Thursday, July 18, 2019

Re-Balancing -- July 18, 2019

EIA's crude oil "adjustment" methods

Re-balancing data for past 34 weeks:
Week
Week Ending
Change
Million Bbls Storage
Week 0
November 21, 2018
4.9
446.9
Week 1
November 28, 2018
3.6
450.5
Week 2
December 6, 2018
-7.3
443.2
Week 3
December 12, 2018
-1.2
442.0
Week 4
December 19, 2018
-0.5
441.5
Week 5
December 28, 2018
0.0
441.4
Week 6
January 4, 2019
0.0
441.4
Week 7
January 9, 2019
-1.7
439.7
Week 8
January 16, 2019
-2.7
437.1
Week 9
January 24, 2019
8.0
445.0
Week 10
January 31, 2019
0.9
445.9
Week 11
February 6, 2019
1.3
447.2
Week 12
February 13, 2019
3.6
450.8
Week 13
February 21, 2019
3.7
454.5
Week 14
February 27, 2019
-8.6
445.9
Week 15
March 6, 2019
7.1
452.9
Week 16
March 13, 2019
-3.9
449.1
Week 17
March 20, 2019
-9.6
439.5
Week 18
March 27, 2019
2.8
442.3
Week 19
April 3, 2019
7.2
449.5
Week 20
April 10, 2019
7.0
456.5
Week 21
April 17, 2019
-1.4
455.2
Week 22
April 24, 2019
5.5
460.1
Week 23
May 1, 2019
9.9
470.6
Week 24
May 8, 2019
-4.0
466.6
Week 25
May 15, 2019
5.4
472.0
Week 26
May 22, 2019
4.7
476.8
Week 27
May 30, 2019
-0.3
476.5
Week 28
June 5, 2019
6.8
483.3
Week 29
June 12, 2019
2.2
485.5
Week 30
June 19, 2019
-3.1
482.4
Week 31
June 26, 2019
-12.8
469.6
Week 32
July 3, 2019
-1.1
468.5
Week 33
July 10, 2019
-9.5
459.0
Week 34
July 17, 2019
-3.1
455.9

Now why would I bring that up? LOL.

Because this was on twitter today:


This will be incredibly interesting to watch.

Place your bets now.

Disclaimer: this is not a betting site. Do not place any bets, wagers, guesses involving real money based on anything you read here or think you may have read here.

2 comments:

  1. HFIR is an example of a poor analyst. Just a blog writer, really. But one who overpromotes himself as some sort of analyst. Seeking Alpha is amateur user content. Still some good gems there. And I don't even mind the lesser ones if they don't get pompous and try to call themselves experts.

    HFIR perfect example of a guy who does it wrong. (See my other comment.) Likes to "true up" the adjustment by adding it to US production. Despite EIA saying for years that this is invalid--you can;'t say which factor it goes with. And now saying it again. Sigh.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sigh.

      Hey, don't knock us "blog writers." LOL. I'm doing the best I can. LOL. Actually, I'm doing all of this (okay, most of this) to help me better understand the Bakken -- though I, too, can be a bit snarky and a bit pompous.

      But I am learning a lot, especially from the readers. Thank you for taking time to write.

      Delete

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.