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Vaccination rollout: link here.
The best historic precedent:
The Spanish flu, also known as the 1918 flu pandemic, was an unusually deadly influenza pandemic caused by the H1N1 influenza A virus. Lasting from February 1918 to April 1920, it infected 500 million people – about a third of the world's population at the time – in four successive waves. The death toll is typically estimated to have been somewhere between 17 million and 50 million, making it one of the deadliest pandemics in human history.
Let's parse that paragraph:
- February, 1918 --April, 1920: 26 months
- no vaccine -- didn't even know it was a virus
- a third of the world's population became infected
- death toll: estimated between 17 million and 50 million
- four successive waves
Coronavirus:
- December, 2019 - present
- September 29, 2020:
- 34 million cases
- one million deaths
Coronavirus: statistics. By country. By state.
Genetics. Link here. Also, here.
US re-opening, tracked here.
New York: mortality rate (new link noted June 1, 2020).
Updates
November 3, 2020: what's going on in Lubbock, TX? Link here.
October 25, 2020: North Dakota #1 in the nation for most new cases per capita. What the heck is going on? Big story of the week. White House throwing in the towel on trying to control Chinese flu; will concentrate on treatment. Does this suggest the vaccine trials are not panning out as hoped? Link here.
October 17, 2020: North Dakota update. What the hell is going on in Bismarck?
October 10, 2020: the "peculiar" Covid-19 case with regard to President Trump. Has he commented on any loss of smell; has any 74-year-old with co-morbidities with low oxygen sats (?), admitted to a major metropolitan hospital with respiratory symptoms and a a positive Covid-19 test ever "cured" so quickly? Link here. Also, see these links:
October 10, 2020: "crucial viral update, September 8, 2020."
October 8, 2020: WHO update.
October 5, 2020: President Trump released from Walter Reed. Washington Post calls for defunding Walter Reed.
October 3, 2020, around noon. President Trump's physicians provide update; says things are going well. Trump himself tweets he's doing great. Rumors that he said he was ready to be discharged. Received IV plasma and Remdesivir.
October 2, 2020: around midnight, President Trump says he seems to be doing well.
October 2, 2020: president Trump says he has tested positive for coronavirus, along with Melania (sort of like Tom and wife Hanks). Admitted to Walter Reed late in afternoon.
October 1, 2020: commentary. Compare with Spanish Flu, 1918 - 1920.
Let's see deaths by age group and deaths with underlying health problems. At that point, the stats MIGHT be meaningful. The joke is that if someone dies in a car wreck but they detect covid, it is a covid death. Couple that with the Fed paying $5000 to hospitals for each covid diagnosis - any wonder why numbers are suspect?
ReplyDeleteAgree 1000%. We're not being given really good data. The number of cases is irrelevant. Yes, for physicians and the "death certificate," the diagnosis de jour is "Covid-19" whether it's the top line or the third line.
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