Friday, November 5, 2021

What Crude Oil Shortage? Let's Go Brandon, Or As They Say In Del Rio, Vamos, Brandon -- November 6, 2021

US days of supply of crude oil, link here: has increased from 28.3 to 28.9, week over week:

This is a complicated algorithm, based on at least four factors:

  • amount of crude oil in storage;
  • predicting the rate of increase/decrease in demand for refined products;
  • predicting future operating capacity in US refineries;
  • weather, as if affects:
    • macro-economy: includes global demand going forward
    • micro-economy, e.g., hurricanes in the Gulf

If the Friday night cheerleading video doesn't go viral, I will be very, very disappointed: