Sunday, December 10, 2017

Jump In Production Of An Old Oasis Lawlar Well In North Tobacco Garden -- December 10, 2017

Jump in production of an old Oasis Lawlar well in North Tobacco Garden at this post.

I track the Oasis Lawlar wells in North Tobacco Garden at this post.

Denton, TX

Today we were up in Denton, TX, watching our oldest granddaughter participating in water polo, another contact sport  ("if water polo was easy, they would call it football").

Denton, TX.

From YouTube:
Ray T. Peterson was born in Denton, Texas.
As a boy he had to overcome polio.
Blessed with a four octave singing voice, Peterson moved to Los Angeles, California where he was signed to a recording contract by RCA Victor Records in 1958.
He recorded several songs that were minor hits until "The Wonder of You" made it into the Top 40 of the Billboard Hot 100 chart on June 15, 1959. The song would later be recorded by Elvis Presley, with whom Peterson became a friend. In 1960, Peterson created his own record label with his manager Stan Shulman, called Dunes Records, and enlisted the help of record producer Phil Spector.
Peterson scored a Top 10 hit with the teenage tragedy song, "Tell Laura I Love Her", and followed that success with "Corrine, Corrina."
Peterson's dramatic ballad, "I Could Have Loved You So Well", written by Barry Mann and Cynthia Weil and produced by Spector, only reached #57 on the U.S. chart.  

Tell Laura I Love Her, Ray Peterson

Wells Coming Off The Confidential List This Week -- December 10, 2017

Wells coming off the confidential list this coming week:

Monday, December 18, 2017: 62 for the month; 172 for the quarter
33491, conf, MRO, Shoots USA 41-2H, Antelope, no production data,
33331, conf, QEP, ND Levang 5-16-21BHD, Grail, a nice well;
30237, conf, CLR, Alfsvaag 4-31H, Crazy Man Creek, producing, but not that much yet;

Sunday, December 17, 2017: 59 for the month; 169 for the quarter
33492, conf, Mamie USA 21-1TFH, Antelope, no production data,
32393, conf, Whiting, Froehlich 21-29-2PH, Bell, producing, albeit not much;

Saturday, December 16, 2017: 57 for the month; 167 for the quarter
32884, conf, Liberty Resources, Nelson 158-95-20-4TFH, McGregor, producing producing, albeit not much;
32865, conf, MRO, DeMaray USA 41-2TFH, Antelope, no production data,
32696, conf, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-18B-4H, Charlson, no production data,
31632, conf, Oasis, Lawlar N 5199 42-23 5T, North Tobacco Garden; a huge well; 44K in first full month;
31631, conf, Oasis, Lawlar N 5199 42-23 4B, North Tobacco Garden; a huge well; 47K in first full month;

Friday, December 15, 2017: 52 for the month; 162 for the quarter 32907, 557, Liberty Resources, Nelson 158-95-20-4MBH, McGregor, 13 stages; 3.3 million lbs, t6/17; cum 22K 10/17;
Thursday, December 14, 2017: 51 for the month; 161 for the quarter
33493, SI/NC, MRO, Mark USA 11-1H, Antelope, no production data,

Wednesday, December 13, 2017: 50 for the month; 160 for the quarter
33494, SI/NC, MRO, Timothy USA 11-1TFH-2B, Antelope, no production data,  
Tuesday, December 12, 2017: 49 for the month; 159 for the quarter
33215, SI/NC, Kraken Operating, Feller 22-15 2H, Lone Tree Lake, no production data,
31629, 2,208, Oasis, Lawlar N 5199 41-23 2B, North Tobacco Garden, 70 stages; 10.2 million lbs; t7/17; cum 182K 10/17;
Monday, December 11, 2017: 47 for the month; 157 for the quarter
33562, SI/NC, MRO, Lois USA 14-34H, Reunion Bay, no production data,
33216, SI/NC, Kraken, Operating Feller 22-15 3H, Lone Tree Lake, no production data,
32316, 674, EOG, Van Hook 71-1411H, Parshall, 35 stages; 13.1 million lbs, t6/17; cum 105K 10/17;
31630, 1,497, Oasis, Lawlar N 5199 41-23 3T, North Tobacco Garden, Three Forks, 70 stages, 10 million lbs, t7/17; cum 110K 10/17;

Sunday, December 10, 2017: 43 for the month; 153 for the quarter
33600, drl, Resonance Exploration, Resonance Senescall 6-36, Sergis, producing, albeit not much;
33217, SI/NC, Kraken Operating, Feller 22-15 4H, Lone Tree Lake, no production data,
32315, 615, EOG, Van Hook 70-1411HX, Parshall, 28 stages; 10.6 million lbs; t6/17; cum 106K 10/17;

Saturday, December 9, 2017: 40 for the month; 150 for the quarter
33412, SI/NC, MRO, Winona USA 21-2TFH-2B, Antelope, no production data,
33050, 1,703, EOG, Clarks Creek 75-0719HX, Clarks Creek, 4 sections, 57 stages, 15.1 million lbs; t6/17; cum 230K 10/17;
32794, 2,382, Clarks Creek 74-0719H, Clarks Creek, 4 sections, 59 stages, 17 million lbs, t6/17; cum 230K 10/17;
31836, 1,827, Whiting, Evitt 34-12H, Truax, 4 sections 43 stages; 11 million lbs, t6/17; cum 148K 10/17;

The Market And Energy Page, With A Little Bit Of Politics, T+323 -- December 10, 2017

Link to ISO New England. Spot electricity jumped to $75/MWh earlier this morning; now down to about $40/MWh.

ISO Australia: will hit $180/MWh in South Australia; as high as $350/MWh in some other areas.

The Political Page

The most recent "fake news" that has Trump upset (for the archives): the amount of television he is said to watch, and that he had a 60-inch flat screen put in his dining room. Some comments:
  • the media sound like parents of the 1970's: worried about their children watching too much television
  • just 'cause a TV set is on, doesn't mean you're watching it
  • TV network and cable news is one of the few things, along with Twitter, that is unfiltered by his staff; he sees immediately what the rest of America is being told
  • the "journalist" who started all this must be over 30 years old; no one younger than 30 talks about "watching television"; it's all about "screen time"
  • and, what size flat screen does Mark Cuban have in his dining room?
And about all the diet Coke he drinks? Our physicians tell us to drink plenty of liquids; he says he doesn't drink alcohol; we might all be better off if our elected leaders (and "journalists") stuck to diet soft drinks without the alcohol.

Update: one day after the above was posted, a self-acclaimed ISIS terrorist detonated a bomb on a NYC subway platform, but that didn't stop CNN from focusing on what President Trump drinks:

Catching Up On The News -- At Water Polo

Recycling -- Nothing About The Bakken -- November 10, 2017 -- Another NFL-Free Sunday

Another NFL-free Sunday. I see the Dallas Cowboys play some other team today. All the sports talk radio here in the Dallas-Ft Worth area is that the Cowboys still have a chance to make the playoffs. They "simply" have to win all four of their remaining games during the regular season. There will be a dozen or so NFL games today. The final scores will be: 24 -17; 13-6; 42 - 36; 13-0; 34-24; or some variation thereof.

I'll be watching our oldest granddaughter at a water polo tournament later this afternoon. She has two games. The score will most likely be 11 - 9 and 12 - 10. 

The Re-Cycling Page

I can't remember if I posted this; I probably did. A year ago, or maybe it was two years ago, I told my wife that most of our recycled cardboard goes to China, but China no longer wants that cardboard. They have too much of it. I left it at that, pretty much forgot all about it. Until today, scanning through the links at The Drudge Report.

It turns out that as of January 1, 2018, China will no longer take any of our waste or our recycled plastic or cardboard or whatever.

From NPR:
The U.S. exports about one-third of its recycling, and nearly half goes to China. For decades, China has used recyclables from around the world to supply its manufacturing boom.
But this summer it declared that this "foreign waste" includes too many other non-recyclable materials that are "dirty," even "hazardous." In a filing with the World Trade Organization the country listed 24 kinds of solid wastes it would ban "to protect China's environmental interests and people's health."
The complete ban takes effect January 1, 2018, but already some Chinese importers have not had their licenses renewed. That is leaving U.S. recycling companies scrambling to adapt.
My hunch: regardless of whether China has too much cardboard or not, American recyclers were not particularly careful about separating garbage from cardboard, and the Chinese took notice.

Another hunch: Americans are going to see their monthly recycling (and, by extension, all their waste removal) rates go up. And we'll soon see another NPR story about Americans running out of landfills and dumping stuff into the ocean.

My suggestion for cardboard: send it to Washington, DC, and the kids there can use cardboard for makeshift sledding, from a post dated January 22, 2016.

I do believe I've discussed my thoughts on recycling on the blog.

The Literature Page

I almost ways take a book with me no matter where I go. It's amazing how much free time or wasted time there is standing in lines or waiting for things to happen. I've talked about this before. My 30 years in the USAF "taught"  me never to leave home without a book.

Right now, my "go-to" book when leaving the house: Growing Up With The Impressionists: The Diary of Julie Manet, translated and edited by Jane Roberts, c. 2017; softcover, from Amazon.

It's an incredibly delightful book but I can't imagine anyone reading it except really, really obsessive students of art history. And their professors. And a few people like me. Those with NFL-free Sundays.

Julie was the niece of Edouard ("Vanna, I would like to buy a vowel") Manet, among the most famous Parisian painters at that time, and the daughter of Berthe Morisot, an accomplished landscape painter. Julie began her diary on Thursday, August 24, 1893, when she was fourteen with these words:

I have often wanted to keep a diary, so I think I'll start one now. I suppose I might have left it rather later, but the longer I wait the later will be -- and, after, I'm still only 14."

Her last entry was Saturday, December 23, 1899, although a comment by the editor suggests she may have occasionally continued her diary after she married.

The translation is incredibly good. No, I do not read French and I don't have a copy of the diary in the original French, but I can say it's an incredibly good translation because the book reads so incredibly well. It is definitely a book I will re-read.

The book is a relatively small softcover; the feel of the jacket, though paper, almost has a soft leathery touch which makes it nice to hold. The font is perfect. The editor chose not to use footnotes but rather end notes. There are 472 end notes which provide much interesting trivia -- but very important trivia -- about Julie's entries.

Although written by a teenager -- age 14 - 20 -- it reads as if it had been written by a much older person -- let's say 29 years old. I don't know if that's a compliment to the writer or to the translator. If a 14-year-old really wrote this well in the late 1900's -- well, it certainly speaks volumes about the impression I have of US millennials' ability to write.

She didn't make many entries each year, and most of the entries are very, very short. Most of the entries are simply rather mundane, mostly of her visiting the homes of family friends -- all artists we know: Renoir, Monet, Degas, for example, and few poets, we know less well, Mallarme, for example.

A lot of death in her diaries. I can't recall if she mentioned when her father died (I will have to re-read the book) but when her mother died in 1895, and at sixteen years of age, Julie was an orphan and moved in with her cousins whom she adored.

That's about as far as I've gotten in the book, but every day, I read a few pages while standing in line or waiting for some event to begin.

It's the kind of book I hate to see end.

Best Sellers

#8 on non-fiction best-sellers in yesterday's Wall Street Journal: Elf on the Shelf. Seriously. It's probably the history of the book. I would not have taken notice except my wife pointed it out.

Our older daughter loves Elf on the Shelf; both my wife and our younger daughter "hate" Elf on the Shelf.

Of course, knowing that my wife hates Elf on the Shelf .... it made the perfect gift ... yes, I bought her one -- actually I had our older daughter buy one for me -- and put it in in the corner between her mirror and the medicine cabinet in her bathroom the other night. When she saw it the next morning, she freaked out. Mission accomplished.

I had not heard of Elf on the Shelf until last week when I saw one over at older daughter's house. I knew I had to  have one immediately.

Part of the ritual after buying this ridiculous little thing is to name it. On the drive to school on Friday, my wife and the two older granddaughters agreed on "Manuel" from "Fawlty Towers" fame.

I would highly recommend Elf on the Shelf if you have someone on your list in your household who hates such things. It will give you daily pleasure to see them freak out.

The On-Line Shopping Page

So, last night, May told me that she had just thought of a small -- about $12 -- Christmas gift for someone in the family but she was unable to find it at Target, where we had been earlier last evening. She said perhaps i could order it from Amazon. With less than four clicks I had ordered the item. Within one minute (I think is was actually instantaneous), I received a confirmation that Amazon had received my order. This morning I received an e-mail message saying that the item would be here tomorrow, Monday. I ordered it last night, Saturday, late evening, and it will be here tomorrow.

Mid-week, last week, we received a message from UPS saying that a package from Costco would be arriving on Thursday, four days earlier than expected. I wracked / racked my brain trying to remember what we  had ordered from Costco. To the best of my knowledge, we've never ordered anything from Costco. We simply drive the pick-up truck to our neighborhood Costco whenever we run out of paper towels. We may need a bigger pick-up truck next year: buying in volume saves one a lot of money. But I digress.

The UPS note said the package weighed 8 pounds. Then I figured it out. A very nice family sent us a fruit (and chocolate) basket last year for Christmas and my hunch was that they did it again this year.

They did. The gift arrived three days earlier than originally promised but a day later than the revised delivery date. That suggests to me how busy UPS already is, considering we live five minutes from the UPS terminal at the DFW airport.

The Sky Is Falling, The Sky Is Falling -- EDF -- December 10, 2017: Natural Gas Flaring In The Permian And The Bakken

There must be a cottage industry made up of reporters who love to take on the fracking industry ... perhaps a story for another time but unlikely.

Now it appears it is the Permian's turn to get the bad press. The Permian, not long ago a dying oil field, is now the largest on-shore shale producer in the universe. And it's going through a boom just like the North Dakota Bakken boom back in 2012 -- when time was more important than money, and infrastructure couldn't keep up with all the wells coming on line.

And, that takes us to flaring.

Folks around the world were captivated with this image, "acquired" November 12, 2012. At the time it was said to show all the flaring in the Bakken. There must have been a lot flaring in Minot and Bismarck when this image was "acquired."

It turns out that image was part of much large image "acquired" at the same time. See how fast you can find the Bakken in the image below.

And it turns out, the vast majority of that "light" from northwestern North Dakota was not due to flaring (if it was, there was a lot of flaring in Bismarck, also).

From a March 3, 2013, posting:
Remember all those satellite shots of northwest North Dakota suggesting that flaring was the reason for all the "hot spots"? So, another look.

From the NASA Earth Observatory website, comes this interesting bit of trivia:
On November 12, 2012, the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) on the Suomi NPP satellite captured this nighttime view of widespread drilling throughout the area. Most of the bright specks are lights associated with drilling equipment and temporary housing near drilling sites, though a few are evidence of gas flaring. Some of the brighter areas correspond to towns and cities including Williston, Minot, and Dickinson. 
I assume it would be too much to ask to have this checked out at
I posted all that so that we would have some background for the November 14, 2017, Environmental Defense Fund, post: "a new Texas Permian oil and gas flaring report reveals excessive gas waste and major gaps in operator flaring practices."

The EDF post even has similar satellite images of all that flaring in west Texas -- but they needed a magnifying glass so folks could actually see what they were trying to show.

During the early Bakken boom I believe flaring resulted in upwards of nearly 40% of produced natural gas being flared. And over the next couple of years, "we" solved that. Now, the Bakken is down to 10 - 15% of produced natural gas being flared. It sort of comes with the territory during a shale oil boom.

