3Q17 GDP Forecast Unchanged -- Remains At A Disappointing 2.2% -- September 19, 2017

GDP Now's latest forecast:

The GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2017 is 2.2 percent on September 19, unchanged from September 15.

The forecast of third-quarter real residential investment growth is -2.6 percent, virtually unchanged from last Friday, after this morning's new residential construction release from the U.S. Census Bureau.

The forecast of the contribution of net exports to third-quarter real GDP growth declined from -0.11 percentage points to -0.16 percentage points after this morning's Import/Export Price Indexes release from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.