Tuesday, February 17, 2026

A Broadening Market -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49992INVESTING.

The equal-weight S&P 500 is outperforming the cap-weighted benchmark on a year-to-date basis by the widest margin since 1976.


 

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Cap-Weighted vs Equal-Weighted

Mag 7 -- Expected Revenue Over Next Three Years -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49991APPLE.

Tag Mag 7 META GOOGLE AMZN Amazon

Disclaimer: I often make simple arithmetic errors. None of this has been fact-checked. 

For background, link here, Apple's annual revenue: 

  • 2025: $416.161 billion, a 6.43% from 2024;
  • 2024: $391.035 billion, a 2.02% increase from 2023;
  • 2023: $383.285 billion, a 2.8% decline from 2022
  • total, past three years, 2023 - 2025: $1.190 trillion
  • forecast, for next three years: 2026 - 2029: $1.5 trillion: a 26% increase over the three prior years.

Link here

Apple Hype Or About To See Something Special? February 17, 2026

Locator: 49990APPLE.

Link here.

Link here

Is Apple pivoting toward adding lower cost, playful color and mass appeal to its growing stable?

Is it unusual for Apple to hold events in March?

According to Google:

  • not unusual, but
  • the March 4, 2026, "Special Apple Experience" is notable:
    • hands-on,
    • multi-city (New York, London, Shanghai
    • rather than a traditional, streamed, boring, keynote from Cupertino
  • spring (March/April) is a regular part of Apple's annual event cycle
    • often focuses on education, iPads or new accessories

Expect a lot:

  • well-known journalist Joanna Stern was specifically invited to attend 

Disclaimer: definitely go to the links to fact-check. It is very easy for me to get confused with all the Apple products and specs.

Expectations:

  • three biggies:
    • one: new entry-level iPad; important details at MacRumors, link here
      • iPad 12
      • A18 chip: a full two-generation leap in Apple silicon
        • Apple Intelligence capability
        • Apple AI -- varies with hardware (different than Google Gemini and OpenAI's ChatGPT
      • on the company's most affordable tablet for the first time ever
    • second biggie: will likely introduce a new lower-cost colorful MacBook Air with iPhone chip
      • four possible colors: yellow, green, blue and pink 
    • a third biggie: an iPhone 17e
      • successor to the iPhone 16e with four key upgrades
        • MagSafe
        • an A19 chip
        • a C1X modem for faster 5G
        • an N1 chip for Wi-Fi 7.

Summary:

  • an A18 M4 iPad: completes AI hardware rollout
  • an M4 iPad Air;
  • low-cost, colorful MacBook? 
  • an M5 MacBook Air

These two would be significant upgrades for me:

  • the M4 iPad Air, although my very old iPad Pro continues to meet my needs;
  • the M5 MacBook Air -- the only reason I need a new MacBook Air -- my keyboard has some poorly functioning keys

For Sophia

  • the entry level, colorful MacBook Air is interesting but I'm afraid she wouldn't use it much; 
    • she has a school-provided laptop; and,
    • prefers her mini-iPad at home 

For Arianna

  • would Arianna have fun with a colorful MacBook?

Bubble -- Micron To Spend $200 Billion On Memory -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49989MEMORY.

Tag: Micro CAPEX

Link here

AI Energy Crunch -- Great Lakes Area -- February 17, 2026

Locator: 49988AI.

Great Lakes:

Previously reported:

Link here