Thursday, May 22, 2025

Thursday -- Last Day Of School For Sophia -- May 22, 2025

Locator: 48652B.

Harvard: Harvard University’s Student and Exchange Visitor Program certification is revoked. 

Religious school charters: US Supreme Court rules. Taxpayer money cannot fund religious charter schools.

NY Knicks: gave one away.  "Pacers stun Knicks with incredible comeback victory at MSG," Get Up.

US House passes Trump's "tax and spend" bill, or whatever it's called (perhaps, "slash and burn"?). In a late-night vote. Holy mackerel, talk about a close vote, 215 - 214. But it was even closer than that: of three Republican "holdouts," one voted "present" and two others did not vote; had they voted against the bill, the bill would have "died." Two Republicans did vote against the bill (a Pyrrhic win for their constituency -- and they won't get any love from Trump). Tennessee John Republic was perhaps the "key vote," but then again, many, many, many key votes.  The New York Times said,

"The legislation would slash taxes, steer more money to the military and border security, and pay for some of this with cuts to Medicaid, food assistance, education and clean energy programs, adding significantly to federal deficits and to the ranks of the uninsured." [It's hard to believe a bill like that would get passed.]

Slash and burn: "Worse than feared." -- Bloomberg

Subsidies for clean power would end years earlier in a giant tax and spending bill narrowly passed by the Republican-led House of Representatives early Thursday, driving down shares of solar companies including Sunrun Inc.

It now moves to the Senate, where key Republicans have already balked at some of the House’s plans. Some wanted longer transition times before the latest House bill cut those even further. (Some senators need more time to sell their solar shares.)

The House bill is “worse than feared” for clean energy, analysts at Jeffries said in a research note Thursday. They added, however, that “we don’t expect this to last into Senate draft.”

Shares of Sunrun fell 44% in early trading Thursday. SolarEdge Technologies Inc. sank 17%.

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Meanwhile


The Qatar plane deal
: all the political hand-wringing is tedious. I have my own thoughts on the "gift": completely unnecessary but for practical reasons, not political reasons. Whatever. But for those complaining politically about the gift, it's always interesting to revisit the past:

Hunter Biden's Business Ventures

  • Burisma Holdings (Ukraine): Hunter Biden served on the board of Burisma, a major Ukrainian gas producer, from 2014 to 2019.
  • BHR Partners (China): He co-founded BHR Partners, a Chinese investment firm, in 2013.
  • CEFC China Energy: He had a business relationship with CEFC, a Chinese energy company.
  • Other Ventures: He also pursued deals in countries like Kazakhstan, Romania, and Russia.

Biggest story right now: Sam Altman. Casually hands $6.4 billion to Jony Ive for project Io and is simultaneously building the largest AI data center in the middle of the west Texas. And OpenAI will remain a non-profit. All this needs to be fact-checked.

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Back to the Bakken

WTI: $60.35.

New wells

  • Friday, May 23, 2025: 51 for the month, 151 for the quarter, 350 for the year,
    • None.
  • Thursday, May 22, 2025: 51 for the month, 151 for the quarter, 350 for the year,
    • 41145, conf, BR, Watchman Peak 5E,
    • 40499, conf, Oasis, Lee S 5201 21-8 2B,

RBN Energy: Next Wave uses innovative approach to produce high-quality alkylate.

It’s been about a year and a half since Next Wave Energy Partners opened its Project Traveler facility, a milestone in the energy industry. Overall, Project Traveler has exceeded production expectations and proven the innovative approach of combining ethylene and isobutane to produce high-quality alkylate. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll look at what’s been accomplished so far and dive into what’s ahead for Next Wave.

We first mentioned Next Wave’s ethylene-to-alkylate project (see photo below) back in 2020 in Drive My Car. (We also discussed it in Keeps Getting Better, Part 1 and Part 2, and, most recently, in Traveler.) It is a unique, standalone alkylation facility, with no crude oil processing involved. Instead, the feedstock is ethylene, which is converted to butylene in a dimerization unit and then further converted to alkylate in a conventional sulfuric acid (H2SO4) alkylation unit. (More on this below.)

Next Wave’s Project Traveler in Pasadena, TX

Figure 1. Next Wave’s Project Traveler in Pasadena, TX. Source: Next Wave

As a brief refresher, gasoline is a blend of many hydrocarbon components (including alkylate) that, in combination, meet certain specifications. It’s up to refineries and gasoline blenders to come up with gasoline recipes that satisfy the requirements of specifications like Reid Vapor Pressure (RVP), octane and sulfur content. As you’re reminded with each visit to the pump, there are at least three octane-based grades of gasoline; the standard ones in most of the country are 87 (regular), 91 (midgrade) and 93 (premium). The octane number — the closer to 100 the better — indicates how much a fuel can be compressed before it self-ignites, which causes “knocking” in your engine, while RVP measures how easily a fuel vaporizes — typically the lower the better for emissions reasons.

Blendstocks that are high in octane and low in RVP, benzene and sulfur content are the most desirable for refineries and gasoline blenders. Alkylate, typically produced at crude oil refineries with fluid catalytic cracking units (FCCs), is perhaps the major gasoline component with the best combination of these four qualities: octane of 90 to 96, RVP of 3 to 6 pounds per square inch at atmospheric pressure (psia), zero benzene content, and sulfur content of only 5 to 15 parts per million (ppm).

While overall gasoline demand in the U.S. has remained relatively flat over the past several years, demand for higher-octane grades (midgrade and premium) has grown. A major reason for this is the push to increase the fuel efficiency of internal-combustion-engine (ICE) vehicles using higher compression and turbocharged engines, which require higher-octane fuels. Another factor incentivizing the production of high-octane components is the “lightening” of U.S. refiners’ crude slates due to the Shale Boom. When higher-API shale oil barrels are refined, they produce more naphtha, which has a low octane number and therefore needs to be “blended up” with high-octane components like alkylate in the gasoline pool. An important fact to note is that existing refineries can’t do much to ramp up their alkylate production (typically representing about 15% of the total gasoline pool) because they already run full in almost all circumstances.