Tuesday, January 14, 2020

Notes From All Over, Part 1 -- January 14, 2020

A new national poll, The Hill, 1/13 - 1/14, just released today, released just before the last debate (tonight) before the Iowa caucuses.

The national poll, The Hill:
  • Biden, placeholder for Clinton/Kerry: 29% (in last five polls, including this one) Biden has not polled higher than 29%;
  • Bernie: 19%; he has polled as high 23% but 20% is probably the most accurate
  • Pocahontas: 11%; this is the lowest she has polled in the most recent five polls
  • Buttigieg: 4%; for all the buzz on Buttigieg -- 4%? Are you kidding?
  • The others are irrelevant but for the record:
    • Yang: 2%; Bloomberg: 7%; Klobuchar, a legend in her own mind, 3%; Steyer, 3%
As a reminder, the other state polls:
  • Iowa: Pocahontas, polling last among the top four, but in a statistical tie with Sanders and Buttigieg
  • New Hampshire: Buttigieg polling last among the top four at only 7%; in other words, irrelevant in New Hampshire; Pocahontas dead last among the top three
  • South Carolina: Pocahontas, at 10%, polls behind Steyer at 15%; Biden, 36%; Sanders, 14%
    • Steyer is the only candidate that has focused his resources/energy in South Carolina 
    • Bloomberg: 2%
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The Debate

In early "voting" over at Drudge, Klobuchar (25%), Sanders (22%), and Steyer (19%) were voted #1, #2, and #3 in the debate.

Dead last, Pocahontas at 7%.

In the middle, Buttigieg (15%) and Biden (14%).

If the DNC is hoping for a Biden miracle, this has to be very, very concerning.