Tuesday, June 3, 2014

Oasis Corporate Presentation -- June, 2014

Oasis presentations are found here.

28 slides in the June, 2014, presentation.

Slide 3:
  • 506,960 acres
  • proved reserves: 219 million boe  [219,000,000/506,960 = 430 bbls/acre x 1280 long lateral = 550K EUR]
  • 3,590 gross operated locations
  • ~ 17 years of inventory
Slide 7: 2014 focus
  • inventory acceleration with 16 rigs [16 x 10 = 160 wells/year]
  • optimizing downspacing
  • further TFS delineation
  • full DSU development (MB, TFS 1, 2, and 3)
  • MB: 46% of drilling
  • TFS 1: 40%
  • TFS 2: 11%
  • TFS 3: 4%
  • net: 155.5 wells x 4% = 6 wells
Slide 8: 2014 rig allocation
  • MT: 2
  • ND, north of Williston: 4
  • ND, Williston area: 4
  • ND, Burke: 2
  • ND, Mountrail: 4
Slide 9: 2014 completion techniques
  • completing ~ 60% of wells in 2H14 with alternative completion techniques
  • slickwater
  • proppant mix / amount
  • coil tubing completions
  • White unit: 2MB, 2 TFS1, 2 TFS2, 2 TFS 3
  • effective 4 - 5 well per formation spacing
Slide 10: Indian Hills results
  • without slickwater: 70,000 bbls in 90 days
  • with slickwater: 80,000 bbls in 90 days
  • Indian Hills 750,000 boe EUR type curve
Slide 11: well costs and EURs
  • 2012: $9.7 million
  • 4Q13: $7.9 million
  • 1Q14: $7.6 million
  • across the Bakken: 450,000 to 750,000 boe EURs
  • IRR@ $90/bbl WTI: 56% to 62% (60%)
Slide 13: lower TFS -- very encouraging
  • range: 400K to 600K EURs
  • 150 days: 60 - 80K
Slide 15: Oasis Well Services
  • 2nd frack spread to ramp to 100% utilization by 2H14
  • 2 spreads will complete 50 - 60% of Oasis operated well
  • can complete four wells simultaneously
Slide 16: crude oil gathering infrastructure
  • slide shows significant 3Q14 acquisition; first time I noticed this
  • 3Q14 acquisition, areas of: Foreman Butte, Indian Hills, Painted Woods, and North Cottonwood
Slide 17: balance sheet
  • strong balance sheet and liquidity
  • no near-term debt maturities
  • divested non-operated properties for ~$322 million

CLR Applies For Crude Oil Export Permit -- June 4, 2014

Active rigs:


6/4/201406/04/201306/04/201206/04/201106/04/2010
Active Rigs190189214171121

RBN Energy: imagine there is no oil export bill -- impact on refining. These are important stories to watch to see how the tea leaves are floating. I don't expect to see any meaningful change in US oil export laws in my investing lifetime.

The Wall Street Journal

Fed officials growing wary of market risk.


ECB anxious over US fines on banks. If I get a chance, I will get back to this story. It says a lot. In another story, ECB seen ready to tackle Europe's low inflation. Really?

Five states that launched health exchanges under ObamaCare are in for a shock: the cost of fixing their sites. And the five states are ... drum roll ... Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Nevada, and Oregon. There is an interesting story line there -- except for Nevada, they were the front-runners in the race to push a US national health system. Minnesota keeps showing up on the wrong lists.

EPA's 30-30 plan pinches states unevenly. Blame Podesta. I was curious who wrote the rules -- I posted that observation just a day or so ago. Behind EPA's cost estimate.

US auto sales surged in May.

ATT sells $2 billion in bonds; 30-year bonds to yield 1.40 percentage points more than comparable US Treasurys, for a yield of around 4.8%. Or you buy the company directly and get 5.2%.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment decisions based on what you read here or what you think you may have read here.

The Los Angeles Times

Republicans are leading key legislative races, early returns show.

DUI driver, pulled from deadly crash with beer in pocket, gets 6 years of free medical care, three meals a day, and a personal man-cave. What's not to like.

Two people killed when Ambrak train hits car in Oxnard. That's more people killed by a quasi-government railroad than by all the crude oil derailments in the US. Will Amtrak need to slow down? LOL. Any slower, and the rules of classical physics suggests Amtrak will have to travel backwards.

Long Beach polling place runs out of ballots during evening voting. They weren't prepared for the union buses coming in from East L.A.
Original Post

Every weekday morning I have a standard North-Dakota-active-rig post, an RBN-Energy link, and a quick look at the day's Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, and other headline stories. In the past two days I have not posted notes from the WSJ or the LAT; I have just been too busy.

As before, this post will be a place holder for tomorrow morning's post, assuming the sun comes up, my wife's sets the alarm correctly, and I have a wi-fi connection.

First note of note. Reuters is reporting that Harold Hamm has applied for an oil export license:
Continental Resources has asked the U.S. government for a permit to export crude oil it produces in North Dakota and hopes approvals will be granted for the industry as a whole, a company executive said on Tuesday.
You have to love this bit of trivia:
Stephen Bradley, the vice president of oil marketing for Continental, the leading producer in North Dakota's Bakken field, said the Department of Commerce has been weighing the company's request for several months, Argus Media reported.
I'm not holding my breath on this one.

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Second note of note, the June, 2014, Oasis corporate presention, a PDF file. This deserves a stand-alone post; if I remember, I will do that. There's a bit of trivia that I bet no one has picked up on, but it's an important piece of trivia if accurate.

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A reader sent me this story. Because it mentioned Magnum Hunter and the Bakken, I've included it here. bizjournals.com is reporting that Magnum Hunter is more focused on the Marcellus/Utica right now than the Bakken due to better infrastructure in the northeast. 
Houston-based Magnum Hunter Resources Corp. (NYSE: MHR) thinks it could soon take the throne as owner of the most productive well in the Utica shale play. Magnum Hunter's well is only the second in the Utica shale in West Virginia. (Chevron Corp.  drilled the first in Marshall County earlier this year).
It’s located on the Steward-Winland pad in Tyler County, just east of Marietta.
“We think this well is on the equivalent of (Rice Energy Inc.'s Bigfoot 9H) well,” Gary Evans, Magnum Hunter’s CEO, told CNBC host Jim Cramer June 2. “We’ll be fracking that well over the next 30 to 45 days.”
It's a bit hard to tell from the story what Magnum really thinks about the Bakken. I track all Bakken operators at the "Snapshot" tab at the top of the blog.  According to Magnum Hunter's June, 2014, corporate presentation, the company is still bullish on the Bakken, having about 97,000 net acres, some developed, some undeveloped.

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Natural gas killing nuclear energy -- New York Times -- this make the newspaper a candidate for the 2014 Geico Rock Award.
But natural gas is starting to replace nuclear power, which can be seen as wiping out about 10 percent of the savings, because a reactor has a carbon footprint of nearly zero. Last year the owners of five reactors announced they would retire them. Some had mechanical problems or political opposition; some did not. But all were challenged by the drop in prices on the wholesale market, driven down by natural gas. And several other reactors are losing money and could close this year.
Yup.

Japan found out the hard way what a nuclear disaster could do. Germany didn't wait to find out. Germany eschewed natural gas, also -- went back to coal.  This article conveniently forgets to mention that inconvenient truth -- Germany returning to coal.

Speaking of which, speaking of coal, I'm reading the new book published this year by The New Yorker, The 40s which should show up at this link, although the link might be dynamic and might change: http://www.newyorker.com/the40s.

There's a New Yorker article on the "Berlin airlift" re-printed in that book. It is the essay that everyone should read if interested in the airlift. Really well written. Slightly less than 2/3rds of everything airlifted was coal; slightly more than 1/3 was food. The one or two percent that made up the difference included meat, cheese, and chocolate, the top three most coveted items after coal. The Germans love coal. It probably was not difficult for them to give up on nuclear energy.


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Remember the Range Resources story in Texas. Texas Railroad Commission says fracking not the culprit

Alaska Just Went "Red" -- Reuters (I Can't Make This Up) -- EPA On Highest Alert

I just updated the earlier post regarding the EPA's latest rules in the war-on-coal noting that Washington would have to cut emissions by over 400% if Mount St Helens erupts between now and 2030.

This is too good to be true. Timing is everything.

Reuters is reporting that an EPA "yellow" state, Alaska, just went "red." Reuters is reporting:
An Alaska volcano that has been spewing ash and lava for years began erupting with new intensity this week, pushing a plume of smoke and ash as high as 24,000 feet (7,315 meters) and prompting scientists to issue their highest volcanic alert in five years, authorities said on Tuesday.
But the intense action at the Pavlof Volcano, located in an uninhabited region nearly 600 miles (966 km) southwest of Anchorage, has so far not disrupted any regional air traffic, thanks to favorable weather that has made it easier for flights to navigate around the affected area. 
Still, the eruption was intense enough for Alaska Volcano Observatory scientists to issue their first red alert warning since 2009, when the state's Mount Redoubt had a series of eruptions that spewed ash 50,000 feet (15,240 meters). 
"This means it can erupt for weeks or even months," observatory research geologist Michelle Coombs said of the warning. "I don't think we will be at red for that long, but we are expecting it to go for a while based on its past."
Unconfirmed reports: EPA is sending two aircraft filled with bureaucrats, with hand-held calculators, yellow legal pads, and clipboards, preparing to issue new "30-30" guidelines for Alaska, literally as we speak.
An EPA spokesperson, commenting anonymously saying she did not have authority to speak on the subject officially, said, "This is serious. Alaska was pale yellow under the initial 30-30 but this is already putting Alaska into a bright yellow/orange category. I could see it going red. Puce is possible. We never thought we would have to go to puce, so that was never in the original 30-30 plan."
The EPA flight plans took the two aircraft directly over Sarah Palin's home, where the pilots noted "we could see Russia from there." The co-pilot, commenting anonymously saying she did not have authority to speak on the subject officially, said, "Sarah was sincere. She really could see Russia from her porch. Look there's a polar bear. Two. Struggling. The ice is thinning. I wish now I would have voted for Sarah. Who was her running mate, again?"

Some of the EPA observers wondered if the Bering Strait didn't seem a bit higher than usual, something that has been long predicted due to global warming.
"You know, I was last up here five years ago and I don't remember the Bering Strait being that high. It could be the moon and the tides, but the sun is still up so I don't think it could be the moon pulling the tide toward the beach. I think it's global warming."
Any chance of hurricanes? Probably not yet. Although the risk of "land hurricanes" is always there.

The Greenpeace ship that interfered with Statoil earlier this week is rushing to the strait to verify the height of the ocean. Scientists on that ship had not prepared for this possibility and have requested the US Navy provide them some rulers, preferably with "millimeter markings."

Again, this is all unconfirmed. I doubt that any of it is true, but a reader sent it to me, so it must be true. If I find it on the internet, I know it will be true.

Searching....searching....searching....

Searching, Searching, Del Shannon

Is This Not A "Pretty Picture"? -- Northwest Dunn County, Corral Creek

Those wells on confidential status, up to the north in the graphic below, are all on 3-well and 4-well pads.


I track the Corral Creek oil field here. Obviously I have to update the linked page.

Spring Road Restrictions Coming To An End? Rigs Increasing In Number; Nine (9) New Permits -- North Dakota; Fourteen (14) Producing Wells Completed; Bakken Wells Really Getting Better; Hess On A Roll; EOG Reports Two Huge Wells; 5/11 Wells To DRL Status

