Sunday, August 30, 2026

For Monday Morning -- August 30, 2026

Locator: 51590B.

CNN: a headline I thought I would never see in CNN -- yes, the strait is becoming irrelevant and the blockade is working. When you lose CNN, you've lost the story.

Quite the CEO

Apple / OpenAI: link here. This has been previously reported on the blog but it shows up again, today. It must be an amazing story, and it would help explain AAPL's ticker this past week. This is an absolutely incredible story. Simple amazing. 

Note: stories from as recent as seven minutes ago -- 

LCDs

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A Musical Interlude

Link here. So well done. I treasure the seven years I lived in California, including four years in South Pasadena. So many incredible memories.

 

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Back to the Bakken

WTI: $85.44. Up $2.04; up 2.45%. Something must be up in the Mideast. Amazing how folks thought the fighting was over and the strait was over. 

New wells reporting:

  • Tuesday, September 1, 2026: 2 for the month, 100 for the quarter, 439 for the year,
    • 42331, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32X-13A-N
    • 41881, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32S-13B-S,  
  • Monday, August 31, 2026: 57 for the month, 98 for the quarter, 442 for the year,
    • None.
  • Sunday, August 30, 2026: 57 for the month, 98 for the quarter, 442 for the year,
    • None.
  • Saturday, August 29, 2026: 57 for the month, 98 for the quarter, 442 for the year,
    • None.

RBN Energy: is gas production in the San Juan Basin's Mancos Shale about to rebound? Link here. Archived.

A small cadre of E&Ps active in the San Juan Basin’s Mancos Shale is anticipating breakout growth in natural gas production there if and when gas prices rise, and a well-known midstreamer is planning what could eventually be a high-capacity gas pipeline to the burgeoning Arizona market. Still to be determined, however, is whether the moonscape-like region along the New Mexico-Colorado border emerges as a mini-Haynesville or the optimism withers and dies under the hot desert sun. In today’s RBN blog, we discuss what producers have been saying about their results in — and hopes for — the Mancos and the plan by Tallgrass Energy to build a new, large-diameter pipeline out of the play.

In our 2026 prognostications blog back in January, we said, “There’s been a lot of market buzz around a handful of niche gas plays that share a common profile: the gas is dry, wells are deeper than legacy development in the area, reservoirs are often overpressured, initial production (IP) rates are high, and economics look compelling.” We noted that in the San Juan Basin, “operators are ignoring legacy coalbed methane and targeting the deeper, horizontally drilled Mancos Shale. Our prognostication? These smaller ‘dry-gas islands’ ... are likely to command much more attention in 2026.”

In fact, there has been a lot of talk about the Mancos this year — and a major acquisition (following a big deal last year) — but it’s likely that the production breakout some are predicting may still be a year or two away (and maybe more).

First, a little history. Gas production in the San Juan Basin in northwestern New Mexico and southwestern Colorado has experienced a lot of ups and downs since the first commercially successful gas well was drilled there 105 years ago. In the years up to and just after World War II, the challenge was getting gas to market; the San Juan was hundreds of miles from large population centers and there was hardly any pipeline infrastructure in place. The completion of the El Paso Natural Gas (EPNG) pipeline to California in the early 1950s spurred a boom in conventional gas production in the basin, and (after a handful of mini-booms and mini-busts) there was a late-century surge in coalbed methane production from the uppermost Fruitland Formation (dark-brown layer on right side of Figure 1 below). By 2000, the San Juan Basin was among the U.S.’s top gas production areas, churning out nearly 4.5 Bcf/d of gross gas, or about 8% of total U.S. onshore production at the time.

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Disclaimer

Briefly

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution. 
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom. Now, I've added Amazon. And QCOM.
  • Longer version here.
  • Well Said — August 30, 2026

    Locator: 51589IRAN.

    Well said.
    Ignore the daily noise and the larger signals are unmistakable. The global economy and financial system are being remade.

    This is not a passing market cycle or another dispute over tariffs and interest rates. It is a transition from the exhausted assumptions of the postwar order to the New Great Game, a contest over money, energy, industrial capacity, technology, shipping, and strategic market access.

    As oil moves again through the Strait of Hormuz and Iran’s economy is squeezed, Operation Economic Outcast demonstrates that America still commands decisive instruments of power, the dollar, capital markets, energy, technology, and the world’s financial arteries. 

    America’s adversaries may talk of multipolarity, but they still rely on dollar clearing, Western insurance, U.S. technology, and open sea lanes secured by American power.

    That leverage must be used with care. The world is entering a necessary structural adjustment, away from secular stagnation, cheap money, limitless credit, asset inflation, globalized supply chains, and suspicion of growth, toward economic sovereignty, productive capital, reliable energy, industrial capacity, and secure supply chains.

    But adjustment does not occur at a single speed. Iran can be pressured quickly. Trade patterns take years to shift. Energy infrastructure takes longer. Dollar debt, correspondent banking, mortgages, pensions, and institutions built on global leverage will take decades.

    The old system cannot simply be smashed without creating a crisis worse than the threats it was designed to manage.

    That is Bessent’s finesse. Asked why those aiding Iran were being given time to cut their ties, he replied, “Why would I want to blow up the global financial system?” The objective is not demolition. It is managed adjustment. Iran’s oil buyers, shadow fleets, banks, gold traders, technology suppliers, and crypto intermediaries have a final choice, exit Tehran’s network or risk exclusion from the dollar system. The cure period makes enforcement credible without triggering an immediate financial shock.

    The same logic explains Bessent’s support for the yen, Treasury buybacks, and efforts to ensure foreign central banks can borrow dollars against Treasuries rather than sell them into a fragile market. His reported sale of euros to buy yen, before informing the European Central Bank, showed a Treasury secretary prepared to stop a currency problem from becoming a Treasury market crisis.

    The GENIUS Act carries the strategy into digital finance. It places stablecoins under American standards, licensed issuers, one for one reserves, redemption rights, disclosure, and short term Treasury backed reserves. The next generation of Eurodollars will move through digital rails tied to American law and American debt.

    Kevin Warsh correctly attacked the Fed’s “hall of mirrors,” markets trade on Fed signals, and the Fed mistakes those reactions for economic information. But the deeper problem is the Keynesian debt model itself, deficits drive issuance, bond markets demand higher long term yields, and officials intervene to suppress them. 

    Bessent is buying time so adjustment does not become liquidation. Warsh must use it to abandon the Keynesian dogma presumption that growth is bad and inflationary.

    Wall Street is still living in the old world. Lewis Carroll’s Through the Looking Glass comes to mind, a new landscape in which the old rules no longer work, familiar guides mislead, and standing still requires running ever faster. 

    The signals are there for those willing to see them. This transition requires finesse, not panic or nostalgia. Bessent understands that, and he is up to the job.

    Corning Note -- August 30, 2026

    Locator: 51588GLW.


     From the article:

    The company is partnering with NVIDIA to build three advanced optical-manufacturing facilities in North Carolina and Texas. The project is expected to create more than 3,000 jobs and expand Corning’s U.S. optical-manufacturing capacity tenfold.

    The investment offers a window into how the data-center boom is reaching well beyond the massive facilities themselves, creating demand for American factories and workers who make the equipment needed to keep them connected.

    Tickers


    *********************************
    Disclaimer

    Briefly

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution. 
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom. Now, I've added Amazon. And QCOM.
  • Longer version here.
  • Initial Production For Wells Coming Off Confidential List Next Week -- August 30, 2026

    Locator: 51587WELLS.

