Sunday, July 21, 2019

Top Ten Countries: Fossil Fuel Production -- 2018 -- Look At The Staggering Amount Of Coal Being Produced By China

I don't think this article tells us anything we didn't already know, but:
  • it has great graphics; and,
  • it's great for the archives
From the article:
Total fossil fuel production.

It shouldn’t come as a huge surprise, given its top spot in both oil and natural gas production, that the U.S. took the top spot overall. Russia in second place was also not a surprise, but Iran in third place will be a surprise to many.

It might also be a surprise that more Middle Eastern countries weren’t on the Top 10 list, but that countries like Canada, China, Norway, and Australia were all in the Top 10.
Norway is perhaps the biggest surprise, because they only made the Top 10 in one category, coming in at No. 7 in natural gas production.
Other surprises:
  • crude oil: China, #5; ahead of every middle Eastern country except Saudi Arabia
  • natural gas: #7, Norway; the latter did not meet the top ten list for crude oil
  • coal: among the top, Germany which is thought to be (one of) the "greenest" countries in the western world, among those that signed the Kyoto Protocol; China produces 46% of the world's total 
See comments.

A reader suggested this link: --

Look at this. What an incredible graph. First, the growth is incredible -- 240% growth over the time of interest. But then look at the amount of coal China is using compared to the maximum amount the US used. This is truly "beyond the pale," as they say in Ireland.

But also note the growth in coal production in Indonesia and India. It's quite obvious that both India and Indonesia will surpass coal production in the US in the out-years.

The Sports Page -- July 21, 2019

PGA: on now, NBC. Leader on 16th. Could be a huge day for the PGA, Ireland, and Shane Lowry. 
Link here. David Duval had a rough day in the first round:

 That apparently is CBS Sports math: nine strokes over on a par 5 hole yields 13. What am I missing?

Then, the second paragraph (explanation and gets the simple addition correct):

Swimming. Looks like NBC, today, 2:00 - 4:00, ET. Will re-air finals. I think the tournament is in South Korea.

NASCAR: NBCS later today, 2:00 p.m. CT. Channel 31 for those of us with Spectrum, DFW.

Record Number Of Utility Requests For Rate Increases In 2018 -- Reality Sucks -- The Cost Of Renewables -- Americans Won't Pay $10/Month To Save The Earth -- This Is How FREE Wind / Solar Energy Is

The other day a reader sent me a link to an article that PG&E out in California was asking for a huge ($2 billion) rate increase --- and this had nothing to do with the recent record-setting fires allegedly started by PG&E transmission lines. Folks were outraged.

This is the link.
The request for a rate raise must be approved by the commission and would give the utility company:
  • $1 billion above current rates in 2020; 
  • $454 million more in 2021; and, 
  • $486 million more for 2022 
For the average customer the rate raise would be approximately $10.50 more per month — $8.75 for electricity and $1.84 for gas. - Chico Enterprise-Record
Actually, $15 / month to save the world doesn't seem that much to pay. 

I didn't post the story at the time. It didn't seem noteworthy. I assumed this was the norm (annual rate increases). It was (the norm). But not entirely.

 As soon as I saw the story I asked my wife (from California) if she had any ideas why PG&E was asking for the huge rate increase. She had no idea. I said: transmission lines for wind and solar farms.

Look at this, from twitter today.

People are complaining but they are:
  • not asking the right questions; and,
  • not voting (or not thinking when they vote)
Folks are simply going to get what they voted for.

At great expense.

[Hunch: PG&E won't get all it wants this year. But they will be back next year if they don't get what they need now.]

If one argues that this is simply an up-front cost for wind/solar energy and that in the long run, wind/solar energy will be free, then amortize the up-front costs over 30 years. 

Production Data For Wells Coming Off Confidential List This Next Week -- July 21, 2019

35960, conf, Newfield, Goliath 150-98-5-8-8HLWR, Siverston:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold

35272, conf, CLR, Carson Peak 4-35HSL, Oakdale:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold

35432, conf, CLR, Syverson 4-12H, East Fork:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold

Flood Warnings For Williston Area -- City Won't Flood -- Some Oil Pads Will Be Under Water -- July 21, 2019

Link here.

And I thought global warming was going to end all this flooding; just a lot of never-ending drought. I do believe ever since faux environmentalists started looking at fake data, we've had more rain than ever. Just saying.

I do not recall flood warnings ever in Williston this time of year when I was growing up there. Williston / Missouri River is prone to flooding every spring, but this is late July. We should be well beyond flood warnings. Wow. And I assume if there are flood warnings this far north, the problem exists farther south. If not, the government has not been releasing water from the dam fast enough.

I also haven't seen any news stories on this; was this a surprise? 

Garrison Dam water release, a pdf will download.

Wells Coming Off The Confidential List This Next Week -- July 21, 2019

I checked and double-checked, and I think that's correct: no wells will come off the confidential list between July 26, 2019, and July 29, 2019, inclusive. There will be three wells coming off the confidential list on July 30, 2019, a week from Tuesday.

Six months ago it was the last week of January, 2019. No holidays then, so it must have been weather-related, but that doesn't look likely either.
  • January 26, 2019: breezy, low of 6 degrees F; high of 30 degrees F (not unusual for the Bakken)
  • January 27, 2019: much nicer day, high of 40 degrees F;
  • the following days were no different
  • no precipitation 
  • so, weather-related? doubtful
Monday, July 29, 2019: 43 for the month; 43 for the quarter;

Sunday, July 28, 2019; 43 for the month; 43 for the quarter;

Saturday, July 27, 2019: 43 for the month; 43 for the quarter;

Friday, July 26, 2019: 43 for the month; 43 for the quarter;

Thursday, July 25, 2019: 43 for the month; 43 for the quarter;
35178, conf, MRO, State Etta 44-36H,

Wednesday, July 24, 2019: 42 for the month; 42 for the quarter;
35960, conf, Newfield, Goliath 150-98-5-8-8HLWR, 
35272, conf, CLR, Carson Peak 4-35HSL, 

Tuesday, July 23, 2019: 40 for the month; 40  for the quarter;
35177, conf, MRO, State Elias 34-36TFH
35164, conf, Hunt, Halliday 146-92-19-18H-3,

Monday, July 22, 2019: 38 for the month; 38 for the quarter;
35758, conf, Petroshale, Helen 2TFH,
35176, conf, MRO, State Eileen 34-36TFH

Sunday, July 21, 2019: 36 for the month; 36 for the quarter;
35432, conf, CLR, Syverson 4-12H, 

Saturday, July 20, 2019: 35 for the month; 35 for the quarter;
35919, conf, Petroshale, Helen 1MBH, 
35175, conf, MRO, State Eggert 24-36H, 
34891, conf, BR, Gorhumbian 3A MBH-ULW, 

How Good Is The Bakken? -- July 21, 2019

I apologize to readers. To some extent I am:
  • beating a dead horse
  • preaching to the choir (but it is a Sunday, down here in Texas)
See this link.

I completely missed this nugget of gold noted by the reader in his great notes/replies to recent posts:

Note that, per, these are only the #2 and #3 hz wells in all the US. #1 is held by a 2014 EF well by Devon. 

The two wells the reader is referring to, I believe, the #2 and #3 horizontals in the entire US, are:
  • 16059, 729, Petro-Hunt, USA 2D-3-1H, Charlson field, t10/06; cum 1.727438 million bbls 5/19; still producing 4,000 bbls/month; it appears this well was never fracked (based on two corroborative forms in the file report); 
  • 20210, 803, CLR, Whitman 2-34H, Oakdale, API - 33-025-01259; t9/11; cum 1.6654 million bbls 8/18; see production profile below; FracFocus: no re-frack; original frack, 24 stages; 2.4 million lbs sand; in addition to the 1.6 million bbls of oil, a cum of 1650315 MCF gas (275K boe natural gas -- so we're talking close to 2 million boe so far; [Update: this well went off-line 9/17, and did not come back on line until 8/18; in 8/18, only four days of production of 2,075 bbls which extrapolates to 15,000 bbls in one month;
As long as we are at it, recent production for these two wells:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare