Friday, June 13, 2025

Eleven New Permits -- WTI Closes At $73 -- June 13, 2025

Locator: 48747B.

Dow down 770 points today

Oracle:

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Back to the Bakken

WTI: $72.98.

Active rigs: 32.

Eleven new permits, #42003 - #42013, inclusive:

  • Operator: Hess (7); Slawson (4)
  • Fields: Blue Buttes (McKenzie); Big Bend (Mountrail)
  • Comments:
    • Hess has seven new permits:
      • BB-Ole Anderson (2), NWNE 25-151-96;
      • BB-State (5), NWNE 25-151-96;
        • all seven to be sited 500 FNL and 1505 / 1703 FEL;
    • Slawson has four new permits:
      • Cannonball Federal (3), SWSW 22-152-91;
      • Sauger Federal, SWSW 22-152-91;
        • all four to be sited 752 FWL and 990 / 1140 FSL;

Friday Morning -- Nothing About The Bakken -- June 13, 2025

Locator: 48746READING.

Wow, this is going to be a great weekend.

What's the market doing?

Unchanged from the opening. All is good. 

Oracle up $10 / share. Holy mackerel. Closed much higher than that.

The chain:

OpenAI --> blades --> Nvidia --> TSMC --> AMSL --> data centers --> energy --> nerve center --> Oracle --> ChatGPT --> 

OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT, originally began as a nonprofit organization with the mission of ensuring that artificial general intelligence benefits all of humanity.
However, to support the substantial costs involved in developing and maintaining powerful AI, OpenAI established a for-profit arm. This for-profit entity is called OpenAI LLC.
Important Note: OpenAI's structure is somewhat complex, involving a partnership between the original nonprofit and this for-profit arm, OpenAI LLC.
The nonprofit maintains oversight and control of the for-profit division to ensure that the mission remains paramount. While the for-profit entity can earn revenue and make distributions to investors, these are capped to limit the pursuit of profit over the nonprofit's mission.
OpenAI has recently transitioned this for-profit arm into a Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), a structure that balances shareholder interests with a public benefit interest, and the nonprofit will continue to control and be a large shareholder of this PBC.
Most notable investor in OpenAI: Microsoft.

Most important thing an investor can do is explore AI. Start with asking ChatGPT two questions.

  • first: how are OpeAI and ARM related?
  • second: how are Apple (AAPL) and ARM related?

So, enough of this. 

My weekend will be spent reading poolside. 

For those hoping to read about the market, the Bakken, current events, those folks will have to look elsewhere.

Warning: blogging this weekend will be all about reading. Regular readers should avoid the blog until Monday morning.  

Photos from 10:13 a.m. CT, Friday morning, June 13, 2025, poolside, Grapevine, TX.


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The Book Page
From Yesterday -- Re-Posting

Three works:

  • The Hare With Amber Eyes, Edmund De Waal, c. 2010, the link;
  • The White Road: Journey Into An Obsession, Edmund de Waal, c. 2015, the link;
  • Portrait of a Lady, Henry James, serial published in 1880 - 1881, and then as a book, 1881.

From a recent issue of The New York Review of Books, June 12, 2025, p. 21, "Anecdote of the Teapot," Christopher Benfey writes: 

Henry James has one of the best opening sentences of any novel:

In England a teapot like this was part of a long-established domestic ritual.

“Under certain circumstances,” Henry James wrote in the opening sentence of The Portrait of a Lady, “there are few hours in life more agreeable than the hour dedicated to the ceremony known as afternoon tea.”

For me, that opening line competes with 

"I had a farm in Africa, at the foot of the Ngong Hills," from Isak Dinesan's Out of Africa

The comma after Africa made all the difference. All the difference.

I think I could do a blog on "opening lines."

Here's another one, link here:

I was talking with a friend last night about great opening sentences—you know the ones that grip you right away. I always thought A Prayer for Owen Meany opened up beautifully. In fact Irving has called it his favorite first sentence:

"I am doomed to remember a boy with a wrecked voice—not because of his voice, or because he was the smallest person I ever knew, or even because he was the instrument of my mother's death, but because he is the reason I believe in God." 

No one I know has ever mentioned A Prayer for Owen Meany to me, but I discovered it on my own, and enjoyed it immensely. 

From that same link, a long paragraph broken up: 

"California, Labor Day weekend ... early, with ocean fog still in the streets, outlaw motorcyclists wearing chains, shades and greasy Levis roll out from damp garages, all-night diners and cast-off one-night pads in Frisco, Hollywood, Berdoo and East Oakland, heading for the Monterey peninsula, north of Big Sur ...

