Sunday, January 4, 2026

From The X-Files -- January 4, 2026

Locator49791ARCHIVES.

Micron: link here. I highly recommend this AI prompt:

Tech. Insider's talk. Curious. A very respected/knowledgeable tech analyst says, "I don't think people realize how bullish the Nvidia + Groq deal was for Micron." That analyst suggested that the AI cycle is currently memory constrained. What are your thoughts regarding Nvidia + Groq? 
Then after an hour's worth of discussion, the epiphany: the current "moat" for hyperscalers. The moat for hyperscalers (Nvidia) and consumer electronics (Apple) is NOT capital, talent, and not even design. The moat is something entirely different -- I'll post on x
Bottom line: without memory, compute is worthless. That's not me saying that -- that is a direct quote from ChatGPT.

AMD: link here

AVGO: link here

MSFT: link here


Know what caught my attention? Answer: "3.3GW."  The bar has been set at 2GW. If Microsoft does get to 3.3, that sets a new bar.