Friday, May 18, 2018

BR Dodge Wells In Dimmick Lake Have Been Completed -- May 18, 2018

These wells have been updated; see this post:
  • 17200, 829, BR, Dodge 1-17H, Dimmick Lake, t6/08; cum 225K 1/18;
  • 33338, 420, BR, Demicks Dodge 1A MBH-ULW,  Dimmick Lake, t12/17; cum -- (#17200)
I started following this well in January, 2018:
  • #17200; neighboring well recently fracked; bump in production; see what it is in a month or two; 
The neighboring wells have all been fracked; will post results over the weekend if I remember but they are all great wells. The BR Dodge wells are tracked here, but that post needs to be updated.

For those following IPs of recent BR wells, this is interesting to follow.

At the linked post, see the comments about these Dimmick Lake wells; completion strategies are unusual, and BR is reporting incredibly low 24-hour IPs for these wells.

Scientific American Not So Scientific Any More

I haven't looked at a Scientific American in ages. I quit reading the magazine some time ago: there were simply too many articles on anthropogenic global warming.

Last night, I had some free time, so I grabbed a couple of magazines off the rack at Barnes and Noble to read while having coffee. One of the magazines was Scientific American. Observations:
  • much smaller both in size of footprint, and number of pages; has gotten very, very small
  • lots of small, inconsequential fillers at the beginning of the magazine -- caters to a generation that doesn't have the attention span to read a two-page article
  • the magazine appears to be more "politically correct" than scientific; mostly filled with global warming articles or references to same
  • a nice long article on dinosaurs; asked why the dinosaurs were lucky to have emerged; question never answered
  • entire magazine has been dumb-downed; years ago when I was reading it, I had trouble following a lot of articles; no more; seems to have been dumb-downed for an audience of 8th graders -- which makes sense -- when I was teaching middle school students and high school students, it appears that students loved to read and read voraciously through 8th grade, and then stopped reading
  • entire magazine has been dumb-downed: those excellent math columns no long exist 
  • it's hard to believe this magazine will be around another ten years
Re-Posting: Can't Get Enough Of This

Far From Any Road, The Handsome Family

The group (or this song) reminds me of another group/song -- if I think of it, I will post it. Not Nancy Sinatra and that other guy, Summer Wine, but possibly.
From wiki:
The Handsome Family is an alternative country and Americana duo consisting of husband and wife Brett and Rennie Sparks formed in Chicago, Illinois, and currently based in Albuquerque, New Mexico.
They are perhaps best known for their song "Far from Any Road" from the album Singing Bones, which was used as the main title theme for the first season of HBO's 2014 crime drama True Detective.
The band's 10th album, Unseen, was released on September 16, 2016, the first new release on the band's own label and through long-time label Loose in Europe.
This is enough to get me to visit Albuquerque again. Wow.

Be sure to read the entire wiki entry on The Handsome Family. Absolutely fascinating.


Years and years ago I had a very, very close psychologist friend. I learned a lot about mental health from that psychologist. I was reminded of that by the background of The Handsome Family. I also had a very, very close physician friend who thought about going into psychiatry because he was fascinated by the thin line between sanity and insanity. He went into renal research instead. I don't keep in touch with either of these two any more.  

Global Warming -- Inconvenient Truths -- May 18, 2018


Later, 10:13 p.m. CDT: mid-May -- frost warning in the Bakken.

Original Post 
From iceagenow:

Also from iceagenow:

Note for the Granddaughters

New research suggests that the "dinosaur family tree" could be changed. If so, it would "shake dinosaur paleontology to its core." When I saw the "new and revised family tree" I was shocked. LOL. And some folks don't consider the Bakken a "revolution." LOL. And, stunningly, the new research bumps the emergence of dinosaurs back to 247 million years ago, versus the generally accepted 240 to 245 million years ago.

Link here.

There does appear to be a "new term" but it is not: "ornithoscelidans." This term was originally proposed back in the mid-19th century by Thomas Henry Huxley but abandoned. The term was revived in 2017 after a new cladistic analysis by Baron et al. See linked article at the very beginning of this note.

From wiki:
In March 2017, a paper in the journal Nature by Matthew Baron, David Norman, and Paul Barrett, published an analysis in which the theropod dinosaurs — no longer containing the Herrerasauridae — were more closely related to ornithischian dinosaurs than to the Sauropodomorpha, the group to which the sauropod dinosaurs belong.
Previous analyses had rather combined the Theropoda with the Sauropodomorpha into the Saurischia, to the exclusion of the Ornithischia.
These groups had also been formally defined to reflect this. Using these standard definitions, the new results would have had the effect of bringing the Ornithischia within the Saurischia and indeed the Theropoda; and the Sauropodomorpha outside the Dinosauria.
To avoid this, Baron and colleagues redefined all these groups. Proposing that the Ornithischia and Theropoda were sister groups also meant that a new name was needed for the clade combining them.
They named this new clade Ornithoscelida, defining it as "the least inclusive clade that includes Passer domesticus and Triceratops horridus."
This means that this node clade consists of the last common ancestor of the extant theropod Passer and the ornithischian Triceratops; and all its descendants. Huxley's old name Ornithoscelida was chosen because its meaning, "bird legs", well fitted the hindlimb traits of the clade.
Passer, from wiki:  Passer is a genus of sparrows, also known as the true sparrows.

The house sparrow = Passer domesticus.

Random Look At An MRO-Re-Fracked Well -- May 18, 2018

For newbies.

Go back to this post: did MRO just set a new IP record in the Bakken?

Then this post: new record in the Bakken

At those posts, note this very, very old well:
  • 18471, 380, MRO, Hunts Along USA 12-1H, Antelope, Sanish, t1/11; cum 143K 3/18; off-line since 5/17;
So, how is this well doing with all that fracking activity going on around it? Well, pretty good. Prior to that activity, it was producing 1,000 bbls of crude oil every month. It was taken off line so neighboring wells could be fracked ... or so I thought. It turns out that it was re-fracked January 22 - 23, 2018, but with a very small amount of water: 2.8 million lbs, 89% water by weight, 10.6% sand. When it came back on line it was producing 3,719 bbls of crude oil over six days which extrapolates to almost 20,000 bbls of crude oil over 30 days. This should turn out to be an incredible well despite being, at best, a mediocre well when first drilled.

Recent production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare

MRO Reports A Huge Antelope-Sanish Well -- May 18, 2018

Active rigs:

Active Rigs61522682190

Six new permits:
  • Operators: XTO (4); Slawson (2)
  • Fields:West Capa (Williams); Parshall (Mountrail)
  • Comments: XTO has permits for a 4-well Christiana pad in section 6-154-94 (northwest quadrant)
Eight permits renewed:
  • BR (4): one Gladstone permit, McKenzie County; and, three Patton permits in Dunn County
  • EOG (4): one West Clark permit in McKenzie County; three Austin permits in Mountrail County
One producing well (DUC) reported as completed:
  • 33492, 6,637, MRO, Mamie USA 21-1TFH, Three Forks B1, Antelope-Sanish, t4/18; cum --; permit says 640 acres; a huge well, but not a record by any stretch; see this post;

North Dakota Road Restrictions -- May 18, 2018 -- Another Poll

Link here:

Another Poll

This poll won't be found on this blog. The poll may be elsewhere.

D- in High School Geography; Failed Science

Recently, Kanye West talked about folks telling us that slavery in the US lasted 400 years. I was wondering where this number "400" came from. I think I now know where:

Bakken Economy -- May 18, 2018

Not sure how these two stories are related but I assume someone knows something I do not:

I did not read the article. I assume the "new birthing center" is not co-located with the new trampoline park but I do know that it's a) getting crowded in Williston, with all the development; and, b) it takes time to get building permits. Maybe only one permit was needed for a trampoline park with birthing center.

Update On The New Williston Airport

Track the new Williston airport here.

Somehow I'm relieved that, as far as I am aware, the new birthing center and trampoline park will not be co-located with the airport.

