Thursday, August 22, 2019

Update On Electric Fracking -- Bizjournals -- August 22, 2019

Updates

August 26, 2019: a minor update over at Rigzone. Doesn't say much except in the Permian more talk of e-fracking to save money.

Original Post 

Linked here. Archived. Tagged.
... a pioneer among Marcellus Shale wells in the use of a new, more cost-efficient and environmentally friendly way to frac gas.

Canonsburg-based CNX has signed a three-year contract to use Evolution Well Services’ all-electric frac fleet, which is used in the hydraulic fracturing process and includes a natural gas-fired engine to run the machinery and a turbine that pumps sand and water to bring gas up out of the ground.

CNX is the first producer in the Appalachian basin to use an all-electric frac fleet, and the Richhill well is one of the first to use the new equipment.
Traditionally, hydraulic fracturing is a complicated, energy and labor-intensive process, one that requires engines that have lots of horsepower, a multitude of pipes and constant attention by workers to make sure it’s going right.

But walk around Richhill 13, or any of CNX’s other all-electric frac operations, and you’ll notice how quiet it is. That’s because instead of using diesel fuel and diesel engines to run the equipment, Evolution uses natural gas produced on site to fuel the jet engine-like turbines that power the fracking operation. Natural gas not only is plentifully available at the site, but it also removes from the roads the constant flow of diesel trucks to keep the 24/7 operation running.
Remember: electricity demand will surge in the Bakken over the next 20 years. 

Jobless Claims; Recession Right Around The Corner -- August 22, 2019

Wow, that Drudge Report banner yesterday -- revision in number of jobs created over the past two years ... something is rotten in .... and it's not in Denmark ....

Today, jobless claims:
  • prior: 220K
  • prior revised: 221K
  • consensus: 216K
  • actual: 209K
  • new claims: down 12,000
"Recession right around the corner."

Another Look At 2020 - 2029 Global Crude Oil Output -- August 22, 2019

Before getting started (by the way, if you ever want to find this clip quickly, search "doofus"):

Doofus-in-Chief

We just can't drill our way to lower prices -- we also have to build pipelines. Gasoline is twice as expensive in California as it is in Texas (or so I'm told by my brother-in-law) -- 

See these posts:
Now, back to the Global Witness story. By the way, this story has now gone viral: Nick Cunningham took credit for contributing this story to zerohedge.

Link here.
Peak oil? What peak oil? oilprice rewrites Global Witness article with headline that "US will drown the world in oil." Global Witness is an international NGO established in 1993 that works to break the links between natural resource exploitation, conflict, poverty, corruption, and human rights abuses worldwide -- according to wiki. Wiki states the organization does not have any political affiliation. I'm resisting posting links, etc. but I've given up. Good, bad, or indifferent, it's an interesting article -- I'll re-post as a stand-alone.
Talk about cognitive dissonance for Nick Cunningham. My hunch is that many "peak oilers" who make their living off newsletters, consulting, etc., which will gradually morph into "global warming" experts. It's hard to stop a train.

The first graph that caught my attention, the graph below based on data from Rystad Energy. Note which countries are not on the list. This is very, very accurate based on previous reports, and explains why oil is an existential issue for some (most) Mideast countries. There is a great interactive graphic at the linked site, but the graphic below really catches one's attention. Note Pennsylvania and then remember that New York bans fracking.

See first comment at this post. The graphic has to do with NEW oil and gas production, not total production.

New Mexico ranks above North Dakota.

Russia will barely produce more NEW oil and gas than Ohio.

Neither California nor Alaska are in the graphic.

Wyoming, Utah did not make the list but Colorado did, again for NEW gas and oil.

Pennsylvania, at 7%, is more than twice that of Russia -- that's huge, but when Ohio will produce almost as much NEW gas and oil as Russia ...


For new oil and gas production, seven out of the top 10 biggest oil and gas producers would be US states, with only Canada, Brazil and Russia making it onto the list. Pennsylvania is set to be the third, producing more than double new gas and oil that that of Russia.

I don't know how many ways one can show it, but here's another graphic. It's not so much that the US will contribute 60% of the new global production, but rather:
  • it's how puny Russia's new production is in comparison
  • it's that Saudi Arabia becomes a net importer (other sources) by 2029
  • it's that no Mideast country is significant enough with regard to new oil and gas to get on the chart
  • it's that Norway is not significant enough to get on chart either

The big question is when did the movers and shakers in the oil industry know this? When did Saudi Arabia know this?

2029: only ten years from now. Even most seniors reading the blog will still be alive in 2029.

