Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Case Study: Halo Effect, Can The Halo Effect "Stretch" Across A Drilling Unit? Part I -- CLR Bridger Wells In Rattlesnake Point Oil Field -- March 22, 2016

The CLR Bonneville / Bridger well are tracked here

Updates

December 1, 2018: see this post for an example of an halo effect between a middle Bakken well and a Three Forks upper bench well.   

 Original Post

This is going to be one of those long notes and there are likely to be major typographical and/or factual errors. Some of the geological reports are not yet filed for the wells under discussion. A reader alerted me to this, and I'm not sure the reader and I are talking about the same thing, but if we are, this is quite interesting.

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Case Study: Possible Halo Effect

This is what got us wondering. Look at the production profile of this well. This well is an "old" well. By January, 2015, it was producing about 400 bbls of oil/month. It was taken off-line for several months in mid-2015; when it returned to production, production jumped 6-fold, up to almost 3,000 bbls of oil per month by January, 2016, one year later. Also, look at the surge in water production. What happened?

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-2016312849292210903370373333
BAKKEN12-201527260226781158306503065
BAKKEN11-20153321227823820382
BAKKEN10-201531219820141407261002610
BAKKEN9-201530210122272428251302513
BAKKEN8-20152112199112978136401364
BAKKEN7-201500990000
BAKKEN6-20150000000
BAKKEN5-20150000000
BAKKEN4-20150000000
BAKKEN3-20151003000
BAKKEN2-20150000000
BAKKEN1-20152833542911219214745
BAKKEN12-2014314824371533393318
BAKKEN11-201430533687158392252140
BAKKEN10-201422407222345461110351
BAKKEN9-20143044367018343836672
BAKKEN8-201431474448150378243135
BAKKEN7-20143150645214336427985

Regular readers know that if I see a huge jump in production that can't be explained from the well file, I start looking for the halo effect. Especially if that surge in production includes a jump in water production as well.

This is a screenshot of the area under discussion. The production profile above is for #17089:




In this area, the Bridger wells run north, the Bonneville wells run south. For purposes of this discussion, ignore the Bonneville wells.

Trying to keep things simple, "A" wells come from the same pad; "B" wells come from the same pad; "C" wells come from the same pad. The one "D" well is the index well, #17089.

The horizontal that would most likely exert a halo effect on #17089 would be "C-3." But the "C" wells are all DUCs -- they have not been fracked (confirmed by checking FracFocus which has no record of the "C" wells being fracked yet).

In addition, C-3 is a Three Forks well; the index well is a middle Bakken well (but that is irrelevant for now).

That leaves the "B" wells -- look how far away the "B" wells are from the index well. But the "B" wells were all fracked in July, 2015. The index well was taken off-line when the "B" wells were fracked; and when the index well, #17089, came back on-line, it had a significant bump-up in production. 

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The Wells In The Graphic Above

A-pad: a 2-well Bridger/2-well Bonneville pad in the graphic:
  • 19009, 651, CLR, Bonneville 3-23H, Rattlesnake Point, 4 sections, runs south, middle Bakken, 24 stages, 2.5 million lbs, t12/10; cum 268K 1/16;
  • 19011, 725, CLR, Bridger 3-14H, Rattlesnake Point, 4 sections, runs north, middle Bakken, 21 stages, 2.3 million lbs, t12/10; cum 275K 1/16;
  • 19012, 365, CLR, Bonneville 2-23H, Rattlesnake Point, 4 sections, runs south, Three Forks, 24 stages, 2.5 million lbs, t12/10; cum 137K 1/16;
  • 19013, 399, CLR, Bridger 2-14H, Rattlesnake Point, 4 sections, runs north, Three Forks, 21 stages, 2.3 million lbs, t12/10; cum 205K 1/16;
3-well Bonneville pad in the graphic (ignore)
  • 29549, SI/NC, CLR, Bonneville 6-23H1,
  • 29550, SI/NC, CLR, Bonneville 5-23H,
  • 29551, SI/NC, CLR, Bonneville 4-23H,
B-pad: a 3-well Bridger pad in the graphic:
  • 29552, 1,977, CLR, Bridger 6-14H1, runs north, middle Bakken, 30 stages, 6 million lbs, t9/15; cum 98K 1/16; permit shows Three Forks B2, geologic report not yet filed; fracked 7/20 - 7/27;
  • 29553, 1,160, CLR, Bridger 5-14H, runs north, middle Bakken 30 stages, 3.3 million lbs, t9/15; cum 94K 1/16; fracked 7/11 - 7/20;
  • 29554, 1,018, Bridger 4-14H2, Three Forks, 30 stages, 6 million lbs, t1/16; cum 78K 1/16; fracked 7/11 - 7/20
C-pad: a 3-well Bridger pad in the graphic:
  • 31847, SI/NC, CLR, Bridger 9-14H1, Three Forks B1, runs north,
  • 31846, SI/NC, CLR, Bridger 8-14H, middle Bakken, runs north,
  • 31845, SI/NC, CLR, Bridger 7-14H2, Three Forks B2, runs north
Two singletons: index well -- #17089
  • 17089, 400, CLR, Bridger 44-14H, open hole frack, 1 million lbs, t4/08; cum 128K 1/16;
  • 17088, 267, CLR, Bonneville 41-23H, open hole frack, 1 million lbs, t4/08; cum 122K 1/16;
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What About #17088

What about #17088? It does not show any bump-up in production. And guess what: the "B" wells that run to the south (Bonneville wells) are DUCs, they have not been fracked.

The Bonneville wells that run from the "A" pad have been fracked but they are either a) too far away from #17088 to have an effect; or, more likely, the small amount of sand used in these wells (2 million lbs) vs the larger amount of sand used in the other wells (6 million lbs) was not enough for a halo effect.

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Anyway that's what I see. Again, I may be seeing things that don't exist. In a long note like this there will be typographical and factual errors. A huge "thank you" to the reader for alerting me to this.

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There's More

And even with all that, there's more. See Part II for perhaps another example of the halo effect in the very same area.

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