62 recent photos of the new airport at this link, and although you will be "bugged" to open an account, you can view the photos without a Facebook account an/or without logging in. 

A Note For The Granddaughters

It is interesting how things work out.

I've been listening to a lot of Scott Adams the past few weeks. Very uplifting messages.

This past week my 95-year-old father took a turn for the worse, and I did not think he would make it to next week.

Today, out of the blue, my sister who lives in Portland, OR, who is visiting our dad in Williston, ND, connected our dad and me on Facetime. We had a great conversation. His only concern today was not missing bingo. He seems better than ever.

Minutes after that Facetime event a 7-year-old Hispanic approached me inside the coffee shop with a note saying his family with four children had no money, yada, yada, yada ...

I was not in an area where I felt comfortable ....

Last night we wanted to take out-of-town family visitors for dinner. It would have cost $60 to $100. For whatever reason, we did not go out to dinner -- and thus I had cash in my billfold (which I normally do not).

I later caught up with the "homeless" Hispanic of four. Only two children were in tow with their mom. One was a daughter (I presume) that would not have been much older than Sophia.

They should have a nice lunch.

Funny how things all play out.

The Market, Energy, And Political Page, T+10 -- May 18,2018

From the blog April 9, 2018:
Federal transportation grant program: $500 million / year?

This is hard to believe. Need to fact check. Federal government gives $500 million / year to Planned Parenthood.
One would think with research and sales, Planned Parenthood would be self-supporting.

Now, today: Trump to cut Planned Parenthood funding.
On Friday, the Trump administration will announce a proposed rule to cut taxpayer funding to abortionists like Planned Parenthood under Title X, a program that provides $260 million annually in federal funding for contraception and other “family planning” initiatives.
Burn Coal, Not Trees

For the life of me, I can't imagine why anyone would want to burn precious, beautiful trees. Wow! How misguided can folks get?

From JoanneNova:
Any day now the giant tree-eating-machine called Drax will be shifting back to coal as Greens and politicians realize they’ve made a planet killing mistake.
At the moment, Drax is supposed to be saving the world and making electricity for the UK by burning trees cut down and shipped from the US.
This temple to carbon neutrality happens to be the largest plant in the UK. It generates about 7% of all the megawatts used there. But a new study by Sterman et al, suggests the Drax plan is backfiring badly.
See why at the linked article.

Way Too Political

Trump derangement syndrome.  Look at the comments at the linked article. It's clear that the writer is completely off-base. Or nuts. Or deranged.

In case the link is broken, "Obama's Legacy Has Already Been Destroyed," Andrew Sullivan, in New York Magazine. What a doofus.

The Katie Ledecky Page -- May 18, 2019


Later, 3:40 p.m. CDT: no world record in the 400-meter freestyle. Took first. Now has the ten fastest times in the history of the event, all under four minutes. Her record: 3:56.46; most recent, 3:57.94. She came back to finish fifth in the 100 freestyle in 54.56.

Original Post

This video is 17 minutes long. We talked about this earlier. See this post. Katie Ledecky set another world's record in this 1500-meter freestyle race. She beat her "old" record by five seconds. But the big story is this: in many of the wide shots, Katie Ledecky is the only swimmer seen and in almost every lap after the first three or laps, she is swimming "east" when most of the others are swimming "west." Anyone swimming in the same direction as Katie is actually two pool lengths behind Katie.

She came in first, beating #2 by almost a full minute (actual: 50 seconds). She wins by such a large margin, sports writers can write their column while waiting for #2 to touch the "finish line." The other story: she got faster as the race was coming down to the last laps.

Video and story at this link.

For those who never get tired of watching or reading about Katie Ledecky, here are the three top current stories about Katie:
With this race:
  • the previous 1500-meter freestyle record (Ledecky's) was set in 2015
  • with this race: 8 of the 11 fastest 1500-meter freestyle times in history
  • first to break the 15:30 time for this race; this is the fourth time she has done that 
If the video is too long for you to watch, start at the 11:05 mark.

