Locator: 48650BUFFETT.
NASCAR: only 70+ laps left in final race tonight.
Mystery stock:
No way can we guess correctly which single stock Warren Buffett has bought and asked the SEC permission to keep that purchase a "secret" for awhile. However, by sector, it is much more interesting. Eleven sectors:
- energy: no way; 0% chance
- materials: 20%
- industrials: 20%
- utilities: 90%
- healthcare: 10%
- financials (banks, insurance): 0% chance
- consumer discretionary (Amazon, McDonald's, Netflix among the biggest stocks in this sector): 90%
- consumer staples: 40%
- information technology (Apple, Nvidia): 0%
- having sold Apple, the best in the sector, it's unlikely he would pivot back into IT; the other IT stocks -- P/Es are in the stratosphere;
- communication services( google, META, too much like IT): 20%
- real estate: 10% chance
Yeah, I know the percentages don't add to 100% and don't make sense, but that's how I see it.
Although the eleven sectors above are generally “accepted,” Buffett compartmentalizes his portfolio into three main groupings.
If it's one mystery stock, one utility (think Vistra) would fit well in his portfolio of utility companies and he loves dividends.
Consumer discretionary and consumer staples also rank high in my 30-second assessment.
What does AI say? Industrial sector, with an estimated value between $1 billion and $2 billion.
I have "industrials" at low end of likelihood. Railroads/transportation are part of the "Industrials" sector.
If you guess the right company, you get a lifetime subscription to the blog for free.
If you guess the right sector, you get a five-year subscription to the blog for free.
My hunch: Hershey.
