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Meanwhile, Out In Portland
Dad Brought Home A Western Star
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Meanwhile, Out In Portland
Dad Brought Home A Western Star
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Well In Focus
The wells: these all appear to be 1920-acre spacing in a relatively new area of activity; near Montana; very nice wells -- but again, three section spacing.
| Date | Oil Runs | MCF Sold |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2026 | 24790 | 25120 |
| 2-2026 | 30003 | 25453 |
| 1-2026 | 23720 | 21732 |
| 12-2025 | 21906 | 18419 |
| 11-2025 | 45937 | 24385 |
Locator: 50736B.
Iran:WTI continues to drop but not much news coming out of thte Mideast.
Some strange note about Saudi Arabia very upset with Trump's "Project Freedom." Has denied US anti-Iran activities out of its air bases. I have no idea what this is all about. Saudi says they weren't contacted about "Project Freedom" before it was put in place.
Saudi -- another "fair weather" friend:
McDonalds (MCD):
Earnings: net income for the quarter came in at $1.98 billion, or $2.78 per share, while total revenue jumped 9% to $6.52 billion. Stripping out restructuring charges, per-share earnings landed at $2.83 — topping the $2.74 Wall Street had penciled in, with revenue also clearing the $6.47 billion consensus estimate.
Pre-market: up 3%; up about $10.00.
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Back to the Bakken
WTI: continues to drop -- now around $91.
New wells reporting:
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Well In Focus
The wells:
| Date | Oil Runs | MCF Sold |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2026 | 24790 | 25120 |
| 2-2026 | 30003 | 25453 |
| 1-2026 | 23720 | 21732 |
| 12-2025 | 21906 | 18419 |
| 11-2025 | 45937 | 24385 |
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RBN Energy
RBN Energy: E&Ps face a new capital allocation cycle -- will debt reduction stay front and center? Link here. Archived.
After several years of aggressive balance-sheet repair, U.S. E&Ps are entering a new phase — one defined not by constraint, but by opportunity. A surge in oil prices tied to the Iran conflict and a sharp rise in natural gas prices driven by an unusually cold winter have combined to generate a fresh wave of excess cash flow across the sector. Oil markets have been pushed higher by supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions, while natural gas prices have strengthened on weather-driven demand, reinforcing a powerful near-term earnings tailwind. The question posed in today’s RBN blog is a familiar one: What will companies do with these additional cash flows?
The 35 E&Ps that we monitor held total debt essentially flat at just under $150 billion (blue bars and left axis in Figure 1 below) in 2025, while their collective debt-to-capital ratio (orange line and right axis) declined by 1 percentage point to 24%. Debt trended steadily lower from its 2019 peak through 2022 as companies shifted toward a cash-return model that prioritized free cash flow over reinvestment, enabling meaningful debt reduction alongside increased dividends and share repurchases. Debt moved sharply higher in 2024, driven by a surge in M&A activity (see Try Some, Buy Some), with our universe of E&Ps completing nearly $120 billion of asset and corporate transactions. Despite the increase in total debt, the debt-to-capital ratio remained stable, as companies funded acquisitions with a mix of debt and equity to preserve target leverage levels. In 2025, debt levels held steady, while the debt-to-capital ratio declined to 24%, supported by an expanding capital base.