Tuesday, April 29, 2025

Texas, California Rambling -- April 27, 2025

Locator: 48552TEXAS.

Texas: everything suggests a Texas supercycle over the next four years -

  • tech:
    • how compelling is Google?
    • Nvidia; two largest supercomputers, Dallas, Houston; part of $500 billion US push. Link here.
    • TSMC: design service center in Austin; link here
    • Meta: large data center in Temple; major office in Austin; plans to relocate some of its content moderation teams to Texas (from California?); and, completely off my radar scope -- considering reincorporation in Texas
    • Tesla: reincorporated in Texas on June 13, 2024
    • Apple: as part of its new US investments, with its manufacturing partners will begin production of servers in Houston later this year (for Joe Biden, this would mean, 2025)
      • a 250,000-square-foot server manufacturing facility is slated to open in 2026 (Houston); will create thousands of jobs
    • Oracle: moved its global headquarters from Redwood City, CA, to Austin, Texas, in 2000; will maintain huge footprint in Texas, but (unfortunately) is moving its headquarters again, this time to Nashville, TN
  • energy: goes without saying, how much LNG Europe is going to need;
    • PSX, which is closing its Los Angeles refinery this year (for Joe Biden, this would mean 2025); moved its headquarters from California to Houston, TX, about ten years ago
    • COP, of course, moved to Houston, in 2016
    • LNG exports from Texas already setting all-time records
  • space exploration: NASA, SpaceX, Blue Origin 

California: deep doo-doo

  • majority of illegal migrants in California
  • will greatly impact health care services in California
  • gasoline in 2026: price will not be the story; availability will be the story
  • bullet train: unlikely the Trump administration will provide any meaningful support
  • the 2025 Pacific Palisades wildfire debacle is nowhere near any resolution; huge property tax loss for the region and the state; and much rebuilding yet to be done.