Disclaimer: In a long note like this there will be content and typographical errors. Projections are my own. It may be hard to separate NDIC data from my data.
The NDIC says their data is accurate through July 14, 2021.
For the calendar year, 2021, to date, MRO had 49 new permits in Bailey oil field. They are all listed below.
Of the 240 permits/file numbers associated with Bailey oil field, through July 14, 2021:
- all are MRO permits:
- two are TA;
- eleven are PNC:
- three are PA;
- seven are NC (DUCs);
- fourteen are LOC;
- ten are IA;
- fifteen were DRL;
- one was AB;
- the rest are A;
- this does not include the new permits since July 14, 2021. For now one can assume the new permits since July 14, 2021, are LOC (permits only).
January 21, 2021 |
38083 |
MRO |
Baish USA 21-4TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
January 21, 2021 |
38084 |
MRO |
Opal USA 21-4H |
DUN |
Bailey |
January 21, 2021 |
38085 |
MRO |
Delores USA 21-4TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
January 21, 2021 |
38086 |
MRO |
Seidler USA 31-4H |
DUN |
Bailey |
January 21, 2021 |
38087 |
MRO |
Weidner USA 31-4TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
April 1, 2021 |
38231 |
MRO |
WR Connolly 31-14H |
DUN |
Bailey |
April 1, 2021 |
38232 |
MRO |
Frieda 31-14TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
April 1, 2021 |
38233 |
MRO |
Sebastian 21-14TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
May 13, 2021 |
38304 |
MRO |
Goth 44-11TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
May 13, 2021 |
38305 |
MRO |
Stein 14-12H |
DUN |
Bailey |
May 13, 2021 |
38306 |
MRO |
Ebert 14-12TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
May 13, 2021 |
38307 |
MRO |
Emiley 14-12H |
DUN |
Bailey |
May 13, 2021 |
38308 |
MRO |
Jarman 24-12TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
May 17, 2021 |
38311 |
MRO |
Gene 44-23TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
May 17, 2021 |
38312 |
MRO |
Emmet 44-23H |
DUN |
Bailey |
May 17, 2021 |
38313 |
MRO |
Mastel 14-24TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
May 17, 2021 |
38314 |
MRO |
Cameron 14-24H |
DUN |
Bailey |
May 17, 2021 |
38315 |
MRO |
Ferdinand 14-24TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
August 3, 2021 |
38448 |
MRO |
Rustad 44-9H |
DUN |
Bailey |
August 3, 2021 |
38449 |
MRO |
Augusta 41-16H |
DUN |
Bailey |
August 20, 2021 |
38501 |
MRO |
Audrey 34-10H |
DUN |
Bailey |
August 20, 2021 |
38502 |
MRO |
Odermann 24-10TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
August 20, 2021 |
38503 |
MRO |
Rice 14-10TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 3, 2021 |
38536 |
MRO |
Woodrow 31-18H |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 3, 2021 |
38537 |
MRO |
Porter 31-18TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 3, 2021 |
38538 |
MRO |
Annabelle 21-18H |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 3, 2021 |
38539 |
MRO |
Eliza 21-18TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 21, 2021 |
38571 |
MRO |
Ermina 31-13TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 21, 2021 |
38572 |
MRO |
ITHAMAR 41-13TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 21, 2021 |
38573 |
MRO |
AUSTIN 11-18H |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 21, 2021 |
38574 |
MRO |
BEAU 11-18TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 28, 2021 |
38587 |
MRO |
Cody 11-18H |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 29, 2021 |
38589 |
MRO |
Amos 31-18TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 29, 2021 |
38590 |
MRO |
Cheryl 41-18H |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 29, 2021 |
38591 |
MRO |
Stone 44-7TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 29, 2021 |
38592 |
MRO |
Killion 44-7H |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 29, 2021 |
38593 |
MRO |
Weekes 14-8TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
October 19, 2021 |
38619 |
MRO |
Wilma 41-16TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
October 19, 2021 |
38620 |
MRO |
Greenshields 11-15H |
DUN |
Bailey |
October 20, 2021 |
38621 |
MRO |
Fallstrom 14-20TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
October 25, 2021 |
38623 |
MRO |
Rossol 24-31H |
DUN |
Bailey |
October 25, 2021 |
38624 |
MRO |
Tarpy 24-31TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
October 25, 2021 |
38625 |
MRO |
Ludwig 14-31TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
November 18, 2021 |
38663 |
MRO |
State Randie 44-36H |
DUN |
Bailey |
November 18, 2021 |
38665 |
MRO |
State Melman 34-36TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
November 23, 2021 |
38672 |
MRO |
State Sword 44-36TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
November 24, 2021 |
38679 |
MRO |
Walker 14-31H |
DUN |
Bailey |
December 15, 2021 |
38702 |
MRO |
Claude 14-20H |
DUN |
Bailey |
December 15, 2021 |
38703 |
MRO |
Vernon 44-19TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
Since July 14, 2021, the last date for which NDIC data is said to be accurate, MRO added the following 31 permits:
August 3, 2021 |
38448 |
MRO |
Rustad 44-9H |
DUN |
Bailey |
August 3, 2021 |
38449 |
MRO |
Augusta 41-16H |
DUN |
Bailey |
August 20, 2021 |
38501 |
MRO |
Audrey 34-10H |
DUN |
Bailey |
August 20, 2021 |
38502 |
MRO |
Odermann 24-10TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
August 20, 2021 |
38503 |
MRO |
Rice 14-10TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 3, 2021 |
38536 |
MRO |
Woodrow 31-18H |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 3, 2021 |
38537 |
MRO |
Porter 31-18TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 3, 2021 |
38538 |
MRO |
Annabelle 21-18H |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 3, 2021 |
38539 |
MRO |
Eliza 21-18TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 21, 2021 |
38571 |
MRO |
Ermina 31-13TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 21, 2021 |
38572 |
MRO |
ITHAMAR 41-13TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 21, 2021 |
38573 |
MRO |
AUSTIN 11-18H |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 21, 2021 |
38574 |
MRO |
BEAU 11-18TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 28, 2021 |
38587 |
MRO |
Cody 11-18H |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 29, 2021 |
38589 |
MRO |
Amos 31-18TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 29, 2021 |
38590 |
MRO |
Cheryl 41-18H |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 29, 2021 |
38591 |
MRO |
Stone 44-7TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 29, 2021 |
38592 |
MRO |
Killion 44-7H |
DUN |
Bailey |
September 29, 2021 |
38593 |
MRO |
Weekes 14-8TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
October 19, 2021 |
38619 |
MRO |
Wilma 41-16TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
October 19, 2021 |
38620 |
MRO |
Greenshields 11-15H |
DUN |
Bailey |
October 20, 2021 |
38621 |
MRO |
Fallstrom 14-20TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
October 25, 2021 |
38623 |
MRO |
Rossol 24-31H |
DUN |
Bailey |
October 25, 2021 |
38624 |
MRO |
Tarpy 24-31TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
October 25, 2021 |
38625 |
MRO |
Ludwig 14-31TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
November 18, 2021 |
38663 |
MRO |
State Randie 44-36H |
DUN |
Bailey |
November 18, 2021 |
38665 |
MRO |
State Melman 34-36TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
November 23, 2021 |
38672 |
MRO |
State Sword 44-36TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
November 24, 2021 |
38679 |
MRO |
Walker 14-31H |
DUN |
Bailey |
December 15, 2021 |
38702 |
MRO |
Claude 14-20H |
DUN |
Bailey |
December 15, 2021 |
38703 |
MRO |
Vernon 44-19TFH |
DUN |
Bailey |
In Bailey oil field, there are eight rows of sections. From the northernmost row to the southernmost row, the number of sections in each row:
- 8
- 20
- 22
- 20
- 10
- 6
- 11
- 10
... for a total of 107 sections, or, if the standard drilling unit is two sections, 54 drilling units.
In addition, there will be approximately 25 overlapping 2560-acre units.
In each 1280-acre (two-section) drilling unit, eventually,
- a minimum of twenty-four wells; or,
- 24 x 54 = 1,296 wells
In each 2560-acre overlapping unit, a minimum of two wells eventually:
- 25 x 2 = 50
So, conservatively, 1350 wells in Bailey oil field, but only if:
- oil is in demand;
- remains economical to drill;
And it will be decades of drilling, if that were to occur.
This doesn't mean that there will be 1,350 wells producing at one time; they will come and go over the years.
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