Economics Of Bakken-To-Mexico Propane Unit Trains -- RBN Energy -- August 22, 2019

RBN Energy: the economics of Bakken-to-Mexico propane unit trains, part 2. Archived. Part 1 was here.
In May 2019, the first-ever propane unit train from the Bakken to Mexico reached its destination, and since then, three more of these 100-car, single-commodity “bulk” trains have made the same trip. Facilitating these shipments by Twin Eagle Liquids Marketing is Marathon Petroleum Corp.’s (MPC) unit train-loading terminal in Fryburg, ND, which was initially set up to load crude oil but was recently expanded to handle propane too. And soon, the terminal in Torreón, Mexico, that has been receiving these unit trains will have a new loop track too, enabling producers and marketers to take full advantage of the bulk transport option. Today, we look at the economics and challenges of this relatively new propane export route.
As we discussed earlier, Mexico’s need for propane — widely used for cooking and heating water — is on the rise, even as local supply has been dwindling. That’s boosted propane imports to the country, including from the U.S. and Canada in recent years. While most of those imports come to Mexico via ship (~52% or 83 Mb/d in 2018) or are trucked across the U.S.-Mexico border (33 Mb/d or 21%), a good portion (29 Mb/d or 18%) of it is railed in. [Only 14 Mb/d, or less than 10%, of it was transported via pipeline last year, owing to the limited pipeline capacity and routes available to reach key markets in interior Mexico.]

Economics Of Bakken-To-Mexico Propane Unit Trains -- RBN Energy -- August 22, 2019

Peak oil? What peak oil? oilprice rewrites Global Witness article with headline that "US will drown the world in oil." Global Witness is an international NGO established in 1993 that works to break the links between natural resource exploitation, conflict, poverty, corruption, and human rights abuses worldwide -- according to wiki. Wiki states the organization does not have any political affiliation. I'm resisting posting links, etc. but I've given up. Good, bad, or indifferent, it's an interesting article -- I'll re-post as a stand-alone.


Headline at Rigzone today, no links:
  • GoM leases: 
    • BHP, largest bid; $42 million; 20 tracts
    • Anadarko: $23 million; 14 tracts
    • Chevron: $23 million; 17 tracts
    • Equinor: $17 million; 23 tracts
    • BP: $15 million; 21 tracts
  • Pipe: Pembina to buy Kinder Morgan's Canadian unit and the US portion of the Cohin Pipeline system; $3.3 billion
  • Alberta: extends oil output cuts to end of 2020
Fracking sector disappoints: 2Q19 -- Rigzone staff --

A review of 29 fracking-focused oil and gas companies revealed “meager” cash returns in the second quarter of 2019.
The report, which was carried out by Sightline Institute and the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA), noted that only 11 of the 29 companies under review registered positive free cash flows and that the 29 companies combined generated $26 million in aggregate free cash flows.
These aggregate free cash flows were said to be “far too modest to make a significant dent in the more than $100 billion in long-term debt owed by these companies, let alone reward equity investors who have been waiting for a decade for robust and sustainable results”.
***********************************
Back to the Bakken

Only one well coming off the confidential list today -- Thursday, August 22, 2019: 60 for the month; 107 for the quarter:
35935, conf, XTO, Badlands Federal 21X-13H, North Fork,
Active rigs:

$56.138/22/201908/22/201808/22/201708/22/201608/22/2015
Active Rigs6462523276

RBN Energy: the economics of Bakken-to-Mexico propane unit trains, part 2. Archived. Part 1 was here.
In May 2019, the first-ever propane unit train from the Bakken to Mexico reached its destination, and since then, three more of these 100-car, single-commodity “bulk” trains have made the same trip. Facilitating these shipments by Twin Eagle Liquids Marketing is Marathon Petroleum Corp.’s (MPC) unit train-loading terminal in Fryburg, ND, which was initially set up to load crude oil but was recently expanded to handle propane too. And soon, the terminal in Torreón, Mexico, that has been receiving these unit trains will have a new loop track too, enabling producers and marketers to take full advantage of the bulk transport option. Today, we look at the economics and challenges of this relatively new propane export route.
As we discussed earlier, Mexico’s need for propane — widely used for cooking and heating water — is on the rise, even as local supply has been dwindling. That’s boosted propane imports to the country, including from the U.S. and Canada in recent years. While most of those imports come to Mexico via ship (~52% or 83 Mb/d in 2018) or are trucked across the U.S.-Mexico border (33 Mb/d or 21%), a good portion (29 Mb/d or 18%) of it is railed in. [Only 14 Mb/d, or less than 10%, of it was transported via pipeline last year, owing to the limited pipeline capacity and routes available to reach key markets in interior Mexico.]