Monday, October 8, 2018

Flathead Lake, Montana -- Nothing About The Bakken -- October 8, 2018

Wow, I get tired of misuse of statistics.

From the article that went viral today regarding the homeless in Portland:
In Portland, the police oversight agency is reviewing how officers interact with homeless people - many suffering from drug addiction and mental health issues - after a report suggested they accounted for 52% of the arrests recorded last year, despite being a tiny fraction of the local population of some 640,000.
Here's another statistic regarding crime:
  • Almost 100% of bank robberies occur in or near banks.
  • A disproportionate number of those in US prisons are criminals.
Homeless in Portland, and sleepless in Seattle.



Flathead Lake.

Autumn. Sun setting early. Cozy, warm kitchen table.

Time to read.

The Last Best Place: A Montana Anthology, edited by William Kittredge and Annick Smith, c. 1998, University of Washington Press, Seattle and London
1,143 pages (does not include a dozen pages of bibliography at the end)

  • Section 1: Native American Stories and Myths
  • Section 2: Journals of Exploration
  • Section 3: Stories of Early Pioneers and Indians
  • Section 4: Writings About Butte
  • Section 5: Remembering the Agricultural Frontier
  • Section 6: Literature of Modern Montana
  • Section 7: Contemporary Fiction
  • Section 8: Contemporary Poetry
Hundreds of authors and poets

One example: George Bird Grinnell, p. 49
  • 1849 - 1938
  • Zoologist, anthropologist, and historian of the American West
  • trained at Yale
  • first expedition out west: 1870
  • returned with Custer's expedition to the Black Hills in 1874
  • explored the Yellowstone in 1875
  • "Yellowtop-to-Head-Woman" was brought to Grinnell by John J. White, Jr. -- Grinnell said "it was a sacred story and must not be told except at night, and a prayer made for forgiveness for having told it."
Authors and poets featured in the anthology: Native Americans; native Montanans; from many different states in the US; a very few from outside the US; but what surprised me were all the authors and poets from Iowa:
  • Con Price, p. 430: born in Iowa in 1869
  • L. A. Huffman, p. 433: born in Iowa in 1854
  • Joseph Kinsey Howard, p. 524: born in Iowa in 1906
  • Jason Bolles, p. 673: born in Denison, Iowa, in 1900
  • Wallace Stegner, p. 675: born in Iowa in 1909
  • Dorothy M. Johnson, p. 719: born in McGrrgor, Iowa, in 1905
  • Norman MacLean, p. 765: born in Iowa, in 1902
  • James Crumly, p. 822: born in Texas in 1939; MFA from University of Iowa
  • Gary Holthaus, p. 1092: born in Iowa in 1932

Come Away With Me, Norah Jones

Major Refinery Fire -- Could Affect New England; WPX Reports Two Great Wells -- October 8, 2018

Road to New England, just in time for winter: from Argus Media --
  • Irving Oil confirmed a "major incident" today at its 300,000 b/d refinery in St John, New Brunswick
  • it was not immediately clear whether the fire was under control
  • Irving supplies fuels to the US northeast as well as to eastern Canada
  • the company's US terminals in Connecticut, Maine, New Jersey, and Rhode Island received an average 111,000 b/d of gasoline blends, and 51,000 b/d of distillates
Active rigs:

Active Rigs64593368190

Eight new permits:
  • Operators: WPX, CLR
  • Fields: Antelope (McKenzie); Cedar Coulee (Dunn)
  • Comments: WPX has permits for a 4-well Delores Sand pad in NWNE 29-151-94; CLR has permits for a 4-well Carus pad in SWSE 28-147-96;
Nine producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed:
  • 27597, 441, Future Acquisition Company, Aaberg 8-5N-1H, West Ambrose, t9/18; cum --
  • 33977, 494, BR, Kermit 5-8-32 UTFH, Pershing, t9/18; cum --
  • 34072, 601, Petro-Hunt, JL Moberg 153-95-18C-20-1HS, Charlson, t9/18; cum --
  • 34059, 379, BR, Rinkurtis 8-1-5UTFH-ULW, North Fork, t8/18; cum --
  • 34058, 541, BR, Kermit 8-8-32MBH, Pershing, t8/18; cum --
  • 31962, 2,366, XTO, Bang Federal 21X-19E2, Lost Bridge, t8/18; cum 17K after 20 days;
  • 31965, 2,446, XTO, George Federal 21X-19A, Lost Bridge, t7/18; cum 48K after 46 days;
  • 33366, 2,940, WPX, Hidatsa North 14-23HZ, Reunion Bay, t8/18; cum 7K 8/18;
  • 33396, 3,051, WPX, Hidatsa North 14-23HW, Reunion Bay, t9/18; cum --
Nine permits renewed:
  • XTO (4): two Lyla permits and two Roberta permits, all in Williams County
  • EOG (3): three Wayzetta permits in Mountrail County
  • Petro-Hunt: one State permit in McKenzie County
  • Hess: one TI-Beauty Valley in Williams County
Salmon Fishing -- Old School

The Great Gatsby and Einstein's Theory of Relativity 

Wow, I am really jazzed. I'm in my Gatsby phase again.

From an earlier post at another blog:
Briefly, J. Gatsby has spent the last five years of his life, ostensibly, trying to "get back" with Daisy, the love of his life. And then this, Chapter 6, about halfway through the book, on page 116, near the bottom of the page. J. Gatsby felt that he had failed up to that point in winning Daisy back. His "friend," his neighbor, the novella's narrator, declares:

    "I wouldn't ask too much of her, "I ventured. "You can't repeat the past."

    "Can't repeat the past?" he cried incredulously. "Why of course you can!"

    He looked around him wildly, as if the past were lurking in the shadow of his house, just out of reach of his hand.

That was the climax. Then begins immediately the downward trajectory of the dramatic arc:

    "I'm going to fix everything just the way it was before," he said, nodding determinedly. "She'll see."
Or as Cher would say, "I will turn back time."

The other day I mentioned again that time is an important theme in The Great Gatsby:
I have watched Baz Luhrmann's The Great Gatsby countless times. It is amazing how much I missed, symbolically. The rain is particularly interesting. So is the scene in which Gatsby nearly knocks over a clock during the awkwardness of his reunion with Daisy.
That bit about the rain and the clock was from Understanding The Great Gatsby, Dalton Gross and MaryJean Gross, c. 1998.

This morning, having randomly blogged that time is relative, wow, a bolt of lightning. Time. Relativity. The Great Gatsby.

Do the dates work?

When was F. Scott Fitzgerald born? How old was he in 1905 - 1920  when Einstein's theory of relativity came out and was being discussed in mainstream media?

Fitzgerald was born in 1896. In 1905, he would have been nine years old, soon to begin middle school, and would have been a senior in high school around 1913. His coming of age years would have been in the 1910s.

The Great Gatsby was published in 1925. It concerns events in 1922. It is suggested that Fitzgerald began thinking about the novel in 1923 -- tabula rasa.

As one example: the Picasso clock obsession (it came later) but was probably part of the whole phenomenon at the time. 

So, now the standard google search: 1920 theory of relativity einstein physics.

And here it is. 
Another dot connected.

Every time I watch the scene where Jay Gatsby almost knocks the clock off the mantel, I will think of a Picasso clock painting and Einstein's theory that led people to talk about turning back time.

See also this post.

See also this post.

Great Days
Bill Murray -- Hunter S Thompson -- John Prine -- Linda Goes To Mars

Great Days

Morning Note: October 8, 2018

The law of relativity: my sister texted me that Amtrak was on time and she would be here soon. Soon? It's at least a 12-hour train ride.

What, me worry? Saudi Crown Prince to Trump -- we've replaced all Iran's lost oil. Lost? Most of us know where it is.

It's no longer about transportation: petrochemicals becoming largest oil demand drivers. Rigzone staff.

Saudi's petrochemical project: on track? Aramco and Total have signed agreement on front-end engineering and design (FEED) for a $9 billion giant petrochemical Saudi complex,

Portland, OR: home of the homeless. BBC.

Back to the Bakken 

Wells coming off the confidential list over the weekend / today:

Monday, October 8, 2018
  • 33453, 818, Equinor, Weisz 11-14 XE 1H, Painted Woods, 49 stages; 9.3 million lbs, t4/18; cum 57K 8/18;
Sunday, October 7, 2018
  • 33529, SI/NC, Hess, AN-Gudbranson-153-94-2215H-12, Elm Tree,
Saturday, October 6, 2018
  • 33115, 1,950, CLR, Bailey 10-24H, Pershing, a huge well, 50K-month; 4 sections, 66 stages, 16 million lbs, t6/18; cum 94K 8/18;
Active rigs:

Active Rigs64593368190

RBN Energy: part 4, the pipelines that flow out of the crude oil hub at Cushing.
The crude oil hub in Cushing, OK, is a big numbers kind of place: 94 million barrels of storage capacity, 3.8 MMb/d of inbound pipelines and 3.1 MMb/d of outbound pipes, not to mention a spaghetti bowl of connections between the many tank farms within greater Cushing.
To truly understand the “Pipeline Crossroads of the World” — what it does and how it works — you need to know the hub’s assets and how they fit together. Today, we continue our series with a look at the pipes that transport crude from Cushing to Gulf Coast refineries and export docks, and to inland refineries in the Midcontinent, the Midwest and what you might call the Mid-South — places like Memphis, TN; El Dorado, AR; and Shreveport, LA.
This is the fourth blog in our deep-dive review of the Cushing hub and — given its significance to the oil market as well as the many angles from which it needs to be considered — we’ve only just begun. Previously we discussed the fact that Cushing’s role in the crude oil market has been in flux. Permian oil production has been surging, the ban on U.S. oil exports is long gone, and the Gulf Coast — not Cushing — is the premium market for U.S. crude owing to its concentration of refineries and export docks.
Later we looked at the 94 MMbbl of crude oil storage at Cushing — where it’s located (mostly South Cushing, with some at North Cushing), the companies that own the storage (with Plains All American, Enbridge and Magellan Midstream Partners leading the pack), and how much they each own. We also split the users of Cushing storage into six categories (producers, midstream companies, refiners, marketers, or some combination thereof) and explained how each group uses its storage in different ways (some purely operational, some purely commercial and the rest some mix of the two).
Finally, we put Cushing’s tank farms into one of three buckets: those with “big hubs” and “big spokes” (a lot of storage capacity, plus tie-ins to major inbound and/or outbound pipelines, as well as strong links to other storage within Cushing); “small hubs” and “big spokes” (less storage capacity, big pipes in and/or out — focused on crude oil throughput); and “small hubs” and “small spokes” (relatively small amounts of storage capacity and only limited pipeline connections into, out of and within Cushing). In the last segment, we turned our attention to the pipelines that transport crude oil to the Cushing hub from Western Canada (Keystone, Flanagan South and Spearhead), the Bakken (Pony Express, with assists from Enbridge’s Mainline system), the Rockies (Pony Express, Saddlehorn/Grand Mesa and White Cliffs), the Permian (Basin and Centurion), and within Oklahoma itself (STACK, Glass Mountain and Mississippi Lime).