Thursday, January 22, 2026

Another Look At Retirement Opportunities -- January 22, 2026

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Link here

The "dot chart" can be hard to read.

How long will a million dollars last when retiring at age 65? 

How to read the chart:

  • each state "icon" with 6 x 5 "dot plot"
  • start from bottom row and move up
  • each row, fully filled out: 6 years 

So, Mississippi, far upper left corner:

  • four rows starting from the bottom x 6 = 24 
  • top row: 1.5
  • total: almost 26 years

Texas:

  • four rows total x 6 = 24 years 

California:

  • two rows x 6 = 12 years
  • third row with 3
  • total = 15 years

North Dakota

  • three rows x 6 = 18 years
  • fourth row = 4
  • total = 22 years

Minnesota:

  • three rows x 6 = 18 years
  • fourth row = 4
  • total = 22 year

Finally, Oregon:

  • throw out HI as an outlier
  • throw out DC because no one in their right mind would retire in DC
  • then California becomes the most expensive state: where $1 million would last 15 years
  • but you know, that's not bad
  • retire at age 65 and live on that million dollars until age 80
  • the second most expensive state: Oregon = 16.5 years 

For the most part, however, it's not all that different across the states when measured in years.  

Top 37 states:

  • MS: almost 26 years
  • Washington State: trending toward 22 years

So, 22 years in Washington State or 26 years in Mississippi? 

The next 11 states about 18 years before one finally goes over the cliff  -- California at 15 years.

My take: on just this graph, in order of preference for me:

  • Texas (tied with Tennessee)
  • Tennessee (tied with Texas)
  • Idaho
  • North Carolina
  • Utah
  • Montana (maybe)

DFW Expansion -- $12 Billion; 68 More Gates; Sixth Terminal -- January 22, 2026

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For now, google; links everywhere. For the archives. This is a big, big deal. Related directly to population growth in north Texas as well as Fortune 500 Corporations moving to the DFW area. Also, a reminder, the NYSE has a satellite operation in Dallas. 

AI prompt: Are any major NY banks moving to Dallas like JPM, Goldman Sachs, Bank Of New York?

Google Gemini:  


Schwab: moved its corporate headquarters to Westlake, TX, a few years ago. 

Davos: Tech Execs Sound More Bullish Than Ever -- Barron's -- January 22, 2026

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Micron: to buy a chip plant for $1.8 billion. Link here

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Amazon

Amazon: hits back at Walmart with new megastore; it won't be easy. Link to Barron's.  
 

  • location raises more questions than answers: 

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Barron's: Tech Execs Remain More Bullish Than Ever 

Link here

Four takeaways:

  • early innings; pushing back on "AI bubble" narrative
    • almost impossible eve to rent a Nvidia GPU these days
    • Larry Ellison's (Oracle's) business model
  • AI demand is still incredibly strong
  • arguing against large job losses
  • enterprises now ramping up whereas before it was all consumer-driven

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Folks Using Chatbots To Manage Their Portfolios

I saw this coming. Link here

Chatbots being compared, top five, in order of performance:

  • Grok 4 (x)
  • Claude Sonnet 4.5 (Anthropic)
  • Opus 4.5 (Anthropic) -- Anthropic's 4.5 flagship model
  • Deepseek V3
  • Gemini 2.5 Pro (Google)
  • GPT 5.2 (OpenAI)
  • GPT 5.1 (OpenAI)
  • Owen 3 (Alibaba)

Thursday -- January 22, 2026

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As we go into Thursday:

  • what's not being talked about -- the homeless in Dallas (DFW area) this weekend; that needs to be top priority; most of these folks are likely to be unaware what is about to hit
    • busses to indoor sports stadiums would be my first option
    • with light rail transit, most folks could get out to the airport
  • Cuba: regime change by late summer, collateral damage; Marco Rubio will run that country also
  • Minneapolis has a serious problem, and it's not going to get better any time soon
    • folks who think they don't have a dog in that fight, will start to see dollar costs spread across their neighborhoods 
  • with AI, the gap between the "haves" and the "have-nots" will widen exponentially
  • Trump remains a formidable negotiator
  • the American military might is more than unprecedented -- 
    • think about this: 150 military a/c flying into one of the most protected regions in the world
    • accomplish an extraction of two individuals
    • almost no collateral damage; only casualties appear to be enemy combatants
    • not one US military a/c lost
    • although on a much, much smaller scale, the deception / secrecy of timing of operation rivaled that of D-Day -- despite a gazillion people who would have leaked the timing if they could have
    • we no longer talk about American air superiority -- the tag phrase since the Vietnam War; we now talk about American air dominance 
      • and it's not just one branch; it's the unprecedented coordination of at least four uniformed military branches -- and we don't even know what the intel community provided. 

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Back to the Bakken
 

WTI: $60.25.

New wells reporting:

  • Friday, January 23, 2026: 37 for the month, 37 for the quarter, 37 for the year,
    • 40078, conf, Devon, Cuda 15-27F 4H, 
    • 39802, conf, BR, Carlsbad 4B, 
    • 36616, conf, BR, Sandie 2C-MBH, 
  • Thursday, January 22, 2026: 34 for the month, 34 for the quarter, 34 for the year, 
    • None.

RBN Energy: Europe likely to remain a key outlet for US LNG as exports accelerate. Link here. Archived.

Buoyed by record-level feedgas demand and several planned export terminals reaching important development milestones, 2025 was a banner year for U.S. LNG. But while the U.S. has cemented its role as the world’s leading LNG exporter, a position it will likely retain for decades to come, the industry’s rapid growth has given rise to suggestions that it might become a victim of its own success. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll examine these near-term challenges and discuss where demand could increase in the long term to accommodate the additional LNG cargoes expected to hit the global market over the next several years.

In Float On, the first blog in our short series on LNG market conditions, we looked at why some observers have suggested that a massive wave of new LNG supply, emanating primarily from the U.S. and Qatar, could result in economics bad enough to precipitate a pullback in U.S. LNG exports. But we also explained why the fears of oversupply and U.S. cargo cancellations may be exaggerated, with the “great wave” some expect more likely to resemble a gradually rising tide. U.S. LNG export capacity, which now stands at about 15 Bcf/d, is expected to top 30 Bcf/d by the early 2030s, as shown in Figure 1 below.