Tuesday, March 17, 2026

So, What's Really Going On With Micron? March 17, 2026

Locator: 50241MICRO.

Ticker: Micron

  • six months: up 180%
  • one year: up 360% 

Ticker: BRK-B (has morphed into a mediocre -- at best -- mutual fund)

  • six months: absolutely flat
  • one year: down 6%

Data point: Jensen Huang says he anticipates chip revenue to reach $1 trillion. To put this in perspective, the pharmaceutical industry considers a blockbuster drug to be on that has a billion dollars in sales. Nvidia? $1 trillion.

Now, Micron, link here. Be sure to read the complete thread. 


Chips
are tracked here. There have been major updates in the past week with regard to Nvidia, AMD, Micron, and Apple.

Oil -- March 17, 2026

Locator: 50240OIL.

US oil production: from last October, 2025, well before the Iran war --

  • this essay is already out of date
  • but provides some great historical data  
  • link here; from a Brit's perspective;
    • "ashamed" to have rented an SUV when visiting the states
    • LOL: he loved the SUV
    • everyone knows you can choose the exact size rental vehicle you want
    • and driving a small subcompact all his life in England, loves a real car in the US. 

Global oil demand: forecasts every year from 2022 (post-Covid); link here.

  • social media: some comments -- they don't understand what the graph shows
  • what the graph shows:
    • IEA forecast: 
      • in 2022: the IEA predicted global demand would rise from 90 mbopd to 100.4 mbopd
      • in 2023: demand would rise from 101.50 to 102.3
      • in 2024: demand would rise from 103.1 to 103.4
      • in 2025: demand would decline from 104.3 to 104.0
      • in 2026: demand would rise from 104.3 to 104.8
    • the greatest jump was from 2022 to 2023 (post-Covid effect)
    • because of timing of prediction updates, the second largest jump in revision was last year, 2025; 
    • one can assume global demand for oil might actually drop in 2026 -- not because there's less demand but because there's less oil available going to India and China
    • what jumps out at me:
      • 2022: 99 million barrels of oil per day
      • 2026: 105 million bbls of oil per day

CVX ticker: 52-week high, and not by just a little bit; up a strking 1.55% in early trading; up over $3 / bbl in early morning trading; still pays 3.6%; last month I thought I was overweight in energy; this month? I wish I had more. LOL. 

TACO Tuesday? March 17, 2026

Locator: 50239B.

Iran: top leadership wiped out (again). Again, many, many stories but I would trust IDF press --

  • says Iran's National Security chief Larijani is dead
  • most recently primarily responsible for killing tens of thousands (pick your own number) protestors
  • taken out by Israeli precision strike overnight
  • this is the guy who threatened Trump just five days ago
  • still nothing is being heard from pegleg Khamenei
  • last report: he had been flown to Moscow for post-traumatic management of lost leg

Bismark Tribune: always amazing what the BT chooses to post on x

  • BT's headline story today: Joe Kent resigns after less than one year in "office."
    • nominated by Trump in February, 2025; confirmed by US Senate, July 31, 2025 
  • Joe Kent comes across as our own Greta Thunberg in US counterintelligence 

Market:

  • CVX: hits a 52-week high;
  • QCOM: increases dividend and buyback
  • NVDA: says revenue from chips to hit $1 trillion
  • MU: Vera Rubin milestone

Cuba: getting little-to-no press from mainstream legacy press like WSJNYT

****************************
Back to the Bakken

WTI: $94.69 (the current price vs change in price make absolutely no sense any more, as reported by oilprice).

New wells reporting

  • Wednesday, March 18, 2026: 24 for the month, 130 for the quarter, 130 for the year,
    • 41029, conf, Devon Energy, Eide 6-7 6H, 
    • 40056, conf, CLR, Brakken FIU 2-6H, 
  • Tuesday, March 17, 2026: 22 for the month, 128 for the quarter, 128 for the year, 
    • 41604, conf, BR, Sivertson 6G, 
    • 40057, conf, CLR, Brakken FIu 3-6H, 
    • 39743, conf, Devon, Darlene 13-24F 6TFH, 

RBN Energy: exchange of barrels from US SPR would drop storage to lowest levels since the 1980s. Link here. Archived.

First question: US oil in storage -- how many days "worth"?

The world has been closely watching the situation in the Middle East and its impact on energy markets since late February. U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran have been followed by retaliatory strikes by Iran on several of its neighbors, including crude oil tankers in the critical Strait of Hormuz, causing oil prices to spike. As part of a global response, the U.S. said it would release 172 MMbbl of crude oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). In today’s RBN blog, we detail the U.S.’s plans, examine how it compares with actions after the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022, and show why the reserve could drop to levels not seen since the Reagan administration. 

WTI crude oil at Cushing, OK, mostly traded in a $55-$65/bbl range in January and February and settled at $67.02/bbl on February 27, the last trading day before the attacks against Iran began. Prices have moved up steadily since then, reaching as high as $98.71/bbl on March 13 (see Figure 1 below), up 47% from the start of the month, as the prospects for an extended campaign (and disruption to global oil markets) have appeared more likely, especially compared with the brief U.S. military action against Venezuela early this year. By comparison, WTI reached $123.70/bbl in March 2022, not long after the invasion of Ukraine.