Wednesday, August 6, 2025

Four New Permits; Two DUCs Reported As Completed -- August 6, 2025

Locator: 48792B.

China's solar "overbuild" collapses, ZeroHedge, link here. Fortunately Trump's policies will prevent the same thing from happening in the US.

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Back to the Bakken

WTI: $64.27.

Active rigs: 31.

Four new permits, #42183 - #42186, inclusive:

  • Operators: BR (3); Rockport Energy
  • Fields: Elidah (McKenzie); Ranch Creek (McKenzie)
  • Comments:
    • Rockport Energy has a permit for an Annie well, New 18-146-98, 
      • to be sited 335 FNL and 1275 FWL;
    • BR has permits for three Omlid wells, SESW 7-151N-97W, 
      • to be sited 410 FSL and 2164 / 2228 FWL.

Two producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed:

  • 37667, 3,915, BR, Nordeng 1B TFH, McKenzie,
  • 40518, 2,388, BR, Franklin 14-36 TFH, Dunn County;

Glowing -- August 6, 2025

Locator: 48791GLW.

Oval office: most interesting data point from the Oval Office today? All the tech components being sourced and all the large data centers being built in Texas -- in addition to Houston, Ft Worth figured prominently. 

One data point not mentioned: 2.35 billion active Apple devices in use around the world. Every iPhone and Apple Watch will use Corning glass made in Kentucky. Period. Dot.

More Updates

Tesla ditching TSM; link here. Tesla selects INTC and Samsun for DOJO 3 supply train.
Apple, Samsung teaming up in Houston: link here.

Updates

The Oval Office visit: this is where one should start. Link here.


Then this:

Add: GLW.

Then review:

American Manufacturing Company (did he ad-lib this name? LOL!)
  • Apple
  • Samsung
  • Corning
  • Coherent
  • GlobalWavers
  • Applied Materials
  • Texas Instruments
  • GlobalFoundries
  • Amkor
  • Broadcom

Note which company is not on that list: TSMC.

Old, haven't seen an update recently:

ChatGPT prompt: how many Qualcomm components in -

  • iPhone 15:
    • Qualcomm Snapdragon X70 5G modem
    • RF transceiver
    • Envelope tracker
    • clock generator or power-related chip
  • iPhone 16, current Qualcomm component count: for the standard, Plus, and Pro models, sources show at least five prominent but the total is likely higher. 
    • Confirmed parts include:
      • Snapdragon SDX71M modem (custom)
      • Qualcomm RF transceiver (SDR 735-001)
      • Qualcomm IF transceiver (SMR546-002)
      • Wideband envelope tracker (QET7100-001)
      •  Qualcomm clock generatorApple's transition to its own modem
    •  delayed but should be in place by 2027
  • Apple's first in-house modem (C1) is already in production (iPhone 16e) but limited in feature set and volume.
    Apple's staged rollout: low-risk entry
    Apple's transition, albeit slower than ideal, will be the most significant chip vertical integration in consumer electronics history
  • C1 vs QC X85
    • The C1 is purpose-built to communicate with LEO satellites (Starlink [T-Mobile for Starlink beta access with iOS 18 -- coming] and Amazon's Kuiper satellites)
    • Qualcomm X85, full satellite connectivity features, including non-terrestrial (NTN) support; powerhouse in terms of bandwidth (up to 12.5 Gbps down / 3.7 Gbps up), optimized for Androids

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Original Post

Link here



Link here.

Initiated position in GLW, one year ago.
Added to GLW position the following day, one year ago.


 


 

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BRK

BRK had a good day today, but it has a lot of ground to make up. Six-month chart:

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Disclaimer
Brief Reminder 

Briefly:

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution.
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom.
  • Longer version here.   

My Wife's Moveable Feast -- Eighty Years Ago -- The Enola Gay -- August 6, 2025

Locator: 48790GENEALOGY.

A reader wrote to remind me today was "Hiroshima Day," eighty (80) years ago today being remembered. Link here

I host a family genealogy blog elsewhere. This is a "page" from that blog

My father-in-law, on rest/relaxation to Japan during the Korean War married a Japanese woman. This would have been in 1948. A year later they had a daughter who some 20+ years later I married in Los Angeles. My wife was born in Japan in 1949. Two years later the small family was in Germany and then, at the age of eight, she was back in Japan with her family, when her dad was transferred back to Japan, during the US occupation of the country.

They lived in Hiroshima.

From the "family blog":

My wife, Mayumi, said her moveable feast would have been when she was with her family as a child in Japan. Her dad, US Army enlisted, was assigned to Japan when my wife was eight years old; they were there for two years at a small Army camp. My wife remembers that as the happiest time in her mother's life. Her mother, Japanese, was a war bride after WWII, during the Korean War, when she married my wife's Hispanic father. She was Buddhist; he was Catholic.

While in Japan, they lived in the nicest house they had ever lived in (one needs to remember my father-in-law's enlisted rank in the US Army at that time) -- a two-story duplex.

Her mother would take the both of them to get their hair and nails done at the local beauty shop. They had a maid, Todosan who always burned the pancakes which my mother loved: crispy, "burned" pancakes. My wife remembers taking walks along the "water" which she thinks was the ocean (or more accurately the harbor), because of the cliffs, and not a river.

The general area of Kure, southeast of Hiroshima:


My wife remembers Camp Kure being in the Japanese town of Nijimura but yet one cannot find it on the map. In addition, there are very few google hits regarding the city of Nijimura, but it does exist.  It appears to have been swallowed up by Kure.


At wiki: Kure was the home base of the largest battleship ever built, the Yamato. One of the bases of the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force (JMSDF) is still located there, its former center became the JMSDF Regional Kure District. While there is a hospital as a building of the Marine Self Defense Force, there are Escort Flotilla (Destroyers), Submarine Flotilla and the Training Squadron in the Kure District. A museum with a 1:10 scale model of the Yamato is located in the city.

They lived in Japan for two years before being transferred back to the United States. 

My wife's family photo from 1917:

The Yamato was a Japanese battleship, and the lead ship of her class, built during World War II. She was the heaviest and most powerfully armed battleship ever constructed. Despite her size and firepower, she was ultimately sunk by American aircraft during the Battle of Okinawa.

Apple Surge -- A Short Squeeze As Much As Anything? August 6, 2025

Locator: 48789AAPL.

AAPL:

  • has lagged the tech sector ... by a lot;
  • Apple re-looking at AI; perhaps not the "best" solution but it may be "just good enough";
  • 2.35 billion active devices around the world;
    • has every niche covered: desktops, mobile, Hollywood,
  • one of the most-shorted stocks in the Dow -- short squeeze adding to the surge?
    • generally not well-liked by most Wall Street analysts; has a cultish feel
  • tariff issues; could get relief this afternoon

A reader asked when BRK sold Apple shares. From ChatGPT, a very, very long, note, this as the summary:


500 million shares at $205.60 / share at the open: today, up 5.89%.

  • $102,800 million x 1.0589 = $108,854 million.
  • $6 billion delta?
  • Needs to be fact-checked. I often make simple arithmetic errors. 

**********************************
Disclaimer
Brief Reminder 

Briefly:

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution.
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom.
  • Longer version here.   

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The Book Page

This week's poolside book: The Immortal Game: A History of Chess or How 32 Carved Pieces On A Board Illuminated Our Understanding of War, Art, Science, and the Human Brain; David Shenk, c. 2006.

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The Movie Page

In the past 24 hours, I am now watching Casablanca for the third time. 

So, I was curious.

ChatGPT prompt

I'm curious, there is no correct answer. But "at the end of the day," as they say, which, in your opinion, is the better movie, "Casablanca" or "Citizen Kane"?
Yes, two different genres, but Friday night, what would you rather watch again? And, just to make it a bit tougher, so it's not binary, "Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy."  
Of the three which would you recommend for this Friday night for someone who loves all three movies and has seen all three several times.

ChatGPT reply: a long note, and bottom line -- Casablanca.

Apple -- AAPL -- Surges -- Wednesday, August 6, 2025

Locator: 48788B.

APPL, at the open:

Wind gust record, link here.

WMB: link here.

Devon earnings: link here.

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Back to the Bakken

WTI: $66.24.

New wells:

  • Thursday, August 7, 2025: 17 for the month, 65 for the quarter, 495 for the year,
    • 41269, conf,  CLR, Michael State 4-16H,
    • 40901, conf, Hess, BL-Blachard-155-96-2215H-4,
    • 40771, conf, Hess, BL-Olson-155-96-0310H-5,
    • 37593, conf, Hess, AN-Lone Tree-152-95-1207H-6,
  • Wednesday, August 6, 2025: 13 for the month, 61 for the quarter, 491 for the year,
    • 41463, conf, Kraken, Boxcar 4-9-16 3H,
    • 34291, conf, BR, State Dodge 3B TFH,

RBN Energy: Tallgrass follows own playbook in converting Trailblazer Pipeline to CO2 service

Not long ago, several large-scale carbon-capture projects had plenty of momentum, fueled by a push toward decarbonization and expanded federal tax credits. But while progress on many projects has slowed as they faced a host of problems, Tallgrass’s plan to convert its Trailblazer pipeline from natural gas service to carbon dioxide (CO2) has had a comparatively smooth ride, thanks in large part to an engagement strategy that has allowed it to navigate the trickiest potential complication — local opposition. In today’s RBN blog, we review Trailblazer’s conversion, examine why Tallgrass’s strategy has succeeded where similar projects have failed, and look at what happens next. 

Let’s start at the beginning. Tallgrass Energy unveiled plans to convert its Trailblazer pipeline (pink line in Figure 1 below) from natural gas to CO2 back in May 2022. The backbone of the plan is an agreement to capture CO2 from an Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) corn-processing complex (red star) in Columbus, NE, and transport it to Tallgrass’s planned Eastern Wyoming Sequestration Hub (orange dot) for permanent underground storage (see Two Birds, One Stone), while also allowing for connections to other ethanol plants in the region. (More on that in a bit.)

Tallgrass filed for Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) approval to abandon 392 miles of Trailblazer gas pipeline to convert that segment to CO2, proposing to preserve natural gas service for Trailblazer’s firm shippers through a 15-year lease on Rockies Express (REX; blue line), which runs parallel to Trailblazer along its entire length. In what Tallgrass called a first for a large-scale FERC abandonment proceeding, the filing faced no customer opposition. FERC approved the abandonment in 2023. Today, interstate natural gas transportation service previously provided to firm shippers on Trailblazer has already been largely shifted to REX.

On the CO2 side, the repurposed Trailblazer pipeline, which runs from Nebraska to Wyoming and cuts across a section of northeast Colorado, is capable of transporting more than 10 million tons per annum (MMtpa, 528 MMcf/d) of CO2 and is the first pipeline conversion of its scale in the U.S. Now in the commissioning phase, it’s expected to begin commercial operations by the end of 2025.

Trailblazer and Rockies Express Pipelines, Archer Daniels Midland Corn-Processing Facility and Eastern Wyoming Sequestration Hub

Figure 1. Trailblazer and Rockies Express Pipelines, Archer Daniels Midland Corn-Processing Facility and Eastern Wyoming Sequestration Hub. Source: RBN