...The Menace is loose again, the Hell's Angels, the hundred-carat headline, running fast and loud on the early morning freeway, low in the saddle, nobody smiles, jamming crazy through traffic and ninety miles an hour down the center stripe, missing by inches ...

... Little Jesus, the Gimp, Chocolate George, Buzzard, Zorro, Hambone, Clean Cut, Tiny, Terry the Tramp, Frenchy, Mouldy Marvin, Mother Miles, Dirty Ed, Chuck the Duck, Fat Freddy, Filthy Phil, Charger Charley the Child Molester, Crazy Cross, Puff, Magoo, Animal and at least a hundred more ...

... tense for the action, long hair in the wind, beards and bandanas flapping, earrings, armpits, chain whips, swastikas and stripped-down Harleys flashing chrome as traffic on 101 moves over, nervous, to let the formation pass like a burst of dirty thunder ...

I mean if you're gonna write a book about guys on motorcycles then why not just blow the reader away with something like that? 

But it wasn't just the opening line for Hunter S Thompson. He had so many great lines. I used one of his lines in my remarks at my retirement ceremony, after 30 years in the USAF. To wit:

So now, less than five years later, you can go up on a steep hill in Las Vegas and look West, and with the right kind of eyes you can almost see the high-water mark—that place where the wave finally broke and rolled back.”
Hunter S. Thompson, Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas: A Savage Journey to the Heart of the American Dream.

Of course, nothing beats Jane Austen:

Jane Austen's most famous opening line, from her novel Pride and Prejudice, is "It is a truth universally acknowledged, that a single man in possession of a good fortune, must be in want of a wife."
This line has become a literary landmark, recognized for its witty and satirical tone. The opening lines of other Austen novels include: "The family of Dashwood had long been settled in Sussex" from Sense and Sensibility and "Emma Woodhouse, handsome, clever, and rich, with a comfortable home and happy disposition, seemed to unite some of the best blessings of existence" from Emma.

One could go on and on. 

Friday, June 13, 2025

Locator: 48745B.

Focus today: US Open (PGA).  

Me? Lots of pool time.

Market:

  • in a sea of red, MP Materials up nicely. Up over 5% in pre-market.
  • ORCL: looks particularly strong
  • T: looks strong
  • expert: oil prices dependent on US driving season -- not exactly sure how US summer driving will change due to Israel-Iran kerfuffle. 

**************************
Back to the Bakken

WTI: $73.66. Up $5.62; up 8.3% overnight after Israel attacks Iran.

New wells:

Sunday, June 15, 2025: 45 for the month, 198 for the quarter, 412 for the year,

  • 40603, conf, Enerplus Resources, Danielle 145-97-12-1-8H,

Saturday, June 14, 2025: 44 for the month, 197 for the quarter, 411 for the year,

  • None.

Friday, June 13, 2025: 44 for the month, 197 for the quarter, 411 for the year,

  • 40604, conf, Enerplus, Danielle 145-97-12-1-7H,
  • 40555, conf, Enerplus, Danielle 145-97-12-1-6H,
  • 40347, conf, Neset Consulting Service, Vision 1, 

RBN Energy: Corpus Christi dredging projects create new opportunities for crude oil exporters

The 35-year dream of widening the Corpus Christi Ship Channel and deepening it to 54 feet from the old 47 feet is at long last a reality. The $625 million project also has spurred marine-terminal owners in Corpus Christi and Ingleside to undertake — or at least consider — major dock and dredging projects that would enable them to make full use of the deeper 30-mile channel. In today’s RBN blog, we discuss the newly completed channel-dredging project, related terminal improvements, and what they all mean for crude oil exporting economics in Corpus Christi. 

U.S. crude oil exports have been sliding the past few months, in part due to tariff-related upheavals in U.S. and international energy markets. According to RBN’s weekly Crude Voyager report, an average of 3.45 MMb/d were exported from Texas and Louisiana terminals in May, down from 3.87 MMb/d in January and the lowest monthly average since January 2023. Corpus Christi, the #1 port for sending out crude since 2020, has experienced a smaller (but still noteworthy) decline in crude export volumes; its May exports averaged 2.23 MMb/d (stacked bar to far right in Figure 1 below), down from 2.45 MMb/d in January and an average of 2.31 MMb/d in full-year 2024.

Monthly Crude Oil Exports Out of Corpus Christi Ingleside

Figure 1. Monthly Crude Oil Exports Out of Corpus Christi/Ingleside. Source: Crude Voyager

As we’ve discussed in several blogs, there are at least a couple of reasons why Corpus Christi/Ingleside, with a 61% share of Gulf Coast crude oil exports in the first five months of 2025, has maintained a strong lead over the Houston area (with a 31% share), Beaumont/Nederland (6%) and Louisiana (2%). One is the ability of two Ingleside marine terminals — Enbridge Ingleside Energy Center (EIEC; light-blue bar sections in Figure 1 above) and Gibson Energy’s South Texas Gateway (STG; purple bar sections) — to partially load 2-MMbbl Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) at their docks before sending them out to the deeper waters of the Gulf for topping off via reverse lightering. (VLCCs are the transporters of choice for many shippers moving crude from the Gulf Coast to Asia and Europe because of the lower per-barrel cost.) 

Wow, Isn't This Interesting -- Friday The Thirteenth -- June 13, 2025

Locator: 48744B.

Ticker CVX: up 3% in market futures; last trading day before the weekend.

  • travel, airline, and leisure stocks are down, surprise, surprise;
  • oil, defense stocks are up, surprise, surprise

CNBC this morning: business as usual. Truly amazing. Already looking forward to end of conflict. A lot of "don't knows."

Global response: most interesting: almost mute response from world leaders demanding that Israel quit. Instead: almost minimal "noise" this morning. 

Israel: it's interesting that unlike terrorists (Hezbollah, Houthis, Hamas, Hiran) Israel's military response was 100% military -- did not hit non-military targets. Targets: nuclear sites, ballistic missile sites, and military leaders. Civilian leadership not targeted. Hiran's oil infrastructure not hit yet. 

Hiran: the only military response it was able to muster -- drones, all of which have been shot down by Israel. 

Iraq: absolutely no talk about the amount of time Israeli aircraft spend flying over Iraq.

Trump: really, really, really wants a Nobel Peace Prize. Doing all he can to keep diplomatic options on the table. Trump not pouring gasoline on this fire.

**************************
Back to the Bakken

WTI: $73.66. Up $5.62; up 8.3% overnight after Israel attacks Iran.

New wells:

Sunday, June 15, 2025: 45 for the month, 198 for the quarter, 412 for the year,

  • 40603, conf, Enerplus Resources, Danielle 145-97-12-1-8H,

Saturday, June 14, 2025: 44 for the month, 197 for the quarter, 411 for the year,

  • None.

Friday, June 13, 2025: 44 for the month, 197 for the quarter, 411 for the year,

  • 40604, conf, Enerplus, Danielle 145-97-12-1-7H,
  • 40555, conf, Enerplus, Danielle 145-97-12-1-6H,
  • 40347, conf, Neset Consulting Service, Vision 1, 

RBN Energy: Corpus Christi dredging projects create new opportunities for crude oil exporters

The 35-year dream of widening the Corpus Christi Ship Channel and deepening it to 54 feet from the old 47 feet is at long last a reality. The $625 million project also has spurred marine-terminal owners in Corpus Christi and Ingleside to undertake — or at least consider — major dock and dredging projects that would enable them to make full use of the deeper 30-mile channel. In today’s RBN blog, we discuss the newly completed channel-dredging project, related terminal improvements, and what they all mean for crude oil exporting economics in Corpus Christi. 

U.S. crude oil exports have been sliding the past few months, in part due to tariff-related upheavals in U.S. and international energy markets. According to RBN’s weekly Crude Voyager report, an average of 3.45 MMb/d were exported from Texas and Louisiana terminals in May, down from 3.87 MMb/d in January and the lowest monthly average since January 2023. Corpus Christi, the #1 port for sending out crude since 2020, has experienced a smaller (but still noteworthy) decline in crude export volumes; its May exports averaged 2.23 MMb/d (stacked bar to far right in Figure 1 below), down from 2.45 MMb/d in January and an average of 2.31 MMb/d in full-year 2024.

Monthly Crude Oil Exports Out of Corpus Christi Ingleside

Figure 1. Monthly Crude Oil Exports Out of Corpus Christi/Ingleside. Source: Crude Voyager

As we’ve discussed in several blogs, there are at least a couple of reasons why Corpus Christi/Ingleside, with a 61% share of Gulf Coast crude oil exports in the first five months of 2025, has maintained a strong lead over the Houston area (with a 31% share), Beaumont/Nederland (6%) and Louisiana (2%). One is the ability of two Ingleside marine terminals — Enbridge Ingleside Energy Center (EIEC; light-blue bar sections in Figure 1 above) and Gibson Energy’s South Texas Gateway (STG; purple bar sections) — to partially load 2-MMbbl Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) at their docks before sending them out to the deeper waters of the Gulf for topping off via reverse lightering. (VLCCs are the transporters of choice for many shippers moving crude from the Gulf Coast to Asia and Europe because of the lower per-barrel cost.)