Saturday, January 25, 2020

Random Look At DUCs From 1Q18 -- January 25, 2020

Operators have two years in which to get DUCs completed in North Dakota.

We are currently in the first quarter 2020.

Two years ago: 1Q18. Of the 242 wells that came off the confidential list in the first quarter, 2018, two years ago, I count five DUCs, one of which was never expected to be a production well.

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Origin Myths

Two books this week, taken off my top shelf to re-read:
  • The Privileged Planet: How Our Place in The Cosmos is Designed for Discovery, Guillermo Gonzalez and Jay W. Richards, c. 2004.
  • From John Hands Cosmos Sapiens: Human Evolution and the Origin of the Universe, c. 2015.
Origin myths from John Hands, p. 7:
Every culture throughout recorded history has one or more stories about how the universe and we humans originated: understanding where we came from is part of an inherent human desire to understand what we are.
The Rig Veda, the oldest sacred text in the worl and the most important scripture of what is now called Hinduism, has three such myths in its tenth book of hymns to the gods. The Brahmanas, the second partof each veda largely devoted to ritual, have others, while most of the Upanishads, accounts of the mystical insights of seers that tradition attaches to the end of the vedas, express in various ways a single insight into the origin of the universe.
From wiki:
The Philological and linguistic evidence indicates that the bulk of the Rigveda Samhita was composed in the northwestern region (Punjab) of the Indian subcontinent, most likely between c. 1500 and 1200 BC, although a wider approximation of c. 1700–1100 BC has also been given.
Until now I had never given that data, 1200 BC, much thought. But 1200 BC coincides exactly with the end of the Bronze Age. From wiki:
The Late Bronze Age collapse involved a Dark Age transition period in the Near East, Asia Minor, the Aegean region, North Africa, Caucasus, Balkans and the Eastern Mediterranean from the Late Bronze Age to the Early Iron Age, a transition which historians believe was violent, sudden, and culturally disruptive.
The palace economy of the Aegean region and Anatolia that characterised the Late Bronze Age disintegrated, transforming into the small isolated village cultures of the Greek Dark Ages. The half-century between c. 1200 and 1150 BC saw the cultural collapse of the Mycenaean kingdoms, of the Kassite dynasty of Babylonia, of the Hittite Empire in Anatolia and the Levant, and of the Egyptian Empire; the destruction of Ugarit and the Amorite states in the Levant, the fragmentation of the Luwian states of western Asia Minor, and a period of chaos in Canaan.
The deterioration of these governments interrupted trade routes and severely reduced literacy in much of the known world. In the first phase of this period, almost every city between Pylos and Gaza was violently destroyed, and many abandoned, including Hattusa, Mycenae, and Ugarit.
A reminder: Helen of Troy, the fall of Troy, The Iliad, 1200 BC, marked the end of the Bronze Age.

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PGA? It's Still All About Tiger Woods

The third round is still in play.

But Tiger Woods finished and immediately after the post-round interview, the coverage ended and the local station moved on to "DFW Outdoorsman," a hunting and fishing show. LOL. They couldn't get away fast enough from golf.

A WPX Hidatsa Well In Reunion Bay Approaching 600K Bbls Crude Oil -- January 25, 2020

The well:
  • 33398, 3,291, WPX, Hidatsa North 14-23HX, Reunion Bay, 2 sections; Three Forks, 51 stages; 8.6 million lbs; sections 14/23-150-93; t9/17; cum 593K 10/19; off line as of 11/19; 
The other wells on this 8-well pad:
  • 33397, 2,662, WPX, Hidatsa North 14-23HA, Reunion Bay, t9/18; cum 279K 12/19;
  • 33396, IA/3,051, WPX, Hidatsa North 14-23HW, Reunion Bay, t9/18; cum 364K 7/19; off line 7/19; remains off line 12/19;
  • 33395, 2,878, WPX, Hidatsa North 14-23HB, Reunion Bay, t8/18; cum 355K 12/19;
  • 33394, 2,783, WPX, Hidatsa North 14-23HC, Reunion Bay, t8/18; cum 327K 12/19;
  • 33366, 2,940, WPX, Hidatsa North 14-23HZ, Reunion Bay, t8/18; cum 383K 12/19;
  • 33393, 3,242, WPX, Hidatsa North 14-23HD, Reunion Bay, t9/18; cum 340K 12/19;
  • 33645, 1,874, WPX, Hidatsa North 14-23HUL, Reunion Bay, t9/18; cum 297K 12/19;
The WPX Arikara wells just to the west are also incredibly good wells (an 8-well pad).