So, how's the Permian doing, that's got the EDF (not to be confused with the IDF) all hot and bothered?

The Bakken was producing well less than 1 million bopd when they had that terrible flaring problem -- more of a PR problem than an environmental problem: flaring upwards of 40% of produced natural gas.

In comparison, the Permian:
  • oil production exceeds 2.5 million bopd
  • of the top 15 oil and gas producers working in the Permian, none exceed 10% (percentage of produced gas that is flared)
  • the 2015 average is 4% 
  • the 2014 average is 3%
  • the graph the EDF posts is an incredibly poor graph; the graph does not show how much oil each company is producing
  • the companies at the left of the graph are by far the largest operators and they are drilling faster than the infrastructure can handle; the operators at the right are some of the smallest operators in the US; are they even drilling that much or is the flaring due to very, very old wells?
  • the EDF fails to note that, compared to the Bakken, the Permian is much gassier -- the ratio of natural gas produced is much higher than the percentage of natural gas (compared to oil) that is produced in the Bakken; by that measure Permian operators are doing an incredible job keeping up with produced natural gas
  • North Dakota long term goal is to maintain flaring below 10%; the Bakken is not there yet and will likely get worse before it gets better (for a number of reasons)
  • the EDF conveniently forgets that the boom is not over in the Permian, unlike the Bakken which is now in a "manufacturing" phase, not a boom phase of E&P; one would expect that flaring would increase, all things being equal in the Permian during during the "boom" phase
  • The operators in the Permian will sort this out once infrastructure catches up to the drilling activity
For me, I was blown away by the fact that not one producer was flaring more than 9% (according to the graph), and that the average across the Permian was around 4%. Compare those figures to those of North Dakota's oily (non-gassy) Bakken below.

Perhaps the EDF could provide a detailed study on the number of birds that are killed each day by dicers and slicers (wind farms) and Kentucky fryers (solar farms).

Natural Gas Flaring In North Dakota -- An Update

From The Bismarck Tribune:
A significant expansion announced last week for a new McKenzie County natural gas processing plant aims to reduce gas flaring in the region.
Crestwood Equity Partners proposes to expand the Arrow Bear Den gas processing plant near Watford City, adding another 120 million cubic feet per day of processing capacity.
That’s in addition to phase one of the plant, which just came online last week and added 30 million cubic feet per day of processing capacity.
Ron Ness, president of the North Dakota Petroleum Council, said he suspects more companies will make similar announcements to keep up with the expected growth in natural gas production.
The state produces 1.9 billion cubic feet per day of natural gas, a figure the North Dakota Pipeline Authority projects will exceed 3 billion cubic feet per day by 2030.
Thirteen oil companies failed to meet North Dakota’s natural gas flaring goals in September, but just one is facing restrictions under state policies.
The North Dakota Industrial Commission adopted gas capture targets in 2014 aimed at reducing natural gas flaring across the state. The policy allows regulators to limit a company’s oil production for failing to meet the target, which is currently set at capturing 85 percent.
However, the policy also includes many exceptions, making it rare for regulators to impose oil production restrictions.
The state is revising its flaring figures for September after receiving amended information from a major operator.
The Department of Mineral Resources initially reported that the industry captured 83 percent of natural gas statewide in September, missing the gas capture target for the first time since the policy was adopted.
Now the agency says companies captured 85 percent of gas from Bakken and Three Forks wells after Oasis Petroleum submitted new figures that corrected an error caused by a software system upgrade.
The important question to ask is whether companies not meeting the guidelines were given permission to flare by the NDIC. More from the linked story:
The flaring is more severe on the Fort Berthold Reservation, where companies captured 71 percent of natural gas in September, or flared 29 percent.
The state’s gas capture target increases to 88 percent in November 2018. Director of Mineral Resources Lynn Helms said that target is going to be challenging for industry to meet without significant investment in processing plants and other infrastructure.
Sinclair was the worst offender and has been told to reduce production to 3,000 bbls/month.