Locator: 49915IRAN.
Strike one: Iran flying a drone toward a US Navy ship. Shot down by US Navy.
Strike two: Iranian gunboats try to board US-flagged oil tanker. Failed when a US Navy destroyer arrived on scene to escort the tanker.
Strike three: FAFO.
All indications are this will not end well for Iran. Google Gemini:
What's polymarket have to say about a US-pre-emptive strike on Iran?
- US pre-emptive strike, short-term, days to one / two week: 30%
- US pre-emptive strike, longer-term, two to four weeks: 80%.
What's WTI have to say about a US-pre-emptive strike on Iran?
- WTI: $64.24. Down 90 cents, February 4, 2026.
Iranians are experts (as most players in the Mideast are) at playing the long game and stalling. US SecDef is not so patient.
My hunch: if US feels they are being played in Oman, February 6, two days from now, Friday, watch for fireworks.