    The wells

    • 41868, conf, Oasis, Dolls Daisy 5301 31-31 2BX, Indian Hill, 
    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    6-20262221014103
    5-20262239115395
    4-20261738211990
    3-20261616110569
    • 42235, conf, KODA Resources, Amber 2104-6BH, Fertile Valley, 
    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    7-2026179149614
    6-2026186407151
    5-2026236468860
    4-2026268987253
    • 42336, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis Federal 23X-13D-N, Grinnell, npd, 
    • 42335, conf, XTP, GBU Artemis Federal 32X-13H-N, Grinnell, npd, 
    • 42334, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32X-13C-N, Grinnell, npd, 
    • 41994, conf, Hess, EN-Will Trust C-157-94-2215H-4, White Earth, 
    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    7-2026149570
    6-20261985929576
    5-20261827722084
    4-20261640820245
    3-2026122967220
    • 41995, conf, Hess, EN-Will Trust C-157-94-2215H-5, White Earth, 
    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    7-2026157670
    6-20261565030841
    5-20261448516063
    4-20261744023070
    3-20262330525964
    • 41884, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32X-13D-S, Grinnell, npd,
    • 41970, conf, Devon Energy, Thunderbolt 10-12 1H, Squires, 
    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    6-20262660325462
    5-20263374032133
    4-20262096817257
    3-20262197418457
    • 41883, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32X-13H-S, Grinnell, npd, 
    • 42333, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32X-13B-N, Grinnell, npd, 
    • 41882, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32X-13C-S, Grinnell, npd,
    • 40939, conf, Zavanna, Hereford 13-36 4TFH, Stockyard Creek, 
    DateOil RunsMCF Sold
    6-20263030254318
    5-20263955158927
    4-20263968654867
    3-20264353559283
    • 42332, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32X-13E-N, Grinnell, npd,
    • 42331, conf,  XTO, GBU Artemis 32X-13A-N, Grinnell, npd,
    • 41881, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32S-13B-S, Grinnell, npd, 

    Wells Coming Off Confidential List Next Week -- August 30, 2026

    Locator: 51586WELLS.

    Wednesday, September 9, 2026: 73 for the month, 96 for the quarter, 453 for the year,
    41868, conf, Oasis, Dolls Daisy 5301 31-31 2BX,

    Tuesday, September 8, 2026: 72 for the month, 95 for the quarter, 452 for the year,
    42235, conf, KODA Resources, Amber 2104-6BH, 

    Monday, September 7, 2026: 71 for the month, 94 for the quarter, 451 for the year,
    42336, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis Federal 23X-13D-N, 

    Sunday, September 6, 2026: 70 for the month, 110 for the quarter, 450 for the year,
    42335, conf, XTP, GBU Artemis Federal 32X-13H-N, 
    42334, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32X-13C-N,
    41994, conf, Hess, EN-Will Trust C-157-94-2215H-4, 

    Saturday, September 5, 2026: 67 for the month, 108 for the quarter, 447 for the year,
    41995, conf, Hess, EN-Will Trust C-157-94-2215H-5, 
    41884, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32X-13D-S

    Friday, September 4, 2026: 65 for the month, 106 for the quarter, 445 for the year,
    41970, conf, Devon Energy, Thunderbolt 10-12 1H, 
    41883, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32X-13H-S, 

    Thursday, September 3, 2026: 63 for the month, 104 for the quarter, 443 for the year,
    42333, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32X-13B-N,
    41882, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32X-13C-S, 
    40939, conf, Zavanna, Hereford 13-36 4TFH, 

    Wednesday, September 2, 2026: 60 for the month, 101 for the quarter, 440 for the year,
    42332, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32X-13E-N,

    Tuesday, September 1, 2026: 59 for the month, 100 for the quarter, 439 for the year,
    42331, conf,  XTO, GBU Artemis 32X-13A-N
    41881, conf, XTO, GBU Artemis 32S-13B-S,  

    Monday, August 31, 2026: 57 for the month, 98 for the quarter, 442 for the year,
    None.

    Sunday, August 30, 2026: 57 for the month, 98 for the quarter, 442 for the year,
    None.

    Saturday, August 29, 2026: 57 for the month, 98 for the quarter, 442 for the year,
    None.