After she touches the "finish line," you have time to get yourself another cup of coffee before #2 finishes.

It appeared she was trying to break the 15:20 mark. Her time: 15:20.48.
Reporter to Katie Ledecky after the race: "You need to cut one-half second off your time to come in under 15:20."

"Here, hold my Coke," Katie Ledecky was heard to respond.

Another Inconvenient Truth -- The Myth Of An Imminent Energy Transition -- Peter Tertzakian -- May 18, 2018

Preaching to the choir, but "fun" to read. Over at
100 million. It’s a number that drowns comprehension; it’s more jelly beans than can fit in an average-sized swimming pool.
Within a year, world oil consumption will top 100 million barrels of oil per day. Over the same time period, close to 100 million new piston-firing vehicles will be bought by petroleum-thirsty customers.
I hate to say it, but any notion of imminent “energy transition” or “decarbonization” is folly.
In fact, the percentage of fossil fuels in the world’s energy mix—coal, oil and natural gas—is still lingering well above 80 percent, a figure that has changed little in 30 years. That remains so, despite being challenged by serious environmental policies, financial pressures, viable alternative systems, public awareness and social activism.
It’s true that wind and solar are being deployed quickly, at an exponential rate in fact. But impressive as it all is, renewable energy installations are far too slow to catch the still-hardy appetite for fossil fuel consumption. Such energy obesity is not virtuous, but it’s a fact needing acknowledgement in a world of over seven billion people, each of whom are wanting for more light, heat, mobility and a panoply of mostly useless gadgetry.
And he goes on and on. "Fun" to read.

100 million bbls/day.

Libya? What? 500,000? 1 million? 2 million? Not what. Whatever.

Gasoline Demand

Odds And Ends -- But Mostly Odd

Williams: $10.5 billion; buys all public equity of its subsidiary.  From AP.

Enbridge: $9 billion re-structuring, consolidation deal. Just getting started. From Reuters.
Pipeline operator Enbridge Inc said on Thursday it would bring its independent units and liquids and gas pipeline assets under a single listed entity as part of a move to streamline its corporate structure.
Enbridge said it would buy in outstanding shares of its various corporate units, including Spectra Energy Partners and Enbridge Energy Partners, for a value of C$11.4 billion ($8.94 billion), or 272 million of its common shares.
The company, which has been trying to recast itself as a pure pipeline utility, has been under pressure to sell non-core assets and pare its debt pile of $60.87 billion as of December 31, 2017.
And after July 1, 2018, it's gonna get worse. Mexico's landmark energy reforms are mired in regulatory delays. From ReutersLink to the graphic below here.


Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job,travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.

I'm Here But Blogging Might Be Delayed Awhile -- May 18, 2018


Inappropriate exuberance:

MIA: in the graphic above, what major oil exporting country is not even shown? Yup, Mexico. And Norway.

Goldman Sachs: don't bet against oil. Okay, these are the folks that have, more than once, "warned" that oil could go below $20. Did anyone really believe that?  Now Goldman Sachs says that oil, after reaching $80 (Brent) "has room to run." Whatever.

Devon moving north over at SeekingAlpha. Mike Filloon --
  • the northern Delaware core continues to move further north into New Mexico
  • Devon's most recent 2nd Bone Spring locations have shown significant promise and improve the upside to other operators in the area
  • We expect results to improve as operators refine well design
Devon's oil curve is much better than other operators here. Concho, Cimarex, and EOG round out the top four. The average Devon location produces almost twice as much oil as the other operators. 
Market: futures up nicely. Dow opens slightly negative but by 10:15 a.m. turns slightly positive. When it turned positive, UNP also went up a bit. 
Back to the Bakken

Active rigs:

Active Rigs60522682190

RBN Energy: FERC, pipeline MLPs, and the IRA, part 2.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or what you think you might have read here. This is an entertainment and education site, frequently short on both.

Whiting Adds Three More Wold Federal Wells

From Thursday's daily activity report --

Six new permits: