Putin's War Of Attrition -- April 12, 2022

One can follow Putin's War from a number of angles: political (genocide); economic (the war's impact on Russia's economy); and, of course, the military aspect. 

I track the economic aspect and the military aspect elsewhere.

In the twelve years or so of blogging, I've only posted a handful of blogs of which I'm pretty proud. The Vietnam analogy, March 26, 2022, was one of those posts. The other was the Devon post.

I was reminded of that again today with this story that appeared in The Washington Post in the last twenty-four hours, as noted by Peter Zeihan: 

Look at the "heavy artillery" that the US is sending to Ukraine at this link. 

Putin's War is going to end up being a war of attrition for the Russians. For Putin, there is no longer any end game. 

This is almost the "perfect" war for the US. The longer this war lasts, the worst it will be for Russia. I'm not saying the US will purposely let the war drag on. In fact, one can argue that the US has little impact on how long the war lasts; it will end when it ends. But each week the war drags on, Russia's economy is set back one year. 

The military hardware and soldiers lost to date by the Russians is incredible. Putin has limited resources for re-supply. On the other hand, the Ukrainians have an "unlimited" military resupply. 

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The Politics Of Putin's War

It goes without saying that Biden is gaining politically from this war. Polls suggest the majority of Americans are buying into Biden's assertion that America's high-priced gasoline and inflation and a recession, if there is one, can all be blamed on Russia.