKKEN2-20182553105088595444542610
BAKKEN1-201831105131072518698937864150
BAKKEN12-2017312190321790484124087238390
BAKKEN11-201730194521980953791966718479968
BAKKEN10-201721121501140168471354971916268
BAKKEN9-20170000000
BAKKEN8-20170000000
BAKKEN7-20170000000
BAKKEN6-20170000000
BAKKEN5-20171002000
BAKKEN4-20175380363981151140
BAKKEN3-201761573200108990
BAKKEN2-2017416217001740158
BAKKEN1-2017315828401540153
BAKKEN12-20162147001620146
BAKKEN11-201631521840500
BAKKEN10-2016215127821231150
BAKKEN9-2016314800300
BAKKEN8-201621410280080
BAKKEN7-201671892032589880
BAKKEN6-2016002390000
BAKKEN5-20164203132221021010
BAKKEN4-201631620798970
BAKKEN3-20164199176094930
BAKKEN2-201610196191097950
BAKKEN1-20161320019701111080
BAKKEN12-201511136199016740124
BAKKEN11-20152680056055
BAKKEN10-20151019719521241060
BAKKEN9-20151500025200
BAKKEN8-20153014530133371430
BAKKEN7-20151220102829414259
BAKKEN6-2015169128813195750
BAKKEN5-201531225293123751290
BAKKEN4-20153025626603571170
BAKKEN3-201531264296103671190
BAKKEN2-2015282572842238014313
BAKKEN1-2015313011792846212292
BAKKEN12-20142837029811244599137
BAKKEN11-20143038557460559222124
BAKKEN10-20143142032685292820
BAKKEN9-2014305226322264934274
BAKKEN8-201431633596237214727
BAKKEN7-201431774592756386380
BAKKEN6-201430100611306292386558
BAKKEN5-20142912931200517113311330
BAKKEN4-20143011781463153106410586
BAKKEN3-2014311201113611399296230
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