Locator: 50091IRAN.
Updates
Later, 10:01 a.m. CT: strikes will last "several" days.
- most important metric: tracking number of Iranian missile strikes;
- one would expect a marked crescendo lasting two days and then a precipitous decrescendo starting on day three or four
Original Post
Joint Israeli-American Operation
- Operation Epic Fury
- Operation Roaring Lion
Goal:
- Operation Roaring Lion: regime change
- Operation Epic Fury: more nuanced
Israel launches first, followed closely by US, as Iran responds with missiles targeted across the Mideast.
Timing:
- D-Day: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- H-Hour: 0100 hrs ET; ~ 0900 hrs Tehran
- Tehran is currently 8.5 hours / 7.5 hours ahead of Washington, DC; time time occurs in March.
President to address nation Saturday morning
Surprising H-Hour: daylight
- to catch Iran off-guard; expecting operation to begin at night
Immediate targets:
- Iran's civilian leadership including Khameini's Palace
- some oil facilities
- Iran's air defense
Opening skirmish: very restrained
- most notable: civilian leadership targeted
- biggest strategic mistake: Iran launching missiles into several Mideast countries
- London - Washington discussing Diego Garcia
- controlled by London; currently denies US access to Diego Garcia for Operation Epic Fury
- Diego Garcia talks may be most important non-kinetic event to follow