Wells coming off confidential list Wednesday:
  • 20258, 2,399, KOG, Skunk Creek 3-24-25-13H, Mandaree, t4/14; cum 16K 4/14;
  • 24758, drl, Statoil, Melissa 31-30 6H, East Fork, no production data,
  • 25075, 523, OXY USA, Charles Rand 1-6-7H-143-97, Crooked Creek, t12/13; cum 29K 4/14;
  • 25691, drl, Hess, BW-Johnson 149-99-1003H-3, Cherry Creek, no production data,
  • 25757, 989, EOG, Wayzetta 35-1920H, Parshall, t1/14; cum 113K 4/14;
  • 25785, 1,682, EOG, Wayzetta 36-1920H, Parshall, t1/14; cum 126K 4/14;
  • 26271, 1,346, Emerald, Pirate 6-2-11H, Foreman Butte, t12/13; cum 42K 4/14;
  • 26472, 1,667, Newfield, Rolfsrud State 152-96-21-16-12H, Westberg, t2/14; cum 30K 4/14;
  • 26629, drl, CLR, Mack 12-2H2, Antelope, a Sanish pool well, no production data,
  • 26872, drl, XTO, Cindy Blikre 41X-2G, Lindahl, no production data,
  • 26880, drl, CLR, Lawrence 6-24H1, North Tioga, no production data,
25757, see above, EOG, Wayzetta 35-1920H, Parshall, 112K in less than 5 months:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
4-201446197866
3-2014297331331
2-2014112710
1-2014199560
12-201349960



25785, see above, EOG, Wayzetta 36-1920H, Parshall, 124K in less than 5 months:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
4-201442727818
3-2014293991138
2-2014110870
1-2014311760
12-201399360

Active rigs:


6/3/201406/03/201306/03/201206/03/201106/03/2010
Active Rigs190189215171121

Nine (9) new permits --
  • Operators: EOG (3), CLR (2), Petrogulf (2), North Plains (2)
  • Fields: Parshall (Mountrail), Willow Creek (Williams), Antelope (Mountrail), Smoky Butte (Divide)
  • Comments:
Wells coming off confidential list were posted earlier; see sidebar at the right.

Fourteen (14) producing wells were completed:
  • 22687, 1,107, Hess, EN-Jeffrey-155-94-2215H-1, Alkali Creek, 4 sections, t4/14; cum 15K 4/14;
  • 25334, 2,212, XTO, Martin Federal 21X-33F, Cedar Coulee, t4/14; cum 19K 4/14;
  • 25787, 758, Hess, EN-Cvancara A-155-93-3231H-5, Robinson Lake, 4 sections, t4/14; cum 14K 4/14;
  • 25987, 1,350, Hess, EN-Frandson-154-93-2116H-6, Robinson Lake, 2 sections, t4/14; cum 26K 4/14;
  • 26012, 1,320, Hess, HA-Chapin 152-95-3229H-4, Hawkeye, t5/14; cum 17K 4/14;
  • 26013, 997, Hess, HA-Chapin 152-95-3239H-3, Hawkeye, t4/14; cum 20K 4/14; 20K in the first 15 days;
  • 26072, 928, Hess, BL-Iverson 155-95-1819H-4, Beaver Lodge, t4/14; cum 20K 4/14; 20K first 18 days;
  • 26073, 948, Hess, BL-Iverson 155-95-1819H-3, Beaver Lodge, t4/14; cum 13K 4/14; 13K first 11 days;
  • 26113, 598, Hess, EN-Chamley 156-93-0508H-3, Baskin, t4/14; cum 12K 4/14; 12K first 17 days;
  • 26401, 185, Mountain Divide, Reistad 23-14-1H, Fortuna, t3/14; no production data,
  • 26572, 881, Hess, BW-Sharon-150-100-2536H-4, Timber Creek, t4/14; cum 13K 4/14; 13K first 11 days;
  • 26672, 907, Hess, BW-Sharon-2560-150-100-2536-3031H-1, South Tobacco Garden, 4 sections, t4/14; cum 18K 4/14; 18K first 19 days;
  • 26675, 1,684, Petro-Hunt, Burian 144-98-14A-23-1H, Little Knife, t5/14; cum --
  • 27071, 304, Mountain Divide,Rreistad 26-35S-1H, Fortuna, t3/14; cum --