The WPX Mandan North wells just to the east are also incredibly good wells (a 5-well pad).

Jump In Production; XTO Christiana Wells -- January 25, 2020

The wells:
  • 34920, 883, XTO, Christiana 21X-6F, Three Forks, 40 stages; 5.0 million lbs; stimulated 4/19; West Capa, t5/19; cum 102K 11/19;
  • 34919 1,028, XTO, Christiana 21X-6AXB, middle Bakken, 40 stages; 8.0 million lbs; stimulated 4/19; West Capa, t6/19; cum 79K 11/19;
  • 34918, 1,206, XTO, Christiana 21X-6F, middle Bakken, 40 stages; 8.0 million lbs; stimulated 4/19; West Capa, t6/19; cum 188K 11/19;
  • 34917, 1,201, XTO, Christiana 21X-6EXH, Three Forks, four sections, 40 stages; 5.0 million lbs; stimulated 3/19; West Capa, t6/19; cum 123K 11/19;


  • 20062, 1,359, XTO, Christiana 21X-6B, 33-105-02065, West Capa, t4/12; cum 243K 11/19; jump in production in 7/19; see production profile below; according to FracFocus, not fracked since the original frack in 2012;

  • 22139, 1,148, XTO, Christiana 21X-6G, 33-105-02492, West Capa, t4/12; cum 243K 11/19; small jump in production 11/19; according to FracFocus, not fracked since the original frack in 2012;
Graphic:


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Jump In Production

20062, to the west on the two-well pad (#20062, #22139):
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN11-201927898388531721132271317940
BAKKEN10-201994078421498561269612370139
BAKKEN9-20192512088121312771339992383781189
BAKKEN8-20193015366153104194549939414118025
BAKKEN7-2019309988981646752279491077516692
BAKKEN6-20193155152394121491179935
BAKKEN5-2019213123099300929
BAKKEN4-20190000000
BAKKEN3-20190000000
BAKKEN2-20190000000
BAKKEN1-20190000000
BAKKEN12-2018305002000
BAKKEN11-2018272006233214441063159594417
BAKKEN10-201811835510252478923162371
BAKKEN9-20180000000
BAKKEN8-20181338350628720881861159
BAKKEN7-201831139914821129737254831683

Recent jump in production exceeded initial production back in 2012, #20062:

BAKKEN7-20123157366267234583798076303
BAKKEN6-20123067556525288011639116390
BAKKEN5-2012319064924939101534814751597
BAKKEN4-201226117231138460901508753679720
BAKKEN3-201231235220242546293402934

More Than One Way To Kill Fracking -- Flashback -- August 14, 2012

Re-posting, just so we don't forget:
Link here (the link is now broken).

This is incredible. Doesn't take a rocket scientist to sort this out.
The Obama administration continues its war on fossil fuels, leaving virtually no stone unturned in looking for ways to slow fossil fuel production. C.J. Ciaramela reports on still more stalling shenanigans in an article at the Washington Free Beacon:
The Federal Motor Carrier Safety Association (FMCSA) in June re-interpreted a 50-year-old rule limiting the amount of time trucks delivering water and sand to drilling sites can stay on-site.
The rule interpretation, which was put into effect immediately, and without either review or industry input, seems to target fracking:
The new interpretation of the rule would remove a “waiting time exemption” for trucks at drilling-sites, making any time they spend on-site count toward their 11-hour work limit. Because oil and gas drilling sites are often located in remote areas, sometimes without paved roads, and because of the unpredictable nature of the work, it is often necessary for trucks to stay on-site for more than 11 hours.

Week 4: January 19, 2020 -- January 25, 2020

Top commentary:
Top blog story:
Top international non-energy story:
Top international energy story:
Top national non-energy story:
Top national energy story:
Top North Dakota non-energy story:
Top North Dakota energy story:
Geoff Simon's top North Dakota stories:
  • Long X bridge replacement continues; winding down for winter; will be open by winter, 2020;
  • Trump approves Keystone XL on federal lands in Montana
  • South Dakota board approves Keystone XL water permits
  • Hearing set for ONEOK natural gas liquids pipeline in Williams County
  • PSC not seeking more spill information for proposed DAPL expansion
  • Minnesota regulators to consider Line 3's revised environmental review
  • Oil production and exports hit historic highs for US
  • Watford City new elementary school starting to take shape
February dockets:
Operations:
Natural gas:
Natural gas liquids:
Bakken economy:
Commentary:
Global warming, and other scams:
Investing: