Sunday, December 2, 2018

Nothing About The Bakken --- Not Yet ... December 2, 2018

Link to be provided later.

A reader tells me the North Dakota Highway Patrol engaged in a high-speed chase west of Bismarck. Apparently things came to an end when the driver of the forklift stopped to charge the electric vehicle. NDHP would have closed in more quickly but the governor told law enforcement to "give the man room, don't give him a reason to flip one of our cruisers." Uff-da!

Joseph, Joseph, Hot Club du Nax

Hanukkah -- Begins This Evening -- December 2, 2018

Nothing About The Bakken ... Yet -- December 2, 2018

Open book test: what will the Dow do tomorrow? Hints, news headlines in the past 72 hours:
  • China and the US to impose a moratorium on new trade tariffs;  
  • the newly installed Mexican president has already taken steps to calm the situation at the border;
  • NPR retracted a very, very negative (and a very, very wrong) story on Jared Kushner;
  • WTI is at its sweet spot, but is now trending up about 3%;
  • government shutdown is no more than political theater and everybody knows it;
  • and, of course, the all-time favorite, the "Santa Claus rally" needs to start soon.
Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or what you think you may have read here.

Christmas tradition: Sophia was fortunate enough to attend The Nutcracker today. This has become a real family tradition. Grammy takes the granddaughters to the ballet to ensure that they each all see it at least once. I think the two older granddaughters saw it twice while the family lived in Boston.

Today, was Sophia's first time to see it. While others were reading the program, Sophia was reading The Nutcracker of the "Little Golden Book" series.

I've never seen it.

The reviews are in: the Boston ballet's Nutcracker is several times better than the Dallas ballet's staging. But Sophia enjoyed it all.

Lodgepole Monster Wells In The Dickinson Area -- December 2, 2018


Later, 9:23 p.m. CT: see first comment. A reader writes to say that the well of interest, #34711 was dry. 

Original Post
I don't plan to update production numbers on this page. Production data will be updated elsewhere.

A reader noted that this well coming off the confidential list this week might be an interesting one to watch:
  • 34711, conf, Armstrong Operating, Harvest States 7-11, Eland, no production data, 
Because it's on the confidential list, I don't know much more about it, but I will bet it's not a Bakken well. LOL. I would be very, very surprised if it's anything but a vertical (or possibly a directional) well targeting the Lodgepole.

For newbies: I talked about "Lodgepole" a long, long time ago (back in 2009). That was in the early days of the blog; I didn't know much about "oil" then so there may be amateurish errors in that post. That entry is linked at the sidebar at the right. I have not read that post lately, and I have not updated it or corrected any typographical or factual errors. 

It's my "belief" that hitting the Lodgepole in the Dickinson area is a hit or miss: if it's a "hit," it's most likely going to be a monster well; but unlike the Bakken, hitting the Lodgepole is a bit tougher. Having said that, looking at the NDIC map, there doesn't appear to be many dry holes in Eland or Patterson Lake.

Over at "monster wells" several Lodgepole wells made the cut. 

The monster wells;
  • 13724, 1,752, Denbury, Ridl 11-1, Lodgepole, Eland; t3/95, cum 1.0743 million bbls 10/18;
  • 13745, 2,571, Denbury, Klein 1-23, Lodgepole, Eland; t3/95, cum 4.4112 million bbls 10/18;
  • 13755, 2,016, Denbury, Ranchos 1, Lodgepole, Eland; s3/95, t5/95, cum 4.8543 million bbls 10/18;
  • 13773, 2,908, Denbury Onshore, Privratsky 12-2, a Lodgepole well, Eland, t5/95; cum 789K 10/18;
  • 13788, 398, Debury Onshore, Patterson Lake 41-13, Eland, t4/96; cum 1.30992 million bbls 10/18;
  • 13819, 279, Scout Energy Management/Denbury, Privratsky 12A-3, Lodgepole, Eland;  t10/95, cum 2.3294 million 5/18; last produced 6/03;
  • 13886, 1,214, Scout Energy/Denbury, Roller 1-24, Lodgepole, Eland, s11/95, t12/95, cum 2.3666 million bbls 10/18;
  • 18190, 463, Armstrong Operating, Laurine Engel 1, Patterson Lake, t9/09; F; cum 854K 10/18;
  • 18496, 474, Armstrong Operating, Gruman 18-3, Patterson Lake, t3/10; F; cum 885K 10/18;
By the way, look at the production of the Lodgepole well drilled back in 2010; I find this simply incredible:
  • 18496, 474, Armstrong Operating, Gruman 18-3, Patterson Lake, t3/10; F; cum 885K 10/18;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare

A Reader Has A Question About The Gloria Well (Jim Creek Oil Field) And "The Nearby Hartman" Well -- December 2, 2018


December 4, 2018: see comments -- a reader tells us that one of the Gloria wells has come in at 50,000 over 21 days of production.

December 4, 2018: in the comment section a reader notes the MRO "Ajax" play in the Bakken. This is a screenshot from the MRO presentation, September 5, 2018.

December 4, 2018: a reader had a question about how to access some information at the NDIC site. See comments dated today.

Original Post

A reader asked if I could "clarify the Gloria one and the Hartman well nearby." It was noted that the "Gloria" well comes off the confidential list this week.

There are many, many Hartman wells in Jim Creek, but the only one that is "near" the Gloria well coming off confidential well this week is the Isabelle Hartman well, #17971.

#34892 comes off confidential list this week. Because it's on the confidential list I can't say much about it, but it is most likely on a drilling unit of 1280 acres, running north. The scout ticket says it's a "Jim Creek" well which suggests it will run north; if it were running south, it would be a Murphy Creek well. I believe #34892 and #17971 are in different drilling units. For sure, #17971 is 1280 acres, running east-west. According to a sundry form dated September 2, 2018, for #17971, "MRO has set a freshwater impoundment on this pad to support nearby fracking operations on the Gloria Pad which have recently finished completions."

The wells:
  • 34892, conf, MRO, Gloria 24-16H, Jim Creek, t--; cum -- :
DateOil RunsMCF Sold

  • 17971, 393, MRO, Isabelle Hartman 42-22H, Murphy Creek, two sections; t9/09; cum 165K 10/18:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
The graphic:

The Hess SC-5WX And SC-4WX Wells In Banks Oil Field

The wells running north:
  • 26171, 1,299, Hess, SC-4WX-153-98-3130H-1, Banks, t5/14; cum 266K 12/20; off line as of 10/18; remains off line 3/20; back on line 9/20; cum 272K 4/21;
  • 26172, 511, Hess, SC-4WX-153-98-3130H-2, Banks, t5/14; cum 118K 12/20; off line as of 10/18; back on line 11/18; cum 120K 4/21;
  • 26173, 1,066, Hess, SC-4WX-153-98-3130H-3, Banks, t5/14; cum 233K 12/20; off line as of 10/18; back on line 5/19; cum 236K 3/21; off line 4/21;
The wells running south:
  • 26174, AB/IAW/1,324, Hess, SC-5WX-153-98-0310H-1, Banks, t6/14; cum 273K 7/19; off line as of 9/18; remains off line 4/21;
  • 33891, 2,554, Hess, SC-5WX-152-99-0310H-2, Banks, t11/18; cum 363K 12/20; cum 381K 4/21;
  • 33892, 2,018, Hess, SC-5WX-152-99-0310H-3, Banks, t11/18; cum 418K 12/20; cum 440K 4/21;
  • 33893, 1,740, Hess, SC-5WX-152-99-0310H-4, Banks, t11/18; cum 337K 12/20; cum 353K 4/21;

Wells Coming Off The Confidential List This Next Week -- December 2, 2018

Six months ago it was early June.

The CLR Wiley wells are tracked here
The Oasis Kjorstad wells in Willow Creek are tracked here.
The Oasis Lite wells are tracked here.

Monday, December 10, 2018:
33891, conf, Hess, SC-5WX-152-99-0310H-2, Banks, no production data, [watch #26174, currently inactive]

Sunday, December 9, 2018:

Saturday, December 8, 2018:
34117, conf, Lime Rock Resources, Neal3-33-28H-144-95, Murphy Creek, a nice well;
34116, conf, Lime Rock Resources, Twist 3-4-9H-143-95, Murphy Creek, a nice well;
33239, conf, Oasis, Muri 5198 12-4 8T, Banks, a nice well;
32531, conf, Petro-Hunt, USA153-95-4A-9-6H, Charlson, no production data, 
30546, conf, Bruin, Fort Berthold 151-94-26A-35-9H, Antelope, a nice well;

Friday, December 7, 2018:
33108, conf, CLR, Wiley 12-25H, Pershing, CLR's Wiley wells are huge:
DateOil RunsMCF Sold

Thursday, December 6, 2018:
34892, conf, MRO, Gloria 24-16H, Jim Creek, a huge first month (unknown number of days: 28K); see this note;
34711, conf, Armstrong Operating, Harvest States 7-11, Eland, no production data, see this note;
33109, conf, CLR, Wiley 11-25H2, Pershing, a huge well, note second bench:
DateOil RunsMCF Sold

Wednesday, December 5, 2018:

Tuesday, December 4,2018:
33241, conf, Oasis, Muri 5198 12-4 6T, Banks, a huge well:
DateOil RunsMCF Sold

31265, conf,  Oasis, Kjorstad 5300 34-22 10T, Willow Creek, a very nice well:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold

Monday, December 3, 2018:

Sunday, December 2, 2018:
33695, conf, Oasis, Lite 5393 31-11 9B, Sanish, a very nice well;

Saturday, December 1, 2018:
33968, conf,  Enerplus, Nickel 147-93-16B-21H-TF, Moccasin Creek, a very nice well;
33696, conf, Oasis Lite 5393 31-11 8T, Sanish, a very nice well;
33242, conf, Oasis, Muri 5198 12-4 5B, Banks, a huge well;
DateOil RunsMCF Sold

33110, conf, CLR, Wiley 10-25H, Pershing; a huge well:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold

31264, conf, Oasis, Kjorstad 5300 34-22 9B, Willow Creek, a huge well;
30543, conf, Bruin, Fort Berthold 151-94-26A-35-6H, Antelope, a 50K+ well:
DateOil RunsMCF Sold

Random Update Of CLR's Bonneville 41-23H, #17088 -- December 2, 2018

This page will not be updated.

Two wells are discussed on this page. One is an older middle Bakken well; the other is a newer Three Forks B1 well. The two horizontals of these two wells are very close together; in fact at one point, they "cross" each other.

The closest a neighboring middle Bakken well to #17088 is almost exactly one-third mile, or 1,584 feet, away.

For background regarding these wells, see this post. The CLR Bonneville / Bridger well are tracked here.

The well:
  • 17088, 267, CLR, Bonneville 41-23H, Rattlesnake Point, t4/08; cum 210K 10/18; based on FracFocus and NDIC sundry forms, this well has not been re-fracked. This well was off line for two months during the time period of interest:
Production profile of note:

The horizontal that runs parallel to the well above is this well; it was fracked/tested 8/28/2017:
  • 29549, 1,518, CLR, Bonneville 6-23H1, Rattlesnake Point, Three Forks B1, 55 stages; 10 million lbs, t8/17; cum 237K 10/18;
Early production data:

Global Warming Hits Midwest; Kennedys Can See Tons Of Snow -- December 2, 2018


Later, 1:10 p.m. CT: a reader sent me this link regarding an historic park at Madelia, MN.
The Jesse James Theme Park is the first ever of its kind in the nation. It is hand crafted by Arnie Lillo with life size individual metal cut outs of the many 1870’s horses and characters, and tells the story of what happened to Jesse and Frank James and the Younger brothers gang in this area of Minnesota in Sept 1876. From riding into Northfield, to robbing the bank, to leaving town, killing of Charlie Pitts and the capture of the Younger brothers, the full story is told precisely as Minnesota history knows it to be. But uniquely illustrated in life size metal artwork.

The Jesse James Gang was credited with over 25 bank robberies during the years of 1866 and 1881. Although, it was hard for the gang to openly admit to being involved in any activity that might result in their legal detainment, history ha been able to piece together over $270,000 in robberies from Missouri to Minnesota, Alabama to West Virginia, Kentucky to Mississippi. From the passengers' point of view, you may not have returned with your possessions, but at least you had a story to tell that you were robbed by the best - the James - Younger Gang.
Original Post
From Minnesota, look at the snowfall. Sent to me by reader. Thank you. More to follow. Temperatures have been well below normal for this time of year -- off the norm by about 7 degrees. With global warming expected to warm the earth by about 3 degrees above the norm, it looks like Minnesota / North Dakota will average out just about right 82 years from now.

Back to the snowfall:

According to the reader, Madelia, MN, is pretty much smack dab in the middle of the state.

The reader noted that in his home town, 21 area churches are closed. It takes a lot of snow for Scandinavians to close church. 

Bet You Can't Watch Just One Minute -- December 2, 2018

Lee Highway Blues, Michael Cleveland and Flamekeeper
At wiki.

Name of tune at 5:40 anyone?

Heading to bed; see you tomorrow. Good luck to all.